Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Sunday - October 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   10/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:113 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFE TRAVELS 2 4 12 12 12 1 1¾ (block chris)MOJICA O 117 1.80 21% 3.80 1.40 W
MISSION BELLE 6 3 4 44 3 2 2¾ (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 P
TAPERINEA 7 6 3 22 22 35 3 (granitz j)PEREZ E 121 6.00 5.80  
LAKE BARKLEY 5 1 6 68 510½ 413 415½ (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 30.00 58.80  
SHE TAKES FLIGHT 4 2 5 54 410½ 516 520½ (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 18.10  
ROYA 3 7 7 715 622½ 636 677¾ (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 117 8.00 14% 6.20 11.30  
IRISH HALO 1 5 22 33 7100 7100 7100 (perez manny)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
SCR  LORI ATTACK               (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
SCR  MI ENLACE               (wittek karyn)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAMARITA               (childers vance)BAIRD T 117 12.00    
 
HAW-2   10/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:223 :47 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD DYLAN 1 1 22 22   2nk 1 (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 114 3.00 18% 4.50 1.30 W
10  HURTS SO BAD 9 3 12 12   1nk 2 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 5.00 23% 3.30 1.80 P
TRIPLE CHROME 2 2 4 5   4 3 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.00 17% 4.80 5.60 S
GOTTA CHASE IT 5 5 6 32   34 4 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.50 20% 3.90 5.30  
PERIPATETIC 8 9 7 7   7 5 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 41.40  
KING ZION 7 8 9 8   6 610¾ (perez manny)PEREZ E 124 15.00 55.00  
MORANT 4 6 8 910¼   8 711¼ (garrett j)FELIX E 121 15.00 32.10  
WILDCAT HAGRID 3 7 5 6   5 815 (litfin ne)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 10.00 30.10  
GRUMPA 6 4 32 4   910¼ 920½ (matthews doug)LOPEZ E 121 20.00 64.50  
SCR  STORM'S REFLECTION               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 6.00    
 
HAW-3   10/02/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:223 :453       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF KODIAK 2 3 5 3   2 1¾ (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 5.00 14% 6.30 1.70 W
STALLONE 3 1 1nk 1   1 2¾ (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00 8.80 P
TOM'S LAST GENERAL 5 5 33 2   34 3 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00 5% 19.00 27.80 S
TETSU 4 7 66 59   48 4 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 54% 0.80 1.90  
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 1 2 78 611   611½ 59 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 12.00  
COMFORT ME NOW 8 6 4 48   5 6 (plasters lori)EMIGH A 121 6.00 12.50  
MAJESTIC ATTACK 6 8 811½ 714   714 715 (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 15.00 16.60  
SUSPECT 7 4 2nk 822   8100 8100 (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 12.00 5.10  
SCR  TWO COOKIE RULE               (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
 
HAW-4   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:214 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OEUVRE 4 3 21 11   1 16 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.60 25% 3.00 0.50 W
WILDWOOD'S BEAUTY 1 1 11 31   2 26 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 4.00 P
READY TO RUNAWAY 2 4 4 5   44 3 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 2.50 51% 1.00 5.10 S
SHARP HERO 5 2 32 21   3 47 (ross s)EMIGH A 121 5.00 5.70  
SOMEONE SAID SO 3 5 5 45   5 5 (rosin coty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 30.20  
 
HAW-5   10/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE B GLAMOROUS 2 9 911 99 910 53 1¼ (johns justi)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 16% 5.30 6.70 W
DAIGLE 1 1 1½ 2nk 21 1½ 2¼ (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00 3.70  
ON A TOUR 7 6 5 5 65 74 3 (matthews doug)MOJICA O 121 4.00 35% 1.80 2.00 S
SILVERA 3 3 32 32 4 3 4 (candel)BAILON JADHIR 114 15.00 73.70  
NORTHERN ALLIANCE 8 8 7 74 7 6 5 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
ROMANTIC ATTACK 4 2 2½ 1nk 11 2½ 6 (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 8.00 3.80  
RENTAL POOL 5 4 4 4 3 43 7 (robertson hug)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 4.50 7% 13.80 8.50  
10  IMAGINE GOLD 9 7 88 8 8 9 86 (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 20.00 47.40  
KINDA LUCKY 6 5 65 6 5 87 97 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 15% 5.80 6.00  
SCR  RARE ACTION ATTACK               ( )MENA MARVIN 121 20.00    
 
HAW-6   10/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:142 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESURRECTION ROAD 4 1 1 1 12 1 1 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 13% 6.40 0.80 W
NOFANSINTHESTANDS 5 4 4 44 22 2 2 (campbell joel)FELIX E 121 1.80 17% 4.90 3.40 P
WEEKEND PASS 3 6 57 6 5 3 34 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 4.90  
DARING DAMSEL 2 2 2 3 32 58 411½ (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 12.00 34.70  
SIMPLY FAST 6 5 6 56 6 6 512¾ (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00 13% 6.90 19.80  
WANNA HAVE FUN 1 3 3 2 4 47 614½ (granitz j)PEREZ E 121 2.50 30% 2.30 4.10  
SCR  HOOSIER GOLD CASE               (hughes w)COLON H 121 15.00    
 
HAW-7   10/02/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:22 :444       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPBEAT MELODY 4 1 1½ 11   12 1 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 5.00 34% 1.90 1.70 W
KENNESAW 1 3 8 8   4 2 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 121 3.50 7.40 P
10  SWISHAWISH 10 8 4 45   5 3 (coontz a)PEREZ E 118 10.00 7.40  
LAKE MILLS 3 2 5 56   6 42 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00 11.80  
11  ON K P 11 5 31 31   3 5 (rednour j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 8.80  
BAYOU COLONEL 2 6 78 7   77 6 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 32% 2.10 3.90  
CINDY'S G MAN 9 4 2½ 21   22 75 (watkins m)FELIX E 118 15.00 8.60  
12  MY BROTHER CAM 12 12 67 6   89 8 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00 15.80  
WHERE'D THE DAY GO 5 7 1010½ 1113¼   1012 9 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00 10% 8.60 44.00  
DASTARDLY DEEDS 8 10 1110¾ 1012¾   1112¼ 109 (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 30.00 72.20  
STORMIN EL PRADO 7 9 9 910¼   911 119 (appleton jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 30.00 79.90  
LONESOME DREAM 6 11 1213¼ 1217¼   1216¼ 1211¾ (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 121 20.00 88.00  
SCR  CHEEKERS               (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 20.00    
SCR  FUTURE VISION               (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00    
 
HAW-8   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:214 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIND YOUR OWN BIZ 7 1 3½ 1½   1½ 11 (butler ger)MOLINA F 121 6.00 16% 5.20 6.80 W
RUBY'S RED DEVIL 1 7 712 610   33 21 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 2.80 P
TURN THE SWITCH 6 4 44 43   2½ 32 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 124 5.00 7% 14.20 9.70 S
MANGO TREE 5 5 5 5   43 4 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 10.00 6.60  
UNBROKEN SONG 2 6 610½ 710   65 5 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00 6.30  
WINGING WAYS 4 3 2nk 2½   5 617¾ (meraz antonio)PEREZ E 121 3.50 23% 3.30 1.40  
CHOPPER 3 2 1nk 32   7 722 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 6.00 17.50  
SCR  AWESOME FAMILY               (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 4.00 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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