Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST GLIMPSE 4 2 31 31 31 31 1½ (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 1.95  
BLESS THE KITTEN 2 1 21 2nk 1½ 1nk 2½ (grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 24% 3.10 3.83 P
MIDNIGHT J J 1 3 11 1nk 2½ 2nk 3 (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 118 3.00 14% 6.00 4.93 S
MY BARILEY 3 4 52 4 43 43 4 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 18% 4.60 6.04  
CONTACT TRACING 6 6 6 6 56 57 510 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 3.79  
QUANTUM LEAP 5 5 4 5 68 612 617½ (campbell joel)ROCCO S 122 6.00 6.93  
 
KEE-2   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMITIA LUCILLA 4 1 1nk 1½   1 1 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 3.61  
DOOZY BATZ 5 3 2nk 2½   2 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 1.00 45% 1.20 0.48 P
10  KLIMT'S MUSE 8 9 910½ 7   3 310½ (humphries tho)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 22.86  
VERDANDI 3 6 45 48   411½ 415 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11.17  
YELLOW CREEK ROAD 2 8 78 810   512½ 517½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 57.38  
12  KNELCOCK 10 5 6 69   714 619¼ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 65.39  
LA CHAPEAU 7 4 56 5   614 720¼ (williamson bria)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 35.78  
11  STUPENDOUS 9 2 8 911   814¼ 821½ (hancock a)LANERIE J 121 30.00 29% 2.40 25.14  
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 6 10 1016½ 1021   1022¾ 923¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 12.00 23.30  
STAKE A CLAIM 1 7 33 3   914¾ 1027¾ (o'dwyer jeremia)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 24.22  
SCR  BODIEFUL               (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  LIZNOW               (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET VALERIA               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:12     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 2 2 1nk 2nk   1 1½ (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 26% 2.80 1.52 W
EDGEE ANGEL 3 5 79 712   5 2½ (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 8.75  
MOHAYLADY 6 4 67 57   46 3 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 5.00 4.64  
BOURBONWITHGINGER 7 1 2nk 1nk   2 4 (tooley jennifer)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 10% 8.90 11.21  
NANA'S GRAY 5 3 44 45   36 58 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 23% 3.40 4.32  
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL 4 7 5 69   719 626½ (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 15% 5.80 10.41  
SMILE AT THE STORM 1 6 3 34   618½ 737¼ (demeritte larry)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 5.38  
SCR  SUPER CAT LADY               (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 123 3.50    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO'S MOJO 4 5 5 54   21 12 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 9.38  
BIG THORN 6 3 12 1   11 22 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 3.50 29% 2.50 4.11 P
CREATE AGAIN 8 2 22 2   34 35 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 3.59 S
ROLLING FORK 2 8 77 87   5 4 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 7.02  
KING'S MISCHIEF 3 4 4 44   45 5 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 25.28  
ROCKING THE BOAT 7 1 66 66   6 615½ (falcone rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 32% 2.10 4.64  
MOTAGALLY 5 7 88 7   813 720½ (cano )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 32.28  
REAL NEWS 1 6 3 3   712½ 823 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 2.21  
SCR  FULL IMPACT               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
KEE-5   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:12 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEPOTISM 4 5 3 32 21 1½ 1 (scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 3.26  
COUSIN LARRY 3 1 66 6 6 33 2 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 5.38 P
MIACOMET 2 3 1½ 1nk 11 2½ 3 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 4.06  
ICARUS 5 2 44 4 4 5 48 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 48% 1.10 2.64  
NATIONAL SECURITY 1 4 54 5 53 4 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 13% 6.70 3.71  
MINISTERIAL 6 6 2½ 2nk 32 69 614 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 7.66  
SCR  CIVICS CLASS               (sims philip )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  DOCTOR NASH               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
SCR  QUICK TO BLAME               (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAENZ 7 4 2nk 1nk   1 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 43% 1.40 1.32 W
11  DIVISIBILITY 10 2 3½ 2nk   2 2 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 4.80 7.74 P
MARSANNE 5 1 1nk 32   3 3 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 7.89  
DIVINE GRACE 2 3 66 68   5 410¼ (ewing michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.90  
PERFECT ROSE 8 10 1012½ 1011¾   710½ 510½ (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 20.00 44.28  
PEACEFUL MOMENT 3 7 7 7   6 612½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 6.63  
I'M SO COZZE 1 9 88 8   811 712¾ (beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 20.91  
RIGHT NOW 6 8 910½ 910¼   1012¼ 813¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 21.31  
SMOOTH LIKE ICE 4 5 41 4   48 914¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10.17  
10  THROUGH THE CRACKS 9 6 54 56   911¼ 1015¾ (deville car)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.67  
SCR  CHARRIERE               (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 14% 6.10    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA ANEJO 8 4 11 12   1 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 19% 4.30 1.46 W
TSHIEBWE 3 6 5 44   3 2 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6% 17.10 11.78 P
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 9 3 21 3   2 316¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 41% 1.50 1.66 S
LEVEL UP 2 8 8 813   613¾ 417 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 79.95  
JUAN VALDEZ 4 5 6 5   412 517¼ (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 7.84  
WILDERZAR 5 7 7 6   512¼ 618 (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 58.74  
SACRED GROUND 1 1 43 79   716¼ 722¼ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 13% 6.50 15.19  
10  FREEZING POINT 10 2 31 22   817¾ 833 (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 10.10  
RELAMPAGO VERDE 7 9 1019¼ 1026   929¾ 952¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 47.67  
MALIBU MENDELSSOHN 6 10 911¼ 918   1033¾ 1086¾ (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 59.01  
 
