Handicappers' Race Results

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Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PRM-5   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($21.36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING DEUCE 5 2 1½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (loy dewaine)GARCIA A 124 8.00 22% 3.60 5.90 W
CAESARTHERULER 6 1 2½ 2½   2nk 2¾ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 2.60 P
LARCH 3 5 42 31   32 3 (chleborad lynn)CANCHARI ALEX 124 2.00 26% 2.90 1.90 S
OSCAR WINNER WALLY 4 4 5 5   44 4 (broberg karl)JORDAN R 119 2.50 23% 3.40 3.30  
NOT ROCKET SCIENCE 2 6 6 6   55 5 (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50 5.10  
NOSBOR 1 3 32 43   6 6 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 8.00 15.80  
 
PRM-6   07/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 ALL PT- 7:08
See original race card.
:231 :472       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNUAL BUDGET 1 5 32 2   2 1¾ (von kelly)TOHILL S 119 2.50 55% 0.80 2.10 W
SANGRIA SKY 5 2 12 1   1 2¾ (tibbitts dave)CORBETT W 119 15.00 9.00  
SUCCESSION (GB) 6 8 6 6   33 3 (fett brandi)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 20% 4.00 3.40 S
10  MACH SWEDE 8 1 4 33   46 416¼ (fett brandi)JORDAN R 114 20.00 2.60  
WILY WADE 3 3 7 7   68 517½ (mcshane david)GARCIA A 119 20.00 43.90  
ONE SOCK BILLY 2 7 53 5   57 621½ (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50 6.20  
TAP ON BY 7 4 22 43   711 728¼ (hemba brad)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 10.50  
PALACE JESTER 4 6 8 8   812 828¼ (mcshane dav)TRIANA JR 119 10.00 24.10  
SCR  AIN'T SO BAD               (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 119 4.00    
SCR  LEAPIN TY MAN               (martin timothy )PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
PRM-7   07/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT RULES 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 12 1 (clark r)GARCIA A 120 2.50 25% 3.10 7.00 W
EVIL KNIEVEL 6 5 53 31 3½ 22 2 (wellington tom)JORDAN R 115 2.00 51% 1.00 0.60 P
PISTOL PACKIN MAN 5 6 66 6 4 45 3 (mcshane d)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00 18.00 S
FLEET OF HOOF 4 3 4 21 2½ 34 410½ (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 1.90  
SWAMPDRAINER 3 2 2½ 4 5 58 524¼ (pearson m)TOHILL S 125 6.00 15.30  
TACTICAL REBEL 1 4 32 5 610¾ 615 630¾ (leapley )FLETCHER D 125 8.00 40.00  
 
PRM-8   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LODE OF BLARNEY 1 2 11 1nk   1 1 (gonzalez is)TRIANA JR 123 3.00 25% 3.00 5.20 W
DOWNTOWNER 2 7 6 6   45 2 (broberg karl)JORDAN R 120 4.50 12% 7.60 2.60 P
LITTLE TOE 7 6 5 42   33 3 (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 125 2.50 9% 10.50 2.90 S
FEARLESS WILL 6 4 4 2nk   2 47 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 6.00 1.10  
CANDY'S LITTLE TIP 4 1 21 31   55 516¼ (green gerald)TOHILL S 125 15.00 42.80  
MONSIEUR BROWN 5 5 7 7   69 622½ (de mo)FLETCHER D 121 20.00 64.80  
MIDNIGHT DRAMA 3 3 31 54   710 724½ (womochi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 125 12.00 38.70  
SCR  CATALOGUE               (martinez ke)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  COWORKER               (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRM-9   07/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :48 1:133 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODY BOUCHER 2 5 55 54 4 3 1 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 115 4.00 16.90  
PREGAME 4 4 4 4 3.2 21 2 (martin will)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 26% 2.80 11.90 P
PINCH HITTER 1 1 3 2 2nk 11 3 (loy dewaine)GARCIA A 116 3.00 34% 2.00 5.20 S
CANONIZE (IRE) 6 6 2½ 32 5 5 412 (chlebora)FLETCHER D 120 10.00 63.50  
CHICAGO CHROME 5 2 1½ 1 1nk 4 516¾ (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 120 6.00 10.20  
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 3 3 6 65 6 611½ 622¼ (von kell)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.80 19% 4.20 0.20  
 
PRM-10   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE GILFORD 7 1 2nk 2nk   12 11 (von don)TOHILL S 124 6.00 6.50  
HERZEN 4 8 8 7   3 21 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00 36% 1.80 1.30 P
FREER 5 6 4 1nk   22 3 (martin timothy )CANCHARI ALEX 124 5.00 7.40 S
B MAKER 3 5 3.2 4   4 4 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 7% 14.10 8.30  
CREATIVE ONE 6 7 6 6   55 5 (schnell don)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 27% 2.60 3.00  
MR FROST 8 2 5 32   78 616½ (martin timothy)JORDAN R 115 12.00 13.10  
HANDSOME HUNTER 1 3 1nk 5   8 727¾ (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 38.30  
MAX'S HEART 2 4 7 8   67 8100 (shaw tyrone)BIRZER E 120 8.00 12.20  
SCR  ROAD BIBLE               (arnett g)GARCIA A 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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