The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 31, 2022

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EMD-1   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:221 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE WAVE 4 1 2½ 1½   13 1(puentes jose)RADKE K 123 3.50 14% 6.10 2.70 W
SHE SAID MY WAY 2 4 55 55   35 2(metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 120 1.60 52% 0.90 0.60 P
FIRST TIME PLAYER 3 3 4 4   46 311¾ (gilmour jim)ZUNINO L 120 6.00 5.80 S
COASTAL QUEEN 5 2 1½ 2½   23 414¼ (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 120 10.00 11.20  
SHE GOT LEGS 1 5 3 3   57 514½ (lowe nick)MURO ISIDRO 120 12.00 11.10  
SCR  DONTFORGETHESUGAR               (cryderman s)CRUZ M 120 2.50 8% 12.10    
 
EMD-2   07/31/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 5:43
:214 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD RUSH JUNIOR 2 2 2nk 1½   11(cryderman s)GUTIERREZ M 120 4.00 2.30  
LLOYDS LOGIC 3 1 1nk 2½   22(wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 3.50 21% 3.80 5.80 P
CONTEJAS 4 3 31 32   33(wright blaine)OROZCO E 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.50 S
WART 1 4 4 45   44(wright blaine)RADKE K 120 4.50 1.50  
ALL THE KING'S MEN 5 5 5 59   55(martinez b)ANAYA V 120 12.00 15.20  
SCR  MISTER MIDAS               (cryderman s)CRUZ M 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  TIME 'ER TOO               (cooper kay)MAWING A 120 5.00    
 
EMD-3   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:32
:213 :443 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPOLETANO 1 6 66 5   22 1¾ (velasquez rigoberto)MAWING A 121 6.00 13.10  
POVERTY BAY 4 1 1nk 12   12 2¾ (cryderman s)GUTIERREZ M 121 1.40 43% 1.30 0.40 P
CAUSE I'M COOL 5 4 55 6   65 310½ (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.50 11.60 S
HEFTY GARCIA 2 3 3 3   5410¾ (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 124 10.00 23.60  
IM MR BIG 3 5 4 4   44 512 (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 121 8.00 14% 5.90 7.70  
MAHALO ABRAAJ 6 2 2nk 22   34 613¼ (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 3.00 17% 4.70 4.10  
 
EMD-4   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 7:00
:214 :453 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILA VEIW TOO 2 4 2 2   12 1(martinez b)ANAYA V 119 12.00 25.40  
CHIPPEWA 8 1 1 1   22 2(martinez b)CRUZ M 119 3.50 9% 9.90 4.00 P
ZOE'S PRIDE 6 8 710½ 7   56 3(mccanna tim)RADKE K 119 5.00 8.60 S
OUT OF STARS 3 7 6 55   35 4(lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 119 15.00 29.60  
STICKINITTOTHEMAN 4 5 43 4   45(lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 119 2.50 66% 0.50 1.00  
FOREVER AMBER 7 2 812½ 813½   810½ 6(belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 119 4.50 16.50  
LADY ATTA TUDE 5 3 5 67   68 7(mccanna tim)GUTIERREZ M 119 6.00 6.10  
SETTLER'S COVE 1 6 3 3   710 811 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 119 8.00 7.50  
 
EMD-5   07/31/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
:222 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 3 2 3 32   21 1(metz jeffrey)RADKE K 120 3.00 1.90  
NANA'S ANGELS 5 1 11 1   11 2(jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 120 2.00 61% 0.60 1.50 P
GOLD COAST GIRL 4 5 78 7   5310½ (bullock steve)MATIAS J 120 4.50 11.50 S
TOE DANCER 7 4 21 2   47 412¾ (harwood doris)MAWING A 120 15.00 24.50  
SLICE OF PIE 1 7 57 4   36 513¼ (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 6.00 6.30  
BOWEN 2 6 43 67   68 614 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 10.00 7% 14.10 15.90  
LEONE 6 3 6 5   710 719 (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 120 5.00 7.00  
 
EMD-6   07/31/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
:223 :444 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEN SHADOW 2 1 11 11   11(peery debbie)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 5.00 5.10  
NAVAL ESCORT 1 6 5 5   42(martinez b)CRUZ M 124 2.50 1.90 P
HARBOR OUTLAW 5 4 32 32   33(jenne bonnie)SAMUELS JAKE 124 4.00 9.30 S
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 3 2 21 21   24(jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 4.00 4.70  
MARCH ON LINCH 6 5 64 65   55(bozell alan)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 3.30  
FORTY SMOOCHES 4 3 43 42   668 (cooper kay)MAWING A 124 3.50 59% 0.70 4.90  
 
EMD-7   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
:222 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IOWA KID 3 1 12 13   12 1(ortega joe)CRUZ M 124 1.40 1.70  
J C EXPRESS 2 3 34 23   22 2(nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 124 8.00 8.30  
BLESSED BROTHER 5 5 5 55   53(ramnarine larry)MAWING A 121 5.00 42% 1.40 3.00 S
BUBBLES IS ON FIRE 4 4 4 4   35 4(gilmour jim)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 17% 4.70 3.30  
SWEETWATER CLYDE 1 2 22 33   45 5(birdwell tena)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00 7% 12.60 9.00  
FIRING PIN 6 6 67 66   620¼ 643½ (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 6.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.