Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMS TOP SHELF         (jennings joseph)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 30.00    
JOAN'S WAY Oct01 Mar19 Feb18 Jan21   (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 41% 1.50    
ALSANAH Sep24 Aug26       (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Oct06 Sep22 Jul22 Feb27   (gonzal)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 50.00    
TRUST FUND BABY Oct10 Sep14 Sep07     (mickelson judy)HEBERT LINDSEY 117 20.00    
SCR  RENAE NAE         (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
AVARIE Oct09 Sep03 Jul03 May27   (rosin coty )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 10% 9.00    
TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS Feb11 Jan08       (dunn stephe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYSHORE FOXES Oct08         (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Aug12 Jul15 Jun06 May27 May14 (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 30.00    
FORTUNE BOUND Oct05 Sep13 May18     (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DALLAS VOLUNTEER Sep16 May21 Mar16 Feb18 Jan20 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
WICKED WONDER Jul16 Mar16 Feb06 Jan14   (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
MA CHERIE Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Jan03   (cohn alice )LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
CANDY KICK Sep30 Aug14 Jun19     (flint bernar)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
BIG JAVA Oct08 Aug14 Jul01 May22 Apr07 (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
VERY WEALTHY Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 Aug07 Jul08 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 12.00    
10  SURCHARGE Oct03 Aug23 Jun11 Apr15   (lyster s)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
 
KEE-3   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Sep29 Aug21 Aug07 Jun11 May29 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00    
WILL'S SECRET Sep16 Jul03 Jun12     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
LE DA VIDA (CHI) Sep15         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
BYE BYE BERTIE Sep17 Sep05 Jul23 Jun18 May21 (powell leonard)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
MARIAH'S PRINCESS         (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50    
ENVOUTANTE Sep17 Aug19 Mar05     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 16% 5.40    
LADY VALENTINE Aug25 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May31 (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINE FAMILY Sep23 Aug27       (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
HYPERSPORT May01 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29   (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 4.50 22% 3.60    
GINA May25         (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
BRAGANZA Sep28         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
FEELING HAPPY Oct08 Sep18 Jun03 May06 Apr10 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
MY KENTUCKY GIRL Sep04 Jul23 Jun05 Apr02   (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00    
OLGA ISABEL Oct07 May06 Mar05     (delgado gustavo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
MERCY WARREN Jun26 Jun03 Apr13 Mar10 Jan22 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
AUNT NAUGHTY Sep18 Aug31 Jul28 Jun09 Apr15 (mcgaughey clau)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00    
 
KEE-5   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEELE MONEY Aug01 Jun22       (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 50.00    
GENERAL JIM Sep03 Aug13       (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
DISDAINFUL (IRE)         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
OTAGO Oct01 Sep11 Aug22     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
IN GOD'S TIME Sep29         (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Oct09 Aug31 Jul30 Jun19   (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
BLAMETHEGOODTIMES Sep11 Aug12       (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00    
SCR  BLING Oct07 Aug20 Jul22     (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 115 15.00    
OSCAR AWARD Sep14 Jul24       (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 10% 9.10    
10  MENDEL'S SECRET Sep01         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
11  FASTBYTE Aug18 Jul24 May30     (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
12  RARIFIED FLAIR Oct09 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
13  HOUSED Sep22 Aug27       (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
SCR  PRINCELY Sep28 Sep15       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER Sep23         (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S CONQUEST Oct01 Sep03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
KEE-6   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE CAIN Oct09 Sep17       (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
SIR LANCELOT Oct04 Sep09       (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
QUICK HAMMER Sep16         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
JEREMY'S JET Oct08 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 Jun26 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
SUPER CHOW Sep10 Aug13 Jul02     (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 5.00    
SCR  HURRICANE J Oct08 Aug28       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
BOURBON BASH Oct08 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24   (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
 
KEE-7   10/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S A BANG BANG Sep22 Aug21       (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
MAMZOOJ Oct02         (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
SCR  SHIPMAN Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Jul24 Jul01 (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ARROGATES SPIRIT Sep22         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
PLAUSIBLE DENILE Jun12 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Mar19 (divito p)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 6% 14.70    
PRICING POWER         (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 12% 7.00    
HE'S A ANGEL Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul09 (macias adolfo)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
MONTAUK POINT Oct02 May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (mcgaughey )SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
POWER SEEKER         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
10  ATLANTIC DANCER Sep15         (zito nicholas )GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
SCR  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Oct08 Apr14 Mar12     (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
12  ICEATUDE Sep22         (pierce lacy)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
13  BOCO Sep18 Aug07       (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00    
14  LUPO'S LEGACY Oct16 Sep15 Aug28     (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  MUD PUDDLE         (brumley william )ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
SCR  TOP SECRET         (mackey wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO PURRFORM Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 May21   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
BALNIKHOV (IRE) Sep03 Jul22 Jun04 May07 Apr02 (d'amato phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
FORT WASHINGTON Sep14 Jun26 Jun03 Apr23 Mar12 (mcgaughey iii)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
AXTHELM Oct12 Sep01 Jul17     (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Oct08 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
PORTFOLIO COMPANY Aug13 Jun26 May07     (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 Apr16 Feb26 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
WIT Aug28 Aug05 Jun11 Apr09   (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Oct09 Sep06 Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 (lawrence jame)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
10  FUERTEVENTURA Sep14 Sep03 Jul02 May29 Apr30 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
11  STOLEN BASE Aug05 Jul09 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
12  PLAY ACTION PASS Sep14 Jul30 Jun04 May15 Apr16 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  RED DANGER Jun03 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Feb05 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  UNDERDRESSED Sep29 Sep01 Aug22 Jul14 Jun20 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  CHURCHTOWN Sep10 Jul03 May29 Apr16   (attfield rog)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  DAKOTA GOLD Aug17 Jul21 Jun19     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
KEE-9   10/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST WILL POWER Sep28 Aug06       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  CHESS CHIEF Oct01 Sep03 Aug04 Jun25 Mar26 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
FULSOME Oct01 Aug06 Jun25 May06 Apr02 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
FIRST CAPTAIN Sep03 Jul09 May20 Apr09 Feb27 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.20 31% 2.20    
KING FURY Oct01 Aug13 Apr02     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
LAST SAMURAI Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Apr23 Apr03 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
 
KEE-10   10/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) Aug20 Jun10 Apr08     (ward a)ORTIZ L 121 1.60 27% 2.60    
MINER'S QUEEN Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 Jun12 May21 (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
NEW BOSS Jul13         (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  MADAM MACLEAN Sep22 Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 May31 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
LEMOS CUNHA Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 May29 (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
SPICY MARG Sep24 Aug04 Apr30 Apr08   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
VIOLENZA Sep10 Aug07 Jul18 Apr16 Mar10 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
AMBASSADOR LUNA Aug07 Jun05 May05 Mar04   (colebrook be)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
CHEETARA (CHI) Sep25 Aug16 Jul16 Jun04 Apr30 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  EXPLICATE Oct13 Sep26 Jul02 Jun18   (bicknell whitne)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
11  SARA MIA Oct22 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun26 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
SCR  GIRL WITH A DREAM Mar05 Feb05       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONNIE K Jun11 May06 Apr16 Mar05 Jan08 (morse l)COURT K 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.