Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAN CLUB Sep24 Aug06 Jun18 May07 Apr15 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00    
2  TWO BY TWO Sep07 Jul31 Jul07 Jun19 May29 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 ★    
3  ZOOMER Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 May22 May07 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 31% 2.20    
4  KEYSTONE FIELD Sep10 Jul04 Jun17 May07 Mar19 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 11% 7.80    
5  SUGOI Sep29 Feb19       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  PEEKACHO Sep30 Aug20 Jul15 Jun30 Jun18 (vance r)LANERIE J 121 10.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASILICA D ORO Sep29 Sep05 Aug14 Jul17   (orantes r)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
2  SIMPERING SMILE Sep09         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
3  LADY ENVOY Sep23 Jul16       (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  SURE ENOUGH Sep02 Aug14       (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
5  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Jul16         (nihei michell)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
6  MORIARTY Sep27 Aug23 Aug14 Jul31 Jun26 (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
7  MS. THE LAW         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 64% 0.60    
8  WILDCAT GIRL Oct05 Jul08       (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
9  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Oct13 Sep27 Sep14 Sep07 Aug18 (dyer john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CONTROLLED FIRE Sep23 Sep02       (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  JEFF'S JOY Sep27 Aug26 Jul31     (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
12  BEST SELLER Sep22 Aug26 Aug06 Jul04   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  MARSANNE Oct13 Sep18 Aug19 Aug07 Jul01 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  CEE MINUS Sep26 Sep07       (west w)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SUPER SAINT Sep10 Jul22 Jun26 May27 Apr15 (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANCIENT BROWN Sep09 Jun29 Apr27 Apr14 Feb20 (humphries tho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00    
3  SINGSONG BIRD Aug25 Jul14 Jun09 May13 Apr22 (pincins j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  RESURRECTION ROAD Oct02 Aug25 Jul21 Jun21 Mar18 (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
5  CARRY ON Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 Jun05 May20 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50    
6  GYPSY WIFE Jan06         (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA TOURISTA Oct09 Aug28 Aug06 Jul22 Jun22 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
8  WATERS OF MEROM Jul17 Jun12 May22 May07 Apr07 (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
9  STYLISH ASH Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun02   (reed r)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
10  RUNAWAY MOM Aug28 Jul22 Jul08 May25 May13 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 10.00    
11  MAOILIN Sep27 Aug24 Aug06 Jul19 Jun30 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
KEE-4   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUGAN KNIGHT Sep21         (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  EDDIE M         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
3  HINENI         (zito p)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
4  EMPIRE'S BEST         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEVILS RED Sep29         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RECON Sep08         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
7  CARCANO Sep24         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 32% 2.20    
8  SURFACE TO AIR         (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
9  TIME ANDBEYOND         (moquett ronal)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00    
10  RUNNINGFORCASH         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
11  CHANCE         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
12  SUNSET TOWN         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-5   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES ON TARGET Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 May28 Apr21 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  ENCOURAGE Oct01 Sep05 Aug12     (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN HERO Sep30 Sep05 Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
4  BULLSEYE BUN Oct03 Sep05 Aug21 Jul30 Jun23 (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 50.00    
5  EASY TIME Jun12 May13 Mar18     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 8.30    
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER Sep03 Aug05 Jun03 Apr29   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
7  SAMBURU (GB)         (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
8  CREED Sep05 Aug20 Jul23     (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50    
9  VIVAR Sep05 Jan29 Jan01     (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
10  ALEX JOON Sep08 Aug09 Jul11 Mar24 Jan29 (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
11  RED HORNET Sep22 Sep05 Aug06 May28 May06 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
12  YAMATO Sep09 Jul10 Jun10 May01 Apr01 (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  LIGHT FURY Sep08 Aug06 Jan29     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO GOTCHA Oct03 Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Jan14 (michael brian)COURT K 121 30.00    
SCR  BARBERINI Sep25 Apr24 Mar18 Feb20 Jan26 (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF Sep28 Aug19 Jul15 May16 May04 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL SHOCK Oct01 Jul31 Jul03 Apr22   (vaccarezza carl)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
2  ARLYNE'S CROWN Sep05 Aug20 Aug04 Feb17 Jan01 (hiles jeff)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8% 11.00    
3  DAWNLAND Sep18 Jul31 Jun23 May21 May01 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7% 13.70    
