Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT EROS GIRL 4 3 21 12   14 1 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.33 W
SWEET BEAUTY 3 6 5 33   24 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 4.00 6.82 P
MONOCACY 2 4 33 4   4 310 (king l)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 11.09  
DOMITIA LUCILLA 1 1 11 22   36 411 (cano juan )SANTANA JR 120 1.80 2.29  
MY TOMMY LEE 5 5 6 6   5 512 (sands shane)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 17% 4.90 17.12  
BELIEVING 6 2 43 5   610½ 622 (blair jorda)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.63  
 
CD-2   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:221 :46 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN PURE 2 5 54 3   1½ 1 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 2.58  
NINETIES COUNTRY 5 2 3 11   2½ 2 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 5.61 P
ARTHURIAN 3 4 42 42   3 3 (caramori caio)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 5.14  
HOMETOWN HERO 6 6 68 65   5 48 (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 1.60 23% 3.30 0.96  
SPEED BOAT 4 1 2½ 21   44 512½ (hugo l)COURT K 120 10.00 18% 4.70 12.52  
FUNKY MUSIC 1 3 1½ 55   612½ 636¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 21% 3.80 27.26  
 
CD-3   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:113 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEZING POINT 7 4 3½ 3.2 12 15 1 (lejzerowicz joe)LANERIE J 119 6.00 10% 8.60 6.21 W
GIROOVIN 4 3 6 5 22 25 2 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 19% 4.40 5.15 P
WINTERS LION 2 2 1½ 1nk 4 36 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 15.70 11.95 S
EIGHT STRAIGHT 3 5 42 4 76 5 4 (mcpeek kenne)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 37.00  
LET ME LOVE YOU 1 6 8 8 8 68 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 42% 1.40 2.24  
ATKINS 6 1 2½ 2nk 3 4 6 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 7.25  
WICKED SECRET 8 7 5 7 6 7 710¼ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 4.43  
BOOSTER SHOT 5 8 7 6 53 813½ 830¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.15  
 
CD-4   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDENSATION 6 1 2nk 2½   1 11 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 7% 13.50 9.38 W
IT TAKES HEART 5 2 1nk 3   32 21 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 2.28 P
CUPIDS PAYDAY 1 4 4 4   44 3 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 5.00 34% 2.00 2.59 S
HAPPY CLOUDS 7 3 31 1½   2 46 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 7.39  
HIGH FASHION LADY 2 5 53 5   5 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8.21  
SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 3 7 6 6   6 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 30% 2.30 3.02  
MISS ADDIE LYNN 4 6 7 78   7 7 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 16.51  
 
CD-5   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANTERN'S CANDY 6 1 6 42 2½ 1 1 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 39% 1.50 1.06 W
12  VERDANDI 12 4 11 1 1½ 2 2 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 12% 7.20 3.28 P
SWEET VALERIA 1 2 52 3 43 3 38 (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 22.34 S
11  ARNEIS 11 11 3 5 5 510½ 412¼ (hancock joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 38.71  
KNELCOCK 4 10 117 9 810½ 814 512¾ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 33.43  
BIRD HUNTER 8 8 21 2 3 48 613¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 5.77  
YELLOW CREEK ROAD 3 7 8 64 6 612 714 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 31.68  
STUPENDOUS 9 6 4 8 7 713½ 814¼ (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 10% 8.80 12.63  
10  RED BEE 10 12 105 10 913½ 920 922¼ (cundiff waylo)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 124 12.00 10% 9.00 17.88  
DOGWOODS BECCA 7 5 7 11 1116 1126½ 1032¾ (scott l)CASTANON L 121 20.00 79.46  
START CLASS 2 9 9 75 1014 1025 1134½ (medley joseph)RIQUELME J 121 50.00 86.50  
LIL RED CLOUD 5 3 128 1214¾ 1234 1250½ 1268¾ (forston roy)COURT K 121 12.00 13.57  
SCR  SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE               (scott l)MILLER CHASE 121 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NOT YET CHARLIE 10 5 33 32 3 1 1 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 25% 2.90 2.61 W
EL FRANCO 9 6 6 64 44 2 2 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5.49  
OVERTHOUGHT 4 1 4 53 65 53 3 (scherer marianne)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 6.27  
KIDYOUNOT 5 2 12 11 2½ 4 4 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 19.78  
HELLORHIGHWATER 6 4 5 43 54 64 5 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.00 47% 1.10 2.57  
BARSTOW 8 3 22 21 1½ 3 68 (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.65  
DECEIVER 2 9 9 99 1011 89 712 (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 32.39  
SMOKEY LEE 3 8 10 10 7 7 812¼ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 14.24  
FERRYBOAT 1 7 7 77 89 9 913½ (miller f)COURT K 121 6.00 10.22  
CHASIN CHARLIE 7 10 8 88 9 1011¾ 1019¾ (richardson tim)MOJICA JR 121 30.00 62.64  
 
