Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELLER TO SING Aug22 Jul27 Jul05 Jun06 May13 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 6.00 ★    
2  LA TOURISTA Aug28 Aug06 Jul22 Jun22 Jun05 (foster eric)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
3  LADY EMILY Sep01 Jul30 Jul08 Jun12 May26 (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 15% 5.80    
4  JUDY'S WAY Sep25 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 May31 (silva h)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  GUANA CAY Sep15 Aug21 Jul18 May11 Apr08 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.50 39% 1.60    
6  KIMBERLEY DREAM Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jun10 (winston d)CASTANON L 122 10.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOILER         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★    
2  MO SATURDAYS Sep01         (stall al)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  BACKSIDE BUZZ Jul17 Jun25 May20     (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 22% 3.60    
4  NOTION Sep07         (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
5  TOAST TO COAST         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
6  CREATIVE STRATEGY         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
7  HIT SHOW         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  GIROOVIN Sep23         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BENGALS GO         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
10  CANAVALL         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YONO Sep18 Aug03 Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 (estvanko richard)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 ★    
2  RIGHT OF RUSH Sep21 Jun18 May28 May04 Apr20 (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 30.00    
3  WESLEYAN Sep11 Jun12 May06 Apr22 Mar25 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 12.00 ★    
4  SISAWAY NOW Sep17 Jun30 Apr13 Mar13   (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  CARBONITE Sep22 Aug08       (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 ★    
6  OLLIEMEISTER Sep17 Jul22 Jun25 Apr23   (stall al)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
7  EYES OF GLORY Sep13 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANDANA Aug18 Jun29 Jun04 May03   (dobbsjr robe)GEROUX FLORENT 123 8.00 ★    
2  CENTER AISLE May07 Apr09       (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  BE LIKE WATER Sep16 Aug08 Jul02 Jun02 Apr13 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  CURRENT CLIMATE Aug26 Aug03 Jul09 Jun23 Jun07 (elliott michelle)PARKER L 121 6.00 ★    
5  SARAH HARPER Aug20 Jan22 Jan09     (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00    
6  RECODED Sep16 Aug14 Aug07 Jul02 May29 (foster eric)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 7% 13.00    
 
KEE-5   10/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Sep17 Aug21 Jul07     (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
2  NEED SOME MONEY Sep17 Aug19 Jul31     (hamilton sarah)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00    
3  PLAY THE MUSIC Sep05         (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  RED JEWEL Aug26 Aug05       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRIENDLYPERSUASION Sep17 Aug10 Jul04     (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  UP TO SOMETHING Sep08 Jul09       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
7  CLOSED CAPTION Sep22 Sep10       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 8.20    
8  AZTEC NIGHTS Aug21 Aug05       (catalano)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 ★    
 
KEE-6   10/09/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVERE NOTE Sep08 Aug24 Jul22 May30 Apr28 (ricker )DE CRUZ 118 50.00    
2  GHENT Oct03 Sep11 Aug27 Jul24 Jun26 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
3  BOURBON THERAPY Sep08 Jun27 May30 Apr28   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
4  KBCYA LATER Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 May29 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) Aug21 Apr29       (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 0.80 31% 2.20    
6  NUMERO SEIS Sep13 Sep01 Jul20 Jun19   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 115 20.00    
7  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Aug19 Jun09 Apr28     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
8  MOUNSIEUR COCO Aug28 Aug20 Jul16     (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
9  MO STASH Sep08 Aug19       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 ★    
10  CASTELMOLA Sep09         (gorostieta ci)MORALES EDGAR 115 30.00    
11  PRIVATE CREED Sep08 Aug19 Jul30     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
 
KEE-7   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCENROE         (brisset )SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
2  PERFORM Aug06 Jul03       (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  CAGLIOSTRO Sep03         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  BEAU DAY         (hancock l)BAYS BROOKE 109 20.00    
5  MONBA QUAKE Sep24         (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 30.00    
6  AERATOR         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 10.00    
7  FASHION KING         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 10% 9.00    
8  RAISE CAIN Sep17         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
9  MACHO VILLA Sep21 Aug28 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 ★    
10  WHAT A BLAST Sep05 Aug13       (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-8   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B MINOR Sep16 Sep03       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TOCAME LINDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  PANAMA (GB) Sep08         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by HAVANA GREY (GB) out of AZURE AMOUR by AZAMOUR (IRE))
3  RECKONING FORCE Sep14 Aug13 Jul23     (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ALASEMA by JAZIL)
4  DEER DISTRICT Sep14 Aug12 Jun30     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of EAGLE SOUND by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  RARIFIED FLAIR Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TRUTH by ARCH)
6  BOPPY O Aug31 Jul16 May20     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
7  HENDRICKSON Aug22 Jul15       (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 6% 15.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of THANK YOU MARYLOU by BIRDSTONE)
8  ACCIDENT Sep29 Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 50.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
9  GIGANTE Sep06 Aug10 Jul18     (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00 7% 12.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  REALLY GOOD Sep14 Jul23       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MEANS WELL by SMART STRIKE)
11  OUR DREAM RYE'D Aug31 Jul30 Jun19     (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ON THE TRAIL by BERNARDINI)
12  ANDTHEWINNERIS Aug31 Jul04 Apr28     (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  MENDEL'S SECRET Sep01         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DONNIE'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
SCR  GENERAL JIM Sep03 Aug13       (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of INSPIRED BY GRACE by CURLIN)
SCR  ZAICI Sep17 Aug14 Jul02 Jun09   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MARKETPLACE by RELAUNCH)
SCR  OSCAR AWARD Sep14 Jul24       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 6% 15.60    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TRADE AGREEMENT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
 
KEE-9   10/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALATHAAT Aug27 Jul24 Jun11 Apr22   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 0.60 30% 2.30    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
2  ARMY WIFE Aug19 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 ★    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TREAD by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
3  LETRUSKA Aug27 Jun11 Apr23 Feb26   (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 24% 3.30    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MAGIC APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  PLAYED HARD Sep17 Aug04 Jun30 May21   (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
5  PRINCESS OF CAIRO Aug14 Jun29       (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LOVELY COOL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
KEE-10   10/09/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS Sep14 Jul17 Jun18 Mar19   (newton troy)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
2  MILITARIST Aug16 Jun04 May07 Apr13   (vaccarez)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 ★    
3  CIBOLIAN Aug21 Jul30 Jun10 May21 Apr22 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 ★    
4  POINT ME BY Sep05 Jun23 May20 Apr27 Feb19 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
5  NO SLO MO Sep03 Aug03 Jul17 Jun18 May03 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 Jun09 Jan14 (granitz)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
7  OFFLEE NAUGHTY Aug21 Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 Mar12 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
8  MUD PIE Sep10 Aug21 Jun03     (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 69% 0.50    
9  FULL CHARGE Aug15 Jul13 Jun09 May12 Apr15 (west w)PARKER L 122 30.00    
10  REIGNING SPIRIT Sep10 Aug21 May21 Apr22 Mar20 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
11  ALWAYS ABOVE Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 May30 Apr22 (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
12  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS Sep08 Jan16       (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
13  CELERITY Sep28 Sep10 Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 (cundiff way)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 122 30.00    
14  BLANKET OF ROSES Aug26 Jul21 Jul09 Jun17 May21 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 50.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF Sep28 Aug19 Jul15 May16 May04 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  WESTERN RIVER Sep24 Sep05 Jul29 Jun18 May14 (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.