Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORITA EMMA Aug09 Jul13 May17 Apr20   (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 6.00 ★    
SCR  FILLY FROM ILLY Jun14 May28 May10 Apr26   (childers vanc)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 3.00 ★    
3  PRINCESS CONSUELA Sep17 Sep06 Aug26 Aug13 Aug06 (sanchez osc)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 5.00 ★    
4  MINI DRESS Aug27 Jul29 Jun18 Jun07 Apr19 (watkins m)ORM CORY 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Jan01         (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
HAW-2   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Jul01 Jun25 Jun04 May27 May21 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
2  VALLEY VISTA Aug28 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  OFF TO THE BEACH Aug20 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May06 (hughes w)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 8.00 ★    
4  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Jun25 Jun04 May21 Apr23   (ryan a)COLON H 121 6.00    
5  TEA AFTER BALLET Sep13 Sep02 Aug13 Jun11 Jun03 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.50 ★    
6  IRISH TUFF Sep14 Aug27 Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-3   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY HEY Sep04 Aug21 Jul03 Jun17 May14 (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 8.00 ★    
2  TAILORBESWIFT Sep08 Aug04 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  OWEN'S PLEASURE Sep10 Aug27 Jul10 Jun08 May18 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80 18% 4.50    
4  I DON'T WANT TO GO Jun25 Jun11       (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 114 4.00 ★    
5  KITTEN ROCKS Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May01 Apr23 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-4   09/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAND MARK DEAL Sep06 Jul18 Jun11     (block chris)MOJICA O 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  IOYA AGAIN Aug25 Jul31 Jun03 Mar19 Feb10 (block chris)EMIGH A 121 4.00 ★    
3  RICHIESGOTGAME Jun21 Jun03 May13     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  IWILLPERSEVERE Aug16 Jun18 May28 May07 Apr17 (slager mike)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 10.00    
5  P H FACTOR Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Jun02 May25 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  QUANTUM LEAP Aug31 Aug14 Jul04 Jun09 May21 (campbell )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S CONNECTED Sep04         (padilla tim)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 ★    
2  RIVZONAROLL Aug31 Jun11       (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  THE BOOKKEEPER Sep11 Aug19 Jul30     (divito p)MOJICA O 122 2.50 ★    
4  WESLAN         (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00    
5  CHINA CODE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNDERTOW Aug18         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  RED BIRD Sep06 Aug09       (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
HAW-6   09/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMPHIS THEPROPHET Aug30 Aug16 Aug05     (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
2  LARK Aug19 Jun18 Jun11 May27 May20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  RETURN OF PREMIUM Aug16 Aug05       (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 20.00    
4  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Aug30 Aug16       (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S BEACH Sep13 Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 Apr26 (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
6  OFFICER NICK Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 May03 Feb10 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 4.50 5% 17.80    
7  JIM AND JIM Aug09 Jul07 Jun18 Jun03 May07 (haran john)BAIRD T 120 6.00 ★    
8  STORM BORN Aug16 Jul08       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 5.00 41% 1.50    
9  AQUACAT Aug05 Jun24 Apr28     (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
HAW-7   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVENDER EARL Aug22 Aug06 Jun25 Jun10 May13 (ramirez car)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 10.00 10% 9.00    
2  MISTER KELLY Aug22 Aug02 Jun30 May16 Apr19 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
3  LATIN CASINO Jul09 Jun14 May21 Mar11 Feb27 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  IMPRESSED Aug28 Jun22 Jun05 May12 Jan01 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 8.00    
SCR  HIDE THE DEMON Aug08 Jul11 May27 Apr08 Mar05 (campbell michael)FELIX E 121 4.00    
6  D' YANK Jul16 Jun17 May24 May07 Apr09 (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 ★    
7  MEDAL OF FACT Sep03 Aug16 Jul19 Jun11 May08 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00 6% 16.80    
 
HAW-8   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HER GOLD MINE Aug30 Aug15 Jun24 Jun11 May20 (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00    
2  FIRST SQUADRON Aug13 Jul19 Jul02 Jun04 May21 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 15.00 6% 16.40    
3  BEIRUT BEAUTY Sep16 Aug09 Jul27 Jul19 Jun30 (claire alexis)FELIX E 124 4.50 7% 14.00    
4  COUGER Sep15 Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jun29 (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  WANNA HAVE FUN Aug24 Aug05 Jul21 Jul13 May26 (granitz anthon)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 7% 14.10    
6  LADY ATLANTIC Aug17 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 May14 (ryan a)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
7  AH LEAH Aug13 Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 8% 12.00    
8  LONG TALL WOMAN Aug08 Jun24 Jun04 May15 Apr24 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  I LOVE TO RACE Jul29 Jun18 Jun04 May21 May13 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.