Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:00     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST KITTEN 5 2 2nk 1nk   15 1 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00 9% 10.10 1.60 W
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 4 6 66 6   46 2 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 4.50 P
10  HAPPY SAILS 8 4 32 3   25 3 (boyce michele)EMIGH A 121 12.00 7.40  
11  AMARI S. 9 5 4 4   59 411 (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 20.00 22.60  
KISS N BIZ 3 1 1nk 2nk   35 513¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 65% 0.50 1.30  
LALUCHADORA 6 8 810¼ 712½   613 617¾ (ryan a)RIVERA BRYAN 117 15.00 39.40  
EVIE JEAN 1 7 710 814   718 722½ (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 30.00 84.30  
BALIMOS 7 9 911¼ 914¼   818½ 822½ (rosin w)MOJICA O 121 20.00 50.20  
NEW CHINA 2 3 55 57   921½ 936¾ (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00 83.90  
SCR  BANNED FROM MIDWAY               (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER SWINGER               (miller davi)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 4.50    
 
HAW-2   10/01/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:222 :453       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHI TOWN HUSTLER 5 3 1½ 11   12 1 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 1.40  
FISHERMAN OSCAR 4 2 32 32   22 2 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 11% 8.00 5.60 P
KEEP LEFT 7 4 2½ 21   3 36 (ward a)BAIRD T 119 2.50 48% 1.10 2.20 S
INDIO GUAPO 3 6 4 45   45 4 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00 49.90  
STEEL HAWK 2 1 56 610½   5 512¼ (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 5.00 9% 10.40 4.70  
NORMANDY ANGEL 1 5 66 510   6 615¾ (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00 42.60  
PRIMAL CAUSE 6 7 710 714½   713½ 718½ (ward wesley)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 11% 8.50 6.40  
SCR  MAN ON ATTACK               ( )MENA MARVIN 122 30.00    
 
HAW-3   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN PYRAMID 7 2 11 1   13 1 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 1.20  
BAILOUT KELA 5 3 42 34   4 2 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 9% 10.00 9.30 P
JOAN'S WAY 2 5 5 6   33 33 (silva h)MOJICA O 124 3.50 21% 3.70 5.10 S
WILDWOOD BYE 3 7 76 46   5 44 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 32% 2.10 3.80  
LUCY JANE 4 6 21 2   23 54 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 5.00 3.00  
POSITIONDUMONI 6 4 6 7   7 67 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 37.80  
MY LADY SLEW 1 1 31 56   6 713¼ (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 20.00 68.60  
SCR  YANKEE AGATE               (miller m)LOPEZ E 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
HAW-4   10/01/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:134 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHAVIN MYSELF 2 6 6 1 1 13 14 (rengstorf t)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 1.40 5% 19.00 0.30 W
EL ROMANTICO 1 1 1½ 2 2 23 24 (thurman rhonda)COLON H 121 20.00 14.00  
MADELYNS HEAT 5 5 5 5 5 45 3 (watkins m)FELIX E 117 5.00 3.20 S
HIGH LIFE AGAIN 4 3 3½ 36 36 34 4 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 10.00 15.00  
BLOOMING GARDEN 6 4 4 6 4 5 56 (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00 16.60  
CONCOCTION 3 2 2½ 46 611½ 615½ 620 (schlenk k)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 30.00 59.10  
SCR  JACKS SPRING BREAK               (reid r)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 2.50 71% 0.40    
SCR  OFF TO THE BEACH               (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
 
HAW-5   10/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:114 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU WIND 8 5 3 3 4 2½ 1hd (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00 8.10  
11  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 10 10 8 86 7 5 2hd (maker mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 24% 3.10 1.60 P
FALL MOON 9 7 5 42 31 3 33 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 8.00 20.50  
14  SEEKING SECA 11 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 4 (vaughan edward)COLON H 121 20.00 26.80  
HARVEY'S PRINCESS 1 2 4 5 8 6 5 (west w)MOJICA O 121 3.50 39% 1.60 2.00  
SHE'S WANDAFUL 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 6 (miller r)BAIRD T 121 15.00 22.00  
TWELVE STARS 5 6 7 7 6 8 76 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
ZANDREA'S 4 8 10 10 10 7 8 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 20.00 33.50  
MS CORONADO CHROME 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 (rosin w)LOPEZ E 117 20.00 48.30  
SENSE OF SELF 3 3 6 6 5 10 10 (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00 15.80  
COME ON SWEET PEA 7 11 11 1110¾ 1111¾ 1112¼ 1113 (rosin cot)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00 22.50  
SCR  CELESTIAL SPIN               (cristel j)COLON H 121 15.00    
SCR  IMMINENT THREAT               (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00    
SCR  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT               (walsh p)MOJICA O 117 5.00 8% 11.00    
 
HAW-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:212 :444 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN HORNET 8 1 14 1   14 14 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 18% 4.40 2.00 W
COMISKEY PARK 5 4 3 2   24 24 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50 P
COURTHOUSE COVE 7 7 7 5   5 3 (plasters lori)FELIX E 118 10.00 15.40  
BEEALEA 4 8 5 69   6 4 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 26.40  
KIERKEGAARD 2 2 24 3   35 5 (broberg karl)BAIRD T 121 4.00 10% 9.10 4.50  
GAME BOY BENNY 1 3 45 4   4 6 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 12% 7.30 7.40  
ANDREW THE GIANT 6 5 815¾ 815   712½ 711 (ross s)MOJICA O 121 20.00 44.90  
BLAZEN ROAD 3 6 6 711   812¾ 811½ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 14.60  
 
HAW-7   10/01/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:36
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:142 1:354   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAKING SCOUT 2 2 4 4 5 13 15 (motion g)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 4.50  
TONKA WARRIOR 5 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 23 25 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50 P
XAVEY DAVE 3 3 52 6 7 4 3 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 8.00 17% 5.10 8.10 S
BENS MALICE 9 7 6 52 3½ 5 4 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 27.70  
CAMP DAVID 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 33 5 (maker mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 14.40  
AMERICAN MAYHEM 4 9 7 8 8 8 6 (divito p)MOJICA O 120 4.00 31% 2.30 1.40  
PROTONIC POWER 8 8 94 9 9 910½ 77 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 118 15.00 62.70  
WICKED GENIUS 7 6 83 73 6 79 8 (maker j)LOPEZ E 118 6.00 12.20  
ENCOURAGE 6 5 31 3 4¾ 6 910¼ (mcpeek g)EMIGH A 124 3.50 24% 3.10 2.60  
 
HAW-8   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT DEVIL 3 2 1½ 1   1 1 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 33% 2.10 1.30 W
EL ASESINO 7 7 84 5   35 2 (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 4.50 14% 5.90 4.40 P
W W KAN DO 6 9 42 34   2 33 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 5.00 18% 4.50 5.90 S
10  AGAVE KID 8 5 3 4   46 43 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 4.00 3.50  
HIGH HERO 5 4 2½ 2   5 59 (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 114 6.00 17.40  
OUTRUN THE POSSE 1 6 9 912   813½ 610¼ (riecken bruce)EMIGH A 121 10.00 6% 14.90 10.60  
PEACOCK MAN 2 3 53 6   69 711½ (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 19.70  
WILD WES 4 1 6 79   711½ 812 (schlenk k)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00 5% 18.20 57.30  
11  EVIDENCE 9 8 74 811   914 914 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 26.90  
SCR  HATCHET CREEK               (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 121 30.00    
SCR  ONCEWEWEREBROTHERS               (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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