Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:141 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PARIS KENTUCKY 4 2 22½ 2½ 11 12½ 14 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 33% 2.10 2.34 W
8  KEEN LADY 7 3 43½ 31 21 22½ 24 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.40 45% 1.20 0.97 P
1  BIRD HUNTER 1 8 55 63½ 610 316½ 322¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6.10  
7  TOE DANCER 6 6 88½ 76 39 418 424 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 14.55  
2  ISABEL DE CLARE 2 4 32½ 41½ 49 523 530¼ (wojczynski j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00 39.06  
3  TIAN'AI ROAD 3 5 78 86½ 713 624 633 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 5.00 ★ 24.63  
6  SAINT SISTA 5 1 12½ 1½ 813½ 830½ 749¼ (toye lin)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 36.50  
9  LITERARY 8 7 65½ 53 59½ 728 852¼ (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★ 10.01  
SCR  DREAMERS BELONG               (west w)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ZMUDA 8 1 73¾ 31   21 1¾ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 ★ 5.71  
2  DONYA KNOW IT 2 3 21 1nk   11 2¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 3.50 17% 4.80 5.06 P
6  MONOCACY 5 7 31½ 52¼   31½ 31¼ (king l)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 28.53  
4  ECLIPSED 4 2 41½ 42   42 42¾ (fletcher ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 33.79  
8  DIALED INNA 7 8 87¼ 88¾   76½ 58 (alessi jame)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 50.00 57.68  
7  MRS. NUSHI 6 6 62¼ 75¼   54½ 68 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 ★ 12.88  
3  EVOKING 3 4 52 62¼   88½ 713 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 55% 0.80 0.61  
1  SOCIAL MANDATE 1 5 11 2nk   66 813¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 8.60  
SCR  BELIEVING               (blair jorda)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOUELLA STREET               (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
 
KEE-3   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:153 1:411   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  TEN DAYS LATER 12 9 73¼ 51¾ 41 2½ 1¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50 38% 1.60 2.68 W
10  LAVER 9 6 41½ 31½ 3½ 1½ 2¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.71 P
7  ENDPOINT 6 3 83¼ 84 83¼ 54½ 34¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 26% 2.90 4.08 S
1  ESCAPOLOGIST 1 10 117¼ 105½ 93¼ 64¾ 46 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 10% 8.70 5.21  
6  FACE VALUE 5 5 51¾ 62 72¼ 75¾ 59¾ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 39.34  
12  MAZING MARK 11 11 106¾ 116½ 104¼ 98¼ 69¾ (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 18.58  
3  PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) 3 4 1½ 1nk 1½ 43 711¾ (colebrook ben)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 13.38  
8  SWISS GUARD 7 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 33 811¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00 31.26  
2  WILD SEAN 2 8 94¾ 95½ 115¼ 109¼ 912 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 62.44  
11  KING RUSSELL 10 7 62¾ 73 61¾ 119¾ 1012¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 6.58  
4  PRINCE OF ROSES 4 1 31½ 41¾ 51½ 86¾ 1113¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★ 18.58  
9  DEMON DEACON 8 12 1214¾ 1212½ 1215¾ 1239¾ 12100 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 83.60  
SCR  CODE ONE               (o'neill do)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
SCR  DIVERSIFUL               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEVIL VISION 4 5 77½ 710 78½ 64 1hd (robertson )SANTANA JR 122 3.00 36% 1.80 5.50 W
5  OUTLIER 5 6 42½ 32 31 21 2hd (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 8.43  
8  SILVER DUST 8 8 53 42 42 31½ 3.15 (vance d)LANERIE J 122 6.00 13% 7.00 14.09 S
3  PAYNE 3 4 65 65 64 53½ 42¼ (caramori caio)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 2.78  
6  TREASURY 6 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 52½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 6% 14.60 13.21  
2  HOT SHOT KID 2 2 89 811 810½ 87 63¼ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 ★ 7.05  
1  BANDIT SWANSON 1 3 31½ 52½ 53½ 75 73¼ (hernandez ar)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 8.39  
7  BURNING BRIGHT 7 7 21 2½ 2nk 42 84¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00 2.33  
 
KEE-5   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOUNT ATHOS 5 6 53 42   2½ 11¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 18% 4.60 2.51 W
7  COLD AS HELL 6 2 1½ 1½   1½ 21¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5.23  
11  SPEND BENJAMINS 10 4 42 2½   31½ 34¼ (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00 34.76  
3  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 3 8 85½ 66½   54½ 44¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00 6.05  
2  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 2 5 108 1010¼   77½ 59¼ (walden wil)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 16.19  
9  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 8 9 97 910   109 610¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 28% 2.60 2.64  
10  AMPERSAND 9 7 63½ 88   99 711 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50 17% 5.00 10.05  
8  ATRAS 7 1 2½ 3½   43½ 812 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.12  
1  OSKEE WOW WOW 1 10 75 77   88 913½ (o'dwyer jeremia)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 33.20  
4  DATA STORM 4 3 31½ 54   65 1013¾ (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 15.00 39.34  
SCR  COMISKEY PARK               (hernandez ar)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 10% 8.90    
 
