The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Wednesday - November 30, 2022

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PEN-1   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
:244 :50 1:164 1:302   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROBRO CORMAN 1 1 1 1 13 14 1(rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.80 51% 1.00 5.10 W
BOOK RUNNER 2 5 42 2 23 24 2(houghton thomas)VARGAS L 121 1.60 28% 2.60 0.10 P
MR. JEKYLL 4 2 2 42 3 3316¾ (geist w)BAKER J 121 8.00 45.90 S
CHIEF BULLET 5 4 3 3 4 415½ 427¾ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 4.50 7.60  
ECLIPTICAL DAVID 3 3 54 5 515½ 527½ 545¼ (caban e)FELIX M 116 10.00 44.20  
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES               (walters henry)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00    
 
PEN-2   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:221 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE RANSOM 1 7 8 85   21(kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 4.50 13% 6.60 9.40 W
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 7 8 6 3½   42 2(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 31% 2.20 1.40 P
DOWSER 5 6 7 74   53(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 25% 3.10 1.20 S
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 2 2 1nk 2nk   14(crook-demasi kathlee)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 6% 15.40 6.00  
RUN LAURA RUN 4 1 2nk 1nk   32 57 (king c)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 28.00  
CHA CHA CHIQUITA 8 4 5 41   64 68 (arnold pamela)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 39.20  
BO RUNKLE 3 5 4 52   7711¼ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 121 15.00 70.00  
MOVING IN STEREO 6 3 32 6   8816¾ (crook-demasi kathlee)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 25.20  
 
PEN-3   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:23 :463 1:131 1:41   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGING LION 1 1 4 46 4 1nk 1(kulp l)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 1.70  
A T M AWESOME 2 2 32 3 2nk 2nk 2(zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 13.60  
O K GAME ON 5 6 5 5 5 43(graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00 41% 1.40 2.00 S
PEPE TONO 7 4 611 611½ 6 34(moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 15.00 36.40  
THE GREAT CASBY 6 7 714 714½ 7 55(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 22.70  
FLAT OUT FLASHY 3 3 1nk 2½ 1nk 6612½ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 32% 2.10 2.60  
PAPA TONY 4 5 2nk 1½ 3.2 7718 (dimitriou e)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 8.50  
SCR  BANANAS ON FIRE               (gonzalez a)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00    
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS               (moreno-barban leandro)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  KINGFISH               (grabowski a)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED               (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
SCR  SMOOTH OPERATION               (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:222 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 4 3 1 2nk   11 11 (graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 119 5.00 32% 2.10 2.90 W
DEVIOUS MO 3 1 53 32   21 21 (lucas bonnie)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 3.70  
MY MAGICAL MAN 1 4 4 5   53(graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.70  
SPIN CYCLE 5 6 32 43   44(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 20% 3.90 5.30  
GEM JUAN 6 2 75 6   65(bobadilla f)CORA D 120 50.00 26.50  
E T'S CANDY MAN 7 7 2 1nk   36(wyner harold)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.00 1.80  
BAVARIA 2 5 6 7   776 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 21.10  
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER               (garrido raul)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  JUPI'S LIGHTNING               (hamilton stephen)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  ONE NINER TANGO               (lake a)WHITNEY G 124 6.00    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM               (smith r)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
:233 :474 1:132 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAN POINT 2 3 53 4 31 2nk 1(houghton thomas)CORA D 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.10 W
ONE MORE KELLY 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 1.50 P
BIG CHEEKS 4 4 4 2½ 2nk 31 33 (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 4.10  
LIKEUONLYPRETTIER 5 5 2½ 31 4 445 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 15.00  
ANNA ROCKS 1 1 31 53 5 55 56 (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 22% 3.60 3.30  
SCR  NINETYPERCENTBRYNN               (reid e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-6   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:221 :461 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPMASTER 1 6 33 42   21 1½ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 34% 2.00 0.90 W
10  SUNSHINE MAX 8 2 1 1   11 2½ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 9% 10.30 2.90 P
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 7 8 8 6   44 3(stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 16.50  
BRILLIANT CHASE 6 7 6 2   33 4(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00 7.90  
LIFE DON'T OWE YOU 3 1 43 8   68 510 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 13.80  
LIVE FIRE 4 3 2 32   5611¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
SAMEDI NIGHT 5 4 7 7   7715 (stites p)INIRIO J 120 15.00 75.50  
TRADERS LUCK 2 5 5 5   811 818½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00 24.40  
SCR  MARVALOUS MIKE               (montoya marya)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS               (simoff andrew)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
:23 :48 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEA BEA KAZ 6 2 1½ 1   11¼ (synnefias dimitrios)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.50 10% 8.90 3.10 W
MORGANS COVE 2 6 31 44   42¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 49% 1.00 1.90 P
FREYDIS 3 1 2½ 3   23(albright r)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00 3.10  
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD 4 5 5 5   55 4(trombetta j)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 10.30  
FOXY JUNIOR 5 3 42 2   32 5(houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.50 2.90  
ON THE SHORTLIST 1 4 66 68   66(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 20.90  
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN               (ippolito mark)INIRIO J 121 12.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  SACRED WISH               (salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
 
PEN-8   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:24 :494 1:164 1:451   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUELED UP 3 1 1 1 1½ 11(moreno-barban leandro)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00 18% 4.70 16.20 W
CEETA 1 3 2 2 31 44 2(albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 14% 6.30 2.10 P
SEARCH 2 4 45 3 41 33(rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 1.50 S
RIPPA 5 5 5 6 6 66 4(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.50 13.90  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 6 6 6 56 5 55 53 (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 3.70  
SOULSTONE 4 2 3 4 2½ 267 (maroun douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00 14% 6.20 5.00  
SCR  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL               (farro patricia)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.