Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO EAGLES RIVER   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5.95  
BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS   (walsh br)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 32% 2.20 4.00 P
OLAZABAL   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 8.75  
J J'S JOKER   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 21.62  
MIDNIGHT PRANKS   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 23% 3.30 10.71  
11  TOP D'ORO   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.84  
TALLADEGA   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.74  
12  FUNNY UNCLE   (vance d)COURT K 119 20.00 32.05  
BIG HAT WILLIE   (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.92  
GABE   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 34.58  
10  ISLAND SWAGGER   (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 13.40  
SCR  ONASA   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
 
CD-2   10/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARODY   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 29% 2.40 4.00 W
HIGH CLASS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 2.74  
BRU NA BOINNE   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 19.44  
SURE CAN   (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 4.56  
MIDSUMMER SOIREE   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 15.31  
11  INVENTING ANNA   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 33% 2.00 7.14  
10  SHARP TAP   (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.15  
LADY OCEAN   (delgado gust)ROMERO GREGORY 119 12.00 17.15  
AMERICAN FAIRYTALE   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 40.57  
DOUGHTY   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 12% 7.30 7.46  
FAIRY HAIR   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 15.80  
SCR  COLLECTED GLORY   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SCR  GOLDBLOODED   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  HIGH END VIXEN   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VARSITY BLONDE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINY TEMPER   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.82 W
TOWHEAD   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.72 P
11  MO SHIRO   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 30.93  
ALPHA BELLA   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 15% 5.90 4.35  
ROSES AND ROZAY   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 30.00 31.31  
12  METAPHYSICAL   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 47.18  
THE ALYS LOOK   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.07  
10  NOMADIC PRIDE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 8.65  
SUN VALLEY ROAD   (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 19.56  
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 8.51  
MENDED WE STAND   (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 29.89  
SCR  PERFECT ROSE   (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 50.00    
 
CD-4   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CARPET READY   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 36.99  
PATTY VAN TWINKLE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 20.00 30.53  
LEMON BOMB   (pugh pete)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 8% 12.30 12.95 S
BO DEREK   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.31  
OKAY FINE   (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5.07  
BOARDWALK QUEEN   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 7% 12.80 6.73  
12  TOUGH LEGACY   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 20.40  
10  MARKET PROFILE   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 2.07  
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE   (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 21% 3.80 8.82  
PETERPAM   (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 34.52  
FIRST HILL   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 12.95  
11  TESHIMA   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 36.32  
SCR  KLASSY BRIDGETTE   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  LADAN   (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  LEIPZIG   (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER   (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
CD-5   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ROCKET CAN   (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 7.95  
13  SPIELMAN   (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 8.63  
BENGALS GO   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 33% 2.00 3.94 S
PAPPY WOLFE   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 41.75  
MAGNIFICENT MILE   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 10% 9.00 5.57  
ACCIDENT   (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 27.65  
DIVERSIFUL   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 7.56  
TOAST TO COAST   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 44.01  
SAM STORMY   (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 12.42  
12  MILLERS RITE   (vance d)COURT K 119 50.00 69.16  
PYRENEES   (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 32% 2.10 1.90  
10  O GANGSTER   (delgado gusta)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 86.15  
SCR  DARIO   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  WICKED SECRET   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOSIER PHILLY   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 30% 2.30 1.04 W
T MAX   (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 19% 4.20 7.26 P
FUN AND FEISTY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.33 S
PEACOCK LASS   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 8% 11.10 7.24  
STELLAR LADY   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 20.00 10.65  
EAST SHORE   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 25.84  
DRE ME LESS   (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 15.95  
SCR  NAUGHTY GAL   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKING WAY   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 15% 5.60 0.96 W
BRAZEN BOY   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 20.64  
BACKSIDE BUZZ   (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 31.02  
DREAMWITHINADREAM   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 18.95  
GORDY'S LABEL   (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5.33  
11  GLOBAL PRIDE   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.70  
10  WINNEMAC AVENUE   (divito james )VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 4.25  
BEAU DAY   (hancock l)BAYS BROOKE 109 30.00 74.01  
CREPE YARNS   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.82  
12  RIDGEPOINT ROAD   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 48.12  
MOON OVER DUBAI   (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.15  
SCR  EASY ACTION   (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GOLDEN NUGGET   (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00    
SCR  REAGAN   (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CD-9   10/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 28% 2.60 0.38 W
BLUELIGHTSPECIAL   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 9% 10.40 9.21 P
PROMISE OF HOPE   (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 4.50 27% 2.70 5.93 S
CHIQUITA MOSCA   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 28.68  
JOKES ON BLUE   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6.71  
PIONEER PARADE   (divito james)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 10.73  
SCR  CLOSED CAPTION   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  MUSTANG LADY   (newton troy)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
SCR  SANTA FE GOLD   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 13% 6.90    
 
CD-10   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO PHIL'S   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 7.62  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MIA TORRI by GENERAL QUARTERS)
10  HAYES STRIKE   (mcpeek g)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 27.29  
  (by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
FLIPARINO   (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 8.65 S
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWAP FLIPAROO by EXCHANGE RATE)
TOP RECRUIT   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 20% 4.00 7.43  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OH SO BELLA by AFLEET ALEX)
RED ROUTE ONE   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.27  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RED HOUSE by RED RYDER)
HONED   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 9.78  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ALL ABOUT ALLISON by CITY ZIP)
FROSTED DEPARTURE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.95  
  (by FROSTED out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
JACE'S ROAD   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 24% 3.20 2.07  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
BOPPY O   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 18.55  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
11  WESTERN GHENT   (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 40.79  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  KING ICE   (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of EXPRESS RUN by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
 
CD-11   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENINGTON   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.44  
CREATE TROUBLE   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 22.33  
PARKWAY   (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7.25  
HUNTER'S DRIVE   (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 23.31  
DESERT WOLF   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 21% 3.70 1.49  
11  TAPIT SHOES   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 20% 3.90 6.11  
12  COAL BOSS   (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 50.00 44.88  
10  MO SATURDAYS   (stall al)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 12% 7.10 6.37  
FIGHT'N READY   (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 13.65  
MACHO VILLA   (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 30.00 59.24  
SIR ROCK   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 10.29  
SCR  ESCAPOLOGIST   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  REGIMENTAL   (arnold george )ROCCO S 119 15.00    
SCR  RIO MOON   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  RUNGIUS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.