The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Sunday - October 23, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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KEE-1   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:23 :462 1:114     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUNWAY MAGIC 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1hd (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.10 1.65 W
2  AMERICAN PURE 2 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (diodoro robertino)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 4.44  
6  LEBLON 5 3 52½ 53   32½ 32¼ (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 20% 3.90 7.31 S
7  SOROS 6 6 31 31   44 46¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 29% 2.50 2.41  
4  READY PURSUIT 4 2 42 42½   59 515¾ (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 25.34  
1  PRIMER DIMER 1 5 64 65½   611 617¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★ 4.57  
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY               (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
:224 :47 1:13     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARISTOCRACY 5 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 28% 2.60 2.77 W
6  HAROLD'S CLOUD 6 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 2hd (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 ★ 7.02 P
10  ONCE UPON A DREAM 10 2 42½ 32½   33 31¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 35% 1.90 9.66 S
9  DARIO 9 4 105¾ 86¼   55½ 42 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 24.28  
1  LEOLA 1 11 84½ 64¾   45 54½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 44.55  
11  FURTHER EVIDENCE 11 1 94¾ 117¾   78½ 64½ (robertson mclean)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 12.61  
3  NO EASY DAYS 3 6 32½ 44   88½ 78½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 ★ 2.43  
8  FIRST CLASS HARLOW 8 12 128¼ 129¼   1011½ 88¾ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 42.38  
2  RATE CONFIRMATION 2 9 53 54½   67½ 910½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.84  
12  SOUTHERN CRUSH 12 10 115¾ 107¼   99½ 1011 (barkley jason)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 44.49  
4  LUCKY'S SECRET 4 8 63½ 75¼   1112½ 1114 (desormeaux keith)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 13.67  
7  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 7 7 74 96¼   1216½ 1221¾ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 10.11  
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER               (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  BOUDIN               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  COAL BOSS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  HINENI               (zito p)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
:231 :474 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TREPAT 7 2 2nk 2nk   12½ 14½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.12  
1  O'CONNER SUNSET 1 7 1nk 1nk   22½ 24½ (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 44% 1.30 4.94 P
10  DOC BALLARD 9 9 813¼ 810¼   48½ 37 (lightner mary)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.56  
4  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 3 8 65¾ 42¾   36 48½ (jones larry)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 ★ 15.87  
6  ULUMALU 5 5 76¼ 64¼   59 511½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★ 5.37  
2  ATTILA THE DUN 2 6 913¾ 912¾   714½ 618¼ (waltz brian)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 15% 5.50 54.44  
5  CHELONIAN 4 4 42¼ 32½   611 719¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 18% 4.70 2.63  
9  RIVER BOY 8 3 32 53¼   820½ 834 (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.60  
7  MARTINI SHOT 6 1 54¾ 78¼   922½ 940 (barkley jason)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 39.58  
SCR  HYPER SPEED               (zito p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:24 :484 1:14 1:402   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GIANNA'S GIFT 2 1 12½ 13 12 12 1nk (miller f)COURT K 121 4.50 7.13  
7  TELLMEONASUNDAY 6 3 22½ 23 22 22 2nk (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 20% 3.90 1.18 P
2  TILTINGATWINDMILLS 1 2 32½ 34 32½ 33½ 33½ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 13% 6.80 3.89 S
4  MAGICAL PEAPOD 3 4 43½ 44½ 44 48½ 413 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 38% 1.60 3.26  
5  JOY OF TREASURE 4 5 55 55 58 511½ 515¾ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 13.84  
9  JULIAISON 7 6 65½ 78 712 614 616 (wainwright john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 33.99  
6  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE 5 7 75¾ 65½ 69 714 724 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 12.38  
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE               (king l)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  MAOILIN               (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 7% 12.80    
 
KEE-5   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:231 :473 1:113 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  STREET READY 12 9 11½ 11 11 11½ 11¼ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 6.51  
4  KING VEGA (GB) 4 3 63½ 74 63½ 32 21¼ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 8% 10.90 2.94 P
2  SPANISH KINGDOM 2 2 32 42 31 21½ 31½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 3.52  
6  VINTAGE PRINT 6 5 53 53 42½ 53½ 44 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 15.87  
10  DARK SHIFT (GB) 10 12 117¼ 115¾ 96¼ 65 54¾ (murphy conor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.80 27% 2.70 4.26  
1  SKYRO 1 1 21½ 21 21 43½ 64¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 11.70  
7  JAIS'S SOLITUDE 7 7 74½ 84½ 84¾ 76½ 76¾ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 17.75  
5  PERFECT SPEIGHTY 5 4 95¼ 95½ 118¾ 99 87¼ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 54.75  
8  BE HERE 8 11 106¾ 105¾ 107¼ 87½ 97¾ (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 121 20.00 36.05  
