Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:233 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIR ACEALOT 5 2 32 2nk   2nk 13 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.00 W
1  JUST RIGHT MIKE 1 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 23 (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 21% 3.70 1.40 P
6  CHRISTMAS PRESENT 6 3 43 42   32 34½ (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 3.50 22% 3.50 3.30 S
2  PIRATE BIRD 2 5 53½ 53½   45 45¾ (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 ★ 7.40  
3  FINAL CALL 3 6 64 65   69½ 58¾ (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 6.00 ★ 31.20  
4  IRISH LIGHTED ROAD 4 1 1½ 31½   56½ 614½ (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 10.70  
 
HAW-2   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PISTOL BOX 5 5 510 510 54 2nk 1½ (kirby fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00 W
5  TALLESTOFTHETALL 4 4 35 35½ 31½ 3½ 2½ (campbell joel)EMIGH A 121 5.00 ★ 2.40 P
4  NOT VERY GENTLE 3 6 48 46½ 42 53½ 33¼ (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 3.00 1.80  
1  JUST GUN IT 1 1 11 11 2nk 1nk 44¾ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 4.00 5.80  
7  IRISH MAJOR 6 3 610½ 611 67 65½ 55½ (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.50 14.10  
3  CAMPAIGN SPY 2 2 21 21 1nk 41½ 68¾ (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.90  
SCR  LEMON BLITZ               (jansen kenny)PENA JONUELLE 111 10.00 6% 16.10    
 
HAW-3   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:134 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOT DAME 6 1 21 21 1nk 11½ 13¾ (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80 W
1  RONAN 1 5 63¾ 63¼ 43¾ 33 23¾ (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 11.50  
5  GOOD MONGOLIA 5 2 11 11 2nk 21½ 34¾ (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 23% 3.30 3.40 S
4  CARSON RESERVE 4 3 42½ 42½ 33½ 45½ 45¾ (lamew l)LOPEZ A 121 4.50 15% 5.70 4.90  
2  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE 2 4 31 31 54¾ 55½ 57¾ (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 5.00 ★ 4.00  
3  LINDALOUIMAGE 3 6 52¾ 52¾ 65¾ 68½ 611 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 ★ 4.40  
 
HAW-4   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:144 1:263   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EL RAYO (ARG) 4 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 1hd (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 6.00 3.20  
2  TEN COUNT 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 26% 2.90 4.50 P
8  SIVAKO 7 5 52¾ 32 31½ 32½ 31 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 39% 1.60 2.10 S
4  MINNESOTA MOON 3 4 64¾ 65½ 66½ 44 42 (block chris)FELIX E 122 6.00 11.00  
6  OCEAN POINTE 5 3 32½ 53 55 66½ 52½ (walsh p)MOJICA O 122 3.00 ★ 2.50  
3  NOBLE CREEKER 2 7 77¼ 76 78 77½ 66 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 18.50  
7  RED CENTS 6 6 42½ 42½ 43 56 78 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 10% 8.70 14.40  
SCR  LINE TO GAIN               (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP AZ NAILS               (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GHAALEB'S HONOR 6 4 32 31   22 1¾ (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 5.00 17% 4.90 1.50 W
5  GHALY POSSE 4 2 1nk 1nk   12 2¾ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★ 1.70 P
1  BEG BORROW N STEAL 1 6 63¾ 65½   33 32¼ (block chris)MOJICA O 121 8.00 8.60  
6  USA USA USA 5 3 52¾ 54   66½ 48¾ (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 20.60  
4  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 3 1 42¼ 43½   43½ 512½ (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 ★ 12.20  
2  FROSTED ECLAIR 2 7 2nk 2nk   55½ 613¾ (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00 26.20  
9  PRETTY IN PRADO 7 5 73¾ 76   79 717 (boyce michele)LOPEZ E 121 4.50 15% 5.50 3.90  
SCR  KISS N BIZ               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  POSITIONDUMONI               (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
 
HAW-6   09/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURTS SO GOOD 1 1 11 12½   13 12¼ (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 2.50 1.70  
11  FOLLOW THE SIGNS 9 4 43 43   23 22¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 8.00 ★ 4.50 P
10  REMEMBER THE MAINE 8 7 78 79   46 33 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 10% 9.40 13.30 S
5  KING TITO 4 2 21 32½   56½ 46 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 18.20  
4  GRAND HIDEAWAY 3 9 89 811   79 56½ (reid r)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 10.00 6.70  
2  DEVIL'S RULE 2 6 67 66   67 66½ (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00 27.80  
7  DIVE DEEP 6 5 53½ 22½   34½ 77¼ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 25% 2.90 2.50  
6  SAMURAI MIKE 5 3 32½ 54½   89 89¼ (litfin ne)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 19.50  
9  OMAR ATTACK 7 8 913 919   921 921¾ (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 ★ 18.60  
SCR  ADIOS ASHER               (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND               (cook brian)PENA JONUELLE 111 20.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIVE STUDENT               (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 30.00    
SCR  RED HOT DEVIL               (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
SCR  WINGING WAYS               (meraz antonio)PEREZ E 121 20.00    
 
HAW-7   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:213 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HAND PAY 3 7 75½ 45½   32 11¾ (robertson)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 3.50  
3  ELI'S PROMISE 2 3 1½ 11   11½ 21¾ (divito p)MOJICA O 120 8.00 25% 2.90 1.10 P
6  SIR STERLING 5 4 2½ 21   21½ 34¼ (rengstorf t)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00 9.10  
7  BLACKTECA 6 1 3½ 31   44½ 49¼ (scherer gary)FELIX E 120 12.00 17.40  
9  SUMMER ALL YEAR 7 5 54 65¾   64¾ 511 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 8% 11.30 5.30  
5  TIZWOW 4 2 43 55¾   54½ 612 (retana)BAILON JADHIR 122 10.00 50.70  
2  MAGNA MASSA 1 6 65 78¾   77¾ 714 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30  
SCR  PRIMITY               (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  UNCASHED               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-8   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:242 :463 1:132 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALLEN 2 2 23 65½ 43 1nk 1½ (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 10.00  
8  PERFECT WAGER 7 3 55¼ 43½ 53½ 2nk 2½ (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 ★ 2.50 P
6  CHRISTIAN C 5 7 810¼ 811½ 77 3½ 31¼ (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 53% 0.90 2.60 S
4  THE LAST OPTION 4 5 33 22½ 1½ 41½ 46¼ (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 8.20  
3  KRAMDEN 3 8 79¼ 710½ 810 62¼ 57 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 15% 5.70 3.40  
1  FEELING DANGEROUS 1 1 13 12½ 2½ 51¾ 69 (rodriguez eduardo)BAIRD T 111 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
7  WILLING TO SPEED 6 6 65¼ 55 65 72¾ 711 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 10.90  
9  BULLDOG OF BERGEN 8 4 43¼ 33 32 84¾ 822 (holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 ★ 25.00  
SCR  MANGO TREE               (perez mann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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