Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER'S GHOST Sep29 Sep12 Sep01 Aug19 Jul28 (esquivel )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE Sep29 Sep02 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00    
3  CATECHISM Jun20 May27 Apr11 Mar20 Feb27 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 20.00 6% 14.70    
4  GIRLS A BULLET Sep29 Sep05 Aug08 Jul13 Jun24 (vance d)LANERIE J 121 8.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  TAP N SWAY Sep28 Sep01 Aug08 Jul11 May31 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
6  TACHLIS Oct01 Aug29 Jul19 Jul09 Jun10 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 ★    
7  CADEAU DE PAIX Sep24 Aug14 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00    
 
KEE-2   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MAG         (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00 ★    
2  CHILI RED         (mckeever )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 ★    
3  GRIMES         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
4  SAILOR'S CHANCE Sep05 Aug19 Jul16 Jun23   (ennis john)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
5  NATURAL RED         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 ★    
6  WARHORSE WEST Sep24         (rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
7  PHILHARMONIC Aug20         (zito p)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
8  SUITABLE Aug27         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
9  ARMY STAR Sep17         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
SCR  TIZRIDE Sep18         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
11  RETAINED Sep11 Aug06 Jul08     (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 77% 0.30    
12  HENDRIX         (morey willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  HILL OF TARA Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 May05   (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 ★    
 
KEE-3   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L. A. STAR Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Aug03 (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 ★    
2  LI'L GRAZEN Sep05 Aug04 May13 Apr16 Mar12 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 1.40 14% 6.30    
3  AWESOME INDRA Sep28 Aug21 Jul23 Jun19 Apr23 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
4  FOREIGN EXCHANGE Sep28 Jul11 Jun25 May23 Apr30 (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
5  AFERDITA Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul04 May11 (rone mike)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
6  FRILLS Sep28 Aug08 Jul04 Jun17 Apr30 (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
7  INVALUABLE Sep01 Jul15 Jun17 May26 May01 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
KEE-4   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT PASTRAMI Sep23 Jul07 Apr08 Mar19   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50    
2  BLUE KENTUCKY Sep30 Sep08 Jul17 Jun19 May29 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
3  SAG HARBOR Sep23 Aug04 Jun04 Apr28 Mar20 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 9% 10.80    
4  NOT YET CHARLIE Sep11 Aug03 Jun23 May29 Mar25 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
5  LUCKY PROMISE Sep18 Aug17 Jul17 Jul08 Jun23 (vance d)COURT K 121 20.00 5% 18.70    
6  CHASIN CHARLIE Sep21 Sep08 Aug20     (richardson tim)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 6% 16.20    
7  STORMY PATTERN Sep10 Jul24 Jul01 May26 Apr30 (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 28% 2.50    
8  WEST WARPATH Oct01 Sep21 Jul22 Jul03   (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
9  DESOTO'S WAR Sep23 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul04 (forster grant)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-5   10/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARIA BRAVA Aug25 Jul29 Jun29 May30 May10 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
2  THREE TIPSY CHIX Aug27 Jun24 Apr27 Feb25   (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
3  LADY PUCHI Sep06 Aug06 Jul14 May20 Apr21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  SENSITIVITY Apr02 Feb27       (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
5  AIZU Jun28 May29 Apr20 Jan29   (nihei michell)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 8% 11.50    
6  PRECURSORY Aug25 Jul04 Jun09 May07   (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
7  LIVY B Jul24 Jul13 Jun22 Feb21   (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
8  ISN'T SHE LOVELY Sep13         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
9  HERINGTON ROCKET Sep10 Jul23 Jun04     (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
10  DUPLICITOUS Sep18 Sep01 Aug07 Jul08 Jun23 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00    
SCR  CHIONE Aug27 Jul08 May25 Feb21 Jan21 (devaux c)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  QUEEN JUDITH Jun25 Apr14 Mar05 Jan16   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 13% 6.60    
13  WAYWARDNESS Sep25 Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 Jun08 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA Sep22 Aug18 Aug07 May19 Apr26 (obert daniell)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOISE Aug27 Jul22 May29 Apr30 Feb12 (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
2  KNOCKER DOWN Sep09 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
3  TEJANO TWIST Sep21 Sep10 Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 ★    
4  PEACEFUL WATERS Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 Feb19 Jan22 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.20 34% 1.90    
5  STRAVA Sep24 Aug14 Jun04 Apr16 Feb19 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  COPPOLA Aug22 Jul13       (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
7  STONEVICIOUS Apr02 Feb26 Jan01     (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
8  SURFER DUDE Jul31 Jun03 May07 Apr08 Jan22 (stewart )SANTANA JR 118 15.00 ★    
9  MAKE IT BIG Jul29 Feb12       (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALLIE'S GRIT Sep03 Jul31       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  SELF CONFIDENT Sep14         (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  NOBLE BERNADETTE Sep08         (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00    
