Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT J J Sep01 Aug11 Jul20 Jun07 May11 (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
2  BLESS THE KITTEN Sep02 Aug17 Aug05 Jul06 Jun02 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  MY BARILEY Sep02 Aug05 May21 Apr27 Mar11 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  FIRST GLIMPSE Sep07 Aug16 Aug03 Jul09 Jun08 (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 ★    
5  QUANTUM LEAP Sep25 Aug31 Aug14 Jul04 Jun09 (campbell joel)ROCCO S 122 6.00 ★    
6  CONTACT TRACING Sep01 Aug02 Jul21 Jun11   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
 
KEE-2   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAKE A CLAIM         (o'dwyer jere)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
SCR  SWEET VALERIA Oct03 Sep18 Mar19 Feb11   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
3  YELLOW CREEK ROAD Sep24 Aug26 Jul15 Jun19 May19 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
4  VERDANDI Jun22 Jun03 Apr26 Feb24 Jan20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
SCR  LIZNOW Sep16         (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOMITIA LUCILLA Sep16 Aug06 Jul04 Jun08   (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 4.50 ★    
7  DOOZY BATZ Sep16 Jun09 Apr27     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 1.00 45% 1.20    
8  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 12.00 ★    
9  LA CHAPEAU         (williamson br)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
10  KLIMT'S MUSE Aug25 Aug09 Jul03     (humphries t)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
11  STUPENDOUS Sep18 Jul29 Jul15 Jun12 Mar18 (hancock a)LANERIE J 121 30.00 29% 2.40    
12  KNELCOCK         (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  BODIEFUL Sep26 Sep03 Aug15     (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILE AT THE STORM Sep21 Apr28 Apr10 Mar05 Feb10 (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
2  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Sep21 Aug30 Aug19 Aug06 Jul20 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  EDGEE ANGEL Sep21 Aug28 Jul06 Feb24   (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00    
4  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 Jul20 Jun21 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
5  NANA'S GRAY Sep21 Sep05 Jul24 Jun22 May27 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  MOHAYLADY Sep28 Sep18 Jul24 Jun22 May21 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 5.00    
SCR  SUPER CAT LADY Sep29 Aug29       (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 123 3.50 ★    
8  BOURBONWITHGINGER Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul11 May23 (tooley jennife)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 10% 8.90    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NEWS Sep05 Aug27 Aug06     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 ★    
2  ROLLING FORK Sep07 Aug16 Jul12 Jun22 May29 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
3  KING'S MISCHIEF Sep25 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 Jun04 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00    
4  MO'S MOJO Sep23 Jul01 May05 Feb25 Jan02 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00    
5  MOTAGALLY         (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00    
SCR  FULL IMPACT Sep20 Jun17 May20 Jan02   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
7  BIG THORN Sep26 Sep09 Jul24 Jul02 Jun17 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
8  ROCKING THE BOAT         (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
9  CREATE AGAIN Sep03 Aug21 Jul22 Mar12 Jan13 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 ★    
 
KEE-5   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIONAL SECURITY Sep01 Jul24 May16     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
2  MIACOMET Sep17 Jan29 Jan08     (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
3  COUSIN LARRY Sep17 Aug15 Jul13 Jun19 May28 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 ★    
4  NEPOTISM Sep17 Jul04 Jun19 May30 May12 (scherer marianne)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
5  ICARUS Sep28 Aug25 Jun18 Apr29 Mar05 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  DOCTOR NASH Sep30 Jun19 Jan19     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
SCR  CIVICS CLASS Sep22 Aug30 Jul27 May28 Apr09 (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  QUICK TO BLAME Sep17 Jul29 Jun19 May14 Apr02 (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
9  MINISTERIAL Aug19 Jun30       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M SO COZZE Sep01         (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
2  DIVINE GRACE Aug10 Jul01 Jun03 May05   (ewing micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
3  PEACEFUL MOMENT Sep24         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
4  SMOOTH LIKE ICE Sep05         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
5  MARSANNE Sep18 Aug19 Aug07 Jul01   (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  CHARRIERE         (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 14% 6.10    
7  RIGHT NOW Sep17 Aug26       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 ★    
8  SAENZ Sep18         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 43% 1.40    
9  PERFECT ROSE Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 Aug13 Aug07 (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 20.00    
10  THROUGH THE CRACKS Sep24 Aug15 Jul23     (deville c)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  DIVISIBILITY         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED GROUND Aug26         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
2  LEVEL UP Sep10 Aug06       (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
3  TSHIEBWE Aug13         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6% 17.10    
4  JUAN VALDEZ Sep03         (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
5  WILDERZAR Oct02         (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
6  MALIBU MENDELSSOHN         (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
7  RELAMPAGO VERDE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
8  EXTRA ANEJO         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
9  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Sep15 Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 May27 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.80 41% 1.50    
10  FREEZING POINT Sep23         (lejzerowic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
 
KEE-8   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA TREVA Sep11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 May30 (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 ★    
2  ROSES FOR DEBRA Sep21 Jul18 Jun09 May23   (brafford michelle)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  PROMISES TO DANCE Sep25 Mar26 Feb10     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 ★    
4  CHASING FIREFLIES Sep25 Aug08 Jul09 Jun09   (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 ★    
5  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Sep18 Aug08 Jul09 Jun18 May13 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00    
6  STATIC FIRE Sep13 Jul15 May28     (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 0.80 57% 0.80    
 
KEE-9   10/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST AS FLIGHT Sep01 Feb10 Jan15     (lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  CANDY LIGHT Sep06 Jul14 May20 Mar19 Feb24 (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  SAKE (FR) Jun25 Jun04       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
4  LET'S DUET Sep05 Aug20 Jul29 Apr27   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
5  FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) Jul24 May07 Jan30 Jan02   (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
6  CUZZYWUZZY Sep01 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 May12 (guerrero )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
7  DAISY BEE Sep10         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
8  TOERIS         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
9  JUBILEE BRIDGE Sep18         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
10  BLISSFUL Jul30 Jun22       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 7% 13.40    
11  INTRIGUE Sep14 Aug13       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 ★    
12  EXPLICATE Sep26 Jul02 Jun18     (bicknell whit)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
SCR  MINT EDITION Sep05 Mar24 Feb11     (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  DUPLICITOUS Sep18 Sep01 Aug07 Jul08 Jun23 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
SCR  INSATIABLE Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 May29 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  SENSITIVITY Apr02 Feb27       (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-10   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING IT Oct05 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 111 30.00    
SCR  BEVERLY PARK Sep21 Aug26 Aug17 Jul23 Jul15 (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
3  PETIT VERDOT Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Jun15 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 18.60    
4  FLEETRIDGE Sep24 Aug07 Jul09 Jun27 Jun13 (arnett j)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE Sep15 Jul31 Jul06 Jun11 Apr27 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  EAST OF INDIA Jul09 Jun18 May26     (howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00    
SCR  CRIME SPREE Sep15 Jul21 Jul06 Jun18 May27 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
8  MASAI MAN Sep23 Aug23 Aug09 Jul05 Jun13 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
9  CAJUN BROTHER Sep25 Aug28 Jan15     (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 ★    
10  THIRSTY BETRAYAL Sep15 Jul31 Jul08 Jun18 May27 (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00    
11  HONORARY DEGREE Sep23 Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 (sherman j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 20.00    
12  SHACKS WAY Aug26 Jul21 Jun23 Jun10 May21 (compton greg)COURT K 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.