Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORDIC LIGHT Aug30 Aug04 Jul01 May20   (ennis john)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL Oct01 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Mar12 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARISTOCAT Sep29 Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 6.00 7% 14.20    
4  HEIR TO GREATNESS Sep01 Jul24 Jun17     (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 64% 0.60    
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 12.00    
6  ANGEL OF THE NORTH Sep17         (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00    
7  GET THROUGH Sep25 Aug28 Aug12     (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50    
8  GO VIRTUAL Oct01 Sep20 Aug19 Jul22 Jun19 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
9  ONE COOL DUDE Sep12 Aug30 Aug11 Mar04 Feb11 (sanner daniel )CASTANON L 121 8.00 ★    
10  ORDER OF MERIT Sep23 Aug13       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 ★    
11  ON SPOT Oct01 Jul29 Jul15 Jul07 Jun29 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYRONA Sep17 Jul30       (delgado gu)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 7% 14.10    
2  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Sep30 Sep05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  OPEN SAYS ME Sep30 Sep08 Aug05 Jun29   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
4  UGHROUDA Sep14 Jan30       (mckeever a)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 ★    
5  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Sep28 Aug06 Jul10 May05 Apr14 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
6  SAVE GRACE Jul30         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
SCR  LEAVE IT BE Jul22 Jun26 May21 Apr27   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
8  SWEET TRUFFLES Sep16 Aug12 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 ★    
9  POUT Aug12         (zito p)LANERIE J 121 4.50    
10  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Sep16 Aug27       (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 121 30.00    
 
KEE-3   10/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WONDER GIRL Sep29 Aug29 Aug06 Jun23 May27 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
2  TIPSY GAL Sep16 Jun29 May30     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 ★    
3  LADY GOLDSTART Aug21 Jun25 May26     (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  SOFIA STRONG Sep22 Aug23 Aug05 Jul14 May19 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 10.00    
5  SISTER ANNIE Sep14 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 May11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  MUSIC CITY STAR Sep21 Sep01 Aug13 Jun04 Apr28 (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
7  DULCIMER DAME Sep28 Sep01 Jul15 Jun17 May26 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  MAGICAL PEAPOD Sep28 Feb13 Jan15     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 ★    
9  BEACHSIDE BUNNY Sep29 Aug15 Jul12 Jun09 May12 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD HERITAGE Sep28 Aug29 Jul28 Jun20 May15 (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★    
2  WESLEYAN Oct09 Sep11 Jun12 May06 Apr22 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 30.00    
SCR  SHACK THE LIFE Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun02 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
4  ORO DE MORO MORO Sep22 Aug12 Jul31     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
5  STEELY DANZA Mar13 Feb11 Jan10     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 5% 17.50    
6  MIDASWELLRUN Sep01 Apr28 Apr10 Feb27 Jan28 (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  SEE SPOT RUN Oct05 Mar21 Mar02 Jan22   (fletcher kevi)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
8  TOWING         (vaccarezza ca)PENA JONUELLE 111 15.00    
9  ZAP MOTION Oct08 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Mar11 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 51% 0.90    
10  NINETIES COUNTRY Sep07 Jul23 Jul03 May19 Apr16 (gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 ★    
 
KEE-5   10/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET SERIOUS Apr24 Mar12       (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00    
2  IN MY OPINION Oct01 Aug29 Jul16 Jun25 May28 (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAUGH AND PLAY Sep08 Aug05 May15 Mar12 Jan15 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  ONLY KIDDING May15 Apr22 Mar06 Feb03   (walsh br)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 9% 9.90    
SCR  THE CLUB Aug19 Aug06 Jul17 Jun12 Apr21 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
6  MY TOMMY LEE Sep23 Aug24 Jul21 Jun10 May24 (sands shane)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
7  QUARIA COMET Sep14 Apr28 Apr02     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
8  AMERICAN STARLET Sep13 Aug19 Jun05 Apr28 Mar26 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 25% 3.10    
9  MORGS WORLD Sep17 Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 (robertson mclea)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 6% 16.70    
10  JOY ENAMORADA Sep21 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 Jun10 (duvall e)COURT K 118 50.00    
 
KEE-6   10/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY IMAGINATION Sep21         (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
2  MR MIDWAY Sep15         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
3  SEEKING UNITY         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  PERMAFROST Sep11         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
5  WADSWORTH Sep16 Aug06       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
6  CYCLONE MISCHIEF Sep16         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.80 35% 1.90    
7  KING D'ORO Sep21         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
8  PRESIDER Sep16 Aug28       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
9  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Sep01         (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 50.00    
10  O GANGSTER Oct01 Aug28       (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  RECKER POINT Oct01 Sep16 Aug28     (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED SECRET Sep28 Aug31       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  KING RUSSELL Sep22         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 6% 14.60    
SCR  LAVER Sep14 Jul24       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  CODE ONE Oct03         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
SCR  MAZING MARK Sep10         (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH BEND Sep23 Aug06 Jul09 Jun05 May07 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
2  HERE MI SONG Sep15 Aug26 Jul24 Jul08 Apr16 (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  HOLLIS Sep04 Aug06 Jul02 May21 Mar19 (ortiz john)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  DOC AMSTER Aug23 Jul30 Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 122 6.00    
5  HEART RHYTHM Sep15 Jul02 Jun05 May08 Mar19 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 ★    
6  CHATTALOT Mar09 Feb10       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
7  PREVALENCE (GB) May07 Apr09 Mar05 Feb05   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 ★    
 
KEE-8   10/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANNON Sep01 Jul31 Apr22     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  KITING Aug25 Jul14 Jun30 May18   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00    
3  BOXING DAY Sep13 Jul24 May14 Mar24 Mar04 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
4  ABOUKIR BAY Sep03 May14 Feb26 Jan08   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SCR  CHROMEPLATED HEART Sep16 Aug25 Jul23     (nixon justin)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
6  KANT BELIEVE IT Sep23         (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 8% 11.50    
7  GAMBLING CAT Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 May29 (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  ARLYNE'S CROWN Sep05 Aug20 Aug04 Feb17 Jan01 (hiles jeff)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
9  OPENING BUZZ Aug28 Jul28 Jun11     (wong jonat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
10  BALL GOWN Aug20 Jul16 Jun22     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL Sep14 Aug08       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.