The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Saturday - October 29, 2022

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KEE-1   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:231 :473 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOAN'S WAY 2 3 3.2 1½   11(silva h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 41% 1.50 0.67 W
ALSANAH 3 6 5 3   32(moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.12  
TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS 7 5 2nk 2½   23(dunn d)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 13.09  
AVARIE 6 1 4 48   412 420¾ (rosin w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 10% 9.00 4.62  
TRUST FUND BABY 5 2 711¾ 612½   514 522¾ (mickelson judy)HEBERT LINDSEY 117 20.00 20.33  
PACIFIC GROVE 4 7 6 713½   716 624¼ (gonzalez alejandro)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 50.00 44.18  
JAMS TOP SHELF 1 4 1nk 5   614½ 725¼ (jennings joseph)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 30.00 27.71  
SCR  RENAE NAE               (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
KEE-2   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
:231 :471 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SURCHARGE 9 2 44 43   32 1½ (lyster s)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 6.61  
BIG JAVA 7 5 3 3   42½ (lauer michael)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 21% 3.70 2.51 P
DALLAS VOLUNTEER 3 4 5 5   53¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 33% 2.00 2.34 S
VERY WEALTHY 8 1 2 2nk   2nk 4(lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 12.00 23.29  
BAYSHORE FOXES 1 3 1 1nk   1nk 5(van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 4.14  
FORTUNE BOUND 2 7 7 7   66(sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.14  
WICKED WONDER 4 6 6 6   75 73 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 16.07  
CANDY KICK 6 9 89 810¼   88 86 (flint s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 17% 4.80 7.41  
MA CHERIE 5 8 99 912¼   914 926½ (cohn g)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 31.53  
SCR  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH               (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 30.00    
 
KEE-3   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:234 :473 1:124 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE DA VIDA (CHI) 3 7 7 75 5 31(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 47% 1.10 1.58 W
MARIAH'S PRINCESS 5 1 4 54 1nk 1½ 2(bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 3.60 P
WILL'S SECRET 2 5 55 4 3½ 2½ 35 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 6.24 S
BYE BYE BERTIE 4 3 33 3 4¾ 45 4(powell leonard)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 9.15  
ENVOUTANTE 6 4 65 6 6 55 511¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 16% 5.40 2.80  
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 1 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 6618 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00 18.52  
LADY VALENTINE 7 6 2½ 2nk 7 713½ 732¾ (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 27.14  
 
KEE-4   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:223 :462 1:113     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 6 7 89 7   31 15 (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 6.58  
OLGA ISABEL 7 3 1nk 1½   1½ 25 (delgado gustavo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 42% 1.40 0.97 P
FEELING HAPPY 5 6 9 9   57 3(baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 17.48  
HYPERSPORT 2 2 2nk 3   44(mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 4.50 22% 3.60 13.45  
MERCY WARREN 8 1 31 2½   2½ 5(devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 25.77  
BRAGANZA 4 8 52 4   6612¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 12% 7.20 3.51  
FINE FAMILY 1 9 7 8   711½ 722½ (moquett e)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 41.76  
AUNT NAUGHTY 9 5 6 52   813½ 824¼ (mcgaughey iii)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 16.20  
GINA 3 4 4 6   914 926¼ (stidham michael)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 10.34  
 
KEE-5   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
:23 :472 1:13 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL JIM 2 2 5 54 42 12 1(mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 2.99  
DISDAINFUL (IRE) 3 10 7 77 6 32(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7.48  
OUR DREAM RYE'D 6 8 1211¾ 1010¾ 108 73(wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 6.08  
OSCAR AWARD 8 7 10 89 86 545 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 10% 9.10 4.83  
OTAGO 4 1 3 2 21 45(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 30.81  
12  RARIFIED FLAIR 11 9 6 44 53 66 6(mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 4.50 11% 8.20 7.79  
10  MENDEL'S SECRET 9 6 1 1 11 22 7(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.10 6.36  
IN GOD'S TIME 5 4 2 32 3 88 811¼ (stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 5% 19.00 20.69  
BLAMETHEGOODTIMES 7 5 9 1111¾ 12 911½ 911½ (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00 6.53  
11  FASTBYTE 10 12 1110¼ 1211¾ 97 1012½ 1012¾ (leitch daniel)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 84.86  
STEELE MONEY 1 3 8 9 118 1114½ 1119¼ (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 50.00 69.33  
13  HOUSED 12 11 4 65 7 1215 1220¼ (davis christopher)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 40.65  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 115 15.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINCELY               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S CONQUEST               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
KEE-6   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
:223 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHOW 5 4 1 11   115 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 5.00 4.48  
BOURBON BASH 6 6 4 3   225 (lukas wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 3.83  
RAISE CAIN 1 5 5 68   58 3(colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 3.30 S
SIR LANCELOT 2 2 2 21   34(stidham michael)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.16  
QUICK HAMMER 3 3 64 5   68 5(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 27% 2.70 3.33  
JEREMY'S JET 4 1 3 4   4613¾ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 43.96  
SCR  HURRICANE J               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
 
