Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIMER DIMER Sep04 Aug06 May13 Apr17 Mar27 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★    
2  AMERICAN PURE Oct01 Aug20 Jul15 May21 Apr20 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
3  RUNWAY MAGIC Oct01 Jun17 Apr16     (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
4  READY PURSUIT Sep30 Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 Jul12 (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY Oct14 Sep30 Sep08 Jul17 Jun19 (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
6  LEBLON Oct02 Sep01 Aug06 Jul01 Jun02 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
7  SOROS Oct14 Oct01 Aug25 Aug06 Jul27 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEOLA Sep22         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
2  RATE CONFIRMATION Sep23         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
3  NO EASY DAYS Oct01 Aug28       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 ★    
4  LUCKY'S SECRET Sep07 Aug05 Jul16     (desormeaux k)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
5  ARISTOCRACY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  HAROLD'S CLOUD         (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 ★    
7  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Sep25 Sep16       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
8  FIRST CLASS HARLOW         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
9  DARIO         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
10  ONCE UPON A DREAM Sep18         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 35% 1.90    
11  FURTHER EVIDENCE Sep24         (robertson mclean)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
12  SOUTHERN CRUSH         (barkley jason)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER         (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  BOUDIN Sep30         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  HINENI Oct21         (zito p)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  COAL BOSS Sep24         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O'CONNER SUNSET         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  ATTILA THE DUN         (waltz bri)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  HYPER SPEED Sep29 Sep05       (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
4  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Sep24         (jones larry)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 ★    
5  CHELONIAN Sep25 Aug31       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  ULUMALU Sep18 Sep05 Aug19     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★    
7  MARTINI SHOT Sep25 Aug21       (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
8  TREPAT Sep18 Jun26       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
9  RIVER BOY Oct05 Sep11       (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
10  DOC BALLARD Sep11 Aug13 Jun26 May29   (lightner mary)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE Oct02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug16 Jul24 (king l)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 ★    
2  TILTINGATWINDMILLS Sep07 Aug02 Jun10 May17 Apr02 (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
3  GIANNA'S GIFT Aug27 Jul07 Jun10 May29 Mar12 (miller f)COURT K 121 4.50    
4  MAGICAL PEAPOD Sep28 Feb13 Jan15     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  JOY OF TREASURE Sep01 Aug09 Feb26 Jan15   (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00    
6  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE Aug16 Jun29 May31 Apr24   (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
7  TELLMEONASUNDAY Aug10 Jul21 Jun23 May23 Apr26 (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  MAOILIN Oct21 Sep27 Aug24 Aug06 Jul19 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 7% 12.80    
9  JULIAISON Sep09 Aug27 Aug16 Jul22 Jun24 (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYRO Sep01 Jul04 May20 Apr27 Mar13 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
2  SPANISH KINGDOM Sep01 Jul31 Jun22 May05 Feb14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
3  DECISION MAKER Sep30 Sep10 Jul01 Jun05 May08 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
4  KING VEGA (GB) Sep18 Aug16 Jul18 Jun18 May20 (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 8% 10.90    
5  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Sep13 Jun25 May21 May07 Mar18 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
6  VINTAGE PRINT Sep28 Aug26 Jul15     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00    
7  JAIS'S SOLITUDE Sep10         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
8  BE HERE Oct07 Sep01 Aug14 Jun04 May05 (scherer mariann)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
9  NEWSWORTHY Sep13         (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00    
10  DARK SHIFT (GB)         (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
11  NATURAL POWER (IRE) Sep05 Jul05 Apr24 Apr09 Mar02 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  SHADOW SPHINX Sep14 Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 Jun04 (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
13  STREET READY Sep01 Jul31 Jun22 May21 Apr20 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER Sep29 Aug15 Jul02 Jun03 May07 (falcone robe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
SCR  GLYNN COUNTY Sep10 Sep01 Jul23 Jun18 Jun02 (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
SCR  RUNNIN' RAY Sep01 Jul09 May21 Apr02 Feb19 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
KEE-6   10/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT BARRIER         (ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
2  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Sep30         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 6% 15.80    
3  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  CRAVENSWORTH         (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  LET IT RIDE CLYDE         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00    
6  MORE THAN FIVE         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
SCR  PENNY'S PROSPECT         (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
8  TIME THE MARKET         (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
9  GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR Jul15         (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
10  ZED Sep24 Sep11       (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
11  THE MOTTO         (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
12  BOLT FORTY FIVE Sep23         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
13  HAPPY IS A CHOICE Sep21 Aug06       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTANA Oct02 Sep03 Jul31     (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
2  LUCK MONEY Sep13 Jul09 May28 May07   (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLAGRANT by RAHY)
3  CORE VALUES Sep13 Jul23 Jun10 Apr29 Apr14 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEET AWAKENING by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  FLYING FORTRESS Aug30 Jul12 Apr24     (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 10% 8.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAKOTA QUEEN by WAR FRONT)
5  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 May28 Apr14 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IT TAKES TWO by DANCE CENTRE)
6  SISTER OTOOLE Aug19 Jul09 May07 Apr02 Jan29 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 6% 16.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of O' TOOLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  BESIDE HERSELF Sep17 Aug25 Jul23 Jun04 Apr28 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of EXCITED by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
8  STAND TALL Sep13 Jul09 May28 May06   (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
SCR  QUEEN BOURBON Oct07 Aug25 Jul31 Jul10 May26 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of STARLIGHT TIARA by MORE THAN READY)
10  GO BIG BLUE NATION Sep22 Aug30 Jul12 May28 Apr21 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CHELSEA ROAD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  MIA MARTINA Oct07 Aug25 Jul03 Jun05 Mar27 (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PROUD AND CHARMING by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
KEE-8   10/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVERLEAF Sep05 Jul09 Jun30 May28 Apr21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
2  COASTAL CHARM Sep16 Jul29 Apr15     (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
3  PARK ON THE NILE Oct02 Sep13 May21 May06 Apr08 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  MUSIC STREET Sep25 Jun23 May27 Apr23   (beckman d)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
5  MIDNIGHT BALLERINA Feb03 Jan07       (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAKE CARE Sep18 Aug07 Jul10     (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
7  BIG CITY MOMMA Sep05 Aug07       (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
8  ICE ORCHID Sep18 Feb26 Feb11 Jan14   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
9  BELLA RUNNER Sep18 Aug26 Mar05 Jan01   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 ★    
10  HIGH FASHION Oct02 Aug20 Jun24 May26 May03 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
KEE-9   10/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IAN GLASS Oct07 Sep05 Aug27 Jul23 May24 (vanden br)ROCCO S 121 4.50 5% 18.70    
2  SANCTIFIED Sep14 Aug15 Jul19 Jan09   (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
3  DREAMER'S DISEASE Sep16 Aug07       (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 20.00    
4  AGENT PETER GRAVES Jun22 Jun02 Mar24 Jan22   (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  PURE PANIC Sep18 Jun21 May29 May07 Apr10 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00    
6  LYRICAL POET Sep14 Jul29 Apr21     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
7  CLOUDY Sep14 Aug06 Jun20     (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Sep10 Aug07 Jul10 Jun03 Apr16 (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
9  OF THE MOMENT Sep27 Sep03 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00    
10  EVAN SING Sep14 Jul28 May28 Apr30 Mar17 (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 5% 18.00    
11  CASANOVA KITTEN Oct07 Sep25 Sep05 Aug06 Jul04 (ginter ray)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
12  GALLANT GUY May30 Apr09 Mar04 Jan16   (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.