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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/13/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($15K)					Purse ($37K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	CONSPIRACY FACT									(stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.00		54%		0.80		1.91	W
1	ONEMORANDTHECHECK									(lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121						15.00						23.76
6	BIG HELLO									(sherman alan)GARCIA MARTIN 121						20.00						43.77
7	SHAKEDOWN STREET									(margolis stephen)BEJARANO R 121						8.00						7.20
3	PAID TWICE									(oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 121						8.00		★				19.39
8	BIGGIE									(medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						8.00		17%		5.00		7.73
9	LEAD ACTOR									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121						12.00						16.92
4	CALIPARI									(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121						10.00						17.54
10	AMERICAN SILVER									(bahena isma)JIMENEZ J 121						30.00						91.42
5	KING DOODLE									(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121						6.00		5%		19.00		5.91
11	B G LEE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121						5.00		★				4.22
12	DOUBLE DEALER									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121						8.00						14.63
SCR	GET THROUGH									(combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121						8.00

CD-2			11/13/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SOARING BIRD									(walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120						3.00		★				2.41
7	BIG THORN									(gerteisen adam)BEJARANO R 120						4.50		27%		2.70		2.07	P
2	FULL IMPACT									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120						5.00		25%		3.00		4.50	S
3	TURFY									(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120						15.00						30.62
5	STRIKE ME DOWN									(lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 120						3.50		25%		3.00		5.40
4	WITH VERVE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						15.00						21.99
6	BIG NICK									(garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120						5.00						9.46
8	AGGRESSIVITY									(combs bentley)RIQUELME J 120						4.00		★				10.62

CD-3			11/13/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($75K)					Purse ($60K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	CANAL									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						8.00						7.67
6	PERMAFROST									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						10.00		6%		16.40		7.18	P
12	CASHMEUP									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						10.00		★				7.12	S
4	FUNNY UNCLE									(vance d)COURT K 119						30.00						27.19
10	BOXSTER									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		25%		2.90		1.31
7	REPREHEND									(drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119						12.00						12.07
8	ICONICUS									(catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 119						6.00						10.17
3	WILDERZAR									(cash l)BEJARANO R 119						10.00		★				9.46
1	SWISS GUARD									(vanden br)ROCCO S 119						10.00						7.13
SCR	GOLDEN SIMMS									(medina ro)LEPAROUX R 119						15.00
SCR	HUMOR ME PLEASE									(desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119						20.00
SCR	RETAINED									(west w)MACHADO LUAN 119						3.50		49%		1.10
SCR	SANT' ANTIMO									(hiles a)LANERIE J 119						12.00
SCR	SAVAGE KISS									(heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119						15.00

CD-4			11/13/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		F		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	FAMED									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						2.50		16%		5.20		1.91	W
5	UNSOLVED MYSTERY									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00						32.60
4	HIDDEN CONNECTION									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						1.20		32%		2.10		1.27	S
1	LET'S BE CLEAR									(fletcher k)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						15.00		11%		8.00		29.11
6	DIVA TREVA									(garcia genar)JORDAN R 118						10.00		11%		8.50		16.67
7	MORE THAN VOWS									(lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120						4.00		★				3.50
3	LADY BAFFLED									(motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118						10.00						10.25

CD-5			11/13/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MONTAUK POINT									(mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						6.00						2.85
5	ANDY CANT									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121						8.00		★				11.60	P
3	MAASAI WARRIOR									(leonard iii)GRAHAM J 121						3.00		22%		3.50		3.63	S
9	NAPA VALLEY (BRZ)									(cash l)BEJARANO R 121						15.00						47.81
7	PANCAKE HOUSE									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						3.50		46%		1.20		6.81
4	LAYTOWN									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						4.00		8%		12.20		3.94
6	OLD POINT									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121						5.00		★				3.62
2	ICEATUDE									(kerrick la)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00						11.22
8	TURTAR MARA									(frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 121						30.00						######

