Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) 4 1 12 11½   14 16½ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 3.50 30% 2.30 0.60 W
4  MINI DRESS 3 2 22 21½   24 26½ (watkins m)ORM CORY 121 1.40 38% 1.60 1.60 P
1  SENORITA EMMA 1 3 43½ 46½   36½ 36¾ (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 6.00 ★ 11.10 S
3  PRINCESS CONSUELA 2 4 33 32½   47 49½ (sanchez osc)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 5.00 ★ 6.30  
SCR  FILLY FROM ILLY               (childers vanc)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 3.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IRISH TUFF 6 1 11 14½   11 18 (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.00 22% 3.50 1.80 W
2  VALLEY VISTA 2 6 21 24½   21 28 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 3.00 42% 1.40 0.80 P
5  TEA AFTER BALLET 5 3 52½ 35   31½ 38¾ (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.50 ★ 10.70 S
1  DARE GOES DA DEVIL 1 4 31½ 46   54 412¾ (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 4.50 12% 7.10 5.70  
3  OFF TO THE BEACH 3 5 66½ 610   67 513 (hughes w)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 8.00 ★ 22.60  
4  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE 4 2 42 56   44 613½ (ryan a)COLON H 121 6.00 27.90  
 
HAW-3   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAILORBESWIFT 2 2 31 41   1nk 11½ (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 2.00 47% 1.10 2.60 W
4  I DON'T WANT TO GO 4 1 1nk 1½   2nk 21½ (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 114 4.00 ★ 5.20 P
3  OWEN'S PLEASURE 3 4 53¼ 51¼   42 32¼ (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80 18% 4.50 1.10 S
5  KITTEN ROCKS 5 5 41¼ 3½   53½ 45¾ (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.50 ★ 2.90  
1  HEY HEY 1 3 2nk 2½   31 56½ (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 8.00 ★ 15.10  
 
HAW-4   09/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RICHIESGOTGAME 2 5 52½ 54 32 1nk 1¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.00 58% 0.70 2.20 W
6  QUANTUM LEAP 5 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (campbell )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 ★ 7.90 P
1  LAND MARK DEAL 1 4 42½ 43 53½ 41¾ 3¾ (block chris)MOJICA O 121 3.00 ★ 1.40 S
4  IWILLPERSEVERE 3 2 31½ 32 42½ 52¼ 42½ (slager mike)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 10.00 32.50  
5  P H FACTOR 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 56¾ (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 3.50 16% 5.40 1.80  
SCR  IOYA AGAIN               (block chris)EMIGH A 121 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHINA CODE 5 1 22 1nk   11 14 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
3  THE BOOKKEEPER 3 6 53¼ 41½   21 24 (divito p)MOJICA O 122 2.50 ★ 1.00 P
6  UNDERTOW 6 5 32 3½   43½ 36 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 28% 2.60 3.40 S
4  WESLAN 4 4 43 53½   55½ 49¼ (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00 25.80  
2  RIVZONAROLL 2 2 12 2nk   31 511¼ (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 3.00 45% 1.20 3.90  
1  HE'S CONNECTED 1 3 67¼ 613½   6100 6100 (padilla tim)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 ★ 14.40  
SCR  RED BIRD               (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
HAW-6   09/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:12 1:251   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KINGSBURRY ATTACK 3 7 68 67½ 44 41 12 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 6.60  
9  AQUACAT 7 4 44½ 43 31 1½ 22 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 16% 5.30 3.80 P
8  STORM BORN 6 5 33 21½ 21 2½ 33½ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 5.00 41% 1.50 8.80 S
2  LARK 2 6 79 710 79¼ 66 44¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.50 15% 5.50 2.00  
6  OFFICER NICK 4 2 12½ 11½ 11 3½ 54¾ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 4.50 5% 17.80 4.30  
7  JIM AND JIM 5 3 55½ 54 54¼ 52½ 66 (haran john)BAIRD T 120 6.00 ★ 4.70  
1  MEMPHIS THEPROPHET 1 1 22½ 32½ 68¼ 710 716¼ (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00 12.10  
SCR  CHARLIE'S BEACH               (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SCR  RETURN OF PREMIUM               (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 20.00    
 
HAW-7   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEDAL OF FACT 6 3 11½ 11   11½ 12¼ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00 6% 16.80 15.20 W
4  IMPRESSED 4 4 42 31   21½ 22¼ (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 3.80  
2  MISTER KELLY 2 1 32 42½   43½ 36 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 18% 4.50 3.20 S
3  LATIN CASINO 3 6 21½ 21   32½ 46 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 40% 1.50 1.10  
6  D' YANK 5 5 65¾ 66½   68 59½ (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 ★ 4.70  
1  LAVENDER EARL 1 2 52¼ 53½   56½ 615¼ (ramirez car)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 10.00 10% 9.00 15.50  
SCR  HIDE THE DEMON               (campbell michael)FELIX E 121 4.00    
 
HAW-8   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:213 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LONG TALL WOMAN 7 2 1nk 11   12 13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 49% 1.00 0.60 W
7  AH LEAH 6 6 33 21   22 23 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 8% 12.00 12.30 P
4  COUGER 4 4 65½ 65½   44 34¾ (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 8.40  
1  HER GOLD MINE 1 5 78½ 75¾   54¼ 44¾ (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00 18.90  
6  LADY ATLANTIC 5 3 44 53½   34 59 (ryan a)PEREZ E 121 8.00 19.90  
3  BEIRUT BEAUTY 3 7 54½ 32   74¾ 69½ (claire alexis)FELIX E 124 4.50 7% 14.00 2.40  
2  FIRST SQUADRON 2 1 2nk 43½   64¼ 711¼ (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 15.00 6% 16.40 21.00  
SCR  I LOVE TO RACE               (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SCR  WANNA HAVE FUN               (granitz anthon)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 7% 14.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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