KEE-7   10/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:222 :461 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER SEEKER 7 6 8 10   81½ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 5.40  
10  ATLANTIC DANCER 8 8 10 8   42½ (zito p)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 15.30  
14  LUPO'S LEGACY 11 3 3.2 2nk   11 3(englehart c)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 8.83  
MAMZOOJ 1 10 6 76   63 4(peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 9.25  
PLAUSIBLE DENILE 3 5 4 5   32 54 (divito p)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 6% 14.70 4.01  
ARROGATES SPIRIT 2 11 5 43   565 (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 4.60  
MONTAUK POINT 6 4 1nk 1nk   21 76 (mcgaughey iii)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 7.07  
12  ICEATUDE 9 7 9 9   1088 (pierce lacy)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 25% 2.90 8.18  
HE'S A ANGEL 5 1 7 6   99(macias adolfo)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 68.97  
PRICING POWER 4 9 2nk 3½   710(brown c)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 12% 7.00 6.17  
13  BOCO 10 2 11 1114¼   1115¾ 1129¼ (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00 ######  
SCR  CAPE TRAFALGAR               (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  IT'S A BANG BANG               (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  MUD PUDDLE               (brumley s)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
SCR  SHIPMAN               (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOP SECRET               (mackey wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
:23 :464 1:114 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALNIKHOV (IRE) 2 9 1111¼ 1111 11 61¼ (d'amato philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.64  
WIT 8 4 5 5 5 1nk 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 24% 3.10 2.03 P
AXTHELM 4 2 44 4 42 2nk 3¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00 18.41 S
PORTFOLIO COMPANY 6 10 10 109 106 74(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 14.93  
12  PLAY ACTION PASS 12 8 3 3 31 4¾ 5(medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 10.06  
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 5 3 1½ 11 1½ 3.2 6(mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 18% 4.60 3.98  
FORT WASHINGTON 3 12 1213¼ 1213 12 117(mcgaughey iii)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 30.43  
DOUBLE CLUTCH 7 5 76 66 6 88(arnold r)LANERIE J 118 10.00 16.55  
WOW WHATA SUMMER 9 11 9 9 9 1094 (lawrence lee)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 91.37  
READY TO PURRFORM 1 1 66 76 74 910(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70 4.84  
10  FUERTEVENTURA 10 6 2½ 21 2½ 511(thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 32.74  
11  STOLEN BASE 11 7 8 87 8 1212(maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 39.20  
SCR  CHURCHTOWN               (attfield roger)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  DAKOTA GOLD               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  RED DANGER               (lynch a)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  UNDERDRESSED               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/29/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:251 :491 1:14 1:383   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST WILL POWER 1 1 11 12 12 11(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 13% 6.60 1.37 W
FULSOME 2 5 58 5 46 32(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 29% 2.50 6.03 P
LAST SAMURAI 5 2 21 22 22 23(lukas wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 9.54 S
KING FURY 4 4 3 3 3 46 411 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 9.34  
FIRST CAPTAIN 3 3 46 45 5 510 519¾ (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.20 31% 2.20 1.29  
SCR  CHESS CHIEF               (stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
 
KEE-10   10/29/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
:214 :454 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINER'S QUEEN 2 4 21 3   1½ 11 (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 26.13  
VIOLENZA 6 2 7 7   421 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 24.37  
11  SARA MIA 9 5 9 8   732 (diodoro robertino)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 8.88  
SPICY MARG 5 1 11 1½   2½ 42 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 4.90 3.89  
ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) 1 9 4 42   32 5(ward a)ORTIZ L 121 1.60 27% 2.60 0.71  
LEMOS CUNHA 4 7 8 9   66(caramori eduardo)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 25% 2.90 14.43  
AMBASSADOR LUNA 7 3 31 2½   573 (colebrook ben)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 60.56  
NEW BOSS 3 8 5 52   88(calhoun bret)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 10.96  
CHEETARA (CHI) 8 6 6 63   99(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 5% 18.50 15.44  
SCR  CONNIE K               (morse l)COURT K 121 10.00    
SCR  EXPLICATE               (bicknell a)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
SCR  GIRL WITH A DREAM               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MADAM MACLEAN               (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.