CD-6			11/13/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LAVER									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.50		19%		4.30		2.33	W
7	PRAIRIE DUNES									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119						5.00		8%		10.90		5.91	P
11	EMPEROR'S APPEAL									(lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						15.00						51.10
12	BANISHING									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						15.00						20.66
3	BASELINE BEATER									(pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 119						8.00						9.13
10	PERFORM									(mcgaughey )CORRALES GERARDO 119						5.00		9%		10.00		3.85
8	RUNGIUS									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						4.50		37%		1.70		6.08
9	DARIO									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119						12.00						12.12
5	READ ON									(romans dale)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119						15.00						32.45
6	CHANCE									(drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119						15.00		7%		14.30		10.89
4	MY IMAGINATION									(morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00						41.94
2	KUPP									(moquett e)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						22.34
SCR	HARDY CHOICE									(lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00
SCR	MEANT TO BE LUCKY									(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119						20.00
SCR	SPOILER									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						15.00

CD-7			11/13/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($141K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	FARMINGTON ROAD									(devaux cherie)LANERIE J 121						20.00						35.21
3	RUN CLASSIC									(calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121						2.00		43%		1.30		0.76	P
2	HAPPY AMERICAN									(pessin l)GRAHAM J 121						6.00		★				9.78	S
8	THE REDS									(joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121						15.00						22.74
10	RUNNIN' RAY									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121						6.00		16%		5.10		7.64
4	KITTANSETT									(lobo pau)SANTANA JR 121						10.00						11.39
5	ELEVEN CENTRAL									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123						10.00						10.41
11	MAJOR FED									(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121						15.00		★				30.21
9	SOUTHERN DISTRICT									(brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.50		15%		5.60		5.95
6	ETHICAL JUDGEMENT									(walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 121						15.00						44.92
SCR	SKYRO									(lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121						15.00

CD-8			11/13/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($300K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	COPPELIA									(bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122						5.00		★				2.45
4	JOYFUL CADENCE									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						2.00		18%		4.60		2.25	P
3	SCONSIN									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50		35%		1.80		2.29	S
2	CLUB CAR									(colebrook ben)LANERIE J 120						5.00		★				8.73
1	SHARP HERO									(ross bradley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						8.00						46.35
5	PALM COTTAGE									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122						3.00		16%		5.20		4.29

CD-9			11/13/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($300K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BANGO									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123						3.00		★				1.53
10	SIBELIUS									(o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123						2.50		★				3.14	P
2	TOP GUNNER									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						10.00		51%		0.90		7.31	S
1	KAVOD									(hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 120						10.00						8.79
3	SURVEILLANCE									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121						20.00						12.55
7	MUCHO									(ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 121						6.00		12%		7.60		8.98
5	LONG RANGE TODDY									(stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121						12.00						6.51
8	WILLISTON WAY									(aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 121						20.00		8%		11.30		32.26
6	TORONTOTORO									(mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121						20.00						58.36
SCR	MILES AHEAD									(mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 123						3.50

CD-10			11/13/2022		5940ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Grade III Stake/Handicap					Purse ($300K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HOZIER									(brisset r)LEPAROUX R 121						30.00						4.95
		(by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MERRY MEADOW by HENNY HUGHES)
13	STARTING OVER									(falcone robe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						30.00						14.48
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of VANISHING by TAMMANY)
5	IN LOVE (BRZ)									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 121						3.50						2.51
		(by AGNES GOLD (JPN) out of LAST BET by KNOW HEIGHTS (IRE))
2	ENGLISH TAVERN									(lovell michelle)GRAHAM J 121						20.00						12.03
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OVER SERVED by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
7	PIXELATE									(stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						10.00		11%		8.40		5.33
		(by CITY ZIP out of SPECKLED by STREET CRY (IRE))
6	MILITARIST									(vaccarezza )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121						30.00						1.29
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of HAY JUDE by AURELIUS MAXIMUS)
14	RUPP N READY									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121						30.00						40.74
		(by MORE THAN READY out of GONE THEATRICAL by THEATRICAL)
SCR	ACCREDIT									(matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121						15.00		★
		(by FLATTER out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
SCR	BEATBOX									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121						20.00
		(by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MAGICAL WORLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR	CELLIST									(arnold r)LANERIE J 123						6.00
		(by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of CELLO by STROLLING ALONG)
SCR	FIELD PASS									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						10.00		★
		(by LEMON DROP KID out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR	MAX K. O.									(joseph s)SANTANA JR 121						8.00		23%		3.40
		(by J P'S GUSTO out of FUNKY FRAULEIN by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
SCR	SET PIECE (GB)									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123						2.00		45%		1.20
		(by UNKNOWN out of PORTODORA by KINGMAMBO)
SCR	STREET READY									(wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121						8.00
		(by MORE THAN READY out of SENSE TO COMPETE by STREET SENSE)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.