The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Canterbury Downs
Thursday - August 18, 2022

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CBY-1   08/18/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 6:12
:22 :46 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAND PAY 7 1 3½ 2   22 1(robertson mclean)GOODWIN N 118 4.00 43% 1.30 3.90 W
11  ROSES BY LIAM 9 3 63 5   52(vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 118 10.00 8.50  
SCATAMARAN 4 4 1½ 1   12 3(richard chris)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00 2.40 S
10  UNDERTOW 8 6 5 44   32 4(berndt joel)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 3.50 31% 2.20 2.10  
WEST ISLAND 5 2 2½ 33   45(rengstorf tony)FUENTES A 118 8.00 8.80  
RED'S MR Z 1 8 712 711½   6610¾ (rarick lynn)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 15.00 35.40  
IMAGINE DRAYGON 6 7 813 813½   713 712¼ (backhaus lexon)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 30.00 47.40  
WARBURN 2 9 923 924½   918½ 820½ (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 118 15.00 35.00  
KURT'S CHOICE 3 5 42 6   813½ 929 (robertson mclean)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00 5% 18.60 7.80  
SCR  NOTORIOUS MRSECRET               (hanson vic)HARR KELSI 118 12.00    
SCR  WILD TIME               (robertson mclean)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 6.00    
 
CBY-2   08/18/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
:233 :464 1:102     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYKAT 5 7 78 6   51½ (donlin d)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 8% 11.30 3.80 W
SILLY NOTION 1 6 3 4   32½ (silva jr)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 14.60 P
KALLINIKI 3 5 5 5   23¾ (silva jr)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.50 30% 2.30 2.10 S
IF YOU WANT IT 2 4 65 7   64(wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.70  
ELEMENTAL 8 3 2 1nk   15(perkinson cc)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 15.00 59.40  
SHES GOT THE POWER 4 8 8 8   87 6(rhone bernell)FUENTES A 122 3.50 7.20  
CRIMINAL RECORD 6 2 1 2nk   47(asprino alfredo)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 19.30  
MIZZANNA 7 1 43 32   787 (sheehan nancy)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 5.00 5.10  
 
CBY-3   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE MACHINE 6 3 21 21   21 1½ (berndt joel)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.00 50% 1.00 1.10 W
TAPIT SAM 5 1 11 11   11 2½ (litfin nevada)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 13% 6.90 1.40 P
SWEET ANALYZER 4 5 53 43   33 3(riecken bruce)CARTER KYLE 119 5.00 13.20 S
SMART OXIE 1 2 43 3   44 411¾ (livingston jerry)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 6.00 12.40  
R VOO'S TABOO 2 7 64 5   5516¾ (westermann l)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
SMOKEONTHEHORIZON 7 4 3 66   68 617½ (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 3.50 8% 12.20 6.70  
BURN BOSS 3 6 77 714   715 729½ (hanson vic)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 119 20.00 70.80  
 
CBY-4   08/18/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
:24 :463 1:104     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER FORTUNE 3 5 4 4   32 1nk (rosin w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 23% 3.30 4.90 W
CHICKEN TRUCK 8 3 31 3½   22nk (danger kevin)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 12.00 17.10  
DEVOTED TO YOU 5 1 1½ 1nk   13.2 (rhone bernell)FUENTES A 124 8.00 6.80  
COASTAL WATERS 2 7 67 67   45 4(lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 5.70  
FEEDING FRENZY 4 6 89 810½   810½ 58 (berndt joel)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 5.00 17% 4.80 4.70  
CHAMPAGNE PEGASUS 1 8 78 78   66(wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 13% 6.70 1.80  
STAR OF STARS 6 2 2½ 2nk   56 710½ (russell nathan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 6% 17.10 58.00  
10  MR. COUGAR 9 9 912½ 916   913½ 812¾ (westermann l)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 12.00 6.50  
EDGIE REGGIE 7 4 5 56   710 914½ (rengstorf tony)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 28.10  
SCR  HIGHTAIL COWBOY               (berndt joel)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
 