CD-7   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:22 :462 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  STREET SWAGG 11 1 3 2½   14 1 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 3.36  
FROG TOWN 3 10 8 6   24 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 31% 2.20 8.79 P
CONSTITUTION DAY 4 7 6 5   4 3 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 31.16  
SACRED GROUND 6 4 5 31   3 411½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 3.81  
TOM'S SPIRIT 5 2 22 43   55 512¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 29% 2.50 5.19  
DOUBLE STRIKE 7 9 9 911   910 613¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 9.68  
F T W SLAM 2 11 75 86   76 714¾ (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 78.04  
12  CREATIVE STRATEGY 12 3 12 1½   6 816¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 4.77  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 1 5 4 76   8 918 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 17% 4.90 5.18  
10  NIKKI'STHEFAVORITE 10 12 1215½ 1115½   1113 1018½ (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 68.62  
LOUISIANIMAL 8 8 10 1012½   1012½ 1120¼ (foley greg)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 72.35  
NORTHERN RUNNER 9 6 1112½ 1216½   1218 1231½ (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 84.94  
SCR  REPREHEND               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (morse l)COURT K 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RING ME DARLING 6 3 32 3½   13 13 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 9.14  
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 3 8 5 4   23 23 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 24% 3.20 4.65 P
ZING 7 9 1011¾ 911½   6 3 (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 16.52  
WATERS OF MEROM 1 7 42 5   3 4 (vasquez german)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00 6% 15.30 7.65  
LOMA VISTA 5 4 6 73   56 5 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 18% 4.60 2.46  
11  STANLEY MARKET 10 10 7 6   7 6 (morse l)COURT K 118 6.00 3.89  
10  DISTORTED SECRETS 9 2 21 1½   45 79 (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.76  
MOHAYLADY 2 6 910¼ 1011½   1011½ 810 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 18.45  
ANNAGANGSTA 4 5 8 87   9 910¼ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 14.95  
CANT BE TOUCHED 8 1 11 2½   8 1010½ (cano mu)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 26% 2.90 7.57  
SCR  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT               (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :482 1:131 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST AS FLIGHT 2 7 4 5 4 31 1¾ (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 14% 6.30 4.39 W
10  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 9 4 6 31 3½ 2½ 2¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 5% 19.00 17.96 P
TOERIS 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 3¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 7.20  
FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) 8 8 7 7 53 43 4 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 28% 2.60 3.76  
11  QUEEN JUDITH 10 9 9 9 85 55 5 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 2.25  
DUPLICITOUS 5 3 3 42 74 7 67 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 121 8.00 10.58  
ELLE OF THE BALL 1 6 8 8 9 65 7 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6.64  
ROC'S PRINCESS 3 10 10 10 10 1010½ 813¼ (gowan willia)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00 50.78  
DAME JOVIALE 6 2 53 6 6 8 914 (arnold geor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 26.25  
QUARIA BRAVA 7 5 21 2½ 2½ 99 1015 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 15.12  
SCR  CASA DE GOAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE               (king l)CASTANON L 121 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
CD-10   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT RAID 5 6 9 65 21 12 1 (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 19.39  
RESERVE CURRENCY 2 3 55 44 4 3 2 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 14.85  
10  MAASAI WARRIOR 9 7 77 76 5 4 3 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 16% 5.30 28.29 S
12  CAWKAB 11 8 66 8 87 5 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 17% 4.90 10.93  
VICTORY MARCH 1 4 2 21 11 22 5 (calhoun b)LANERIE J 124 6.00 25% 3.00 5.05  
11  YORK TAVERN 10 5 43 55 6 67 67 (devaux che)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 9.80  
BOLD LOOKER 8 9 89 99 10 7 710¾ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
CANT BE DOIN THAT 6 10 1112¼ 10 11 811 814 (toye )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00 77.43  
MOUNT CRAIG 7 11 10 11 9 913 922 (mott willia)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50 17% 4.90 1.85  
TOWN BRANCH 4 1 1 11 32 1017 1026¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 8.18  
ELECTROMAGNETIC 3 2 3 33 7 1122 1136¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.90  
SCR  MAYAN               (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00    
SCR  UNDER THE GUN               (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.