Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST RIGHT MIKE Sep07 Aug10 Jun30 Jun18 May25 (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  PIRATE BIRD Sep08 Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 Jul16 (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 ★    
3  FINAL CALL Aug16 Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 6.00 ★    
4  IRISH LIGHTED ROAD Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00    
5  SIR ACEALOT Aug21 Jun24 Jun10 May20 May14 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Aug12 Jun24 Jun10 May04 Apr10 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-2   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GUN IT Jul15 Jun10 May21 Apr30 Apr16 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 4.00    
SCR  LEMON BLITZ Sep23 Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 Jul01 (jansen kenny)PENA JONUELLE 111 10.00 6% 16.10    
3  CAMPAIGN SPY Sep10 Aug09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  NOT VERY GENTLE Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21   (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 3.00    
5  TALLESTOFTHETALL Aug27 Aug14 Aug04 Jul04 Jun24 (campbell joel)EMIGH A 121 5.00 ★    
6  PISTOL BOX Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 Feb10   (kirby fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  IRISH MAJOR Sep24 Jun18 Jun04 May20 May07 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-3   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONAN Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
2  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 121 5.00 ★    
3  LINDALOUIMAGE Aug20 Jul22 Jun21 May24 May03 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 ★    
4  CARSON RESERVE Sep17 Aug20 Jul29 Jul05 Jun21 (lamew l)LOPEZ A 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
5  GOOD MONGOLIA Aug14 Jul17 Jun01 May20 May06 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  HOT DAME Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 May28 May08 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-4   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LINE TO GAIN Sep17         (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TEN COUNT         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  NOBLE CREEKER Aug18         (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
4  MINNESOTA MOON Sep07         (block chris)FELIX E 122 6.00    
5  EL RAYO (ARG) Sep13 Aug18 Jul23 Jul10 Jun11 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 6.00    
6  OCEAN POINTE Sep08         (walsh p)MOJICA O 122 3.00 ★    
7  RED CENTS Aug28         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 10% 8.70    
8  SIVAKO Sep01 Jul16 Jun23     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  SHARP AZ NAILS Sep13         (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEG BORROW N STEAL Sep08 Aug18       (block chris)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
2  FROSTED ECLAIR         (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00    
SCR  KISS N BIZ Sep05         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Aug15 Jun17 Jun10 May20 Apr30 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 ★    
5  GHALY POSSE Aug26         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
6  USA USA USA Sep01 Aug10 Jul09 Jun10   (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
SCR  POSITIONDUMONI Sep08         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
8  GHAALEB'S HONOR Aug30         (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
9  PRETTY IN PRADO         (boyce michele)LOPEZ E 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
HAW-6   09/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURTS SO GOOD Sep17 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 2.50    
2  DEVIL'S RULE Sep24 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00    
SCR  RED HOT DEVIL Sep01 Aug15 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
4  GRAND HIDEAWAY Aug16 Jul06 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (reid r)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 10.00    
5  KING TITO Sep13 Jul30 Jul01 Jun21 Jun11 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
6  SAMURAI MIKE Sep07 Aug24 Jul24 Jun18 Jun12 (litfin ne)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00    
7  DIVE DEEP Sep05 Aug16 Jun24 Jun03 May14 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  ADIOS ASHER Aug23 Aug04 Jul11 Jun11 May01 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
9  OMAR ATTACK Jun11 May20 Apr30     (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 ★    
10  REMEMBER THE MAINE Sep07 Aug31 Aug11 Jul09 Jun11 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 10% 9.40    
11  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Feb12         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  WINGING WAYS Sep23 Sep09 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 (meraz antonio)PEREZ E 121 20.00    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 May21 Mar04 (cook brian)PENA JONUELLE 111 20.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIVE STUDENT Sep13 Aug16 Jul06 Jun16 Apr24 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 30.00    
 
HAW-7   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCASHED Sep13         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  MAGNA MASSA Aug09         (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  ELI'S PROMISE Aug14 Jul08 Jun19     (divito p)MOJICA O 120 8.00 25% 2.90    
4  HAND PAY Sep10 Aug18 Jul28     (robertson)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
5  TIZWOW Sep06 Aug26 Aug09 Jul08   (retana)BAILON JADHIR 122 10.00    
6  SIR STERLING Sep10 Aug18       (rengstorf t)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00    
7  BLACKTECA Sep17 Jul30 Jul03     (scherer gary)FELIX E 120 12.00    
SCR  PRIMITY Sep17         (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 5.00 ★    
9  SUMMER ALL YEAR Sep17 Jul16 Jul03     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
HAW-8   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING DANGEROUS Aug05 Jul17 Jun04 May20 Apr02 (rodriguez edu)PENA JONUELLE 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALLEN Sep14 Jun16 May21 Mar06 Feb05 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
3  KRAMDEN Aug27 Aug18 Aug04 Jul17 Jun30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
4  THE LAST OPTION Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00    
SCR  MANGO TREE Jun18 Jun04 May01 Apr24 Apr09 (perez mann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
6  CHRISTIAN C May13 Apr17 Mar02     (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
7  WILLING TO SPEED Jun24 Jun04 May20 May13 Feb16 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
8  PERFECT WAGER Sep17 Sep01 Aug21 Jul28 Jun16 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
9  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jul08 (holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.