CBY-5   08/18/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:12
:222 :462 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR STERLING 6 4 2nk 1½   1nk 1(rengstorf tony)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 12.00 15.50  
TOTAL SURPRISE 3 5 1nk 2½   2nk 2(berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.30 P
PROTONIC AND GIN 7 9 812¼ 615½   58 3(robertson mclean)WADE LYNDIE 118 5.00 7.20 S
JOSE PATIO 5 8 4 31   34 410¾ (biehler e)LOPEZ KARLO 118 12.00 19% 4.10 8.70  
WYNN TRIP 1 6 5 5   4512 (robertson mclean)GOODWIN N 118 4.00 25% 3.10 3.20  
11  FISHERMAN OSCAR 9 2 31 44   611 621¾ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
JERSEY WANNA BEE 2 7 7 716   715 723¼ (hanson vic)HARR KELSI 118 20.00 26.80  
MR INSENSITIVE 4 1 6 918   919 826¾ (silva miguel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 8.00 7.60  
10  BORDERLINEOUTALINE 8 3 912¾ 816   817½ 930¾ (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 118 15.00 38.90  
SCR  PRESTIGIOUSLY WILD               (backhaus lexon)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  QUARANTENA BAMBINO               (robertson mclean)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 6.00    
 
CBY-6   08/18/2022 4950ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
:234 :472 1:122 1:254   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRAMDEN 2 6 2½ 11 1 111 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 10.00 8% 12.20 17.90 W
CASHANOVA 6 9 9 8 44 33 21 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.00 2.20  
PALACE PRINCE 1 7 43 4 2 23(belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 124 12.00 26.60  
11  CAMPS BAY 10 11 1113¾ 1114 812½ 54(sanderson bruce)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 10.00 17.80  
10  MR. WHO 9 3 53 3 3 45 5(williams matt)HARR KELSI 124 4.50 19% 4.30 3.30  
MISCHIEVOUS MO 7 10 1010¾ 1010 6 68 610½ (fields patrick)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00 26.80  
UNBROKEN SONG 5 4 7 7 711½ 812 719½ (litfin nevada)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
ROCKTIZWAY 3 2 1½ 21 57 712 820 (velazquez brayan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 16% 5.40 11.70  
FAYETTE WARRIOR 8 1 3 6 1016½ 918 932½ (bethke a)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 15.00 58.90  
GAINER 4 8 64 5 914 1019½ 1036 (anderson l)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 20.00 44.00  
12  RIVER ROSE 11 5 88 910 1119 1122 1141¾ (silva jr)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.20  
SCR  BOURBON TAN               (perkinson cc)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
 
CBY-7   08/18/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:12
:222 :454 1:131     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE MOXY 7 2 2 23   1nk 1(silva miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00 16% 5.40 3.90 W
IMPULSUS 8 1 65 46   2nk 2(kenney ryan)WADE LYNDIE 119 12.00 22.80  
HOUSE OF TARGARYEN 4 4 34 3   43(silva miguel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 1.70 S
12  THAT WOULD BE NICE 10 9 911 711½   64(rengstorf tony)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 6.00 10% 8.80 7.70  
11  FULL SPEED ASTERN 9 8 8 610   811½ 510¼ (bullene michael)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 119 15.00 13.10  
CLARE CRESCENT 5 6 1 13   3610½ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 119 20.00 35.40  
ORTS DREAM 6 3 4 5   56 710½ (lawrence heath)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 15.00 41.80  
TEMPORARILY 3 5 5 813   7810½ (silva jr)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 4.00 12% 7.20 2.30  
I CAME TO SHAME 2 10 1013 1019   914½ 911¼ (smith r)HARR KELSI 124 15.00 24.60  
PRICELESS MIRACLE 1 7 7 914   1015 1020¼ (smith r)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 15.00 46.90  
SCR  GIVE EM SHADE               (smith r)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S XTREMELY HOT               (robertson mclean)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
CBY-8   08/18/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
:221 :46 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY'S RED DEVIL 4 8 78 46   21(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.50 4.50  
NEW DICE 3 5 8 7   42(litfin nevada)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 9% 9.80 6.00 P
MISAWA 8 3 1 15   13(rarick wade)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 8.00 8% 11.00 1.50 S
POVERTY FLATS 5 4 55 36   35 4(anderson l)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 12.00 22.00  
IRISH TUFF 6 7 67 57   55(padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50 39% 1.60 13.90  
SR. BOM BON 2 1 33 68   669 (silva miguel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 13% 6.80 4.70  
NATURAL CHILL 1 2 2 25   710 713¼ (robertson mclean)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.00 5.10  
HERECOMESTHEHAMMER 7 6 4 8   810¼ 816¾ (kenney ryan)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 15.00 6% 15.90 18.90  
SCR  GONE A LIL LU HU               (smith r)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.