Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:141 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYSTONE FIELD 4 2 21 2½ 11 15 1 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 11% 7.80 2.81 W
TWO BY TWO 2 4 4 32 3 25 2 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 3.09 P
FAN CLUB 1 5 5 6 5 37 3 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 11.69  
SUGOI 5 1 11 1½ 21 4 412½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 3.00 27% 2.70 3.93  
ZOOMER 3 3 32 42 43 510 514½ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 31% 2.20 2.16  
PEEKACHO 6 6 6 5 65 612½ 620¾ (vance r)LANERIE J 121 10.00 10.46  
 
KEE-2   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BEST SELLER 12 3 1½ 12   19 111½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 7.50  
SIMPERING SMILE 2 6 5 4   310 211½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 3.73  
WILDCAT GIRL 8 4 3½ 22   29 314 (figgins ollie )TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 4.00 13% 6.80 4.37 S
SURE ENOUGH 4 12 11 77   515 415¼ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 15.04  
LADY ENVOY 3 8 8 87   413 516¼ (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 4.50 5% 19.00 9.63  
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 5 5 75 65   615½ 625 (nihei michelle)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 12.99  
MS. THE LAW 7 11 9 98   823½ 729¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 64% 0.60 3.13  
BASILICA D ORO 1 9 10 1112   923½ 832½ (orantes r)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 36.51  
THATSHOWSHEROLLS 9 1 2½ 33   721 933 (dyer john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.38  
10  CONTROLLED FIRE 10 7 4 54   1025 1039¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.07  
11  JEFF'S JOY 11 2 6 10   1127 1142¼ (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 48.15  
MORIARTY 6 10 1211¼ 1219   1233 1248¾ (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 62.64  
SCR  CEE MINUS               (west w)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  MARSANNE               (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MAOILIN 9 5 12 1 1nk 1nk 1 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 31% 2.20 1.14 W
WATERS OF MEROM 6 8 22 2 2nk 2nk 2 (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 9% 10.00 4.71 P
CARRY ON 4 2 32 32 3 3 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.49  
SINGSONG BIRD 3 1 44 43 44 5 411½ (pincins j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 31% 2.30 4.85  
10  RUNAWAY MOM 8 4 7 6 55 4 511½ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 10.00 27.40  
GYPSY WIFE 5 9 910¼ 88 810½ 714¼ 619½ (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 46.78  
ANCIENT BROWN 2 7 6 75 67 612¼ 720¾ (humphries thoma)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 31.90  
MISS SUPER SAINT 1 3 8 99 912½ 918¾ 830¼ (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.51  
STYLISH ASH 7 6 5 53 7 817¾ 930½ (reed r)MCKEE J 121 6.00 19.42  
SCR  LA TOURISTA               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
SCR  RESURRECTION ROAD               (manley steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUGAN KNIGHT 1 4 4 42   2nk 1½ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 45% 1.20 0.97 W
CARCANO 7 7 94 7   1nk 2½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 32% 2.20 3.85 P
11  CHANCE 11 8 7 53   6 3 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 22.29  
10  RUNNINGFORCASH 10 1 2½ 2nk   3.2 4 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 119 30.00 69.81  
SURFACE TO AIR 8 12 117 9   5 5 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 62.29  
HINENI 3 11 1211 1210   10 6 (zito p)LANERIE J 119 15.00 48.27  
12  SUNSET TOWN 12 2 31 31   4 710 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.67  
TIME ANDBEYOND 9 9 105 106   9 810¼ (moquett ronald )GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 43.30  
EDDIE M 2 10 83 6   8 915¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 26.80  
DEVILS RED 5 6 6 11   1110¾ 1017¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
EMPIRE'S BEST 4 5 52 8   1211¼ 1119¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.12  
RECON 6 3 1½ 1nk   7 1221¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 27.12  
 
KEE-5   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :483 1:14 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINICAN PIONEER 5 3 1½ 1 1nk 1 1¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 11.20  
EASY TIME 4 4 32 32 4 3 2¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 8.30 10.60 P
10  ALEX JOON 9 11 10 10 9 7 3¾ (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 17.33  
BULLSEYE BUN 3 2 43 6 7 6 4 (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 50.00 36.65  
SAMBURU (GB) 6 7 6 4 3 4 5 (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 3.92  
11  RED HORNET 10 5 53 53 5 5 6 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 44.08  
EYES ON TARGET 1 9 9 9 10 8 72 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 60% 0.70 1.79  
13  LIGHT FURY 12 6 2½ 2 2nk 2 83 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00 8.74  
VIVAR 8 8 8 84 6 9 9 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 19.10  
12  YAMATO 11 12 1210¼ 128 11 11 10 (sancal mura)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
CREED 7 10 11 11 12 1210¾ 115 (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 10.22  
ENCOURAGE 2 1 7 7 8 10 12 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 15.00 25.06  
SCR  AMERICAN HERO               (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  BARBERINI               (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  MO GOTCHA               (michael brian)COURT K 121 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CODE NAME KATE 9 3 5 3½   11 12 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 32% 2.20 2.07 W
12  SHANIAH 10 1 8 4   4 22 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 4.00 17% 5.00 7.70 P
H. T. XENA 4 6 2½ 2nk   31 3 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 17.90  
10  LOVE OF MY LIFE 8 8 6 6   5 4 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 16.07  
DAWNLAND 3 5 1½ 1nk   21 5 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7% 13.70 2.49  
AFLEET ARLENE 7 4 3 53   6 6 (shorter aaron)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 9% 9.80 7.25  
LEGERITY 5 10 9 7   7 7 (west w)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 24.66  
CONDIMENT GIRL 6 7 74 9   810½ 812¼ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 22.06  
ARLYNE'S CROWN 2 2 42 8   910¾ 913½ (hiles a)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8% 11.00 13.77  
SHELL SHOCK 1 9 10 1013¼   1020¾ 1038 (vaccarezza carlo)LANERIE J 121 6.00 11.20  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
 
