Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO EAGLES RIVER 2 4 3 21   1½ 1 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5.95  
BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 3 1 12 11   2½ 2 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 32% 2.20 4.00 P
OLAZABAL 5 2 22 3   3 3 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 8.75  
J J'S JOKER 1 10 109 79   4 4 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 21.62  
MIDNIGHT PRANKS 4 3 4 4   510½ 512¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 23% 3.30 10.71  
11  TOP D'ORO 10 8 7 9   813½ 614½ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.84  
TALLADEGA 7 6 98 1111½   1015 716 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.74  
12  FUNNY UNCLE 11 7 8 8   914 816 (vance d)COURT K 119 20.00 32.05  
BIG HAT WILLIE 8 11 1110 1011   1115 917 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.92  
GABE 6 9 67 68   612 1017¼ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 34.58  
10  ISLAND SWAGGER 9 5 56 5   712½ 1118¾ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 13.40  
SCR  ONASA               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
 
CD-2   10/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARODY 4 6 4 3½   2nk 1¾ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 29% 2.40 4.00 W
HIGH CLASS 7 5 21 2½   1nk 2¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 2.74  
BRU NA BOINNE 1 2 3 53   4 3 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 19.44  
SURE CAN 9 8 53 4   5 47 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 4.56  
MIDSUMMER SOIREE 5 1 11 1½   31 5 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 15.31  
11  INVENTING ANNA 11 9 8 6   68 610¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 33% 2.00 7.14  
10  SHARP TAP 10 11 1110½ 1111½   812 710¾ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.15  
LADY OCEAN 6 7 9 7   710 812¼ (delgado gustav)ROMERO GREGORY 119 12.00 17.15  
AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 3 4 6 88   913 916¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 40.57  
DOUGHTY 2 3 75 99   1013¼ 1020¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 12% 7.30 7.46  
FAIRY HAIR 8 10 10 1010½   1114¾ 1123½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 15.80  
SCR  COLLECTED GLORY               (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SCR  GOLDBLOODED               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  HIGH END VIXEN               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VARSITY BLONDE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:403   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TINY TEMPER 7 9 7 8 4 11 1 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.82 W
TOWHEAD 3 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 21 2 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.72 P
11  MO SHIRO 10 6 11 10 6 54 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 30.93  
ALPHA BELLA 6 3 5 4 2½ 32 4 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 15% 5.90 4.35  
ROSES AND ROZAY 2 2 31 31 3 4 5 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 30.00 31.31  
12  METAPHYSICAL 11 10 9 62 5 711 615½ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 47.18  
THE ALYS LOOK 1 7 4 5 85 611 715¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.07  
10  NOMADIC PRIDE 9 5 8 9 9 813½ 817¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 8.65  
SUN VALLEY ROAD 8 8 10 11 118 914½ 920¼ (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 19.56  
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 4 11 6 7 107 1016 1027½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 8.51  
MENDED WE STAND 5 4 2nk 2½ 74 1119 1133½ (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 29.89  
SCR  PERFECT ROSE               (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 50.00    
 
