The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Friday - October 21, 2022
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KEE-1   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:243 :491 1:141 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KEYSTONE FIELD 4 2 21 2½ 11 15 18¼ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 11% 7.80 2.81 W
2  TWO BY TWO 2 4 42½ 32 32½ 25 28¼ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 ★ 3.09 P
1  FAN CLUB 1 5 55½ 64¾ 54½ 37 39¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 11.69  
5  SUGOI 5 1 11 1½ 21 47½ 412½ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 121 3.00 27% 2.70 3.93  
3  ZOOMER 3 3 32 42 43 510 514½ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 31% 2.20 2.16  
6  PEEKACHO 6 6 67½ 54½ 65 612½ 620¾ (vance r)LANERIE J 121 10.00 ★ 10.46  
 
KEE-2   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 1:32
:23 :472 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BEST SELLER 12 3 1½ 12   19 111½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 7.50  
2  SIMPERING SMILE 2 6 52½ 43½   310 211½ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 3.73  
8  WILDCAT GIRL 8 4 3½ 22   29 314 (figgins l)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 4.00 13% 6.80 4.37 S
4  SURE ENOUGH 4 12 118¾ 77   515 415¼ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 15.04  
3  LADY ENVOY 3 8 85¼ 87   413 516¼ (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 4.50 5% 19.00 9.63  
5  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 5 5 75 65   615½ 625 (nihei michelle)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 12.99  
7  MS. THE LAW 7 11 97¾ 98   823½ 729¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 64% 0.60 3.13  
1  BASILICA D ORO 1 9 107¾ 1112   923½ 832½ (orantes r)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 36.51  
9  THATSHOWSHEROLLS 9 1 2½ 33   721 933 (dyer john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.38  
10  CONTROLLED FIRE 10 7 41½ 54   1025 1039¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.07  
11  JEFF'S JOY 11 2 64½ 109½   1127 1142¼ (hughes g)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 48.15  
6  MORIARTY 6 10 1211¼ 1219   1233 1248¾ (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 62.64  
SCR  CEE MINUS               (west w)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  MARSANNE               (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:241 :49 1:141 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MAOILIN 9 5 12 11½ 1nk 1nk 11¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 31% 2.20 1.14 W
8  WATERS OF MEROM 6 8 22 21½ 2nk 2nk 21¾ (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 9% 10.00 4.71 P
5  CARRY ON 4 2 32 32 32½ 33½ 34¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.49  
3  SINGSONG BIRD 3 1 44 43 44 57¾ 411½ (pincins j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 31% 2.30 4.85  
10  RUNAWAY MOM 8 4 76¼ 64½ 55 47½ 511½ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 10.00 27.40  
6  GYPSY WIFE 5 9 910¼ 88 810½ 714¼ 619½ (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 46.78  
2  ANCIENT BROWN 2 7 66¼ 75 67 612¼ 720¾ (humphries thomas)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 31.90  
1  MISS SUPER SAINT 1 3 87¾ 99 912½ 918¾ 830¼ (barrett a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.51  
9  STYLISH ASH 7 6 54¼ 53 77½ 817¾ 930½ (reed r)MCKEE J 121 6.00 19.42  
SCR  LA TOURISTA               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
SCR  RESURRECTION ROAD               (manley steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
:224 :471 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUGAN KNIGHT 1 4 41½ 42   2nk 1½ (mccarthy w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 45% 1.20 0.97 W
7  CARCANO 7 7 94 73¾   1nk 2½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 32% 2.20 3.85 P
11  CHANCE 11 8 72½ 53   64¾ 34½ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 22.29  
10  RUNNINGFORCASH 10 1 2½ 2nk   3.2 44½ (anderson l)JORDAN R 119 30.00 69.81  
8  SURFACE TO AIR 8 12 117 95¾   54¼ 54¾ (miller darrin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 62.29  
3  HINENI 3 11 1211 1210   108¼ 69¾ (zito p)LANERIE J 119 15.00 48.27  
12  SUNSET TOWN 12 2 31 31   42¾ 710 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.67  
9  TIME ANDBEYOND 9 9 105 106   97¼ 810¼ (moquett e)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 43.30  
2  EDDIE M 2 10 83 63½   86¼ 915¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 26.80  
5  DEVILS RED 5 6 62½ 116½   1110¾ 1017¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
4  EMPIRE'S BEST 4 5 52 83¾   1211¼ 1119¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.12  
6  RECON 6 3 1½ 1nk   74¾ 1221¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 27.12  
 