KEE-7   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY FORMATION 3 2 11 11   15 1 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40 3.82 W
11  RELEASE MCCRAKEN 11 1 21 21   25 2 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 20% 4.00 6.62 P
COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 3 5 3   3 3 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 3.25 S
WEYHILL ROAD 5 7 6 4   47 410½ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 21% 3.70 3.62  
BASELINE BEATER 2 12 1115¾ 1115¼   817 511¼ (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 45.89  
SPEED INSTITUTE 4 9 9 8   515 615¾ (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00 46.93  
10  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 10 10 10 9   615½ 715¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 27.35  
12  DINGMANN 12 8 8 7   1018 819¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 76.19  
SANTORINI 8 4 4 6   917½ 920 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 15.13  
SEAS OF NORMANDY 7 6 32 5   716 1020½ (jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 13% 6.90 4.33  
BARRELHOUSE 9 5 74 1011¼   1119½ 1124½ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 19.30  
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) 6 11 1216¾ 1220¼   1229½ 1236¾ (manning j)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00 82.31  
 
KEE-8   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:131 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY ONE 7 8 76 76 7 33 1nk (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 9% 9.60 4.34 W
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 5 2 1 1 1½ 13 2nk (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 10% 8.90 1.36 P
10  PRINCESS FAWZIA 9 5 5 54 5 54 31 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 11.68  
11  PERSEVERANCIA 10 12 1210½ 1210½ 11 97 4 (devaux cher)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 50.84  
ARM CANDY (IRE) 2 1 87 9 10 10 52 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 17.60 23.38  
13  PHANTOM VISION 12 6 4 43 32 23 6 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 23.76  
DISAPPEARING ACT 8 11 98 87 8 76 73 (santamaria carlos)LANERIE J 121 20.00 53.74  
BELLAGAMBA (ARG) 4 7 64 6 6 65 8 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50 12% 7.00 5.21  
12  CANDACE O 11 4 2 2 2½ 4 9 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 23.95  
SARANYA 1 10 10 108 12 11 10 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 11.40  
PYRAMID PRINCESS 6 3 32 32 42 8 11 (warpool shane)PARKER L 121 30.00 83.02  
POCA MUCHA 3 9 119 11 9 1211¾ 12 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 10.17  
SCR  GLADYS               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
SCR  LE DA VIDA (CHI)               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
 
KEE-9   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL MOMENTS 1 1 2 31 31 1½ 1 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 3.50 9% 9.90 1.42 W
SKRATCH KAT 2 2 6 64 5 3 2 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 2.33  
TAKE A STAND 5 5 4 42 21 2½ 3 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5.45  
VALENTINA DAY 3 6 5 5 6 54 48 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 28.98  
10  HOODOOLAND 6 3 1 11 11 44 512 (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.82  
DOROTHEA 4 4 3 21 4 611 642¼ (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 5.15  
SCR  FALCONET               (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  FRIPPET               (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  ICE ORCHID               (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAP DANCING LADY               (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 15.00 7% 13.80    
 
KEE-10   10/21/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:132 1:383   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY STAR 6 7 7 8 75 1½ 14 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.50 25% 3.00 2.47 W
ENGLISH TREASURE 2 1 5 54 5 33 24 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
MESAORIA 4 3 32 32 3 2½ 3 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 3.53  
12  SUCH SOUNDS 10 4 43 4 4 6 49 (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 28.97  
ARROBLUE 1 8 10 9 9 7 510½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 5% 19.00 5.69  
11  TIFFANY'S MO 9 5 2nk 2½ 2½ 4 614¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7.57  
10  TIANA 8 6 6 7 8 910½ 716 (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 9.42  
BROADBAND 7 10 8 65 6 88 816¾ (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 65.30  
HEDY LAMARR 3 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 5 917¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 6.48  
RED BEE 5 9 9 10 10 1011½ 1017½ (cundiff waylo)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 124 50.00 71.51  
SCR  CLASSIC COYNE               (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  DREAM FLY               (ward a)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  FIVE PRIZES               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  PARTYLINE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
SCR  SUNROOF               (santamaria )LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
SCR  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX               (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.