The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 17, 2022

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EMD-1   07/17/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:214 :443 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS PAYTON 1 4 38 38   21 1(wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 4.00 5.00  
NANA'S ANGELS 3 3 2nk 1nk   11 2(jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 120 2.00 44% 1.30 1.20 P
GOLD COAST GIRL 2 5 510 410   31 3(bullock steve)MATIAS J 120 8.00 23.40 S
TOE DANCER 4 6 616 510½   5411¾ (harwood doris)MAWING A 120 5.00 8.30  
MISS BELLA 5 1 1nk 2nk   4517¼ (wright blaine)RADKE K 120 1.80 32% 2.10 1.60  
MARIA KNOWS 6 2 4 613½   611½ 633½ (fearon johnathon)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 20.00 31.10  
 
EMD-2   07/17/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:48
:22 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASK ALICE 4 1 32 32   1½ 1(lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50 W
CHIPPEWA 9 3 1 12   2½ 2(martinez b)CRUZ M 119 5.00 11% 8.40 3.30 P
GRAZED N' CONFUSED 5 5 2 22   31 37 (lucarelli frank)GUTIERREZ M 119 6.00 9.00  
ILA VEIW TOO 3 4 54 45   43 4(martinez b)VELASCO EDGAR 119 10.00 42.90  
YOGYA 1 9 86 68   6510 (cooper kay)MAWING A 119 3.00 23% 3.30 5.50  
SPARKLES AND SPURS 2 7 6 56   55 610 (harwood doris)RADKE K 119 5.00 6.20  
OUT OF STARS 7 8 76 811½   7711 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
DISTINCTIVE DEB 6 6 9 911¾   810 813¼ (holford robert)ANAYA V 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
ISLAND BEAUTY 8 2 4 7   913 918½ (simpson shannon)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 119 15.00 42.90  
 
EMD-3   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
:213 :44 :562     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK SMART 7 5 2nk 2nk   1nk 11 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 5.00 11% 8.50 7.20 W
POVERTY BAY 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 121 1.80 42% 1.40 0.70 P
BRANNIGAN 3 1 7 5   45 3(perez s)CRUZ M 121 3.50 27% 2.80 5.50 S
NAPOLETANO 2 3 5 6   54(velasquez rigoberto)MAWING A 121 6.00 20.50  
HICKORY WIND 5 6 4 33   33 5(lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 4.50 5.10  
GYPSY GUN 1 4 6 7   710 613¾ (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 8.00 13.30  
ALPHABETICAL 6 7 32 4   67 714¾ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 10.00 27.20  
 
EMD-4   07/17/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 6:50
:223 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WIREWYRE 10 8 6 4   4¼ 1(lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 120 4.50 27% 2.70 3.60 W
J C'S A LEGEND 2 5 3½ 1nk   1nk 2(lucarelli frank)RADKE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80 P
SUPERMAX 3 9 4¾ 2nk   2nk 3(wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 6.00 11.60  
CONTEJAS 9 6 1½ 3.2   3.2 44 (wright blaine)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.80 30% 2.30 1.90  
SOLDATNA 1 10 8 5   55(cooper kay)MAWING A 120 8.00 4.30  
KNOCKOUT GUY 6 4 2½ 6   66(fearon johnathon)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 30.00 42.50  
SIX SHOTS OF T 8 1 5 7   77(metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 120 5.00 7.20  
MY MAN BIGGIE 5 3 10 8   8813¾ (simpson shannon)DISDIER NICOLLE 120 30.00 16.70  
KAHALA 4 7 9 911¼   9915 (martinez b)CRUZ M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
EXIT STAGE LEFT 7 2 7 1013¼   101018¼ (bullock steve)MATIAS J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 41.60  
 
