Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMS TOP SHELF         (jennings jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 30.00    
2  JOAN'S WAY Oct01 Mar19 Feb18 Jan21   (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 41% 1.50    
3  ALSANAH Sep24 Aug26       (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
4  PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Oct06 Sep22 Jul22 Feb27   (gonz)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 50.00 ★    
5  TRUST FUND BABY Oct10 Sep14 Sep07     (mickelson ju)HEBERT LINDSEY 117 20.00 ★    
SCR  RENAE NAE         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  AVARIE Oct09 Sep03 Jul03 May27   (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 10% 9.00    
8  TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS Feb11 Jan08       (dunn step)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYSHORE FOXES Oct08         (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Aug12 Jul15 Jun06 May27 May14 (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 30.00    
3  FORTUNE BOUND Oct05 Sep13 May18     (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DALLAS VOLUNTEER Sep16 May21 Mar16 Feb18 Jan20 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  WICKED WONDER Jul16 Mar16 Feb06 Jan14   (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
6  MA CHERIE Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Jan03   (cohn alic)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
7  CANDY KICK Sep30 Aug14 Jun19     (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
8  BIG JAVA Oct08 Aug14 Jul01 May22 Apr07 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
9  VERY WEALTHY Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 Aug07 Jul08 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 12.00    
10  SURCHARGE Oct03 Aug23 Jun11 Apr15   (lyster s)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
 
KEE-3   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Sep29 Aug21 Aug07 Jun11 May29 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00    
2  WILL'S SECRET Sep16 Jul03 Jun12     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 ★    
3  LE DA VIDA (CHI) Sep15         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  BYE BYE BERTIE Sep17 Sep05 Jul23 Jun18 May21 (powell leonard)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 ★    
5  MARIAH'S PRINCESS         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 ★    
6  ENVOUTANTE Sep17 Aug19 Mar05     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 16% 5.40    
7  LADY VALENTINE Aug25 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May31 (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE FAMILY Sep23 Aug27       (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
2  HYPERSPORT May01 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29   (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  GINA May25         (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
4  BRAGANZA Sep28         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  FEELING HAPPY Oct08 Sep18 Jun03 May06 Apr10 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
6  MY KENTUCKY GIRL Sep04 Jul23 Jun05 Apr02   (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 ★    
7  OLGA ISABEL Oct07 May06 Mar05     (delgado gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
8  MERCY WARREN Jun26 Jun03 Apr13 Mar10 Jan22 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 ★    
9  AUNT NAUGHTY Sep18 Aug31 Jul28 Jun09 Apr15 (mcgaughey cl)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00    
 
KEE-5   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEELE MONEY Aug01 Jun22       (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 50.00    
2  GENERAL JIM Sep03 Aug13       (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
3  DISDAINFUL (IRE)         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
4  OTAGO Oct01 Sep11 Aug22     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
5  IN GOD'S TIME Sep29         (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUR DREAM RYE'D Oct09 Aug31 Jul30 Jun19   (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
7  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES Sep11 Aug12       (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00    
SCR  BLING Oct07 Aug20 Jul22     (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 115 15.00    
9  OSCAR AWARD Sep14 Jul24       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 10% 9.10    
10  MENDEL'S SECRET Sep01         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
11  FASTBYTE Aug18 Jul24 May30     (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
12  RARIFIED FLAIR Oct09 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
13  HOUSED Sep22 Aug27       (davis christop)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
SCR  PRINCELY Sep28 Sep15       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER Sep23         (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S CONQUEST Oct01 Sep03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
KEE-6   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE CAIN Oct09 Sep17       (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 ★    
2  SIR LANCELOT Oct04 Sep09       (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  QUICK HAMMER Sep16         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  JEREMY'S JET Oct08 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 Jun26 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
5  SUPER CHOW Sep10 Aug13 Jul02     (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  HURRICANE J Oct08 Aug28       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
7  BOURBON BASH Oct08 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24   (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
 
