Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00    
2  CONSPIRACY FACT Oct12 Sep17 Jul01 Jun18 May30 (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
3  PAID TWICE Nov02 Oct12 Aug24 Jul24 Jun17 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 ★    
4  CALIPARI Oct13 Aug30 Aug06 Jun11 May26 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
5  KING DOODLE Oct12 Aug04 Jun17 Jun03 Apr27 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG HELLO Sep28 Jun22 Apr24     (sherman alan)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00    
7  SHAKEDOWN STREET Oct12 Sep25 Jul15 Jun18   (margolis r)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
8  BIGGIE Nov02 Sep12 Jun20 May07   (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
9  LEAD ACTOR Nov02 Oct12 Jul24 May07   (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
10  AMERICAN SILVER Oct11 Sep20       (bahena ismael)JIMENEZ J 121 30.00    
11  B G LEE Oct12 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 Jun08 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 ★    
12  DOUBLE DEALER Oct06 Sep22 Aug05 Jul03   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
SCR  GET THROUGH Oct19 Sep25 Aug28 Aug12   (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
 
CD-2   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOARING BIRD Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May12 Apr16 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.00 ★    
2  FULL IMPACT Sep20 Jun17 May20 Jan02   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  TURFY Oct20 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
4  WITH VERVE Oct07 Jun12       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00    
5  STRIKE ME DOWN Oct07 Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 May30 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  BIG NICK Oct27 Sep23 Aug25 Jun16 May17 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
7  BIG THORN Oct13 Sep26 Sep09 Jul24 Jul02 (gerteisen adam)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
8  AGGRESSIVITY Oct15 Sep23 Aug26 Jul08 Jun11 (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 120 4.00 ★    
 
CD-3   11/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS GUARD Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Jul30   (vanden brit)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
SCR  RETAINED Oct14 Sep11 Aug06 Jul08   (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 49% 1.10    
3  WILDERZAR Oct13 Oct02       (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 ★    
4  FUNNY UNCLE Oct30 Oct02 Aug29     (vance d)COURT K 119 30.00    
SCR  HUMOR ME PLEASE         (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 20.00    
6  PERMAFROST Oct19 Sep11       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6% 16.40    
7  REPREHEND         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
8  ICONICUS Oct15 Sep08 Aug19     (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO         (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
10  BOXSTER Oct02 Aug20 Jul02 Jun02   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 25% 2.90    
11  CANAL Sep25 Jun09       (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
12  CASHMEUP         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  SAVAGE KISS         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SIMMS         (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S BE CLEAR Sep22 Jul31 Jun12 May19 Apr02 (fletcher kev)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 11% 8.00    
2  FAMED Sep24 Aug27 Jun18 Jan07   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
3  LADY BAFFLED Oct15 Aug19 Jul03 Apr09   (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
4  HIDDEN CONNECTION May06 Mar26 Feb19     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.20 32% 2.10    
5  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Sep17 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 May08 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
6  DIVA TREVA Oct13 Sep11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 (garcia genaro)JORDAN R 118 10.00 11% 8.50    
7  MORE THAN VOWS Sep23 Jul30 Jun11     (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.00 ★    
 
CD-5   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK POINT Oct29 Oct02 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00    
2  ICEATUDE Oct29 Sep22       (kerrick lacy)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
3  MAASAI WARRIOR Nov03 Oct16 Sep18 Mar19 Feb19 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  LAYTOWN Sep23 Aug05       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 8% 12.20    
5  ANDY CANT Oct08 Sep01 Jan06     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 ★    
6  OLD POINT Oct08         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 ★    
7  PANCAKE HOUSE Oct22 May21 Apr29     (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
8  TURTAR MARA Apr29 Mar12 Feb23     (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00    
9  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Feb20 Jan22       (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
 
