Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUVIN BULLIES Sep24 Sep08 Aug21 Jun26 Jun11 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
2  AND ISLES Sep24 Sep03 Aug14 Jul09 Jun15 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
3  MIDSHIP LADY Jun14 Mar31 Mar24 Feb11 Jan16 (sullivan ellio)COLON H 121 10.00 15% 5.80    
4  BOBBIE TOO TOO Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug13 Aug02 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 20.00    
5  SILVER POM POM Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jul11 (thurman rho)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00    
6  ORNERY ANGEL Sep09 Jul30 Jul02 Jun05 May27 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 5% 17.50    
7  GET NONE Jul17 May20 May07 Mar27 Feb24 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  KANFU Sep24 Aug29 Jun27 May17   (granitz j)PEREZ E 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
9  APRIL'S GEM Sep24 Aug08 Jul07 Jun18 Jun03 (reid r)LOPEZ A 121 10.00    
10  KHOZYS CROWN Oct09 Sep02 Jul22 Jul05 Jun17 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL Sep24 Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 6.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  RARE ACTION ATTACK Sep23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun18 May27 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
SCR  B N A NATIVE GIRL Sep20 Sep06       (foxworth )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  HEY HEY Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Jul03 Jun17 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 20.00    
 
HAW-2   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOSIER GOLD CASE Sep24 Aug13 Jul22 May28 May07 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 12% 7.70    
2  IRISH HALO Oct09 Oct02 Sep24 Jun18 Apr24 (perez manny)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 6.00 12% 7.10    
3  PRINCESS CONSUELA Sep25 Sep17 Sep06 Aug26 Aug13 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
4  JITTERS Sep26 Aug29 Aug12     (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 ★    
5  MINI DRESS Sep25 Aug27 Jul29 Jun18 Jun07 (watkins m)ORM CORY 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
6  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Sep14 Sep03 Aug25 Aug03   (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
7  ZENCHUA SKY Sep19 Sep04 Aug19 Jul01 Jun04 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00    
 
HAW-3   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRUTINIZER Oct01 Sep12 Aug07 Jul18 Jun06 (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
2  BRING ME A CHECK Sep14 Aug17 Jun12 May26 Mar04 (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.00 ★    
3  W W CANDY Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 Jun11 May07 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  TETSU Oct02 Sep15 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  FIRST MASAMUNE Jun17 May21 Apr30 Apr10   (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00    
6  MEDAL OF FACT Sep25 Sep03 Aug16 Jul19 Jun11 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   10/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S WANDAFUL Oct01 Aug06 Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00    
2  HEAVENLY SCENT Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul06 (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
3  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Sep25 Jan01       (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 6.00    
4  JUST A WONDER Sep20 Sep02 Jul22 Jul05 Jun21 (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 15.00    
SCR  BLUES MARY Sep24 Jun17 May15 Apr16 Feb24 (rodriguez edua)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHROME ATTACK Sep23 Jun17 Jun11 May15 Apr09 (childers vance)EMIGH A 121 8.00 ★    
7  FIRST KITTEN Oct01 Sep06 Aug02 Jun01 Apr27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FROST WARRIOR Sep17 Aug27 Aug14 Jul07 Jun09 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
9  HONEY BELLA Sep17 Sep08 Aug13 Jul16 Jun08 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
10  STACK SHACK Sep23 Aug24 Aug08 Jun17 Jun03 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
HAW-5   10/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADELYNS HEAT Oct01 Aug31 Jun25 Jun18 May27 (watkins m)EMIGH A 117 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  OFF TO THE BEACH Sep25 Aug20 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 (hughes earl)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00    
SCR  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 20.00 12% 7.40    
4  BLOOMING GARDEN Oct01 Aug20 Aug02 Jun25 May27 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 121 8.00    
5  BOURBON DELIGHT Jun24 May27 Apr29 Mar24 Jan28 (divito p)FELIX E 117 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  EL ROMANTICO Oct01 Sep23 Aug06 Jul19 Jul02 (thurman rhonda)COLON H 121 6.00    
7  HIGH LIFE AGAIN Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul08 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 12.00    
8  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Oct09 Sep25 Jul01 Jun25 Jun04 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
9  MAIDEN ROCK Sep17 Sep01 Aug20 Jul31 Jul07 (riecken bruce)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 10.00 7% 12.50    
10  FUTURE VISION Oct07 Aug16 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00 8% 11.40    
 
HAW-6   10/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOM'S RED LIPSTICK Aug22 Jul27 Jun24 May20 Apr30 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
2  GIRL NAMED PATSY Sep09 Aug03 Jun24 Apr30 Apr09 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
3  COVENANT LADY Sep22 Sep14 Aug29 Jul14 Jun28 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 12.00 ★    
4  CASHABLE Aug15 Jul13 Jun23 May12   (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 Jul18 May20 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 9% 10.80    
6  OFF RAMP Sep08 Aug14 Aug04 Jul17 Jul03 (rosin w)FELIX E 118 20.00    
7  SHARP HERO Oct02 Sep13 Jun24 Jun04   (ross s)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
8  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Sep08 Aug03 Jun29 Apr08 Feb10 (west ethan )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00    
9  MY GOLDEN DAY Sep18 Aug28 Aug05 Jul17 Jun24 (hicklin chri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00 ★    
10  PLUS CHIC Sep23 Sep01 Aug02 Feb23   (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00    
 
HAW-7   10/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARING DAMSEL Oct02 Sep03 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
2  PRESENT OF HERO Sep17 Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (quinonez max)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
3  NOFANSINTHESTANDS Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 Jun18 (campbell joel)FELIX E 121 3.50    
4  WEEKEND PASS Oct02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 10% 9.40    
5  KIMBERLY FRANCES Sep03 Aug20 Jul05 Jun18 Jun11 (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  SATIATE Aug05 Jul14 Jul05 Jun17 May08 (sanchez osc)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 8.00    
7  HER GOLD MINE Sep25 Aug30 Aug15 Jun24 Jun11 (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00 8% 11.90    
8  FLATOUTANDFOXY Sep30 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 Jun26 (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
9  SHE'S A BIG STAR Sep03 Aug05 Jul12 Jun17 Jun04 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
10  SIMPLY FAST Oct02 Sep23 Sep06 Aug20 Aug06 (retana gabe)COLON H 121 20.00    
 
HAW-8   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAVE KID Oct01 Aug30 Aug05 Jul08 May28 (slager m)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
2  RUBY'S RED DEVIL Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 Aug18 Aug10 (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00    
3  CHOPPER Oct02 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun18 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 30.00    
4  FIXICO Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug12 Jul30 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
SCR  THREE TIME CHARMER Oct02 Sep04 Jul25 May28 May13 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
6  PITAMAN Sep06 Jun25 Jun04 May10 Apr27 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 20.00    
SCR  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Aug27 Jul25 Jul11 Jul02 Jun18 (wiese john)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 20.00    
8  AWESOME FAMILY Oct07 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 4.00 38% 1.70    
9  RIDE RICHIE RIDE Sep24 Sep04 Aug15 Jul29 Jul18 (clay pat)FELIX E 121 12.00    
10  SIR ACEALOT Sep30 Aug21 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 124 4.50    
11  IMPERIAL MOMENT Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 Jun14 May17 (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  TURN THE SWITCH Oct02 Sep15 Sep04 Aug24 Aug06 (litfin nev)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  SIRCORRI Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun28 (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.