Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:233 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ACEALOT 5 2 32 2nk   2nk 13 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.00 W
JUST RIGHT MIKE 1 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 23 (rengstorf t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 21% 3.70 1.40 P
CHRISTMAS PRESENT 6 3 43 42   32 3 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.30 S
PIRATE BIRD 2 5 5 5   45 4 (rosin w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 7.40  
FINAL CALL 3 6 64 65   6 5 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 6.00 31.20  
IRISH LIGHTED ROAD 4 1 1½ 3   5 614½ (bahena fern)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 10.70  
 
HAW-2   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL BOX 5 5 510 510 54 2nk 1½ (kirby frank)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00 W
TALLESTOFTHETALL 4 4 35 3 3 3½ 2½ (campbell joel)EMIGH A 121 5.00 2.40 P
NOT VERY GENTLE 3 6 48 4 42 5 3 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 3.00 1.80  
JUST GUN IT 1 1 11 11 2nk 1nk 4 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 4.00 5.80  
IRISH MAJOR 6 3 610½ 611 67 6 5 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.50 14.10  
CAMPAIGN SPY 2 2 21 21 1nk 4 6 (jansen kenny)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.90  
SCR  LEMON BLITZ               (jansen kenny)PENA JONUELLE 111 10.00 6% 16.10    
 
HAW-3   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:134 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DAME 6 1 21 21 1nk 1 1 (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80 W
RONAN 1 5 6 6 4 33 2 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 11.50  
GOOD MONGOLIA 5 2 11 11 2nk 2 3 (rodriguez h)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 23% 3.30 3.40 S
CARSON RESERVE 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 (lamew l)LOPEZ A 121 4.50 15% 5.70 4.90  
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE 2 4 31 31 5 5 5 (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 5.00 4.00  
LINDALOUIMAGE 3 6 5 5 6 6 611 (quinonez)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 4.40  
 
HAW-4   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:144 1:263   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL RAYO (ARG) 4 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 1hd (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 6.00 3.20  
TEN COUNT 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 5.00 26% 2.90 4.50 P
SIVAKO 7 5 5 32 3 3 31 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 39% 1.60 2.10 S
MINNESOTA MOON 3 4 6 6 6 44 42 (block chris)FELIX E 122 6.00 11.00  
OCEAN POINTE 5 3 3 53 55 6 5 (walsh p)MOJICA O 122 3.00 2.50  
NOBLE CREEKER 2 7 7 76 78 7 66 (reavis michae)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 18.50  
RED CENTS 6 6 4 4 43 56 78 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 10% 8.70 14.40  
SCR  LINE TO GAIN               (litfin nevada)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP AZ NAILS               (winebaugh c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHAALEB'S HONOR 6 4 32 31   22 1¾ (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 5.00 17% 4.90 1.50 W
GHALY POSSE 4 2 1nk 1nk   12 2¾ (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 1.70 P
BEG BORROW N STEAL 1 6 6 6   33 3 (block chris)MOJICA O 121 8.00 8.60  
USA USA USA 5 3 5 54   6 4 (young terry)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 20.60  
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 3 1 4 4   4 512½ (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 12.20  
FROSTED ECLAIR 2 7 2nk 2nk   5 613¾ (watkins james)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00 26.20  
PRETTY IN PRADO 7 5 7 76   79 717 (boyce michele)LOPEZ E 121 4.50 15% 5.50 3.90  
SCR  KISS N BIZ               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  POSITIONDUMONI               (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
 
HAW-6   09/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURTS SO GOOD 1 1 11 1   13 1 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 2.50 1.70  
11  FOLLOW THE SIGNS 9 4 43 43   23 2 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 8.00 4.50 P
10  REMEMBER THE MAINE 8 7 78 79   46 33 (campbell joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 10% 9.40 13.30 S
KING TITO 4 2 21 3   5 46 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 18.20  
GRAND HIDEAWAY 3 9 89 811   79 5 (reid r)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 10.00 6.70  
DEVIL'S RULE 2 6 67 66   67 6 (cook brian)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00 27.80  
DIVE DEEP 6 5 5 2   3 7 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 25% 2.90 2.50  
SAMURAI MIKE 5 3 3 5   89 8 (litfin neva)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 19.50  
OMAR ATTACK 7 8 913 919   921 921¾ (childers va)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 18.60  
SCR  ADIOS ASHER               (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND               (cook brian)PENA JONUELLE 111 20.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIVE STUDENT               (lynch e)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 30.00    
SCR  RED HOT DEVIL               (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
SCR  WINGING WAYS               (meraz antonio)PEREZ E 121 20.00    
 
HAW-7   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:213 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAND PAY 3 7 7 4   32 1 (robertson h)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 3.50  
ELI'S PROMISE 2 3 1½ 11   1 2 (divito p)MOJICA O 120 8.00 25% 2.90 1.10 P
SIR STERLING 5 4 2½ 21   2 3 (rengstorf ton)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00 9.10  
BLACKTECA 6 1 3½ 31   4 4 (scherer gary)FELIX E 120 12.00 17.40  
SUMMER ALL YEAR 7 5 54 6   6 511 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 8% 11.30 5.30  
TIZWOW 4 2 43 5   5 612 (retana g)BAILON JADHIR 122 10.00 50.70  
MAGNA MASSA 1 6 65 7   7 714 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30  
SCR  PRIMITY               (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 5.00    
SCR  UNCASHED               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-8   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:242 :463 1:132 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEN 2 2 23 6 43 1nk 1½ (padilla tim)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 10.00  
PERFECT WAGER 7 3 5 4 5 2nk 2½ (broberg kar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 2.50 P
CHRISTIAN C 5 7 810¼ 811½ 77 3½ 3 (reavis michae)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 53% 0.90 2.60 S
THE LAST OPTION 4 5 33 2 1½ 4 4 (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 8.20  
KRAMDEN 3 8 7 710½ 810 6 57 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 15% 5.70 3.40  
FEELING DANGEROUS 1 1 13 1 2½ 5 69 (rodriguez eduardo)BAIRD T 111 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
WILLING TO SPEED 6 6 6 55 65 7 711 (perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 10.90  
BULLDOG OF BERGEN 8 4 4 33 32 8 822 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 25.00  
SCR  MANGO TREE               (perez manny)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.