The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 30, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   10/30/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
:221 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TWO EAGLES RIVER 2 4 32½ 21   1½ 12¾ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5.95  
3  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 3 1 12 11   2½ 22¾ (walsh p)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 32% 2.20 4.00 P
5  OLAZABAL 5 2 22 31½   33½ 35¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 8.75  
1  J J'S JOKER 1 10 109 79   48½ 48¼ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 21.62  
4  MIDNIGHT PRANKS 4 3 44½ 46½   510½ 512¾ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 23% 3.30 10.71  
11  TOP D'ORO 10 8 77½ 99½   813½ 614½ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 ★ 11.84  
7  TALLADEGA 7 6 98 1111½   1015 716 (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.74  
12  FUNNY UNCLE 11 7 87½ 89½   914 816 (vance d)COURT K 119 20.00 32.05  
9  BIG HAT WILLIE 8 11 1110 1011   1115 917 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.92  
6  GABE 6 9 67 68   612 1017¼ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 ★ 34.58  
10  ISLAND SWAGGER 9 5 56 57½   712½ 1118¾ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 13.40  
SCR  ONASA               (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
 
CD-2   10/30/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:30
:223 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PARODY 4 6 42½ 3½   2nk 1¾ (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 29% 2.40 4.00 W
7  HIGH CLASS 7 5 21 2½   1nk 2¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 2.74  
1  BRU NA BOINNE 1 2 31½ 53   43½ 31½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 19.44  
9  SURE CAN 9 8 53 42½   54½ 47 (lynch a)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 4.56  
5  MIDSUMMER SOIREE 5 1 11 1½   31 58½ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 15.31  
11  INVENTING ANNA 11 9 85½ 65½   68 610¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 33% 2.00 7.14  
10  SHARP TAP 10 11 1110½ 1111½   812 710¾ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.15  
6  LADY OCEAN 6 7 97½ 77½   710 812¼ (delgado gustavo)ROMERO GREGORY 119 12.00 17.15  
3  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 3 4 64½ 88   913 916¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 40.57  
2  DOUGHTY 2 3 75 99   1013¼ 1020¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 12% 7.30 7.46  
8  FAIRY HAIR 8 10 108½ 1010½   1114¾ 1123½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 15.80  
SCR  COLLECTED GLORY               (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SCR  GOLDBLOODED               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  HIGH END VIXEN               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE               (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VARSITY BLONDE               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:00
:24 :484 1:143 1:403   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TINY TEMPER 7 9 72¾ 82¾ 41½ 11 11½ (stewart dallas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.82 W
4  TOWHEAD 3 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 21 21½ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.72 P
11  MO SHIRO 10 6 115¾ 103¾ 63½ 54 32¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 30.93  
7  ALPHA BELLA 6 3 51¾ 41½ 2½ 32 42¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 15% 5.90 4.35  
3  ROSES AND ROZAY 2 2 31 31 31½ 42½ 53¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 30.00 31.31  
12  METAPHYSICAL 11 10 93¾ 62 52½ 711 615½ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 ★ 47.18  
2  THE ALYS LOOK 1 7 41¼ 51½ 85 611 715¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.07  
10  NOMADIC PRIDE 9 5 83¼ 93¾ 96½ 813½ 817¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 8.65  
9  SUN VALLEY ROAD 8 8 104¾ 114¾ 118 914½ 920¼ (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 19.56  
5  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 4 11 62¾ 72¼ 107 1016 1027½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 8.51  
6  MENDED WE STAND 5 4 2nk 2½ 74 1119 1133½ (arnold r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 29.89  
SCR  PERFECT ROSE               (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 50.00    
 