KEE-8   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATIC FIRE 6 4 2½ 2½   1nk 1 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 0.80 57% 0.80 0.38 W
DIVA TREVA 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 29.09 P
PROMISES TO DANCE 3 2 3 43   4 35 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 8.42 S
ROSES FOR DEBRA 2 5 4 33   3 4 (brafford c)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 18% 4.60 3.11  
MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 5 1 66 6   6 5 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 54.88  
CHASING FIREFLIES 4 6 5 5   5 69 (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 14.20  
 
KEE-9   10/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:141 1:26   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY LIGHT 2 7 10 10 8 2nk 1 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 41% 1.40 1.75 W
SAKE (FR) 3 3 8 8 5 1nk 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00 23.35  
FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) 5 9 5 52 42 5 3 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 18.14  
FAST AS FLIGHT 1 2 4 4 32 6 4 (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 24% 3.20 5.52  
CUZZYWUZZY 6 10 9 9 9 7 5 (guerrero sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 97.80  
TOERIS 8 4 21 2½ 2½ 4¾ 6 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 13.25  
DAISY BEE 7 1 11 1½ 1½ 3.2 7 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 6.45  
10  BLISSFUL 10 12 12 12 10 9 87 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 7% 13.40 6.09  
LET'S DUET 4 11 11 11 12 107 97 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 15.84  
11  INTRIGUE 11 5 31 3 63 8 10 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9.40  
JUBILEE BRIDGE 9 6 6 6 7 11 1110½ (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 16.97  
12  EXPLICATE 12 8 7 7 11 1210½ 1214¼ (bicknell whitne)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 71.29  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS               (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
SCR  INSATIABLE               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  MINT EDITION               (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  SENSITIVITY               (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-10   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETIT VERDOT 2 4 55 3   21 1hd (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 18.60 7.43 W
CAJUN BROTHER 5 1 1½ 2nk   11 2hd (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 3.92 P
12  SHACKS WAY 8 2 2½ 1nk   33 3 (compton greg)COURT K 121 8.00 4.33  
11  HONORARY DEGREE 7 7 810½ 7   7 4 (sherman jus)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 20.00 18.71  
FLEETRIDGE 3 5 4 6   5 55 (arnett jon)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 2.15  
10  THIRSTY BETRAYAL 6 6 66 54   45 6 (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 2.77  
MASAI MAN 4 3 3 4   6 710¼ (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 34.50  
FEELING IT 1 8 7 813½   813¾ 830¼ (sherman jus)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 111 30.00 46.83  
SCR  BEVERLY PARK               (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  CRIME SPREE               (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
SCR  EAST OF INDIA               (howard marya)CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00    
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE               (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.