Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS PAYTON Jul03         (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 4.00 ★    
2  GOLD COAST GIRL Jun26         (bullock steve)MATIAS J 120 8.00 ★    
3  NANA'S ANGELS Jul03         (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  TOE DANCER         (harwood doris)MAWING A 120 5.00    
5  MISS BELLA Jun19 Jun04       (wright blaine)RADKE K 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  MARIA KNOWS May07 Apr11       (fearon john)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 20.00 ★    
 
EMD-2   07/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOGYA         (cooper kay)MAWING A 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  SPARKLES AND SPURS         (harwood doris)RADKE K 119 5.00    
3  ILA VEIW TOO Jul02         (ma)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 10.00    
4  ASK ALICE         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  GRAZED N' CONFUSED         (lucarelli fra)GUTIERREZ M 119 6.00    
6  DISTINCTIVE DEB         (holford robert)ANAYA V 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  OUT OF STARS         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ISLAND BEAUTY May31         (simpson sha)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 119 15.00    
9  CHIPPEWA Jun25         (martinez david )CRUZ M 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
 
EMD-3   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY GUN Jun25         (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 8.00    
2  NAPOLETANO         (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 6.00 ★    
3  BRANNIGAN Jul02 Jun25 Jun10 May29 May15 (perez s)CRUZ M 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  POVERTY BAY Jun19 May03 Apr11     (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  HICKORY WIND Jun25 Jun19 May15     (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 4.50 ★    
6  ALPHABETICAL         (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 10.00    
7  BOOK SMART Jun25         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
EMD-4   07/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLDATNA         (cooper kay)MAWING A 120 8.00    
2  J C'S A LEGEND         (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUPERMAX         (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 6.00    
4  KAHALA         (martinez david )CRUZ M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY MAN BIGGIE Jun17 Jun04 May14     (simpson shanno)ANAYA V 120 30.00    
6  KNOCKOUT GUY Jun17 Jun04 May14     (fearon john)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 30.00    
7  EXIT STAGE LEFT         (bullock steve)MATIAS J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIX SHOTS OF T Jul10         (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 120 5.00    
9  CONTEJAS         (wright blaine)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
10  WIREWYRE         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-5   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKELAS DESTINY Jun26 Jun19 Jun05 May22 Apr26 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00    
2  CAPTAIN DASHI Jun11 May15 Jan28     (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 9% 9.80    
3  LOCHNESS Jun18 Jun05 May22     (thompson mike)RADKE K 124 5.00    
4  UNION BLISS Jun26 Jun17 Jun03 May15 Mar20 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50 7% 14.40    
5  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Jun26 Jun19 May28 May15 Apr20 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  ROUGH RIDE Jun18 May21       (crowe shelly)GUTIERREZ M 124 4.00 ★    
7  MOBJACK Jun11 May22       (harris john)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   07/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD N GLITTER Jun11 May21       (lucarelli fra)GUTIERREZ M 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  ZAZEN Jun26 Jun11 May21     (markle dan)MAWING A 118 8.00 34% 1.90    
3  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jun10 May20 May07     (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 118 15.00    
4  SLACK TIDE Jun19 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11   (wright blaine)RADKE K 122 1.60 ★    
5  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Jun19 May08 Mar11 Feb06 Jan14 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
6  KORON Jun19         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 118 5.00 ★    
7  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jun19 May20 Apr17 Mar11 Jan24 (rennie richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00 ★    
 
EMD-7   07/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND TO Jun19 Jun05 May22     (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 10.00 ★    
2  ALPINE HYPNOSIS Jun26 Jun05 Apr04 Feb25 Feb16 (pierce l)MATIAS J 121 12.00    
3  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Jul01 Jun03       (velasquez rig)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 5.00 ★    
4  MISSED THE BOAT Jun18 Jun03 Mar23 Mar04 Feb07 (cryderman s)RADKE K 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
5  COMPLICATE Jun18 May06 Apr20 Mar07 Feb18 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
6  HYDROGEN Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr10 Feb26 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 118 3.00 16% 5.10    
7  BRONZE WARRIOR Jun18 May27 May01 Apr15 Jan30 (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 4.00 ★    
 
EMD-8   07/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTAL BANDIT Jun12 Apr12 Mar30 Feb22 Feb01 (simpson sha)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 119 20.00    
2  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jun19         (cooper kay)MAWING A 119 8.00 7% 13.20    
3  MIDNIGHT MOJO Jun19 May22 Jan14     (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 6.00    
4  ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE Jun19 Jun04 May22     (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 119 5.00 8% 11.90    
5  MR. MISCHIEF Jul03 Jun10 May15 Apr23   (perez s)CRUZ M 119 12.00    
6  SMOKEN SHADOW Jun19 May28       (peery debbie)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 4.50 ★    
7  EXECUTIVE CHEF Jun19 May21 Apr29 Apr03 Mar13 (wright blain)OROZCO E 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
8  LITTLE CASINO Jul03 Jun19 May07 Apr08 Mar18 (wright blaine)RADKE K 119 4.00 ★    
 
EMD-9   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE FITZGERALD May27 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar11 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 118 3.00 ★    
2  NOOSITA Jul02 Jun18 Jun04     (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 6.00    
3  SWEET KATIE O Jul01         (essex charles)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 4.00    
4  SHARP CURVE Jun25 Jun10 May28 Apr02 Mar11 (gilmour jim)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  EASY DOES IT Jun25 Apr28 Apr13 Apr01 Feb02 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 123 12.00    
6  CUTETIP Jul02 Jun10 May29 May06 Apr15 (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 121 10.00 10% 9.50    
7  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Jul02 May28 Apr27     (toye joe)RADKE K 123 8.00 38% 1.60    
8  PATRICIA L Feb12 Jan22       (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.