Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRD HUNTER Sep18         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
2  ISABEL DE CLARE Sep17 Aug14       (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
3  TIAN'AI ROAD Sep30 Sep08       (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 5.00 ★    
4  PARIS KENTUCKY Sep08 Aug18 Jul12 Apr22 Apr02 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  DREAMERS BELONG Aug16 Jun09 May24     (west w)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 ★    
6  SAINT SISTA Sep05 Jul08 Jun03     (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00    
7  TOE DANCER Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 Jul17   (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
8  KEEN LADY Sep19 Jul04 Jun09     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
9  LITERARY Sep28         (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL MANDATE Oct08 Sep23 Aug19 Jul30 May28 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
2  DONYA KNOW IT May26 Feb11       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  EVOKING         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 55% 0.80    
4  ECLIPSED Sep30 Sep15 Aug23 Jun23 May15 (fletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  BELIEVING (IRE) Sep16 Jul29 Jun17 Jun02 May26 (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MONOCACY Sep29 Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 Jun17 (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
7  MRS. NUSHI Oct08 Sep16 Sep08 Jul22 Jun29 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 ★    
8  DIALED INNA Sep13 Sep02 Aug16 Jul29 Jul19 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 118 50.00    
SCR  LOUELLA STREET Sep30 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 May26 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
10  ZMUDA Sep16 Jul09 Jun24 May30 May13 (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-3   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPOLOGIST Oct01         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 10% 8.70    
2  WILD SEAN Sep22         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
3  PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR)         (colebrook ben)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
4  PRINCE OF ROSES Sep25 Aug09       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  CODE ONE Oct03         (o'neill )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
6  FACE VALUE Sep16 Aug06       (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
7  ENDPOINT Sep22 Aug28       (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  SWISS GUARD Sep24 Sep03 Jul30     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
9  DEMON DEACON         (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
10  LAVER Sep14 Jul24       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  KING RUSSELL Sep22         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
12  MAZING MARK Sep10         (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
13  TEN DAYS LATER Oct01 Sep14 Aug28     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  DIVERSIFUL Sep21         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDIT SWANSON Aug02 Jun19 May12 Apr16 Feb16 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
2  HOT SHOT KID Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 May18 Apr09 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 ★    
3  PAYNE Sep03 Jul13 May30 Apr16 Jan29 (caramori cai)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00    
4  DEVIL VISION Sep17 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 (robertso)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  OUTLIER Sep28 Aug15 Aug08 Jul29 Jul10 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 4.50    
6  TREASURY Aug27 May07 Apr17 Mar24 Feb25 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 6% 14.60    
7  BURNING BRIGHT Oct01 Aug14       (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
8  SILVER DUST Sep25 Jul24 Jun23 May26   (vance d)LANERIE J 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
KEE-5   10/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSKEE WOW WOW Jan01         (o'dwyer jerem)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
2  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Sep22 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (walden w)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
3  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Sep17 Jun30 May29 Apr21 Mar16 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00    
4  DATA STORM Sep11 Jul29 Jun17 May30 May07 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
SCR  COMISKEY PARK Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 10% 8.90    
6  MOUNT ATHOS Sep18 Aug13 Jul04 May30 May12 (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
7  COLD AS HELL Sep24 Aug13 Jul14 Jul04 Mar05 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
8  ATRAS Sep28 Aug26 Jul04 Apr23 Mar18 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW Sep24 Sep15 Mar04 Jan02   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
10  AMPERSAND Sep04 Jul24 May27 May08 Apr08 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
11  SPEND BENJAMINS Sep24 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00    
 
KEE-6   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE STAR GENERAL Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 May28 (forster t)LANERIE J 121 6.00 35% 1.80    
2  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT Sep28 Jul24 Jul01     (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 ★    
3  MEISTER Sep16 Aug13 Jul22 May30 Apr16 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 123 1.60 ★    
4  CUPID'S CLAWS Sep28 Sep01 Aug07 Apr02 Feb25 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00    
5  MAJOR FED Sep15 May13 Apr15 Feb19   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
6  MAILMAN MONEY Aug06 Jun25       (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
KEE-7   10/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWN Sep13 Aug16 Jul11 May29 Apr15 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 ★    
2  SISTER LOU ANN Sep13 Jul22 Jun11     (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
3  UNDISTURBED Sep13 Aug07 Jul17 May28 Apr24 (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
4  REAGAN'S DECISION Aug27 Jul09 May06 Apr10 Feb26 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 10% 9.10    
5  SMARMY Sep29 Sep15 Jul12 Jun23 May07 (bauer phi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 15% 5.90    
6  FANCY MARTINI Sep05 Jul16 May14 Mar26 Feb05 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
7  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Aug13 Jul03 May28 May01 Mar25 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
8  BARISTA Apr02 Jan30       (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
9  JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) Sep14         (lobo paul)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50    
10  CHAMPAGNE LADY Sep13 Jun25 May15 Mar25 Jan29 (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
11  MILLER'S MAIDEN Sep14 Aug03 Jun07 Apr22 Mar18 (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00    
12  BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) Mar05 Jan29       (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  CHARGES DROPPED Sep17 Aug20 Jul22 Apr17 Mar26 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
SCR  FAIR GAME Sep13 Aug12 Jul17 May19 Apr24 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING Sep04 Aug14 May19 Apr24 Mar12 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 12.00    
SCR  SUNNY ONE Sep10 Aug16 May19 Apr24 Mar19 (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-8   10/20/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT TAPIT Sep24 Aug06 Jun26     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  BIG BLUE LINE Sep24 Aug20 Jul09 Jun09 May05 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  DROPPIN G'S Jun25 Jun12 May21 Apr29 Apr02 (antonuik jerr)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
4  MAXIMUM IMPACT Sep24 Aug19 Aug07 Jul30 Jul08 (cash norma)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
5  SERIFOS Sep10 Aug11 Jun15 May14 Apr14 (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
6  MAGOO Aug14 Jun22 May21 Apr01 Mar04 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
7  ACTUATOR Aug27 Jul09 Jun08     (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
8  ETHEREAL ROAD Sep24 Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 May21 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  MAJOR GENERAL Sep30 Jul09 Jun04 May07 Apr16 (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 12% 7.40    
10  CASTLE LEOCH Sep14 Jul22 Jun18 Apr28   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY Sep24 Aug18 Jul04 Jun18 May07 (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
12  CREATIVE MINISTER Sep24 Aug23 Jul29 Jun11 May21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 14% 6.30    
13  TRADEMARK Aug26 Aug14 Jul09 May07 Apr09 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  KISSALOT Aug23 Jul30 Jun05 May04 Apr13 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
15  PIONEER OF MEDINA Aug23 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
16  STEINBECK Oct08 Sep22 Aug20 Aug08 Mar27 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SWEETFANTASY Sep17         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
2  LADAN Sep24 Jul31 Jun29     (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
3  PURE PAULINE Sep04         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  WITS AND WAGERS Sep18 Aug07       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
5  COMPARATIVE Sep17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
6  MIGHTY MADISON Sep25         (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
7  LIKE FINE WINE Sep14 Jul29       (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
8  HUNTLEIGH Sep16         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
9  GRAND ENTRANCE Sep18         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  TIME TO RACE Sep23         (nihei michell)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 8% 11.00    
11  TAXED Sep16         (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
12  DEFINING PURPOSE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO Sep18 Aug28 Aug07     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.