Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   10/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:22 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GET NONE 7 3 62¼ 52¼   3½ 1½ (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.30 W
8  KANFU 8 2 21 2nk   2½ 2½ (granitz j)PEREZ E 124 4.00 25% 3.10 2.00 P
6  ORNERY ANGEL 6 5 84¾ 87¼   73¼ 31 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 5% 17.50 10.40 S
9  APRIL'S GEM 9 9 73¾ 75¼   5¾ 41¾ (reid r)LOPEZ A 121 10.00 9.50  
1  LUVIN BULLIES 1 6 41¼ 31   1½ 51¾ (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 3.40  
4  BOBBIE TOO TOO 4 1 11 1nk   4¾ 64¼ (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 20.00 28.50  
2  AND ISLES 2 7 31 41¼   61¾ 75½ (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 121 8.00 16.50  
10  KHOZYS CROWN 10 8 52¼ 62¼   85¾ 88½ (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00 ######  
3  MIDSHIP LADY 3 4 97¼ 911¼   98¾ 99½ (sullivan ellio)COLON H 121 10.00 15% 5.80 18.90  
5  SILVER POM POM 5 10 109¼ 1012¾   1011¾ 1013½ (thurman rho)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 52.30  
SCR  B N A NATIVE GIRL               (foxworth )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL               (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 6.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  HEY HEY               (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 20.00    
SCR  RARE ACTION ATTACK               (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
 
HAW-2   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:22 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRINCESS CONSUELA 3 7 56½ 45   42½ 1nk (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00 36.50  
6  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN 6 1 33 33   3½ 2nk (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 30% 2.30 1.00 P
2  IRISH HALO 2 6 77¾ 68   54 3½ (perez manny)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 6.00 12% 7.10 7.00 S
4  JITTERS 4 2 1nk 2½   2nk 42½ (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 ★ 3.50  
1  HOOSIER GOLD CASE 1 5 66¾ 78   74¾ 53¾ (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 12% 7.70 34.80  
5  MINI DRESS 5 3 2nk 1½   1nk 64¼ (watkins m)ORM CORY 121 4.50 17% 5.00 3.40  
7  ZENCHUA SKY 7 4 45 57   64¼ 75 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00 10.30  
 
HAW-3   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  W W CANDY 3 5 63¼ 63½   4¼ 1½ (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 32% 2.10 5.00 W
4  TETSU 4 3 52¾ 42½   3.2 2½ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 19% 4.20 3.70 P
2  BRING ME A CHECK 2 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 32¼ (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.00 ★ 1.40 S
1  SCRUTINIZER 1 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 42¼ (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 4.50 15% 5.70 3.10  
5  FIRST MASAMUNE 5 4 4¼ 53   53¼ 53½ (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 19.80  
6  MEDAL OF FACT 6 6 3.2 32   65¼ 65¾ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 ★ 6.30  
 
HAW-4   10/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:213 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUST A WONDER 4 1 2nk 1nk   11 11½ (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 15.00 11.60  
1  SHE'S WANDAFUL 1 6 97¾ 86¼   85 21½ (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 4.70  
6  CHROME ATTACK 5 8 85¼ 74¼   32½ 31¾ (childers vance)EMIGH A 121 8.00 ★ 3.30 S
10  STACK SHACK 9 9 74¾ 63¼   64 42 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 2.50 51% 1.00 3.80  
3  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) 3 5 53 53   43 53¾ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 6.00 6.50  
8  FROST WARRIOR 7 7 64½ 96¼   97½ 64 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 29.10  
9  HONEY BELLA 8 4 41½ 42   53½ 74½ (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 20% 4.10 2.80  
2  HEAVENLY SCENT 2 2 1nk 3½   21 89¼ (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00 16.70  
7  FIRST KITTEN 6 3 3½ 2nk   74 99¾ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
SCR  BLUES MARY               (rodriguez edua)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   10/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:134 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOURBON DELIGHT 4 3 11½ 12 13 14 16 (divito p)FELIX E 117 3.00 19% 4.20 1.30 W
10  FUTURE VISION 8 4 43 43 23 24 26 (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00 8% 11.40 3.90 P
1  MADELYNS HEAT 1 5 64¾ 64½ 44½ 35½ 37¾ (watkins m)EMIGH A 117 2.50 23% 3.40 3.20 S
8  DARE GOES DA DEVIL 6 7 31½ 32 33 48½ 411¼ (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 20.00 14.70  
9  MAIDEN ROCK 7 8 89¾ 810 810¼ 812½ 512¼ (riecken bruce)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 10.00 7% 12.50 13.30  
4  BLOOMING GARDEN 3 1 21½ 22 55½ 510 612¼ (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 121 8.00 7.50  
2  OFF TO THE BEACH 2 2 53¼ 54 78¾ 610½ 714¼ (hughes earl)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 37.70  
7  HIGH LIFE AGAIN 5 6 77¼ 78½ 68½ 711½ 816½ (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 12.00 14.30  
SCR  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW               (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 20.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  EL ROMANTICO               (thurman rhonda)COLON H 121 6.00    
 
