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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/02/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($15K)					Purse ($37K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	PAID IN FULL									(hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121						6.00						5.08
2	MY FAVORITE UNCLE									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						2.00		39%		1.60		1.17	P
4	LEAD ACTOR									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121						6.00						5.27
5	SEVEN AND SEVEN									(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						4.00		24%		3.20		1.98
1	BIG PETE									(barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121						10.00		★				19.00
7	ANGEL OF THE NORTH									(mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						5.00		★				22.01
SCR	LEVY									(moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50		16%		5.20

CD-2			11/02/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ONCOMING TRAIN									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120						2.50		★				2.65
2	BIG BOSS BEN									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00		14%		5.90		2.95	P
4	SONO GRATO									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120						3.50		★				5.54	S
6	ROMANCER									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		23%		3.40		2.54
5	RIGHT OF RUSH									(jazdzewski jon)MOJICA JR 118						15.00						48.02
1	BANKROLL									(hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118						6.00		19%		4.20		3.34

CD-3			11/02/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($75K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	CORTESE									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120						1.40		49%		1.00		1.19	W
4	LORD GRANTHAM									(hawley wesley)MORALES EDGAR 118						3.00		21%		3.70		3.49	P
2	EL GAVILAN									(fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 118						20.00						48.39
3	BACK BEAT									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						6.00		★				5.11
6	I'M WIDE AWAKE									(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118						10.00		6%		16.90		10.27
5	BOURBON THERAPY									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.00		★				2.83

CD-4			11/02/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		F		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	COTTON CANDY ANNIE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						1.60		40%		1.50		1.33	W
5	GRAY FROST									(reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 119						10.00		★				6.21	P
4	LIGHTER KNOT									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119						2.00		25%		3.00		2.23	S
2	PERFECT ROSE									(vasquez germa)CANNON DECLAN 119						15.00						21.92
7	TRIBAL SPIRIT									(lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 119						8.00						10.56
3	LEXINGTON DIAMOND									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119						8.00		11%		8.50		9.32
1	VICTORY'S FLAME									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119						6.00		★				8.23

CD-5			11/02/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BEYBLADER									(glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 121						8.00		5%		18.10		4.19	W
6	MAJESTIC FLAG									(ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00						10.54
8	LIAM THE BRAVE									(ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 121						10.00						19.11
2	BIGGIE									(medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						10.00		31%		2.20		21.94
3	MADISON LUVS DUKE									(stall m)RIQUELME J 121						3.50						4.01
5	PAID TWICE									(oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 121						10.00		★				15.40
4	CROW'S NEST									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121						2.50		35%		1.80		2.10
7	MINT									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						3.00		★				2.88

CD-6			11/02/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($68K)			3		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	AWESOME AARON									(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118						2.00		77%		0.30		1.93	W
1	KUNSHAN BRIDGE									(walden w)SANTANA JR 120						8.00						8.24
2	BONUS APPRECIATION									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118						15.00						14.02
3	CLASSIC KING									(claire alexis)LANERIE J 120						15.00		★				4.59
4	ST ANDREWS									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		★				1.85
6	LIGHTNING STRUCK									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						6.00						18.10
8	SHINNECOCK HILLS									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00		★				7.66
SCR	TEXAS RED HOT									(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						5.00		★

CD-7			11/02/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($68K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	WAYAKIN									(diodoro )SANTANA JR 120						2.50		5%		19.00		2.47	W
7	W W CRAZY									(becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						8.00		★				16.98	P
2	EMERALD EXPRESS									(cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 120						8.00						17.03
6	TANGO CHARLIE									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.50		8%		12.30		4.16
4	MO'S MOJO									(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120						8.00						5.16
5	AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG)									(mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 120						12.00		★				17.00
8	BOLDISH									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120						12.00						9.41
1	TELEPHONE TALKER									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120						3.00		57%		0.80		2.26
SCR	SOARING BIRD									(walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120						8.00

CD-8			11/02/2022		7920ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SCARLET FUSION									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.00		45%		1.20		3.39	W
5	SILVER DUST									(vance d)LANERIE J 121						12.00		5%		17.80		14.12	P
1	ALEJANDRO									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.50		22%		3.60		4.00	S
6	FULL CHARGE									(west w)MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00						34.13
2	OFFLEE NAUGHTY									(mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 121						3.50		★				2.95
3	SIMOVITCH									(oliver victo)GEROUX FLORENT 121						15.00						13.74
7	COMMON BOND									(reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 121						6.00						12.49
8	WESTERN RIVER									(brisset )SANTANA JR 118						2.50		★				2.38

CD-9			11/02/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	NEPOTISM									(scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 121						8.00						4.47
6	WINTERWOOD									(brennan )SANTANA JR 118						10.00						4.95
16	FAIR DINKUM									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.50		15%		5.70		3.62	S
1	ZIPPIN GIGI									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00						4.87
8	FRENCH COMPOSER									(evans mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						20.00		5%		19.00		35.41
17	TIWANAKU									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						3.00						3.71
15	STELLAR TAP									(hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						5.00						6.04
13	ROUGHIN THE CITY									(cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 121						30.00						46.18
4	BADGEBALL									(foley greg)GRAHAM J 118						12.00						12.80
SCR	ARABIAN PRINCE									(stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 121						12.00
SCR	BAJ									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118						6.00
SCR	BERN N ASH									(dunn stephen )CANNON DECLAN 121						20.00
SCR	BRITAIN'S KITTEN									(williamso)LEPAROUX R 118						20.00
SCR	SUTHERLAND									(calhoun william)LANERIE J 118						3.00		31%		2.20
SCR	MASTER OF THE RING									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						5.00
SCR	MOMS MOON									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118						6.00
SCR	MOUNT RUNDLE									(nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						2.50		5%		19.00
SCR	CADAMOSTO (IRE)									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						3.50		21%		3.80

CD-10			11/02/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		F		PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	GIRL AFRAID									(kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 119						3.50		11%		8.30		8.17	W
2	UNKEPT SECRET									(desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						4.00		28%		2.50		2.14	P
9	DIVISIBILITY									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.00		39%		1.50		1.77	S
1	HOMECOMING QUEEN									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.00		★				4.72
5	SUSIE'S SAVER									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00						17.49
4	GOOD TOHAVE AROUND									(beckman whit)MILLER CHASE 119						15.00						54.60
7	REDHAIREDCOLLEEN									(reece claire)CANNON DECLAN 119						30.00						63.66
8	DREAMING ALWAYS									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						10.00						9.35
10	RAGSDALE									(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						12.00						14.26
SCR	RIGHT NOW									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00		★



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.