The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 02, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:243 :49 1:134 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PAID IN FULL 3 1 11½ 12 12 16 17 (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 6.00 5.08  
2  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 2 3 33 33 33 26 27 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 39% 1.60 1.17 P
4  LEAD ACTOR 4 6 68 68½ 48 49½ 39 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 5.27  
5  SEVEN AND SEVEN 5 2 21½ 22 22 37½ 412½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 24% 3.20 1.98  
1  BIG PETE 1 4 43 45 510½ 517½ 523¼ (barrett a)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00 ★ 19.00  
7  ANGEL OF THE NORTH 6 5 56 57½ 613½ 618 624¼ (mckeever andrew)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 ★ 22.01  
SCR  LEVY               (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
CD-2   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:221 :463 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ONCOMING TRAIN 3 3 42½ 52   41 13¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 ★ 2.65  
2  BIG BOSS BEN 2 5 2½ 1½   1½ 23¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 14% 5.90 2.95 P
4  SONO GRATO 4 6 54½ 42   2½ 33¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 ★ 5.54 S
6  ROMANCER 6 2 32 2½   3½ 46¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.40 2.54  
5  RIGHT OF RUSH 5 1 65½ 66   67 510¼ (jazdzewski jon)MOJICA JR 118 15.00 48.02  
1  BANKROLL 1 4 1½ 31   56 620¾ (hancock a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 19% 4.20 3.34  
 
CD-3   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
:214 :452 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORTESE 1 6 1½ 12½   17 16 (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.40 49% 1.00 1.19 W
4  LORD GRANTHAM 4 3 65½ 45   38½ 26 (hawley wesley)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 21% 3.70 3.49 P
2  EL GAVILAN 2 4 2½ 22½   27 39¾ (fernandez a)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 48.39  
3  BACK BEAT 3 5 55 68½   512 411 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 5.11  
6  I'M WIDE AWAKE 6 2 31½ 34½   411 515 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00 6% 16.90 10.27  
5  BOURBON THERAPY 5 1 42 57½   614½ 630½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 ★ 2.83  
 
CD-4   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 2:30
:242 :49 1:14 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COTTON CANDY ANNIE 6 1 43 43½ 21½ 2nk 1½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60 40% 1.50 1.33 W
5  GRAY FROST 5 5 21 21 31½ 32 2½ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 ★ 6.21 P
4  LIGHTER KNOT 4 2 11 11 11½ 1nk 3½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 25% 3.00 2.23 S
2  PERFECT ROSE 2 3 53½ 55½ 43½ 42¼ 42¼ (vasquez sr)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 21.92  
7  TRIBAL SPIRIT 7 4 66½ 67½ 69¾ 510¼ 59 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 10.56  
3  LEXINGTON DIAMOND 3 7 77½ 79½ 59½ 611¼ 615½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 11% 8.50 9.32  
1  VICTORY'S FLAME 1 6 31½ 33 710¾ 726¼ 761¼ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 ★ 8.23  
 
CD-5   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:243 :49 1:14 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYBLADER 1 4 32 42 2nk 1½ 1nk (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 5% 18.10 4.19 W
6  MAJESTIC FLAG 6 2 2½ 21 1nk 2½ 2nk (ortiz alexander)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 10.54  
8  LIAM THE BRAVE 8 3 1½ 11 3½ 31½ 31¾ (ewing ann)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 19.11  
2  BIGGIE 2 5 42 32 41 45 44¾ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00 31% 2.20 21.94  
3  MADISON LUVS DUKE 3 1 73¾ 53 65¾ 56½ 55 (stall m)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 4.01  
5  PAID TWICE 5 6 63¼ 63½ 55½ 611 616¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 ★ 15.40  
4  CROW'S NEST 4 7 52¼ 74 76¾ 716 753 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 35% 1.80 2.10  
7  MINT 7 8 833¾ 8100 8100 8100 8100 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 ★ 2.88  
 
CD-6   11/02/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
:224 :454 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AWESOME AARON 6 4 11 12   15 13½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 77% 0.30 1.93 W
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 5 43½ 44   25 23½ (walden william)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 8.24  
2  BONUS APPRECIATION 2 1 66 57   37½ 36½ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 14.02  
3  CLASSIC KING 3 6 79 710   610 49 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 15.00 ★ 4.59  
4  ST ANDREWS 4 2 21 22   48½ 59¼ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 1.85  
6  LIGHTNING STRUCK 5 3 31½ 32   58½ 69½ (asmussen m)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 18.10  
8  SHINNECOCK HILLS 7 7 54½ 67½   713 715 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 ★ 7.66  
SCR  TEXAS RED HOT               (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 ★    
 
