Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:142 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDY'S WAY 4 3 3 5 32 2½ 11 (silva h)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 19% 4.20 6.90 W
KIMBERLEY DREAM 6 1 1 12 11 1½ 21 (winston d)CASTANON L 122 10.00 24.28 P
GUANA CAY 5 2 2 22 21 32 3 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.50 39% 1.60 0.75 S
TELLER TO SING 1 6 4 33 42 4 43 (brownfield cla)RAMOS D 122 6.00 9.18  
LADY EMILY 3 4 5 65 5 5 511¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 15% 5.80 2.32  
LA TOURISTA 2 5 6 4 66 613½ 641½ (foster eric)LANERIE J 122 15.00 16.50  
 
KEE-2   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:131     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT SHOW 7 7 6 5   1½ 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 22% 3.50 1.35 W
BENGALS GO 9 3 4 4   2½ 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 11.83  
MO SATURDAYS 2 9 9 83   3 36 (stall albe)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 31% 2.30 3.21 S
GIROOVIN 8 5 52 6   5 4 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 10.33  
10  CANAVALL 10 2 8 93   6 510½ (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 51.24  
SPOILER 1 6 7 72   88 613¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 7.85  
CREATIVE STRATEGY 6 8 3½ 1nk   4 714¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 17.05  
TOAST TO COAST 5 10 1011¼ 1013   1012 814¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 32.09  
NOTION 4 1 2½ 2nk   7 917¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7.17  
BACKSIDE BUZZ 3 4 1½ 3.2   98 1020¼ (vance thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 22% 3.60 43.85  
 
KEE-3   10/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLLIEMEISTER 6 3 2½ 2nk   1 1 (stall albe)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 58% 0.70 1.37 W
CARBONITE 5 4 1½ 1nk   2 2 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 2.01 P
EYES OF GLORY 7 1 42 3   3 3 (vosler eugene)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 22.55  
YONO 1 6 67 6   510 415 (estvanko richard)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 8.68  
SISAWAY NOW 4 2 52 4   4 515 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 15% 5.80 3.72  
WESLEYAN 3 5 3 5   614 628¾ (martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 12.00 19.51  
RIGHT OF RUSH 2 7 7 710¼   720 731 (jazdzewski jon)CASTANON L 120 30.00 30.04  
 
KEE-4   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTER AISLE 2 3 2½ 2nk   12 1nk (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 1.80 32% 2.10 2.45 W
CHANDANA 1 4 4 3   22 2nk (dobbsjr robert)GEROUX FLORENT 123 8.00 7.23 P
SARAH HARPER 5 1 1½ 1nk   3 3 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 2.94  
BE LIKE WATER 3 6 6 4   4 44 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 22% 3.50 4.22  
CURRENT CLIMATE 4 5 55 6   58 5 (elliott l)PARKER L 121 6.00 4.49  
RECODED 6 2 3 56   69 613½ (foster eric)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 7% 13.00 5.56  
 
KEE-5   10/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:134 1:404   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIENDLYPERSUASION 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 1 110½ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 36% 1.80 1.43 W
CLOSED CAPTION 6 2 53 52 3 3 210½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 8.20 3.78 P
PLAY THE MUSIC 3 3 11 1½ 1nk 2 313 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 27% 2.70 3.09 S
UP TO SOMETHING 5 6 65 64 5 4 413¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.09 DH
AZTEC NIGHTS 7 5 32 42 4 57 413¾ (catalano w)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 4.61 DH
NEED SOME MONEY 2 7 712 710½ 6 613 618¼ (hamilton sarah)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00 31.89  
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 1 4 42 3 7 718 733¾ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 27.40  
SCR  RED JEWEL               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-6   10/09/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:213 :442 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PRIVATE CREED 10 2 63 5   3 1¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 12% 7.30 2.64 W
MO STASH 8 10 10 9   5 2¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5.80 P
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 6 4 31 3½   1nk 3 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 18% 4.60 1.81 S
GHENT 2 6 1½ 1½   2nk 4 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 25.00  
MOUNSIEUR COCO 7 8 8 8   7 5 (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 18% 4.70 4.37  
BOURBON THERAPY 3 9 4 4   44 6 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 20.77  
KBCYA LATER 4 3 53 7   8 77 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 44.77  
REVERE NOTE 1 7 9 10   9 8 (ricker c)CANNON DECLAN 118 50.00 79.81  
NUMERO SEIS 5 1 2½ 2½   66 910 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 115 20.00 13.81  
10  CASTELMOLA 9 5 7 6   1012¼ 1015½ (gorostieta ciri)MORALES EDGAR 115 30.00 23.18  
SCR  LOVE REIGNS (IRE)               (ward a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 0.80 31% 2.20    
 
