Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE COOL DUDE 8 3 11 12 12 1 1 (sanner e)CASTANON L 121 8.00 21.63  
NORDIC LIGHT 1 8 7 7 79 5 2 (ennis john)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 25.49  
GET THROUGH 6 10 10 8 5 38 3 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 13.64  
10  ORDER OF MERIT 9 4 21 22 22 2 4 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 0.83  
HEIR TO GREATNESS 3 2 3 3 3 49 58 (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 64% 0.60 2.07  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 4 5 6 5 67 610½ 68 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 12.00 42.41  
ARISTOCAT 2 1 42 4 45 712½ 717¼ (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 6.00 7% 14.20 12.63  
ANGEL OF THE NORTH 5 7 8 9 919 929 834¾ (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 20.47  
GO VIRTUAL 7 9 9 1010¾ 1019½ 828½ 935½ (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00 94.89  
11  ON SPOT 10 6 5 6 817 1035 1052¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 57.21  
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   10/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE GRACE 6 3 6 65   32 1 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 6.30  
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 5 2 2½ 2½   1½ 2 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 59% 0.70 4.88 P
POUT 8 1 1½ 1½   2½ 3 (zito p)LANERIE J 121 4.50 3.95  
UGHROUDA 4 5 41 4   57 48 (mckeever and)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 6.21  
TYRONA 1 7 31 3   4 5 (delgado gust)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 7% 14.10 2.36  
SWEET TRUFFLES 7 8 7 86   8 614 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 9.46  
BACKSTREET AFFAIR 2 9 9 9   7 715¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 10.77  
OPEN SAYS ME 3 4 8 75   6 816½ (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 20.19  
10  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 9 6 5 54   9 917¼ (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 121 30.00 55.52  
SCR  LEAVE IT BE               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY GOLDSTART 3 3 3 4   3½ 1 (wilkes ian)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 48% 1.10 1.63 W
SISTER ANNIE 5 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 28% 2.50 4.56 P
MUSIC CITY STAR 6 4 4 31   43 3 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 3.78  
SUPER WONDER GIRL 1 6 76 7   65 46 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 11.90  
SOFIA STRONG 4 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 56 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 10.00 19.79  
DULCIMER DAME 7 5 5 5   5 6 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 15.41  
BEACHSIDE BUNNY 8 8 6 6   7 710¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 8.80  
TIPSY GAL 2 7 89 8   811¼ 819½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 6.49  
SCR  MAGICAL PEAPOD               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
 
KEE-4   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NINETIES COUNTRY 9 5 3½ 1nk   1½ 11 (gutierrez faus)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 4.97  
TOWING 7 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 21 (vaccarezza carlo)LANERIE J 111 15.00 26.92  
STEELY DANZA 4 2 1nk 3½   3½ 31 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 5% 17.50 9.71 S
ORO DE MORO MORO 3 6 6 5   57 4 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 8.73  
ZAP MOTION 8 3 4 43   4 5 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 51% 0.90 0.69  
MIDASWELLRUN 5 7 8 8   6 66 (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 121 3.00 18% 4.50 9.28  
GOLD HERITAGE 1 9 7 7   7 7 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 11.95  
WESLEYAN 2 4 5 6   8 813¼ (martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 30.00 74.81  
SEE SPOT RUN 6 8 9 914¼   914¾ 917 (fletcher kevin)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 69.06  
SCR  SHACK THE LIFE               (esquivel jesus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:212 :443 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN STARLET 7 1 1nk 11   1½ 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 25% 3.10 0.86 W
LAUGH AND PLAY 3 4 2nk 21   2½ 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 4.24  
IN MY OPINION 2 5 5 5   33 33 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
QUARIA COMET 6 7 4 4   56 4 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 31% 2.20 7.72  
ONLY KIDDING 4 3 32 32   44 5 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 9% 9.90 3.90  
MORGS WORLD 8 6 65 6   66 6 (robertson mclean)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 6% 16.70 33.29  
GET SERIOUS 1 8 87 7   7 76 (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00 24.52  
MY TOMMY LEE 5 9 9 911   813½ 813½ (sands shane)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00 64.83  
10  JOY ENAMORADA 9 2 7 89   915 917¼ (duvall e)COURT K 118 50.00 76.07  
SCR  THE CLUB               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:141 1:402   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYCLONE MISCHIEF 6 4 21 2nk 1nk 13 1 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.80 35% 1.90 1.60 W
MY IMAGINATION 1 2 3 42 4 23 2 (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 31.25  
KING D'ORO 7 5 42 3½ 3 33 39 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 10.17  
WADSWORTH 5 10 9 8 6 5 411¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 4.71  
PERMAFROST 4 1 11 1nk 2nk 4 513 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 9.59  
10  O GANGSTER 10 9 10 9 8 78 613¼ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 38.94  
SEEKING UNITY 3 3 6 6 5 8 717¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10  
PRESIDER 8 6 7 7 7 6 818¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 3.95  
MR MIDWAY 2 7 5 5 9 918½ 936¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 76.11  
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 9 8 85 10 1016¼ 1034½ 1074¼ (toye lin)ACHARD ALEX 119 50.00 72.08  
SCR  CODE ONE               (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
SCR  KING RUSSELL               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 6% 14.60    
SCR  LAVER               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MAZING MARK               (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
SCR  RECKER POINT               (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED SECRET               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART RHYTHM 3 3 32 31   11 11 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 5.91  
HERE MI SONG 2 4 4 4   21 21 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 7% 12.70 2.54 P
SOUTH BEND 1 5 56 53   43 37 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 4.51 S
PREVALENCE (GB) 5 2 2½ 2nk   31 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 1.16  
CHATTALOT 4 1 1½ 1nk   5 517¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 7.30  
SCR  DOC AMSTER               (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 122 6.00    
SCR  HOLLIS               (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
KEE-8   10/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:212 :45 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOUKIR BAY 4 7 8 8   5 1 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 21.25  
SHANNON 1 5 4 4   1½ 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 19% 4.40 1.25 P
BOXING DAY 3 3 5 53   41 3 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 18.54  
OPENING BUZZ 7 2 3.2 2nk   2½ 4 (wong jonatha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 17% 4.80 1.14  
KANT BELIEVE IT 5 4 1nk 1nk   3½ 55 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 8% 11.50 14.48  
GAMBLING CAT 6 8 6 6   6 6 (casse mark)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 11.83  
10  BALL GOWN 8 1 7 7   8 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 33.67  
KITING 2 6 2nk 31   77 815¼ (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 75.56  
SCR  ARLYNE'S CROWN               (hiles a)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  CHROMEPLATED HEART               (nixon justin)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 35% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.