KEE-5   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:23 :483 1:14 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER 5 3 1½ 11½ 1nk 11½ 1¾ (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 11.20  
5  EASY TIME 4 4 32 32 41¾ 31½ 2¾ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 8.30 10.60 P
10  ALEX JOON 9 11 108¾ 106½ 95¼ 74¾ 3¾ (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 17.33  
4  BULLSEYE BUN 3 2 43 63½ 73¾ 64¼ 41¼ (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 50.00 36.65  
7  SAMBURU (GB) 6 7 64½ 42½ 31½ 42½ 51¼ (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 3.92  
11  RED HORNET 10 5 53 53 52¼ 52¾ 61½ (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 44.08  
1  EYES ON TARGET 1 9 96¾ 95½ 106¼ 86¼ 72 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 60% 0.70 1.79  
13  LIGHT FURY 12 6 2½ 21½ 2nk 21½ 83 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00 8.74  
9  VIVAR 8 8 85¾ 84 63¾ 97¼ 94½ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 19.10  
12  YAMATO 11 12 1210¼ 128 116¾ 118¾ 104¾ (sancal murat)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
8  CREED 7 10 118¾ 117½ 128¼ 1210¾ 115 (mcgaughey iii)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 10.22  
2  ENCOURAGE 2 1 74¾ 73½ 84¾ 107¾ 125¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 15.00 25.06  
SCR  AMERICAN HERO               (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  BARBERINI               (delacour arnaud)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  MO GOTCHA               (michael brian)COURT K 121 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:231 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CODE NAME KATE 9 3 52½ 3½   11 12 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 32% 2.20 2.07 W
12  SHANIAH 10 1 84¼ 42½   41½ 22 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 121 4.00 17% 5.00 7.70 P
4  H. T. XENA 4 6 2½ 2nk   31 33½ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 17.90  
10  LOVE OF MY LIFE 8 8 62½ 63¼   53½ 43½ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 16.07  
3  DAWNLAND 3 5 1½ 1nk   21 54¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7% 13.70 2.49  
9  AFLEET ARLENE 7 4 31½ 53   65½ 65½ (shorter aaron)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 9% 9.80 7.25  
6  LEGERITY 5 10 95¾ 75¾   76½ 75¾ (west w)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 24.66  
7  CONDIMENT GIRL 6 7 74 99¼   810½ 812¼ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 22.06  
2  ARLYNE'S CROWN 2 2 42 88¾   910¾ 913½ (hiles a)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8% 11.00 13.77  
1  SHELL SHOCK 1 9 108¼ 1013¼   1020¾ 1038 (vaccarezza carlo)LANERIE J 121 6.00 11.20  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
 
KEE-7   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
:23 :47 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VICTORY FORMATION 3 2 11 11   15 14¾ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40 3.82 W
11  RELEASE MCCRAKEN 11 1 21 21   25 24¾ (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 20% 4.00 6.62 P
1  COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 3 52½ 33½   36½ 37¼ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 3.25 S
5  WEYHILL ROAD 5 7 63½ 44½   47 410½ (mcgaughey iii)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 21% 3.70 3.62  
2  BASELINE BEATER 2 12 1115¾ 1115¼   817 511¼ (pessin l)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 45.89  
4  SPEED INSTITUTE 4 9 95¾ 88¼   515 615¾ (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00 46.93  
10  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 10 10 105¾ 98¼   615½ 715¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 27.35  
12  DINGMANN 12 8 84¼ 75¾   1018 819¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 76.19  
8  SANTORINI 8 4 42½ 65½   917½ 920 (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 15.13  
7  SEAS OF NORMANDY 7 6 32 54½   716 1020½ (jones larry)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 13% 6.90 4.33  
9  BARRELHOUSE 9 5 74 1011¼   1119½ 1124½ (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 19.30  
6  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) 6 11 1216¾ 1220¼   1229½ 1236¾ (manning j)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00 82.31  
 