CD-4   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:30
:214 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED CARPET READY 4 2 11 11   17 110 (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 36.99  
9  PATTY VAN TWINKLE 9 6 66 59½   412 210 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 119 20.00 30.53  
1  LEMON BOMB 1 7 43½ 36   310½ 312¾ (pugh d)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 8% 12.30 12.95 S
3  BO DEREK 3 4 21 21   27 414½ (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.31  
7  OKAY FINE 7 12 109½ 812½   716½ 516¾ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5.07  
2  BOARDWALK QUEEN 2 9 98 1115½   616½ 616¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 7% 12.80 6.73  
12  TOUGH LEGACY 12 11 119½ 69½   514½ 717½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 20.40  
10  MARKET PROFILE 10 1 87½ 913½   917½ 819 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 2.07  
8  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 8 5 54½ 710½   817 926½ (amoss m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 21% 3.80 8.82  
6  PETERPAM 6 3 76½ 1014½   1119¾ 1027¾ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 34.52  
5  FIRST HILL 5 8 32½ 48   1017¾ 1128¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 12.95  
11  TESHIMA 11 10 1210 1215¾   1221¾ 1232½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 36.32  
SCR  KLASSY BRIDGETTE               (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  LEIPZIG               (mott i)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER               (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
CD-5   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
:242 :491 1:142 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ROCKET CAN 10 4 32 31½ 3½ 1½ 12 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 ★ 7.95  
13  SPIELMAN 12 7 53 53½ 41 31½ 22 (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 8.63  
4  BENGALS GO 3 1 11 11 1nk 2½ 34¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 33% 2.00 3.94 S
9  PAPPY WOLFE 8 11 97¼ 99½ 67 59 410½ (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 41.75  
1  MAGNIFICENT MILE 1 9 73¾ 63½ 53 47½ 512¼ (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 10% 9.00 5.57  
8  ACCIDENT 7 8 118¾ 1110¼ 89¾ 711 613¾ (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 27.65  
5  DIVERSIFUL 4 3 21 21 2nk 69½ 719¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 7.56  
6  TOAST TO COAST 5 5 63¼ 76 99¾ 815 822¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 44.01  
2  SAM STORMY 2 2 42 42 77¼ 916 925¼ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 12.42  
12  MILLERS RITE 11 12 129¾ 1210¼ 1010 1019 1033 (vance d)COURT K 119 50.00 69.16  
7  PYRENEES 6 10 85¾ 87½ 1112 1121 1133½ (devaux cherie)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 32% 2.10 1.90  
10  O GANGSTER 9 6 107¾ 1010 1213½ 1226 1249¾ (delgado gustavo)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 86.15  
SCR  DARIO               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  WICKED SECRET               (stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:31
:24 :482 1:131 1:393   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOSIER PHILLY 1 6 32½ 32 31 14½ 17½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 30% 2.30 1.04 W
5  T MAX 5 2 21½ 21 2nk 36 27½ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 19% 4.20 7.26 P
7  FUN AND FEISTY 6 3 55 44 44 47 37½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.33 S
2  PEACOCK LASS 2 1 11½ 11 1nk 24½ 48¾ (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 8% 11.10 7.24  
3  STELLAR LADY 3 4 77½ 712½ 714 59½ 510¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 20.00 10.65  
4  EAST SHORE 4 7 67 67½ 58 611½ 617½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 25.84  
8  DRE ME LESS 7 5 43 54½ 610½ 721½ 743 (arnold r)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 15.95  
SCR  NAUGHTY GAL               (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 ★    
 
