Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SAINT EROS GIRL 4 3 21 12   14 15½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.33 W
3  SWEET BEAUTY 3 6 53½ 33   24 25½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 4.00 ★ 6.82 P
2  MONOCACY 2 4 33 43½   46½ 310 (king l)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 11.09  
1  DOMITIA LUCILLA 1 1 11 22   36 411 (cano jua)SANTANA JR 120 1.80 ★ 2.29  
5  MY TOMMY LEE 5 5 69½ 67½   58½ 512 (sands shane)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00 17% 4.90 17.12  
6  BELIEVING (IRE) 6 2 43 54½   610½ 622 (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.63  
 
CD-2   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:221 :46 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICAN PURE 2 5 54 31½   1½ 13¾ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 ★ 2.58  
5  NINETIES COUNTRY 5 2 31½ 11   2½ 23¾ (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 ★ 5.61 P
3  ARTHURIAN 3 4 42 42   32½ 36¾ (caramori cai)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 5.14  
6  HOMETOWN HERO 6 6 68 65   54½ 48 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 1.60 23% 3.30 0.96  
4  SPEED BOAT 4 1 2½ 21   44 512½ (hugo l)COURT K 120 10.00 18% 4.70 12.52  
1  FUNKY MUSIC 1 3 1½ 55   612½ 636¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 21% 3.80 27.26  
 
CD-3   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:113 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FREEZING POINT 7 4 3½ 3.2 12 15 14¾ (lejzerowicz joe)LANERIE J 119 6.00 10% 8.60 6.21 W
4  GIROOVIN 4 3 62¼ 52¼ 22 25 24¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 19% 4.40 5.15 P
2  WINTERS LION 2 2 1½ 1nk 42½ 36 36¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 15.70 11.95 S
3  EIGHT STRAIGHT 3 5 42 42¼ 76 57½ 47¼ (mcpeek ken)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 37.00  
1  LET ME LOVE YOU 1 6 85¾ 84¼ 86½ 68 58¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 42% 1.40 2.24  
6  ATKINS 6 1 2½ 2nk 32½ 47½ 69¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 ★ 7.25  
8  WICKED SECRET 8 7 52¼ 73¼ 64½ 78½ 710¼ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 4.43  
5  BOOSTER SHOT 5 8 73¾ 62¾ 53 813½ 830¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.15  
 
CD-4   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CONDENSATION 6 1 2nk 2½   11½ 11 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 7% 13.50 9.38 W
5  IT TAKES HEART 5 2 1nk 31½   32 21 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 ★ 2.28 P
1  CUPIDS PAYDAY 1 4 42½ 44½   44 35¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 5.00 34% 2.00 2.59 S
7  HAPPY CLOUDS 7 3 31 1½   21½ 46 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 7.39  
2  HIGH FASHION LADY 2 5 53 57½   56½ 56¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★ 8.21  
3  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 3 7 63½ 67½   68½ 68¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 30% 2.30 3.02  
4  MISS ADDIE LYNN 4 6 75½ 78   79½ 78¾ (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 16.51  
 
CD-5   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LANTERN'S CANDY 6 1 62¼ 42 2½ 11½ 13½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 39% 1.50 1.06 W
12  VERDANDI 12 4 11 11½ 1½ 21½ 23½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 12% 7.20 3.28 P
1  SWEET VALERIA 1 2 52 31½ 43 36½ 38 (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 22.34 S
11  ARNEIS 11 11 31½ 52½ 55½ 510½ 412¼ (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 38.71  
4  KNELCOCK 4 10 117 96¾ 810½ 814 512¾ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 33.43  
8  BIRD HUNTER 8 8 21 21½ 32½ 48 613¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 5.77  
3  YELLOW CREEK ROAD 3 7 84¾ 64 66½ 612 714 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 31.68  
9  STUPENDOUS 9 6 41½ 85¼ 78½ 713½ 814¼ (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 10% 8.80 12.63  
10  RED BEE 10 12 105 107¼ 913½ 920 922¼ (cundiff way)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 124 12.00 10% 9.00 17.88  
7  DOGWOODS BECCA 7 5 73¾ 117¾ 1116 1126½ 1032¾ (scott anthony )CASTANON L 121 20.00 79.46  
2  START CLASS 2 9 94¾ 75 1014 1025 1134½ (medley joseph)RIQUELME J 121 50.00 86.50  
5  LIL RED CLOUD 5 3 128 1214¾ 1234 1250½ 1268¾ (forston roy)COURT K 121 12.00 13.57  
SCR  SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE               (scott anthony )MILLER CHASE 121 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NOT YET CHARLIE 10 5 33 32 31½ 11½ 11¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 25% 2.90 2.61 W
9  EL FRANCO 9 6 64½ 64 44 21½ 21¾ (norris mike)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5.49  
4  OVERTHOUGHT 4 1 43½ 53 65 53 35¼ (scherer marianne)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 6.27  
5  KIDYOUNOT 5 2 12 11 2½ 42½ 45¼ (barnett c)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 ★ 19.78  
6  HELLORHIGHWATER 6 4 54½ 43 54 64 57¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.00 47% 1.10 2.57  
8  BARSTOW 8 3 22 21 1½ 32½ 68 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.65  
2  DECEIVER 2 9 98½ 99 1011 89 712 (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 32.39  
3  SMOKEY LEE 3 8 108¾ 109¼ 78½ 78½ 812¼ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 14.24  
1  FERRYBOAT 1 7 76½ 77 89 99¼ 913½ (miller f)COURT K 121 6.00 ★ 10.22  
7  CHASIN CHARLIE 7 10 87½ 88 99½ 1011¾ 1019¾ (richardson tim)MOJICA JR 121 30.00 62.64  
 