KEE-8   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
:224 :474 1:131 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUNNY ONE 7 8 76 76 75¼ 33 1nk (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 9% 9.60 4.34 W
6  SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 5 2 11½ 11½ 1½ 13 2nk (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 10% 8.90 1.36 P
10  PRINCESS FAWZIA 9 5 53½ 54 53½ 54 31 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 11.68  
11  PERSEVERANCIA 10 12 1210½ 1210½ 117¾ 97 41¾ (devaux cherie)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 50.84  
2  ARM CANDY 2 1 87 97½ 107¼ 107¼ 52 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 17.60 23.38  
13  PHANTOM VISION 12 6 42½ 43 32 23 62½ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 23.76  
9  DISAPPEARING ACT 8 11 98 87 85¾ 76 73 (santamaria carlos)LANERIE J 121 20.00 53.74  
5  BELLAGAMBA (ARG) 4 7 64 64½ 63¾ 65 84¼ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50 12% 7.00 5.21  
12  CANDACE O 11 4 21½ 21½ 2½ 43½ 96½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 23.95  
1  SARANYA 1 10 108½ 108 128¾ 119¾ 107½ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 11.40  
7  PYRAMID PRINCESS 6 3 32 32 42 86½ 117¾ (warpool shane)PARKER L 121 30.00 83.02  
4  POCA MUCHA 3 9 119 118½ 96¾ 1211¾ 128½ (mott i)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 10.17  
SCR  GLADYS               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
SCR  LE DA VIDA (CHI)               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
 
KEE-9   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 5:16
:24 :482 1:14 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COCKTAIL MOMENTS 1 1 21½ 31 31 1½ 13¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 3.50 9% 9.90 1.42 W
4  SKRATCH KAT 2 2 64¾ 64 52¾ 32½ 23¼ (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 2.33  
8  TAKE A STAND 5 5 42½ 42 21 2½ 33¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5.45  
5  VALENTINA DAY 3 6 54½ 53½ 63¼ 54 48 (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 28.98  
10  HOODOOLAND 6 3 11½ 11 11 44 512 (mcgaughey iii)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.82  
6  DOROTHEA 4 4 31½ 21 42½ 611 642¼ (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 5.15  
SCR  FALCONET               (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  FRIPPET               (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  ICE ORCHID               (ortiz alexander)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAP DANCING LADY               (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 15.00 7% 13.80    
 
KEE-10   10/21/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
:223 :474 1:132 1:383   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  QUALITY STAR 6 7 76¼ 85½ 75 1½ 14 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.50 25% 3.00 2.47 W
3  ENGLISH TREASURE 2 1 54½ 54 53½ 33 24 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
5  MESAORIA 4 3 32 32 31½ 2½ 34¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 3.53  
12  SUCH SOUNDS 10 4 43 43½ 42½ 64½ 49 (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 28.97  
2  ARROBLUE 1 8 108¼ 97½ 96¼ 75½ 510½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 5% 19.00 5.69  
11  TIFFANY'S MO 9 5 2nk 2½ 2½ 43½ 614¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7.57  
10  TIANA 8 6 64¾ 75½ 85¼ 910½ 716 (thomas jonathan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 9.42  
8  BROADBAND 7 10 86¾ 65 63½ 88 816¾ (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 65.30  
4  HEDY LAMARR 3 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 53½ 917¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 6.48  
6  RED BEE 5 9 97¾ 107¾ 107¾ 1011½ 1017½ (cundiff waylon)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 124 50.00 71.51  
SCR  CLASSIC COYNE               (hartman chris)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  DREAM FLY               (ward a)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  FIVE PRIZES               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  PARTYLINE               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
SCR  SUNROOF               (santamaria carlos)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
SCR  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX               (king l)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.