KEE-6   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:143 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE STAR GENERAL 1 1 12 12½ 11½ 11 12 (forster t)LANERIE J 121 6.00 35% 1.80 7.17 W
5  MAJOR FED 5 4 44½ 43 21½ 21 22 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 16% 5.10 6.36 P
2  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 2 6 56 54 53 33½ 35¼ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 ★ 2.71 S
3  MEISTER 3 5 66½ 64½ 43 44½ 46¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 123 1.60 ★ 1.30  
4  CUPID'S CLAWS 4 2 33½ 33 63½ 57 57 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 6.35  
6  MAILMAN MONEY 6 3 22 22½ 32 69 613½ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 11% 8.00 9.64  
 
KEE-7   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:133 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FANCY MARTINI 6 1 31½ 32 32½ 1nk 1¾ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 54.50  
8  BARISTA 8 9 105¾ 106¼ 106 42¼ 2¾ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 37.46  
5  SMARMY 5 11 95¼ 96 95¾ 32 3¾ (bauer phili)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 15% 5.90 48.59 S
2  SISTER LOU ANN 2 2 11 11 11½ 2nk 41¾ (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 4.17  
12  BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) 12 10 84¼ 85 85¼ 63¾ 53 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 3.25  
9  JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) 9 7 117¼ 116¾ 118 117¾ 64½ (lobo paulo )LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 5.00  
10  CHAMPAGNE LADY 10 6 42½ 42½ 42½ 53¼ 75¾ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 20% 4.10 3.70  
1  FLOWN 1 4 53½ 64 54 85¾ 86½ (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 ★ 5.39  
3  UNDISTURBED 3 12 127¾ 127¾ 129 107¾ 97½ (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 29.60  
7  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE 7 5 73¾ 74 74¼ 97¼ 108¼ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 11.43  
4  REAGAN'S DECISION 4 3 21 21 21½ 75¼ 119¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 10% 9.10 26.65  
11  MILLER'S MAIDEN 11 8 63½ 53½ 64¼ 1210¾ 1212 (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00 75.18  
SCR  CHARGES DROPPED               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
SCR  FAIR GAME               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING               (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 12.00    
SCR  SUNNY ONE               (murphy cono)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-8   10/20/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:13 1:382   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  TRADEMARK 10 5 43¼ 44 2nk 14 13¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 23.40  
7  ACTUATOR 6 9 76¼ 78½ 94 35 23¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 3.87  
1  SAINT TAPIT 1 1 65¼ 65½ 62 24 35¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 13% 6.70 3.06 S
8  ETHEREAL ROAD 7 10 1011¼ 1111 115 47 45¾ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.64  
2  BIG BLUE LINE 2 2 54¾ 54½ 83 58½ 510 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 12.00 17.74  
12  CREATIVE MINISTER 9 8 88¼ 99 41¾ 69½ 611½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 14% 6.30 1.87  
5  SERIFOS 4 3 98¾ 89 105 711 711¾ (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 32.52  
15  PIONEER OF MEDINA 11 12 1111¾ 1010½ 73 811 812½ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 14.89  
4  MAXIMUM IMPACT 3 11 1212¼ 1213 126 913 915 (cash norman )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 79.41  
6  MAGOO 5 6 3.2 21½ 51¾ 1015 1022 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 51.85  
10  CASTLE LEOCH 8 4 2nk 32 31½ 1120 1135¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 25.05  
16  STEINBECK 12 7 1nk 11½ 1nk 1222 1241¼ (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 51.91  
SCR  DROPPIN G'S               (antonuik jerry)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
SCR  KISSALOT               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  MAJOR GENERAL               (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
KEE-9   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:144 1:413   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PURE PAULINE 3 1 42 41½ 44½ 1½ 12¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.98 W
9  GRAND ENTRANCE 9 10 116¼ 86¾ 98¾ 53 12¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 ★ 5.86 DH
5  COMPARATIVE 5 4 31½ 51¾ 54½ 31 32¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 32% 2.10 4.15 S
4  WITS AND WAGERS 4 11 84¾ 97 87¼ 73½ 42¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 15.95  
12  DEFINING PURPOSE 11 7 73¼ 73¼ 65½ 63 56¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 14.78  
11  TAXED 10 3 2½ 1nk 12 2½ 69½ (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 10.90  
8  HUNTLEIGH 8 5 1½ 2nk 22 42 79¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 14.56  
1  SWEET SWEETFANTASY 1 9 63 63¼ 77 89½ 812¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 43.89  
6  MIGHTY MADISON 6 6 52 31 32½ 911½ 919¾ (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 16% 5.40 4.17  
2  LADAN 2 2 105¼ 1112 1015¾ 1018½ 1024¼ (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 78.91  
7  LIKE FINE WINE 7 8 95¼ 1010 1115¾ 1120 1127¼ (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 58.19  
SCR  MO SHIRO               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  TIME TO RACE               (nihei michelle)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 8% 11.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.