Handicappers' Race Results
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Prairie Meadows
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
PRM-5   09/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
See original race card.
:223 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FRANKLY EPIC 3 1 11½ 1½   11 1nk (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 3.00 31% 2.30 1.50 W
6  POE MANS RIDE 6 2 21½ 2½   21 2nk (curtis n)FLETCHER D 124 1.80 21% 3.90 1.40 P
4  BLUE PARADISE (GB) 4 5 53½ 33   33 3¼ (eikleberry kev)JORDAN R 121 5.00 ★ 6.00 S
1  HANDSOME STRANGER 1 3 32½ 56½   45½ 46½ (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 ★ 5.20  
5  DIRT ROAD COWBOY 5 6 67½ 68½   612 515½ (reiste tim)MARTINEZ A 121 6.00 18% 4.70 14.80  
2  BLITZED 2 4 42½ 45½   59½ 619¾ (leapley dua)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 25.80  
 
PRM-6   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BYE LOVE GOTTA GO 2 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 11 (martin e)TOHILL S 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.50 W
4  COLD AS YOU 4 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 4.00 ★ 4.90 P
6  GAME TO PLAY 6 6 42 42¾   57 34¾ (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.50 ★ 6.60 S
3  PICTURE LADY 3 5 53½ 55¼   45½ 46¾ (jacquot )FLETCHER D 123 12.00 ★ 36.50  
5  GARBO SPEAKS 5 4 3½ 3.2   33½ 57 (hemba brad)JORDAN R 123 3.00 36% 1.80 4.40  
1  PAPA'S SECRET 1 1 66½ 69¼   610 67½ (mcshane d)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 10.00 24.30  
 
PRM-7   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:124     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMOKIN BOOTS 2 5 58 511 56½ 2½ 1½ (gleason tyrone)JORDAN R 124 5.00 ★ 1.80  
4  SNAP HOOK 3 2 36 38 33½ 1½ 2½ (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 10% 9.10 1.90 P
6  FAKE SOLUTION 4 1 47½ 49½ 44½ 41½ 3¾ (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 120 3.50 ★ 7.90 S
7  PRIVATE LAKE 5 3 1nk 11 12 3½ 47¼ (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 3.00 12% 7.70 2.80  
2  GRAND DESIGN 1 4 2nk 21 22 56½ 522¾ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 5.80  
SCR  ATTAIN SUCCESS               (arnett g)TOHILL S 128 8.00    
SCR  HUNKA BURNING LOVE               (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
PRM-8   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WAIT A SEC 6 1 12½ 12   13 11 (schnell don)TOHILL S 121 1.80 48% 1.10 1.10 W
2  KEEN CONTENDER 1 4 610 55   33 21 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 121 2.50 19% 4.30 1.60 P
4  KENZIE LOU 3 6 48½ 22   43¼ 34½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 ★ 7.60 S
3  LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS 2 5 36½ 32   23 45 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 3.00 5.80  
6  HEY NELLIE 5 2 22½ 44   59¼ 522¼ (clark ki)FLETCHER D 121 8.00 ★ 16.70  
5  MISS WILDCAT 4 3 58½ 620   639¼ 6100 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 121 15.00 5% 17.60 18.90  
SCR  MUCHO MIA               (gleason tyrone)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 15.00    
 
PRM-9   09/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 2 ALL PT-10:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUCCESSION (GB) 6 6 43 31   21½ 11 (fett brandi)BIRZER E 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.60 W
2  TAP ON BY 1 1 11½ 1½   11½ 21 (hemba br)FLETCHER D 119 4.50 ★ 16.60 P
8  LEADING THE CAUSE 7 4 85½ 65   66 35¾ (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 119 12.00 8% 10.80 13.90 S
4  NINETEEN HUNDRED 3 3 32½ 42½   44 47 (hansen ty)CORBETT W 119 10.00 3.10 DQ↓6
6  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH 5 7 53½ 54   33 59 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.30  
5  RAYS BIG DREAM 4 5 21½ 2½   54½ 69 (von kelly)TOHILL S 119 6.00 9.20  
3  EDGY LOVER 2 8 75½ 77   711 717¼ (murphy swa)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 26.60  
9  PALACE JESTER 8 2 64 87   817 827½ (mcshane d)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 20.00 79.50  
SCR  BABYS TIME TO SING               (murphy trav)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 ★    
 
PRM-10   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($24.767K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:134     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SIMMERING 2 1 1nk 11½ 11½ 15 113 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 120 3.00 21% 3.80 0.10 W
2  NAUTICAL MISS 1 5 43¾ 43 21½ 25 213 (chleborad lynn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 ★ 6.50 P
6  RISKY WHISKY 5 4 55¾ 54 33½ 37½ 318 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 6.00 ★ 13.00 S
4  DIAMOND OF EKATI 3 3 2nk 21½ 48½ 417½ 437¼ (clark dick )DE CRUZ 124 8.00 31.20  
5  TAPIT'S LADY 4 2 3.2 31½ 513½ 529½ 572 (jacquot gene)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 30% 2.40 6.50  
SCR  KAYLOR               (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRM-11   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-11:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOCIAL CIRCLE 2 5 41½ 41¼ 1nk 1nk 1nk (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 ★ 3.10  
8  LETS TAKE IT IZZY 6 2 31 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (arnett g)BIRZER E 128 2.50 41% 1.50 2.40 P
3  FLATOUTANDFOXY 3 6 63½ 52¼ 42 33 3½ (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 8.00 10% 9.40 4.10 S
7  DIXIELAND CANDY 5 1 2½ 3.2 31½ 410 418¼ (young e)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00 5.10  
1  THAT LUVIN FEELING 1 3 52 63¼ 66 617 531¾ (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00 12.60  
6  MISS ALPHA BELLA 4 4 1½ 1nk 55 515 634 (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 124 3.00 15% 5.80 3.10  
SCR  FLYTA               (caldwell j )DE CRUZ 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  SNAP AWAY               (murphy s)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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