4  AROUND THE SUN         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  SUN BEE Sep09 Aug16       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  WATCH THIS MUNNY Sep05 Jul24 Jun25     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
7  PAINT ME PERFECT Sep18         (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
8  MYSTIFY (GB) Aug20         (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 ★    
9  BOLTORO Sep08 Jul04       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  AMERICAN ODALISQUE Sep30         (caramori caio)PARKER L 119 30.00    
11  FREEFORM Aug26         (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
12  DREAM ROLE Sep01         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS Sep23 Aug28 Jul14 Jul01   (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 119 50.00    
14  BOLT FOR ALLISON Sep17 Jul30       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
SCR  STAY LOST Sep08 Aug07       (casse w)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  DOT MARIE Sep01 Jul23 Jun17     (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IGNITIS Sep17 Jul29 Jun25 Jun12 May07 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Sep22 Jun19 May28 May07 Apr16 (jones larry)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
3  EMPERADOR Jan22         (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  OVERBORE Aug24 Aug13 Apr13     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
5  CLASSIC MOMENT Mar27 Feb27 Jan29     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
6  MAHAAMEL (IRE)         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  LET MY PEOPLE GO Sep22 Jul30 Jul02 May22 Apr29 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
8  ANGKOR May30         (bauer philip )FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 12% 7.40    
9  DRIVE FOR FUN Sep17 Jan13       (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
10  AMERICAN ICON Sep17 Feb04       (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  APPEAL DENIED Sep22 Aug13 Jun19     (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
12  STROBE May07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
13  SPARTY SENSE Apr08 Mar17 Feb12     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/14/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARKLOW Sep10 Jul31       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00    
  (by ARCH out of UNBRIDLED EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  RED KNIGHT Sep10 Jul27       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00    
  (by PURE PRIZE out of ISABEL AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
3  ADMISSION OFFICE Sep10 Aug13 Jul08 Jun04   (lynch bria)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MISS CHAPIN by ROYAL ACADEMY)
4  HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) Jul31 Jun11 May14 Apr14   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of PINK SYMPHONY by MONTJEU (IRE))
5  ACCREDIT Sep14 Sep01       (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
  (by FLATTER out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
6  CHANNEL MAKER Aug27 Jul08 Jun11 Apr23   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IN RETURN by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
7  MIRA MISSION Aug27 Jul15 May07 Apr15 Mar05 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of KAZAMIRA by DYNAFORMER)
8  TEMPLE Sep10 Jul23 Apr02 Mar05 Jan29 (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 10.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DESANT by QUIET AMERICAN)
9  BRITISH ROYALTY Sep18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun10 Apr22 (minshall)SANTANA JR 121 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of QUEEN MARTHA by RAHY)
10  BALTHUS (IRE) Aug21 Jun30 May20 Apr23   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
  (by GALILEO (ARG) out of FORCES OF DARKNESS by LAWMAN (FR))
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY Sep10 Jul27 Jun03 May21 Apr23 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 123 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
12  CELLIST Aug13 Jul27 May21 Apr27 Feb05 (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 30.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of CELLO by STROLLING ALONG)
13  HIGHEST HONORS Sep10 Jul08 May21 Apr10 Feb12 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by TAPIT out of TAP YOUR FEET by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Sep23 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 May06 (abreu jorge )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
SCR  TIME FOR TROUBLE Sep28 Sep05 Jul06     (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of STARSTRUCK by GALILEO)
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD Sep10 Jul04 Jun17 May07 Mar19 (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHE'S AN ELEVEN by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
KEE-10   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASTER GAME Sep13 Jun05 May07     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00    
2  LUCKY DUDE Sep12 Aug19 Jul25 Jun24 Jun06 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  PER DIEM Sep24 Aug17 Aug10 Jul30 Jul15 (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
4  RIKIO Sep21 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Apr16 (cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00    
5  ROBUST Sep06 Apr24 Mar17 Feb26   (lyster stephen )LANERIE J 121 20.00    
6  COOPER TIME         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 16% 5.50    
7  SOUTHERN SENSE Sep17 Jul31 Jun29 Jun05 Apr20 (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
8  ALMANZO Sep13 Jul03 Mar27 Feb19 Jan22 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  BODIEFUL Sep26 Sep03 Aug15     (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
10  AWESOME CHARGE Sep21 Aug12       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  IMPENETRABLE Jul31 Jun24       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 14% 6.10    
12  PUDGE BOY PALACE Sep17 Apr30 Apr07 Mar12   (combs bentley)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00    
SCR  WILLACY Sep07 Aug24 Jul23 Jun18 Jun04 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
SCR  STRINGS Jul23 Jul01 Apr16 Feb23   (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  SILVESTRE Sep28 Aug30 Aug11 Jul20 Jun21 (cambray ignacio)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.