The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 13, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:242 :483 1:133 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONSPIRACY FACT 2 2 11 11 13 15 15¼ (stall m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 54% 0.80 1.91 W
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 5 41¼ 31 23 25 25¼ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 23.76  
6  BIG HELLO 6 6 53¼ 52¼ 54 37½ 38¾ (sherman alan)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00 43.77  
7  SHAKEDOWN STREET 7 10 86¼ 73¾ 65½ 48 410¼ (margolis r)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 7.20  
3  PAID TWICE 3 11 129 106¾ 99 510½ 513¾ (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 ★ 19.39  
8  BIGGIE 8 12 119 117¼ 88 613 616 (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 17% 5.00 7.73  
9  LEAD ACTOR 9 7 63¼ 63¼ 76 714 720¾ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 16.92  
4  CALIPARI 4 9 107 127¾ 1010½ 917 821¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 17.54  
10  AMERICAN SILVER 10 8 96½ 95¾ 1212¼ 1018 921¾ (bahena ismael)JIMENEZ J 121 30.00 91.42  
5  KING DOODLE 5 1 21 21 43½ 816 1022¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 5% 19.00 5.91  
11  B G LEE 11 4 74¾ 85¾ 1110¾ 1118½ 1125 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 ★ 4.22  
12  DOUBLE DEALER 12 3 31 41¼ 33 1219½ 1233¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 14.63  
SCR  GET THROUGH               (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
 
CD-2   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:224 :46 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOARING BIRD 1 8 32½ 32   32 1½ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.00 ★ 2.41  
7  BIG THORN 7 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (gerteisen adam)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 27% 2.70 2.07 P
2  FULL IMPACT 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 32¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 25% 3.00 4.50 S
3  TURFY 3 5 42½ 44½   46 46¾ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00 30.62  
5  STRIKE ME DOWN 5 2 76¼ 55   56¼ 56¾ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.50 25% 3.00 5.40  
4  WITH VERVE 4 7 86¾ 89½   67¾ 67¾ (asmussen m)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00 21.99  
6  BIG NICK 6 4 53½ 79   79¾ 78 (garcia genaro)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 9.46  
8  AGGRESSIVITY 8 6 63¾ 67   810¼ 812 (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 120 4.00 ★ 10.62  
 
CD-3   11/13/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
:224 :463 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CANAL 8 7 75 62½   1nk 12 (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 7.67  
6  PERMAFROST 4 2 32 3½   2nk 22 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6% 16.40 7.18 P
12  CASHMEUP 9 8 85½ 84¼   55 38 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 ★ 7.12 S
4  FUNNY UNCLE 3 3 53 41   33 410 (vance d)COURT K 119 30.00 27.19  
10  BOXSTER 7 1 21 1nk   43½ 510 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 25% 2.90 1.31  
7  REPREHEND 5 9 910 97¼   77¾ 612 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 12.07  
8  ICONICUS 6 4 63½ 74   88¼ 712¼ (catalano m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 10.17  
3  WILDERZAR 2 6 42 52   67½ 814½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 ★ 9.46  
1  SWISS GUARD 1 5 11 2nk   910¼ 925 (vanden brittany)ROCCO S 119 10.00 7.13  
SCR  GOLDEN SIMMS               (medina robert)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  HUMOR ME PLEASE               (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 20.00    
SCR  RETAINED               (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO               (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
SCR  SAVAGE KISS               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 2:30
:23 :46 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAMED 2 6 65 64¼   32½ 11¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 16% 5.20 1.91 W
5  UNSOLVED MYSTERY 5 4 21 1nk   1½ 21¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 32.60  
4  HIDDEN CONNECTION 4 2 52½ 42¼   44 33 (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.20 32% 2.10 1.27 S
1  LET'S BE CLEAR 1 7 75½ 78¼   78 46 (fletcher kevin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 11% 8.00 29.11  
6  DIVA TREVA 6 1 11 2nk   2½ 56½ (garcia genaro)JORDAN R 118 10.00 11% 8.50 16.67  
7  MORE THAN VOWS 7 5 31½ 32   66 67¾ (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.00 ★ 3.50  
3  LADY BAFFLED 3 3 41½ 52¾   55 79½ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10.25  
 
CD-5   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:242 :484 1:133 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK POINT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 1nk (mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 2.85  
5  ANDY CANT 5 3 73½ 73¾ 83¾ 54 2nk (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 ★ 11.60 P
3  MAASAI WARRIOR 3 8 85½ 84¾ 72¾ 22 3¾ (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 22% 3.50 3.63 S
9  NAPA VALLEY 9 6 31½ 3½ 2nk 43 46¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 47.81  
7  PANCAKE HOUSE 7 5 63 62¼ 31 33 58¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 46% 1.20 6.81  
4  LAYTOWN 4 2 41½ 52 52¼ 65½ 68½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 8% 12.20 3.94  
6  OLD POINT 6 7 52 41½ 62¾ 76 710¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 ★ 3.62  
2  ICEATUDE 2 4 2½ 2½ 41¼ 88½ 815¼ (kerrick lacy)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 11.22  
8  TURTAR MARA 8 9 95¾ 95¾ 915¾ 935½ 963 (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 ######  
 