CD-7   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
:221 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JOKING WAY 7 3 12 12   15 16¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 15% 5.60 0.96 W
3  BRAZEN BOY 2 10 43 22   25 26¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 20.64  
7  BACKSIDE BUZZ 6 2 33 45½   37½ 38 (vance d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 31.02  
4  DREAMWITHINADREAM 3 9 22 35   48 48 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 18.95  
1  GORDY'S LABEL 1 11 1113½ 1114¾   714 511½ (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5.33  
11  GLOBAL PRIDE 10 7 75¼ 57½   513 614 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11.70  
10  WINNEMAC AVENUE 9 6 65 79   614 715¾ (divito p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 ★ 4.25  
9  BEAU DAY 8 5 54½ 69   1020¼ 822½ (hancock l)BAYS BROOKE 109 30.00 74.01  
6  CREPE YARNS 5 4 108½ 913½   920¼ 922¾ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.82  
12  RIDGEPOINT ROAD 11 1 98¼ 811½   820 1025½ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 48.12  
5  MOON OVER DUBAI 4 8 85¼ 1013¾   1121¾ 1125½ (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 33.15  
SCR  EASY ACTION               (casse w)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GOLDEN NUGGET               (walsh p)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  REAGAN               (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CD-9   10/30/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 5:05
:231 :464 1:123     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS 6 4 43½ 3½   1½ 11¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 28% 2.60 0.38 W
4  BLUELIGHTSPECIAL 2 2 11 1nk   31½ 21¾ (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 9% 10.40 9.21 P
2  PROMISE OF HOPE 1 3 33 4¾   2½ 32¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 4.50 27% 2.70 5.93 S
8  CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 6 67½ 68¾   66 44¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 28.68  
7  JOKES ON BLUE 4 5 56½ 55¾   55½ 56¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★ 6.71  
6  PIONEER PARADE 3 1 21 2nk   43½ 66¾ (divito p)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 10.73  
SCR  CLOSED CAPTION               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  MUSTANG LADY               (newton troy)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
SCR  SANTA FE GOLD               (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 13% 6.90    
 
CD-10   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
:24 :481 1:14 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWO PHIL'S 5 3 52 42½ 2nk 13½ 15¼ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 ★ 7.62  
10  HAYES STRIKE 9 9 95¾ 64 32 23½ 25¼ (mcpeek g)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 27.29  
4  FLIPARINO 4 8 84¼ 85¾ 54 45½ 39 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 12.00 ★ 8.65 S
1  TOP RECRUIT 1 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 33½ 49¾ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 20% 4.00 7.43  
6  RED ROUTE ONE 6 5 63½ 53½ 75 58 513¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.27  
9  HONED 8 10 106¼ 96¾ 85½ 614 623½ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 9.78  
7  FROSTED DEPARTURE 7 7 41½ 3½ 42½ 715 728 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.95  
3  JACE'S ROAD 3 1 31½ 74¼ 95¾ 820 836½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 24% 3.20 2.07  
2  BOPPY O 2 2 2½ 2½ 64½ 920½ 937¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 18.55  
11  WESTERN GHENT 10 6 74 107¾ 1011¾ 1023 1041½ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 40.79  
SCR  KING ICE               (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
 
CD-11   10/30/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:05
:242 :491 1:153 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DENINGTON 6 2 53 63¾ 41½ 1½ 11¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.44  
5  CREATE TROUBLE 4 4 32 32 2nk 2½ 21¾ (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 22.33  
8  PARKWAY 7 9 87 75¾ 73¼ 56½ 36¾ (mott i)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7.25  
3  HUNTER'S DRIVE 2 8 63½ 53½ 61¾ 46 48¾ (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 23.31  
2  DESERT WOLF 1 5 42½ 42 51¾ 35 58¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 21% 3.70 1.49  
11  TAPIT SHOES 10 11 1112¾ 1011¾ 95½ 710½ 612½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 20% 3.90 6.11  
12  COAL BOSS 11 6 1012½ 1117¾ 1111½ 813 716¾ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 50.00 44.88  
10  MO SATURDAYS 9 7 76 86¼ 83½ 69 819½ (stall m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 12% 7.10 6.37  
9  FIGHT'N READY 8 10 99½ 911¼ 105½ 1014½ 922 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 13.65  
6  MACHO VILLA 5 3 2nk 2½ 1nk 914 1025 (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 30.00 59.24  
4  SIR ROCK 3 1 1nk 1½ 31 1124½ 1152 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 10.29  
SCR  ESCAPOLOGIST               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  REGIMENTAL               (arnold r)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
SCR  RIO MOON               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  RUNGIUS               (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.