3  DECISION MAKER 3 8 128¼ 127¼ 128¾ 1211 109¾ (van thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 11.05  
11  NATURAL POWER (IRE) 11 10 84¾ 63½ 74½ 109½ 1110 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 12% 7.30 36.01  
9  NEWSWORTHY 9 6 43 32 53 1110 1210¾ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 20.53  
SCR  GLYNN COUNTY               (maker j)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
SCR  RUNNIN' RAY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SHADOW SPHINX               (maker j)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (falcone n)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/23/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
:23 :48 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 11 4 2½ 1nk   12½ 15 (ortiz alexander)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 7.16  
10  ZED 8 3 42 32   32½ 25 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 26% 2.90 3.00 P
3  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 3 11 811 711   45½ 37¼ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 8% 12.00 1.48 S
12  BOLT FORTY FIVE 10 1 1½ 2nk   22½ 49¾ (anderson l)JORDAN R 119 8.00 12% 7.40 7.84  
6  MORE THAN FIVE 5 7 710½ 811¼   78¾ 514½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 9.25  
5  LET IT RIDE CLYDE 4 9 1013 1020¾   913¾ 616½ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00 68.55  
1  GREAT BARRIER 1 5 912½ 919¾   1013¾ 718 (ortiz alexander)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 35.28  
11  THE MOTTO 9 6 54 66   810¾ 820 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 44.43  
2  YACHT ROCK (IRE) 2 2 31½ 43   56 920¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 6% 15.80 14.85  
8  TIME THE MARKET 6 8 65 54½   68½ 1020¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 13.61  
9  GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR 7 10 1115 1129¾   1125¾ 1135 (faircloth aveory)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00 96.11  
SCR  CRAVENSWORTH               (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  PENNY'S PROSPECT               (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:232 :481 1:132 1:391 2:05 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TEMPLE CITY TERROR 5 810½ 99 97½ 21½ 11½ 13 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 17% 5.00 2.97 W
2  LUCK MONEY 2 55½ 55 55 31½ 21½ 23 (delacour arnaud)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00 19% 4.30 6.73 P
6  SISTER OTOOLE 6 78½ 77½ 86½ 63¼ 33½ 35 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 6% 16.10 10.11 S
1  COASTANA 1 33½ 33½ 33 52¼ 44½ 48 (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 15.94  
4  FLYING FORTRESS 4 2nk 1½ 22 42 65½ 59 (mcgaughey iii)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 10% 8.60 11.38  
11  MIA MARTINA 10 1013 1010½ 108½ 85¾ 77 610½ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00 14.48  
3  CORE VALUES 3 911 87½ 76 74¾ 87¼ 712 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 26.05  
7  BESIDE HERSELF 7 1nk 2½ 12 11½ 54½ 812¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.40 1.94  
8  STAND TALL 8 45 44 44 96¾ 97¾ 912¼ (arnold r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 7.98  
10  GO BIG BLUE NATION 9 67 66 65 107¾ 109¼ 1015¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 34.56  
SCR  QUEEN BOURBON               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/23/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
:241 :50 1:151 1:404   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ICE ORCHID 8 9 53½ 63½ 63 1nk 1hd (ortiz alexander)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.02 W
9  BELLA RUNNER 9 6 63¾ 53 41½ 2nk 2hd (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 ★ 7.01 P
4  MUSIC STREET 4 5 106¾ 106¼ 96¼ 52¾ 33½ (beckman whitworth)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 21.13  
6  TAKE CARE 6 4 42½ 42 31 3½ 43¾ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 13.24  
10  HIGH FASHION 10 8 74¾ 74½ 73¼ 42½ 54 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 16.28  
7  BIG CITY MOMMA 7 7 84¾ 84½ 84¼ 75¼ 68 (mcgaughey iii)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 21% 3.70 6.75  
1  SILVERLEAF 1 1 32½ 31½ 52 86¾ 710¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5.17  
3  PARK ON THE NILE 3 3 21½ 2½ 1nk 64¼ 816¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.63  
2  COASTAL CHARM 2 2 11½ 1½ 2nk 99¾ 922 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 33.55  
5  MIDNIGHT BALLERINA 5 10 96¼ 96 1010¾ 1018¾ 1039 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.49  
 
KEE-9   10/23/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:22 :451 :562     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CLOUDY 7 7 73½ 63¼   21½ 11½ (mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 26% 2.90 6.31 W
1  IAN GLASS 1 3 1nk 1nk   11½ 21½ (vanden brittany)ROCCO S 121 4.50 5% 18.70 14.95 P
10  EVAN SING 10 11 117½ 119   96¾ 32½ (stall m)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 5% 18.00 3.11 S
4  AGENT PETER GRAVES 4 4 41¾ 32   32 44 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 22% 3.50 6.12  
2  SANCTIFIED 2 9 105½ 86¼   65½ 54 (stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 7.05  
8  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 8 10 95½ 96½   76 66 (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 14.29  
9  OF THE MOMENT 9 6 84 75¼   86½ 76½ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00 73.31  
11  CASANOVA KITTEN 11 5 31½ 52¼   44½ 86¾ (ginter jr)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 11.68  
5  PURE PANIC 5 12 128½ 1210   108¼ 98¼ (cano munoz)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 42.71  
12  GALLANT GUY 12 8 51¾ 42¼   118¾ 108¾ (gonzalez e)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 41.30  
3  DREAMER'S DISEASE 3 2 2nk 2nk   55½ 1110 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 20.00 30.92  
6  LYRICAL POET 6 1 63¼ 107   1210¾ 1211 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 19% 4.30 3.03  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.