HAW-6   10/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:204 :441 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RICHIES GREAT GIRL 4 4 43 21   2½ 1nk (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 9% 10.80 4.10 W
4  CASHABLE 3 3 32½ 32   1½ 2nk (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.00 67% 0.50 1.30 P
7  SHARP HERO 6 5 55 55   53 3¼ (ross s)EMIGH A 121 10.00 15.50  
10  PLUS CHIC 9 2 21½ 42½   41½ 4½ (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 4.20  
3  COVENANT LADY 2 6 65½ 68   65 51¼ (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 12.00 ★ 10.40  
8  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) 7 1 11½ 11   3½ 61½ (west ethan )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 8.50  
6  OFF RAMP 5 7 89½ 912   87½ 71¾ (rosin w)FELIX E 118 20.00 33.10  
9  MY GOLDEN DAY 8 9 910 811½   98 83¾ (hicklin chri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00 ★ 12.90  
2  GIRL NAMED PATSY 1 8 77½ 79½   76 93¾ (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 10.00 19.40  
SCR  MOM'S RED LIPSTICK               (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-7   10/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHE'S A BIG STAR 9 1 13 13 11 16 19¼ (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 7.60  
5  KIMBERLY FRANCES 5 7 811 78½ 57 48 29¼ (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 121 5.00 18% 4.60 5.30 P
8  FLATOUTANDFOXY 8 4 44½ 34½ 32 36 39¾ (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.30 S
4  WEEKEND PASS 4 10 1021¼ 1014½ 1015½ 912¼ 410¾ (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 10% 9.40 10.00  
7  HER GOLD MINE 7 3 23 23 21 26 512¼ (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00 8% 11.90 8.90  
10  SIMPLY FAST 10 9 610 99½ 69½ 711¼ 613 (retana gabe)COLON H 121 20.00 54.60  
3  NOFANSINTHESTANDS 3 8 711 57 46 610¼ 713½ (campbell joel)FELIX E 121 3.50 3.50  
1  DARING DAMSEL 1 6 911¼ 89½ 811 811¼ 813¾ (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 50.40  
2  PRESENT OF HERO 2 5 59½ 68 79½ 510 918 (quinonez max)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 10.00 13% 6.80 36.10  
6  SATIATE 6 2 34 46 915 1020¼ 1031¾ (sanchez osc)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 8.00 29.30  
 
HAW-8   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:212 :452 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RIDE RICHIE RIDE 7 4 32 1½   14 11½ (clay pat)FELIX E 121 12.00 2.70  
8  AWESOME FAMILY 6 5 67½ 56   24 21½ (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 4.00 38% 1.70 3.70 P
11  IMPERIAL MOMENT 9 7 57 44½   34½ 34¾ (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 6.00 14% 6.20 3.00 S
4  FIXICO 4 8 89½ 66½   46 44¾ (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 15.60  
10  SIR ACEALOT 8 6 79½ 87   68 56 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 124 4.50 6.60  
2  RUBY'S RED DEVIL 2 9 921½ 915   812 67¾ (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00 15.10  
1  AGAVE KID 1 3 46 77   79 78¾ (slager m)MOJICA O 121 8.00 6.70  
6  PITAMAN 5 2 2½ 2½   57 814 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 20.00 19.40  
3  CHOPPER 3 1 1½ 31½   916½ 929½ (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 30.00 19.00  
SCR  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP               (wiese john)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 20.00    
SCR  SIRCORRI               (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  THREE TIME CHARMER               (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  TURN THE SWITCH               (litfin nev)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 8% 12.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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