CD-6   11/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVER Oct20 Sep14 Jul24     (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  KUPP Sep17         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
3  BASELINE BEATER Oct21         (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
4  MY IMAGINATION Oct19 Sep21       (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
5  READ ON Oct15 Sep03 Aug27 Aug13   (romans dale)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00    
6  CHANCE Oct21         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 7% 14.30    
7  PRAIRIE DUNES Oct01 Sep03       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 8% 10.90    
8  RUNGIUS Sep15 Aug05 Jun26     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
9  DARIO Oct23         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
10  PERFORM Oct09 Aug06 Jul03     (mcgaughey cl)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 9% 10.00    
11  EMPEROR'S APPEAL         (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
12  BANISHING         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Oct18 Sep11 Aug19     (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  SPOILER Oct09         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  HARDY CHOICE Oct15 Aug12       (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARMINGTON ROAD May13 Apr15 Mar11 Jan29   (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
2  HAPPY AMERICAN Mar26 Feb19       (pessin l)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 ★    
3  RUN CLASSIC Oct16 Sep22       (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  KITTANSETT Sep28 Aug07 Jun18 May07   (lobo paulo)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
5  ELEVEN CENTRAL Sep30 Aug13 Jul09 May28 May07 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00    
6  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT Oct20 Sep28 Jul24 Jul01   (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
SCR  SKYRO Oct23 Sep01 Jul04 May20 Apr27 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
8  THE REDS Sep24 Aug19 Jul23 May28 Apr30 (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00    
9  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Oct08 Aug10 Jun10 Apr30 Feb05 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
10  RUNNIN' RAY Sep01 Jul09 May21 Apr02 Feb19 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
11  MAJOR FED Oct20 Sep15 May13 Apr15 Feb19 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 ★    
 
CD-8   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP HERO Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 Jun24 Jun04 (ross s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
2  CLUB CAR Oct08 Aug15 Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 120 5.00 ★    
3  SCONSIN Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 Jun25 May30 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  JOYFUL CADENCE Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 Jul08 May30 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
5  PALM COTTAGE Oct08 Sep04 Jul15     (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  COPPELIA Oct26 Aug07 Jul09 Feb19   (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 ★    
 
CD-9   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAVOD Sep21 Aug26 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (hartman chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
2  TOP GUNNER Oct07 Sep17 Jul08 Jun04 May04 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 51% 0.90    
3  SURVEILLANCE Oct01 Sep15 Jul24 May28 Apr29 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
4  BANGO Sep23 Jul24 Jul02 Jun04 May04 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 ★    
5  LONG RANGE TODDY Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Jul30 Jul02 (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 12.00    
6  TORONTOTORO Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug16 Jul06 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00    
7  MUCHO Sep23 Aug16 Feb21 Jan15   (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
8  WILLISTON WAY Oct26 Oct04 Aug23 Aug06 Jul10 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  MILES AHEAD Sep17 Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 Feb19 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50    
10  SIBELIUS Oct07 Sep10 Aug10 Jul16 May28 (o'dwyer jerem)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 ★    
 
CD-10   11/13/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOZIER Oct03 Sep05 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (brisset rod)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00    
2  ENGLISH TAVERN Sep24 Sep10 Aug16 Jul16 May20 (lovell michelle)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
SCR  BEATBOX Apr02 Feb19 Jan16     (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  CELLIST Oct14 Aug13 Jul27 May21 Apr27 (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
5  IN LOVE (BRZ) Oct15 Sep01 Jun11 Apr15   (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50    
6  MILITARIST Oct09 Aug16 Jun04 May07 Apr13 (vaccarezza ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 30.00    
7  PIXELATE Oct09 Sep10 Jul16     (stidham mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  MAX K. O. Sep01 Jul18 Jun12 May05 Mar27 (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  STREET READY Oct23 Sep01 Jul31 Jun22 May21 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  ACCREDIT Oct14 Sep14 Sep01     (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  SET PIECE (GB) Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jul15 May21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  FIELD PASS Oct09 Sep14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 ★    
13  STARTING OVER Sep29 Aug15 Jul02 Jun03 May07 (falcone robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00    
14  RUPP N READY Oct19 Oct03       (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.