CD-7   11/02/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:223 :453 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WAYAKIN 3 3 2½ 11   16 18¼ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 5% 19.00 2.47 W
7  W W CRAZY 7 7 76¾ 65½   58½ 28¼ (becker scott)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 ★ 16.98 P
2  EMERALD EXPRESS 2 6 52¾ 42½   37 38¼ (cano munoz)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 17.03  
6  TANGO CHARLIE 6 1 42½ 31½   26 48½ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 8% 12.30 4.16  
4  MO'S MOJO 4 4 64¾ 53   48 514½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 5.16  
5  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) 5 5 32½ 75½   714 616½ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 ★ 17.00  
8  BOLDISH 8 8 87¼ 86   815½ 724¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 9.41  
1  TELEPHONE TALKER 1 2 1½ 21   613 826¼ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 57% 0.80 2.26  
SCR  SOARING BIRD               (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/02/2022 7920ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:25 :492 1:142 1:393 2:052 2:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SCARLET FUSION 4 32½ 32½ 21½ 1½ 11½ 13¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 45% 1.20 3.39 W
5  SILVER DUST 5 12 12 11½ 2½ 21½ 23¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 12.00 5% 17.80 14.12 P
1  ALEJANDRO 1 54½ 43 32½ 43½ 36½ 310¼ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.60 4.00 S
6  FULL CHARGE 6 43½ 53½ 53½ 32½ 47½ 410½ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 34.13  
2  OFFLEE NAUGHTY 2 64½ 63½ 43 54½ 58½ 511½ (mccarthy w)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 ★ 2.95  
3  SIMOVITCH 3 22 22 88½ 813 616½ 630 (oliver victoria)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 13.74  
7  COMMON BOND 7 75 74½ 64½ 79 716½ 737 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 12.49  
8  WESTERN RIVER 8 88 86½ 76½ 66½ 8100 8100 (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 ★ 2.38  
 
CD-9   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:224 :453 1:102 1:231   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NEPOTISM 3 3 41½ 41½ 31½ 11 12 (scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 4.47  
6  WINTERWOOD 4 9 98½ 87 66 42 22 (brennan terry)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 4.95  
16  FAIR DINKUM 8 5 1nk 2nk 21 21 32½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 15% 5.70 3.62 S
1  ZIPPIN GIGI 1 2 2nk 1nk 11 31 44¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 4.87  
8  FRENCH COMPOSER 5 4 73½ 74 76 55 58¼ (evans ii)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 35.41  
17  TIWANAKU 9 7 3½ 3½ 43 67½ 612 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 3.71  
15  STELLAR TAP 7 8 63 52½ 54 78 713¼ (hawley wesley)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 6.04  
13  ROUGHIN THE CITY 6 6 84½ 98½ 914 816 824¾ (cano munoz)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 30.00 46.18  
4  BADGEBALL 2 1 52½ 63½ 89 917 932 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 12.80  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE               (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00    
SCR  BAJ               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  BERN N ASH               (dunn d)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN               (williamson brian)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  SUTHERLAND               (calhoun bret)LANERIE J 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MASTER OF THE RING               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00    
SCR  MOMS MOON               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE               (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  CADAMOSTO (IRE)               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
CD-10   11/02/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:35
:231 :463 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GIRL AFRAID 3 1 11 11½   13 13½ (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 11% 8.30 8.17 W
2  UNKEPT SECRET 2 2 31½ 33   23 23½ (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.00 28% 2.50 2.14 P
9  DIVISIBILITY 8 4 21 21½   34½ 37¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 39% 1.50 1.77 S
1  HOMECOMING QUEEN 1 8 87½ 78   48½ 47¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★ 4.72  
5  SUSIE'S SAVER 5 5 52½ 45   510½ 513¾ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 17.49  
4  GOOD TOHAVE AROUND 4 9 911½ 811   614 618¾ (beckman whitworth)MILLER CHASE 119 15.00 54.60  
7  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 6 3 42 57½   817½ 725¾ (reece claire)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 63.66  
8  DREAMING ALWAYS 7 7 63 68   716 827¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 9.35  
10  RAGSDALE 9 6 75½ 912   920½ 932 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 14.26  
SCR  RIGHT NOW               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.