The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Hawthorne
Friday - September 30, 2022

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HAW-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
:233 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ACEALOT 5 2 32 2nk   2nk 13 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.00 W
JUST RIGHT MIKE 1 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 23 (rengstorf tony)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 21% 3.70 1.40 P
CHRISTMAS PRESENT 6 3 43 42   32 3(cook brian)BAIRD T 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.30 S
PIRATE BIRD 2 5 5 5   45 4(rosin w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 7.40  
FINAL CALL 3 6 64 65   65(haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 6.00 31.20  
IRISH LIGHTED ROAD 4 1 1½ 3   5614½ (bahena fernando)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 10.70  
 
HAW-2   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
:241 :48 1:14 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL BOX 5 5 510 510 54 2nk 1½ (kirby j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00 W
TALLESTOFTHETALL 4 4 35 3 3 3½ 2½ (campbell joel)EMIGH A 121 5.00 2.40 P
NOT VERY GENTLE 3 6 48 4 42 53(haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 3.00 1.80  
JUST GUN IT 1 1 11 11 2nk 1nk 4(rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 4.00 5.80  
IRISH MAJOR 6 3 610½ 611 67 65(perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.50 14.10  
CAMPAIGN SPY 2 2 21 21 1nk 46(jansen kenny)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.90  
SCR  LEMON BLITZ               (jansen kenny)PENA JONUELLE 111 10.00 6% 16.10    
 
HAW-3   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
:243 :491 1:134 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DAME 6 1 21 21 1nk 11(hernandez javier)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80 W
RONAN 1 5 6 6 4 33 2(quinonez max)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 11.50  
GOOD MONGOLIA 5 2 11 11 2nk 23(rodriguez hugo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 23% 3.30 3.40 S
CARSON RESERVE 4 3 4 4 3 44(lamew l)LOPEZ A 121 4.50 15% 5.70 4.90  
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE 2 4 31 31 5 55(bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 5.00 4.00  
LINDALOUIMAGE 3 6 5 5 6 6611 (quinonez max)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 4.40  
 
HAW-4   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
:243 :494 1:144 1:263   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL RAYO 4 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 1hd (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 6.00 3.20  
TEN COUNT 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 122 5.00 26% 2.90 4.50 P
SIVAKO 7 5 5 32 3 331 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 39% 1.60 2.10 S
MINNESOTA MOON 3 4 6 6 6 44 42 (block chris)FELIX E 122 6.00 11.00  
OCEAN POINTE 5 3 3 53 55 65(walsh p)MOJICA O 122 3.00 2.50  
NOBLE CREEKER 2 7 7 76 78 766 (reavis l)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 18.50  
RED CENTS 6 6 4 4 43 56 78 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 10% 8.70 14.40  
SCR  LINE TO GAIN               (litfin nevada)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP AZ NAILS               (winebaugh cheryl)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
:223 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHAALEB'S HONOR 6 4 32 31   22 1¾ (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 5.00 17% 4.90 1.50 W
GHALY POSSE 4 2 1nk 1nk   12 2¾ (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 1.70 P
BEG BORROW N STEAL 1 6 6 6   33 3(block chris)MOJICA O 121 8.00 8.60  
USA USA USA 5 3 5 54   64(young r)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 20.60  
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 3 1 4 4   4512½ (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 12.20  
FROSTED ECLAIR 2 7 2nk 2nk   5613¾ (watkins m)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00 26.20  
PRETTY IN PRADO 7 5 7 76   79 717 (boyce michele)LOPEZ E 121 4.50 15% 5.50 3.90  
SCR  KISS N BIZ               (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  POSITIONDUMONI               (pompell robert)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
 
HAW-6   09/30/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:221 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURTS SO GOOD 1 1 11 1   13 1(robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 2.50 1.70  
11  FOLLOW THE SIGNS 9 4 43 43   23 2(vanden brittany)EMIGH A 121 8.00 4.50 P
10  REMEMBER THE MAINE 8 7 78 79   46 33 (campbell joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 10% 9.40 13.30 S
KING TITO 4 2 21 3   546 (quinonez max)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 18.20  
GRAND HIDEAWAY 3 9 89 811   79 5(reid r)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 10.00 6.70  
DEVIL'S RULE 2 6 67 66   67 6(cook brian)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00 27.80  
DIVE DEEP 6 5 5 2   37(rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 25% 2.90 2.50  
SAMURAI MIKE 5 3 3 5   89 8(litfin nevada)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 19.50  
OMAR ATTACK 7 8 913 919   921 921¾ (childers vance)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 18.60  
SCR  ADIOS ASHER               (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND               (cook brian)PENA JONUELLE 111 20.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIVE STUDENT               (lynch e)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 30.00    
SCR  RED HOT DEVIL               (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
SCR  WINGING WAYS               (meraz antonio)PEREZ E 121 20.00    
 
HAW-7   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
:213 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAND PAY 3 7 7 4   32 1(robertson hugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 3.50  
ELI'S PROMISE 2 3 1½ 11   12(divito p)MOJICA O 120 8.00 25% 2.90 1.10 P
SIR STERLING 5 4 2½ 21   23(rengstorf tony)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00 9.10  
BLACKTECA 6 1 3½ 31   44(scherer gary)FELIX E 120 12.00 17.40  
SUMMER ALL YEAR 7 5 54 6   6511 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 8% 11.30 5.30  
TIZWOW 4 2 43 5   5612 (retana gabe)BAILON JADHIR 122 10.00 50.70  
MAGNA MASSA 1 6 65 7   7714 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30  
SCR  PRIMITY               (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 5.00    
SCR  UNCASHED               (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-8   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
:242 :463 1:132 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEN 2 2 23 6 43 1nk 1½ (padilla tim)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 10.00  
PERFECT WAGER 7 3 5 4 5 2nk 2½ (broberg karl)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 2.50 P
CHRISTIAN C 5 7 810¼ 811½ 77 3½ 3(reavis l)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 53% 0.90 2.60 S
THE LAST OPTION 4 5 33 2 1½ 44(hernandez javier)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 8.20  
KRAMDEN 3 8 7 710½ 810 657 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 15% 5.70 3.40  
FEELING DANGEROUS 1 1 13 1 2½ 569 (rodriguez eduardo)BAIRD T 111 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
WILLING TO SPEED 6 6 6 55 65 7711 (perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 10.90  
BULLDOG OF BERGEN 8 4 4 33 32 8822 (holsapple hutch)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 25.00  
SCR  MANGO TREE               (perez manny)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.