CD-7   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:22 :462 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  STREET SWAGG 11 1 32½ 2½   14 17¾ (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 3.36  
3  FROG TOWN 3 10 86½ 65½   24 27¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 31% 2.20 8.79 P
4  CONSTITUTION DAY 4 7 64½ 54½   44½ 38½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 31.16  
6  SACRED GROUND 6 4 54½ 31   34½ 411½ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 6.00 3.81  
5  TOM'S SPIRIT 5 2 22 43   55 512¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 29% 2.50 5.19  
7  DOUBLE STRIKE 7 9 97½ 911   910 613¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 9.68  
2  F T W SLAM 2 11 75 86   76 714¾ (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 78.04  
12  CREATIVE STRATEGY 12 3 12 1½   65½ 816¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★ 4.77  
1  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 1 5 43½ 76   87½ 918 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 17% 4.90 5.18  
10  NIKKI'STHEFAVORITE 10 12 1215½ 1115½   1113 1018½ (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 68.62  
8  LOUISIANIMAL 8 8 109½ 1012½   1012½ 1120¼ (foley greg)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 72.35  
9  NORTHERN RUNNER 9 6 1112½ 1216½   1218 1231½ (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 84.94  
SCR  REPREHEND               (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (morse l)COURT K 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RING ME DARLING 6 3 32 3½   13 13 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 9.14  
3  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 3 8 52¼ 42½   23 23 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 24% 3.20 4.65 P
8  ZING 7 9 1011¾ 911½   67½ 33¼ (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 16.52  
1  WATERS OF MEROM 1 7 42 52¾   34½ 44¾ (vasquez germ)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00 6% 15.30 7.65  
5  LOMA VISTA 5 4 62¾ 73   56 56½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 18% 4.60 2.46  
11  STANLEY MARKET 10 10 73¼ 62¾   77½ 68½ (morse l)COURT K 118 6.00 3.89  
10  DISTORTED SECRETS 9 2 21 1½   45 79 (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.76  
2  MOHAYLADY 2 6 910¼ 1011½   1011½ 810 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 18.45  
4  ANNAGANGSTA 4 5 86¼ 87   99½ 910¼ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 14.95  
9  CANT BE TOUCHED 8 1 11 2½   88½ 1010½ (cano juan )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 26% 2.90 7.57  
SCR  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT               (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :482 1:131 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAST AS FLIGHT 2 7 42½ 52½ 41½ 31 1¾ (lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 14% 6.30 4.39 W
10  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 9 4 63¼ 31 3½ 2½ 2¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 5% 19.00 17.96 P
5  TOERIS 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 3¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 7.20  
9  FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) 8 8 74¾ 72¾ 53 43 43¼ (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 28% 2.60 3.76  
11  QUEEN JUDITH 10 9 96¼ 94¼ 85 55 56¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 2.25  
6  DUPLICITOUS 5 3 32½ 42 74 75½ 67 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 121 8.00 10.58  
1  ELLE OF THE BALL 1 6 84¾ 83¾ 95¼ 65 77¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6.64  
4  ROC'S PRINCESS 3 10 107¼ 105¾ 107¾ 1010½ 813¼ (gowan will)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00 50.78  
7  DAME JOVIALE 6 2 53 62½ 63½ 88½ 914 (arnold ge)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 26.25  
8  QUARIA BRAVA 7 5 21 2½ 2½ 99 1015 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 15.12  
SCR  CASA DE GOAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE               (king l)CASTANON L 121 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
CD-10   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MIDNIGHT RAID 5 6 99¼ 65 21 12 12¼ (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 19.39  
2  RESERVE CURRENCY 2 3 55 44 42½ 33½ 22¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 14.85  
10  MAASAI WARRIOR 9 7 77 76 54½ 43½ 33¾ (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 16% 5.30 28.29 S
12  CAWKAB 11 8 66 86½ 87 55½ 44¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 17% 4.90 10.93  
1  VICTORY MARCH 1 4 21½ 21 11 22 55½ (calhoun william)LANERIE J 124 6.00 25% 3.00 5.05  
11  YORK TAVERN 10 5 43 55 64½ 67 67 (devaux c)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 9.80  
9  BOLD LOOKER 8 9 89 99 109½ 79½ 710¾ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
7  CANT BE DOIN THAT 6 10 1112¼ 109¼ 119¾ 811 814 (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00 77.43  
8  MOUNT CRAIG 7 11 109¾ 119¾ 98½ 913 922 (mott will)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50 17% 4.90 1.85  
5  TOWN BRANCH 4 1 11½ 11 32 1017 1026¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 8.18  
4  ELECTROMAGNETIC 3 2 31½ 33 76½ 1122 1136¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.90  
SCR  MAYAN               (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00    
SCR  UNDER THE GUN               (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.