CD-4   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:214 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CARPET READY 4 2 11 11   17 110 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 36.99  
PATTY VAN TWINKLE 9 6 66 5   412 210 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 20.00 30.53  
LEMON BOMB 1 7 4 36   310½ 312¾ (pugh peter )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 8% 12.30 12.95 S
BO DEREK 3 4 21 21   27 414½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.31  
OKAY FINE 7 12 10 812½   716½ 516¾ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5.07  
BOARDWALK QUEEN 2 9 98 1115½   616½ 616¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 7% 12.80 6.73  
12  TOUGH LEGACY 12 11 11 6   514½ 717½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 20.40  
10  MARKET PROFILE 10 1 8 913½   917½ 819 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 2.07  
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 8 5 5 710½   817 926½ (amoss thoma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 21% 3.80 8.82  
PETERPAM 6 3 7 1014½   1119¾ 1027¾ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 34.52  
FIRST HILL 5 8 3 48   1017¾ 1128¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 12.95  
11  TESHIMA 11 10 1210 1215¾   1221¾ 1232½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 36.32  
SCR  KLASSY BRIDGETTE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  LEIPZIG               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER               (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
CD-5   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ROCKET CAN 10 4 32 3 3½ 1½ 12 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 7.95  
13  SPIELMAN 12 7 53 5 41 3 22 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 8.63  
BENGALS GO 3 1 11 11 1nk 2½ 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 33% 2.00 3.94 S
PAPPY WOLFE 8 11 9 9 67 59 410½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 41.75  
MAGNIFICENT MILE 1 9 7 6 53 4 512¼ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 10% 9.00 5.57  
ACCIDENT 7 8 11 1110¼ 8 711 613¾ (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 27.65  
DIVERSIFUL 4 3 21 21 2nk 6 719¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 7.56  
TOAST TO COAST 5 5 6 76 9 815 822¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 44.01  
SAM STORMY 2 2 42 42 7 916 925¼ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 12.42  
12  MILLERS RITE 11 12 12 1210¼ 1010 1019 1033 (vance d)COURT K 119 50.00 69.16  
PYRENEES 6 10 8 8 1112 1121 1133½ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 32% 2.10 1.90  
10  O GANGSTER 9 6 10 1010 1213½ 1226 1249¾ (delgado gustavo)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 86.15  
SCR  DARIO               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  WICKED SECRET               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:131 1:393   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOSIER PHILLY 1 6 3 32 31 1 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 30% 2.30 1.04 W
T MAX 5 2 2 21 2nk 36 2 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 19% 4.20 7.26 P
FUN AND FEISTY 6 3 55 44 44 47 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.33 S
PEACOCK LASS 2 1 1 11 1nk 2 4 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 8% 11.10 7.24  
STELLAR LADY 3 4 7 712½ 714 5 510¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 20.00 10.65  
EAST SHORE 4 7 67 6 58 611½ 617½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 25.84  
DRE ME LESS 7 5 43 5 610½ 721½ 743 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 15.95  
SCR  NAUGHTY GAL               (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKING WAY 7 3 12 12   15 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 15% 5.60 0.96 W
BRAZEN BOY 2 10 43 22   25 2 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 20.64  
BACKSIDE BUZZ 6 2 33 4   3 38 (vance thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 31.02  
DREAMWITHINADREAM 3 9 22 35   48 48 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 18.95  
GORDY'S LABEL 1 11 1113½ 1114¾   714 511½ (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5.33  
11  GLOBAL PRIDE 10 7 7 5   513 614 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.70  
10  WINNEMAC AVENUE 9 6 65 79   614 715¾ (divito p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 4.25  
BEAU DAY 8 5 5 69   1020¼ 822½ (hancock l)BAYS BROOKE 109 30.00 74.01  
CREPE YARNS 5 4 10 913½   920¼ 922¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.82  
12  RIDGEPOINT ROAD 11 1 9 811½   820 1025½ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 48.12  
MOON OVER DUBAI 4 8 8 1013¾   1121¾ 1125½ (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.15  
SCR  EASY ACTION               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GOLDEN NUGGET               (walsh brenda)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00    
SCR  REAGAN               (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CD-9   10/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:123     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS 6 4 4 3½   1½ 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 28% 2.60 0.38 W
BLUELIGHTSPECIAL 2 2 11 1nk   3 2 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 9% 10.40 9.21 P
PROMISE OF HOPE 1 3 33 4¾   2½ 3 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 4.50 27% 2.70 5.93 S
CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 6 6 6   66 4 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 28.68  
JOKES ON BLUE 4 5 5 5   5 5 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6.71  
PIONEER PARADE 3 1 21 2nk   4 6 (divito p)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 10.73  
SCR  CLOSED CAPTION               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  MUSTANG LADY               (newton troy)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
SCR  SANTA FE GOLD               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 13% 6.90    
 
CD-10   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO PHIL'S 5 3 52 4 2nk 1 1 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 7.62  
10  HAYES STRIKE 9 9 9 64 32 2 2 (mcpeek g)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 27.29  
FLIPARINO 4 8 8 8 54 4 39 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 8.65 S
TOP RECRUIT 1 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 3 4 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 20% 4.00 7.43  
RED ROUTE ONE 6 5 6 5 75 58 513¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.27  
HONED 8 10 10 9 8 614 623½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 9.78  
FROSTED DEPARTURE 7 7 4 3½ 4 715 728 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.95  
JACE'S ROAD 3 1 3 7 9 820 836½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 24% 3.20 2.07  
BOPPY O 2 2 2½ 2½ 6 920½ 937¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 18.55  
11  WESTERN GHENT 10 6 74 10 1011¾ 1023 1041½ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 40.79  
SCR  KING ICE               (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
 
CD-11   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:153 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENINGTON 6 2 53 6 4 1½ 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.44  
CREATE TROUBLE 4 4 32 32 2nk 2½ 2 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 22.33  
PARKWAY 7 9 87 7 7 5 3 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7.25  
HUNTER'S DRIVE 2 8 6 5 6 46 4 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 23.31  
DESERT WOLF 1 5 4 42 5 35 5 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 21% 3.70 1.49  
11  TAPIT SHOES 10 11 1112¾ 1011¾ 9 710½ 612½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 20% 3.90 6.11  
12  COAL BOSS 11 6 1012½ 1117¾ 1111½ 813 716¾ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 50.00 44.88  
10  MO SATURDAYS 9 7 76 8 8 69 819½ (stall albe)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 12% 7.10 6.37  
FIGHT'N READY 8 10 9 911¼ 10 1014½ 922 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 13.65  
MACHO VILLA 5 3 2nk 2½ 1nk 914 1025 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 30.00 59.24  
SIR ROCK 3 1 1nk 1½ 31 1124½ 1152 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 10.29  
SCR  ESCAPOLOGIST               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  REGIMENTAL               (arnold r)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
SCR  RIO MOON               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  RUNGIUS               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.