The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 03, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
EMD-1   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
:241 :47 1:11 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EROTIC 2 1 21 21 2½ 11 15¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.40 ★ 1.20  
4  SHIFTY DANCER 4 2 11 11 1½ 21 25¼ (birdwell tena)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 42% 1.40 3.10 P
1  PARTY FOR ONE 1 4 32 32½ 33½ 36 310¼ (velasquez rigoberto)RADKE K 124 3.50 31% 2.30 2.90 S
3  CLARENCE HEADS 3 3 53½ 54½ 57 57½ 411¼ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 10.00 ★ 22.80  
5  SMOKE AND BURN 5 5 43½ 44 45½ 47 512¼ (gilmour jim)GUTIERREZ M 124 2.00 ★ 4.30  
 
EMD-2   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
:213 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU GO GIRL 1 2 42 31½   1½ 12½ (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00 7% 14.20 5.50 W
4  ZIPPIN SEVENZ 4 4 2½ 2½   2½ 22½ (bozell alan)CRUZ M 121 4.50 ★ 6.50 P
3  TIME FOR GOLD 3 3 32 43   3½ 32¾ (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 123 2.50 28% 2.50 3.00 S
5  OUR LYLA GRACE 5 5 53½ 54   52 43¾ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 ★ 3.40  
2  FRISCO FRILLS 2 1 1½ 1½   41 510¾ (balcom cliff)RADKE K 121 1.20 40% 1.50 1.30  
 
EMD-3   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  YES YOUR GRAZE 4 3 2nk 1½   1½ 1¾ (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 123 1.20 33% 2.10 1.60 W
5  IT'S CURLIN TIME 5 1 1nk 2½   2½ 2¾ (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 123 2.50 15% 5.50 3.40 P
1  SACAGEWEA 1 4 31½ 32   31½ 31¼ (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 3.00 29% 2.40 4.00 S
3  TYCHE AWAITS YOU 3 2 56½ 56½   55 44½ (markle dan)MAWING A 118 4.50 ★ 6.80  
2  I AM YOURS 2 5 43½ 43½   43½ 54¾ (dronen sam)RADKE K 118 10.00 ★ 3.00  
 
EMD-4   07/03/2022 3630ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
:221 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TENGO SED 5 1 21 21   1nk 12 (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 8% 11.20 2.50 W
3  BRONY BOY 3 2 11 11   2nk 22 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 1.40 47% 1.10 1.20 P
1  NORSKI 1 5 42 32   31½ 33½ (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 124 5.00 ★ 12.10 S
2  TRIBAL IMPACT 2 6 52½ 43½   42 43¾ (baze robert)OROZCO E 124 10.00 ★ 11.20  
4  MISO FAST 4 4 64 65   55 56¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 8.00 8.60  
6  LICORICE DROP POPS 6 3 32 55   67 68 (lowe nick)RADKE K 124 3.50 18% 4.70 4.40  
 
EMD-5   07/03/2022 3630ft DIRT WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-10:20
:214 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SILVERY ORB 3 5 43½ 2½   1nk 12 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 5.00 3.50  
6  NANA'S ANGELS 4 1 1½ 1½   2nk 22 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 120 6.00 2.00  
1  PRINCESS PAYTON 1 2 2½ 3½   33 35 (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 4.00 ★ 3.50 S
4  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 2 3 54 54   57¼ 47¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 120 3.50 18% 4.60 3.70  
7  LEONE 5 4 33½ 41   43¼ 58¾ (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 120 8.00 ★ 3.90  
SCR  MISS BELLA               (wright blaine)RADKE K 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  MY MACHETE ROSE               (baze robert)ANAYA V 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   07/03/2022 3630ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:56
:213 :444 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NEW EVERY MORNING 4 1 11½ 12   11½ 11¾ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 2.50 37% 1.70 3.50 W
2  NOT BY MIGHT 2 4 21½ 22   21½ 21¾ (simpson shannon)RADKE K 118 1.80 37% 1.70 1.90 P
1  DIAMOND WILLOW 1 6 66½ 55½   43 32¾ (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 121 4.50 ★ 5.00 S
3  LINCHTOWN 3 2 32 32½   32 43¾ (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 ★ 2.00  
5  J C EXPRESS 5 5 56½ 66½   66½ 510¼ (nunnally jennifer)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 14.90  
6  LAGO DE ORO 6 3 42½ 44   56 611¼ (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 124 10.00 ★ 15.90  
 
EMD-7   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT-11:32
:214 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE CASINO 1 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 1nk (wright blaine)RADKE K 119 3.50 2.30  
4  SMILING GOODBYE 4 2 3.2 2nk   1nk 2nk (peery debbie)GUTIERREZ M 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 P
5  FIREWALKER 5 1 51¾ 42¾   33 37½ (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 119 8.00 10% 8.80 12.60 S
6  MR. MISCHIEF 6 6 63¾ 65¼   65¾ 47¾ (perez s)VELASCO EDGAR 119 3.00 20% 3.90 13.30  
3  EL MAESTRO 3 5 4¼ 53¼   55½ 512¼ (velasquez rigoberto)CRUZ M 119 6.00 ★ 12.20  
2  OVERLY FAST 2 4 1nk 32½   45 614¼ (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.00 ★ 5.10  
 
EMD-8   07/03/2022 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:08
:212 :432 :554     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CODE CHARLIE 3 1 11 14   15 13½ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 1.40 16% 5.20 0.40 W
5  IRON ROB 4 3 44 46   46 23½ (nunnally jennifer)CRUZ M 121 4.00 16% 5.50 7.30 P
2  IRISH TERRIER 2 5 57 58   56¼ 36½ (soranno jill)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 ★ 14.30 S
1  MARQUE IT UP 1 4 21 24   36 47¼ (gilmour jim)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 6.00 ★ 15.00  
6  ROMAN RUSH 5 2 32½ 34   25 58¼ (birdwell tena)RADKE K 121 2.00 47% 1.10 2.90  
SCR  BUBBLES IS ON FIRE               (gilmour jim)VELASCO EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.