CD-6   11/13/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
:23 :46 1:114 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVER 1 1 41 2nk 1½ 12½ 1¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 19% 4.30 2.33 W
7  PRAIRIE DUNES 7 9 104¼ 105 75½ 34 2¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 8% 10.90 5.91 P
11  EMPEROR'S APPEAL 11 11 117¾ 117 87 54½ 32 (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 51.10  
12  BANISHING 12 10 71¾ 62¾ 31 44 42¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 20.66  
3  BASELINE BEATER 3 12 1210¾ 129½ 109 97¾ 53¼ (pessin l)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.13  
10  PERFORM 10 6 51½ 42 2½ 22½ 64½ (mcgaughey iii)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 9% 10.00 3.85  
8  RUNGIUS 8 5 2½ 31½ 55 65½ 76 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 37% 1.70 6.08  
9  DARIO 9 3 61¾ 93½ 43 85¾ 86¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00 12.12  
5  READ ON 5 4 1½ 1nk 65½ 75¾ 97 (romans dale)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 32.45  
6  CHANCE 6 2 3½ 83¼ 1113 1111¾ 107¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 7% 14.30 10.89  
4  MY IMAGINATION 4 7 93¼ 73¼ 97½ 109¾ 119½ (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 41.94  
2  KUPP 2 8 82¼ 52¼ 1213¼ 1217¾ 1219 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 22.34  
SCR  HARDY CHOICE               (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  MEANT TO BE LUCKY               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  SPOILER               (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:233 :464 1:12 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARMINGTON ROAD 1 3 913¼ 813½ 57 32½ 1nk (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 121 20.00 35.21  
3  RUN CLASSIC 3 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 12½ 2nk (calhoun bret)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 43% 1.30 0.76 P
2  HAPPY AMERICAN 2 9 1014¼ 914 109¼ 64¾ 3½ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 ★ 9.78 S
8  THE REDS 7 5 611 713 67¼ 54¾ 4¾ (joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 22.74  
10  RUNNIN' RAY 9 4 36 37½ 34½ 42¾ 5¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.10 7.64  
4  KITTANSETT 4 8 48½ 410 45 22½ 6¾ (lobo h)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 11.39  
5  ELEVEN CENTRAL 5 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 75¼ 710 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 10.41  
11  MAJOR FED 10 7 59½ 611½ 87¾ 88¾ 810½ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 ★ 30.21  
9  SOUTHERN DISTRICT 8 10 813¼ 1014¼ 98¾ 910¼ 911¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 15% 5.60 5.95  
6  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 6 6 711¼ 510 77¼ 1011¾ 1015½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 44.92  
SCR  SKYRO               (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:22 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COPPELIA 6 1 21 1½   12½ 12¾ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 ★ 2.45  
4  JOYFUL CADENCE 4 2 32½ 2½   22½ 22¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 18% 4.60 2.25 P
3  SCONSIN 3 3 64 42   34½ 38¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.80 2.29 S
2  CLUB CAR 2 5 53 54   45½ 410¼ (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 120 5.00 ★ 8.73  
1  SHARP HERO 1 6 43 64   57 511¾ (ross s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 46.35  
5  PALM COTTAGE 5 4 11 31½   67½ 619¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 16% 5.20 4.29  
 
CD-9   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:213 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BANGO 4 8 74 53   31½ 1¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 ★ 1.53  
10  SIBELIUS 9 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (o'dwyer jeremiah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 ★ 3.14 P
2  TOP GUNNER 2 7 1½ 2nk   2nk 32¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 51% 0.90 7.31 S
1  KAVOD 1 6 32 31   42 42¾ (hartman chris)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 8.79  
3  SURVEILLANCE 3 9 96 65   53 54½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 12.55  
7  MUCHO 7 1 42½ 42½   63½ 67 (ortiz alexander)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 12% 7.60 8.98  
5  LONG RANGE TODDY 5 4 52½ 76½   86¾ 79 (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 12.00 6.51  
8  WILLISTON WAY 8 5 63 86¾   76½ 89 (acevedo israel)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00 8% 11.30 32.26  
6  TORONTOTORO 6 3 85 97¼   98¾ 913½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 58.36  
SCR  MILES AHEAD               (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50    
 
CD-10   11/13/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
:24 :483 1:133 1:383   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOZIER 1 4 11 11½ 1½ 13 13½ (brisset rodolphe)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 4.95  
13  STARTING OVER 6 6 21 21½ 2½ 23 23½ (falcone n)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00 14.48  
5  IN LOVE (BRZ) 3 3 65½ 65 54½ 35½ 36½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 2.51  
2  ENGLISH TAVERN 2 5 33 33 43½ 46½ 49 (lovell michelle)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 12.03  
7  PIXELATE 5 1 53½ 53½ 33 58 59 (stidham michael)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 11% 8.40 5.33  
6  MILITARIST 4 2 43 43½ 66 610 610¼ (vaccarezza carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 30.00 1.29  
14  RUPP N READY 7 7 77 77 78 718 732¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 40.74  
SCR  ACCREDIT               (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  BEATBOX               (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
SCR  FIELD PASS               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  MAX K. O.               (joseph a)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SET PIECE (GB)               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  STREET READY               (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.