4  H. T. XENA Aug11 Jun29 May21 Apr16 Feb22 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE Sep23 Jul03 Jun08 May30 May15 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
6  LEGERITY Oct02 Aug20 Jul03 Jun17 Apr14 (west w)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
7  CONDIMENT GIRL Sep08 May22 Apr29     (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  FRACING NASTY Jun02 May21 Apr02 Feb18   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
9  AFLEET ARLENE Sep18         (shorter aaron)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
10  LOVE OF MY LIFE Sep16 Jul12 Jun23 May05 Mar09 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
11  CODE NAME KATE Sep23 Aug29 Feb03     (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 32% 2.20    
12  SHANIAH Oct01 Aug16 Jul27 Jun17 Jan20 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
KEE-7   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUNICATION MEMO Sep17         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  BASELINE BEATER         (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
3  VICTORY FORMATION         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  SPEED INSTITUTE Sep17         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00    
5  WEYHILL ROAD         (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  SCHOOLMASTER (GER)         (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
7  SEAS OF NORMANDY Sep21         (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
8  SANTORINI         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
9  BARRELHOUSE         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
10  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT         (zito p)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
11  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Sep17 Aug06       (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 20% 4.00    
12  DINGMANN         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARANYA Sep01 Jun22 Apr23     (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00    
2  ARM CANDY (IRE) Sep25 Mar10 Jan30     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  GLADYS Oct02 Sep10 Aug16 Jul09 Jun14 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
4  POCA MUCHA Sep14 Aug03 Jul10 Apr24 Mar19 (mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
5  BELLAGAMBA (ARG) Aug21 Jul16 Jun18     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50 12% 7.00    
6  SCOTISH STAR (ARG) Aug31         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 10% 8.90    
7  PYRAMID PRINCESS Sep16 Sep01 Aug07 Mar05 Feb19 (warpool shane)PARKER L 121 30.00    
8  SUNNY ONE Sep10 Aug16 May19 Apr24 Mar19 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 9% 9.60    
9  DISAPPEARING ACT Sep13 Jul16 May28 Apr21 Jan17 (santamaria carl)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
10  PRINCESS FAWZIA Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 Apr16   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00    
11  PERSEVERANCIA Aug11 Jul02 Jun11 Apr30   (devaux ch)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
12  CANDACE O Sep10 Aug12 Jul08 Feb25   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
13  PHANTOM VISION Sep01 Jul27 May20 Apr16 Mar10 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Sep29 Aug21 Aug07 Jun11 May29 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
SCR  LE DA VIDA (CHI) Sep15         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
 
KEE-9   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRIPPET Sep23 Jul03 May21 Apr22 Apr02 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  TAP DANCING LADY Sep15 Jul08 Jun18 May06 Apr02 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 15.00 7% 13.80    
3  COCKTAIL MOMENTS Sep24 Sep05 Jun03 May06 Apr08 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
4  SKRATCH KAT Sep24 Aug20 Jul01 May06 Apr08 (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
5  VALENTINA DAY Sep24 Aug14 Jul23 Jan16   (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
6  DOROTHEA Sep18 Jul17 Jun26     (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
SCR  ICE ORCHID Sep18 Feb26 Feb11 Jan14   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKE A STAND Sep24 Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Apr30 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  FALCONET Sep24 Jul09 Jun03 Apr21 Mar05 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
10  HOODOOLAND Sep11 Jul28 Jul01 Apr14   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-10   10/21/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLASSIC COYNE Sep10 Aug24 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 (hartman ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  ARROBLUE Sep10 Aug14       (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  ENGLISH TREASURE Jul23 May29 May04 Jan27   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEDY LAMARR Sep10 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 Jan02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
5  MESAORIA Jan30         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
6  RED BEE Aug07 Jul08       (cundiff way)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 124 50.00    
7  QUALITY STAR Sep08 Aug14 Jul06 May29 May04 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  BROADBAND Sep14 Aug13 Jul08 Jun18   (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  DREAM FLY Sep08 Aug25 Jul14 May27   (ward a)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
10  TIANA         (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
11  TIFFANY'S MO Sep14 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 Apr21 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
12  SUCH SOUNDS         (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
SCR  FIVE PRIZES Sep08 Aug07 Jun23 May27 Mar06 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  SUNROOF Jul31 Mar07 Jan08     (santamari)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
SCR  PARTYLINE Sep14 Aug16 Jul12     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
SCR  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX Oct01 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.