Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST GLIMPSE   (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 1.95  
BLESS THE KITTEN   (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 24% 3.10 3.83 P
MIDNIGHT J J   (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 118 3.00 14% 6.00 4.93 S
MY BARILEY   (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 18% 4.60 6.04  
CONTACT TRACING   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 3.79  
QUANTUM LEAP   (campbell joel)ROCCO S 122 6.00 6.93  
 
KEE-2   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMITIA LUCILLA   (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 4.50 3.61  
DOOZY BATZ   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 1.00 45% 1.20 0.48 P
10  KLIMT'S MUSE   (humphries t)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 22.86  
VERDANDI   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11.17  
YELLOW CREEK ROAD   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 57.38  
12  KNELCOCK   (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 65.39  
LA CHAPEAU   (williamson br)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 35.78  
11  STUPENDOUS   (hancock a)LANERIE J 121 30.00 29% 2.40 25.14  
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 12.00 23.30  
STAKE A CLAIM   (o'dwyer jerem)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 24.22  
SCR  BODIEFUL   (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  LIZNOW   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET VALERIA   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE   (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 26% 2.80 1.52 W
EDGEE ANGEL   (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 8.75  
MOHAYLADY   (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 5.00 4.64  
BOURBONWITHGINGER   (tooley jennife)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 10% 8.90 11.21  
NANA'S GRAY   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 23% 3.40 4.32  
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL   (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 15% 5.80 10.41  
SMILE AT THE STORM   (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 5.38  
SCR  SUPER CAT LADY   (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 123 3.50    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO'S MOJO   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 9.38  
BIG THORN   (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 3.50 29% 2.50 4.11 P
CREATE AGAIN   (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 3.59 S
ROLLING FORK   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 7.02  
KING'S MISCHIEF   (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 25.28  
ROCKING THE BOAT   (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 32% 2.10 4.64  
MOTAGALLY   (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 32.28  
REAL NEWS   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 2.21  
SCR  FULL IMPACT   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
KEE-5   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEPOTISM   (scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 3.26  
COUSIN LARRY   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 5.38 P
MIACOMET   (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 4.06  
ICARUS   (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 48% 1.10 2.64  
NATIONAL SECURITY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 13% 6.70 3.71  
MINISTERIAL   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 7.66  
SCR  CIVICS CLASS   (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  DOCTOR NASH   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
SCR  QUICK TO BLAME   (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAENZ   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 43% 1.40 1.32 W
11  DIVISIBILITY   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 4.80 7.74 P
MARSANNE   (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 7.89  
DIVINE GRACE   (ewing micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.90  
PERFECT ROSE   (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 20.00 44.28  
PEACEFUL MOMENT   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 6.63  
I'M SO COZZE   (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 20.91  
RIGHT NOW   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 21.31  
SMOOTH LIKE ICE   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10.17  
10  THROUGH THE CRACKS   (deville c)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.67  
SCR  CHARRIERE   (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 14% 6.10    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA ANEJO   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 19% 4.30 1.46 W
TSHIEBWE   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6% 17.10 11.78 P
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 41% 1.50 1.66 S
LEVEL UP   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 79.95  
JUAN VALDEZ   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 7.84  
WILDERZAR   (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 58.74  
SACRED GROUND   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 13% 6.50 15.19  
10  FREEZING POINT   (lejzerowic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 10.10  
RELAMPAGO VERDE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 47.67  
MALIBU MENDELSSOHN   (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 59.01  
 
KEE-8   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATIC FIRE   (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 0.80 57% 0.80 0.38 W
DIVA TREVA   (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 29.09 P
PROMISES TO DANCE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 8.42 S
ROSES FOR DEBRA   (brafford michelle)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 18% 4.60 3.11  
MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 54.88  
CHASING FIREFLIES   (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 14.20  
 
KEE-9   10/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY LIGHT   (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 41% 1.40 1.75 W
SAKE (FR)   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00 23.35  
FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB)   (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 18.14  
FAST AS FLIGHT   (lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 24% 3.20 5.52  
CUZZYWUZZY   (guerrero )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 97.80  
TOERIS   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 13.25  
DAISY BEE   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 6.45  
10  BLISSFUL   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 7% 13.40 6.09  
LET'S DUET   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 15.84  
11  INTRIGUE   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9.40  
JUBILEE BRIDGE   (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 16.97  
12  EXPLICATE   (bicknell whit)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 71.29  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS   (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
SCR  INSATIABLE   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  MINT EDITION   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  SENSITIVITY   (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-10   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETIT VERDOT   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 18.60 7.43 W
CAJUN BROTHER   (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 3.92 P
12  SHACKS WAY   (compton greg)COURT K 121 8.00 4.33  
11  HONORARY DEGREE   (sherman j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 20.00 18.71  
FLEETRIDGE   (arnett j)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 2.15  
10  THIRSTY BETRAYAL   (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 2.77  
MASAI MAN   (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 34.50  
FEELING IT   (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 111 30.00 46.83  
SCR  BEVERLY PARK   (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  CRIME SPREE   (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
SCR  EAST OF INDIA   (howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00    
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.