EMD-5   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION BLISS 4 6 6 42   2nk 1¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50 7% 14.40 2.40 W
LOCHNESS 3 3 3 3½   1nk 2¼ (thompson mike)RADKE K 124 5.00 3.90  
MANCUSO AT THE MIC 5 4 43 5   4¼ 3(birdwell tena)MATIAS J 124 3.50 50% 1.00 4.40 S
ROUGH RIDE 6 1 1nk 1nk   3.2 43 (crowe shelly)GUTIERREZ M 124 4.00 4.00  
CAPTAIN DASHI 2 5 54 6   55(wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 9% 9.80 3.10  
SHAKELAS DESTINY 1 7 76 7   66(birdwell tena)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 29.50  
MOBJACK 7 2 2nk 2nk   77(harris john)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 48.30  
 
EMD-6   07/17/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:52
:221 :442 1:084     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLACK TIDE 4 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1(wright blaine)RADKE K 122 1.60 0.90  
UNSOLVED MYSTERY 5 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2(essex charles)CRUZ M 122 6.00 7.60  
GOLD N GLITTER 1 2 6 4   32 3(lucarelli frank)GUTIERREZ M 118 4.00 37% 1.70 3.20 S
ROPERS N WRANGLERS 7 5 5 5   5411½ (rennie k)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00 28.80  
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 3 6 76 7   6511¾ (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 118 15.00 29.90  
KORON 6 4 4 3   44 614½ (cooper kay)OROZCO E 118 5.00 5.70  
ZAZEN 2 7 3 6   711½ 732½ (markle dan)MAWING A 118 8.00 34% 1.90 9.70  
 
EMD-7   07/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
:231 :46 1:101 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYDROGEN 6 3 4 44 41 3½ 1½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 118 3.00 16% 5.10 2.90 W
COMPLICATE 5 2 33 3 3½ 2nk 2½ (person a)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 12.50  
MISSED THE BOAT 4 1 21 21 1nk 1nk 3(cryderman s)RADKE K 118 2.50 58% 0.70 1.50 S
BRONZE WARRIOR 7 5 5 6 6 42 49 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 121 4.00 5.40  
STAND TO 1 6 66 55 5 55(velasquez rigoberto)MAWING A 121 10.00 6.20  
CODY'S CHOICE 3 4 11 11 2nk 6616½ (velasquez rigoberto)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 5.00 7.00  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 2 7 714 712½ 7 7722½ (pierce l)MATIAS J 121 12.00 34.30  
 
EMD-8   07/17/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:48
:22 :44 1:084     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE 4 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 119 5.00 8% 11.90 4.30 W
EXECUTIVE CHEF 7 7 6 4¾   3½ 2nk (wright blaine)OROZCO E 123 2.00 58% 0.70 1.20 P
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 2 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 3½ (cooper kay)MAWING A 119 8.00 7% 13.20 5.60 S
LITTLE CASINO 8 1 3.2 3.2   443 (wright blaine)RADKE K 119 4.00 4.50  
MR. MISCHIEF 5 5 4 5¾   53 5(perez s)CRUZ M 119 12.00 28.50  
MIDNIGHT MOJO 3 8 7 7   66(wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 6.00 12.40  
CRYSTAL BANDIT 1 4 8 8   878 (simpson shannon)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 119 20.00 43.80  
SMOKEN SHADOW 6 6 5 6   7811½ (peery debbie)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 4.50 13.20  
 
EMD-9   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:14
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE FITZGERALD 1 3 1 1   11 1hd (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 118 3.00 1.10  
PATRICIA L 8 4 5 3   21 2hd (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 121 4.50 13% 6.50 6.40 P
NOOSITA 2 8 7 7   43(lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 6.00 5.60  
SHARP CURVE 4 6 63 53   34(gilmour jim)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 11% 8.10 5.10  
EASY DOES IT 5 7 8 8   65 511¼ (koler steve)ZUNINO L 123 12.00 25.90  
SWEET KATIE O 3 5 4 2   53 611½ (essex charles)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 4.00 10.20  
CUTETIP 6 1 32 4   7713 (garcia jesus)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 10.00 10% 9.50 22.60  
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 7 2 2 6   8817¾ (toye joe)RADKE K 123 8.00 38% 1.60 10.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.