KEE-7   10/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S A BANG BANG Sep22 Aug21       (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
2  MAMZOOJ Oct02         (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
SCR  SHIPMAN Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Jul24 Jul01 (green troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARROGATES SPIRIT Sep22         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
5  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Jun12 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Mar19 (divito james )VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 6% 14.70    
6  PRICING POWER         (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 12% 7.00    
7  HE'S A ANGEL Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul09 (macias adolfo)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
8  MONTAUK POINT Oct02 May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (mcgaughe)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
9  POWER SEEKER         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
10  ATLANTIC DANCER Sep15         (zito nichola)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
SCR  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Oct08 Apr14 Mar12     (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
12  ICEATUDE Sep22         (pierce lac)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
13  BOCO Sep18 Aug07       (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00    
14  LUPO'S LEGACY Oct16 Sep15 Aug28     (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  MUD PUDDLE         (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
SCR  TOP SECRET         (mackey wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO PURRFORM Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 May21   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
2  BALNIKHOV (IRE) Sep03 Jul22 Jun04 May07 Apr02 (d'amato ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
  (by ADAAY out of LEEWARD by FIRST DEFENCE)
3  FORT WASHINGTON Sep14 Jun26 Jun03 Apr23 Mar12 (mcgaughey i)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of AZAELIA by TURTLE BOWL)
4  AXTHELM Oct12 Sep01 Jul17     (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PREEMPTIVE ATTACK by SMART STRIKE)
5  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Oct08 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
6  PORTFOLIO COMPANY Aug13 Jun26 May07     (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ITERATION by WILD AGAIN)
7  DOUBLE CLUTCH Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 Apr16 Feb26 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
8  WIT Aug28 Aug05 Jun11 Apr09   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NUMERO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  WOW WHATA SUMMER Oct09 Sep06 Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 (lawrence ja)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
10  FUERTEVENTURA Sep14 Sep03 Jul02 May29 Apr30 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CASANOVA STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
11  STOLEN BASE Aug05 Jul09 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
12  PLAY ACTION PASS Sep14 Jul30 Jun04 May15 Apr16 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LIGHT OF A STAR by MUQTARIB)
SCR  RED DANGER Jun03 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Feb05 (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
  (by ORB out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  UNDERDRESSED Sep29 Sep01 Aug22 Jul14 Jun20 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of DRESSED TO KILL by FORMAL GOLD)
SCR  CHURCHTOWN Sep10 Jul03 May29 Apr16   (attfield r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 18.30    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  DAKOTA GOLD Aug17 Jul21 Jun19     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
 
KEE-9   10/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST WILL POWER Sep28 Aug06       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WILD PROMISES by WILD EVENT)
SCR  CHESS CHIEF Oct01 Sep03 Aug04 Jun25 Mar26 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
3  FULSOME Oct01 Aug06 Jun25 May06 Apr02 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOURISH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  FIRST CAPTAIN Sep03 Jul09 May20 Apr09 Feb27 (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 123 1.20 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA (IRE) by ARAZI)
5  KING FURY Oct01 Aug13 Apr02     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of TARIS by FLATTER)
6  LAST SAMURAI Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Apr23 Apr03 (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
KEE-10   10/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) Aug20 Jun10 Apr08     (ward a)ORTIZ L 121 1.60 27% 2.60    
2  MINER'S QUEEN Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 Jun12 May21 (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
3  NEW BOSS Jul13         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  MADAM MACLEAN Sep22 Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 May31 (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
5  LEMOS CUNHA Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 May29 (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
6  SPICY MARG Sep24 Aug04 Apr30 Apr08   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
7  VIOLENZA Sep10 Aug07 Jul18 Apr16 Mar10 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
8  AMBASSADOR LUNA Aug07 Jun05 May05 Mar04   (colebrook )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
9  CHEETARA (CHI) Sep25 Aug16 Jul16 Jun04 Apr30 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  EXPLICATE Oct13 Sep26 Jul02 Jun18   (bicknell whit)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
11  SARA MIA Oct22 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun26 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
SCR  GIRL WITH A DREAM Mar05 Feb05       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONNIE K Jun11 May06 Apr16 Mar05 Jan08 (morse l)COURT K 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.