KEE-7   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE CAIN 7 2 3½ 3   11 1 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5.32  
FASHION KING 6 4 2½ 2½   33 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 10% 9.00 4.39 P
PERFORM 2 3 1½ 1½   21 36 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.84 S
10  WHAT A BLAST 9 1 6 4   4 410½ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.25  
AERATOR 5 5 53 53   5 511½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 13.48  
MACHO VILLA 8 6 9 8   613½ 615½ (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 28.21  
MCENROE 1 8 4 6   714 726½ (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 3.90  
BEAU DAY 3 9 8 7   816 829 (hancock l)BAYS BROOKE 109 20.00 67.30  
MONBA QUAKE 4 7 7 99   924 947 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 30.00 70.96  
SCR  CAGLIOSTRO               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
KEE-8   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:104 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ANDTHEWINNERIS 12 10 9 96 8 2nk 1 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 4.09  
DEER DISTRICT 4 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 2 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5.28  
10  REALLY GOOD 10 8 7 74 7 8 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.30 7.25 S
RARIFIED FLAIR 5 5 8 64 6 7 44 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 10.00 21.73  
11  OUR DREAM RYE'D 11 11 12 12 128 9 5 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 17.82  
BOPPY O 6 4 4 5 5 4 6 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 7.30  
RECKONING FORCE 3 12 11 11 118 10 7 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 26% 2.80 4.16  
ACCIDENT 8 9 10 10 107 11 8 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 50.00 80.84  
B MINOR 1 3 5 42 42 52 9 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 26.57  
GIGANTE 9 7 3 31 32 6 10 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00 7% 12.70 6.19  
PANAMA (GB) 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 31 11 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 9.07  
HENDRICKSON 7 6 6 8 96 12 1215 (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 6% 15.40 60.68  
SCR  GENERAL JIM               (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
SCR  MENDEL'S SECRET               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50    
SCR  OSCAR AWARD               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  ZAICI               (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:121 1:374   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALATHAAT 1 2 42 42 32 14 1 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 0.60 30% 2.30 0.44 W
ARMY WIFE 2 3 5 54 53 24 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 22.27 P
PLAYED HARD 4 1 1½ 3½ 42 48 3 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 4.14 S
LETRUSKA 3 4 2½ 1½ 11 36 416¾ (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 24% 3.30 3.16  
PRINCESS OF CAIRO 5 5 31 2½ 21 516 533¾ (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00 5% 19.00 48.84  
 
KEE-10   10/09/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:25 :504 1:161 1:401 2:044 2:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REIGNING SPIRIT 8 11 128 1210¼ 11 41 1hd (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 10% 9.00 5.75 W
OFFLEE NAUGHTY 5 64 5 6 5 1nk 2hd (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 13.71  
12  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS 10 9 9 9 8 6 3 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 5.91  
MILITARIST 1 4 63 8 7 5 44 (vaccarezza)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 3.71  
11  ALWAYS ABOVE 9 75 7 7 9 7 5 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 21.04  
MUD PIE 6 53 42 5 2½ 3½ 6 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 69% 0.50 3.16  
CIBOLIAN 2 1nk 3 4 42 8 76 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 9.21  
NO SLO MO 4 3½ 11 1nk 1½ 2nk 8 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 32.34  
FULL CHARGE 7 87 10 10 10 10 9 (west w)PARKER L 122 30.00 50.13  
13  CELERITY 11 108 84 2nk 3½ 9 10 (cundiff waylo)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 122 30.00 ######  
POINT ME BY 3 2nk 21 33 6 11 1110 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5.04  
14  BLANKET OF ROSES 12 1211 11 11 12 12 1210 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 50.00 ######  
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS               (newton troy)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON               (granitz a)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
SCR  WESTERN RIVER               (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.