Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES Nov18 Nov06 Oct13 Sep24   (walters hen)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00 ★    
2  BROBRO CORMAN Nov18 Oct28 Sep15 Jul28   (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  BOOK RUNNER Nov09         (houghton )VARGAS L 121 1.60 28% 2.60    
4  ECLIPTICAL DAVID Sep22 Sep03       (caban carlo)RAMOS C 116 10.00    
5  MR. JEKYLL Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep06 Aug22 (geist w)BAKER J 121 8.00 ★    
6  CHIEF BULLET Nov09 Oct18       (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE RANSOM Oct17 Sep06 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
2  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Oct18 Sep04 Jul10 Jun20 May21 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 6% 15.40    
3  BO RUNKLE Oct12 Sep23 Aug24 Aug10   (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
4  RUN LAURA RUN Nov02 Jan28 Jan07     (king lawrence)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
5  DOWSER Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 25% 3.10    
6  MOVING IN STEREO Oct10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul13 Jun19 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
7  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Nov02         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  CHA CHA CHIQUITA Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 Aug17 (arnold pamela)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGING LION Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
2  A T M AWESOME Nov02 Oct11 Sep15 Sep07 Aug05 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
SCR  KINGFISH Nov16 Oct31 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 (grabowski john)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
4  FLAT OUT FLASHY Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  PAPA TONY Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 (dimitriou h)INIRIO J 122 6.00 ★    
6  O K GAME ON Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Jul10 (graci kimbe)RAMOS C 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
8  THE GREAT CASBY Nov04 Oct11 Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
9  PEPE TONO Oct18 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul22 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Nov22 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
SCR  SMOOTH OPERATION Nov07 Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul14 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
SCR  BANANAS ON FIRE         (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAGICAL MAN Nov08 Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 Aug04 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
2  BAVARIA Nov18 Oct25 Oct07 Sep22 Sep07 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
SCR  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Jun14 May14 Apr27 Apr04 Mar23 (hamilton ste)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
4  DEVIOUS MO Nov16 Nov05 Oct05 May31 May18 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
5  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Nov08 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul08 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  SPIN CYCLE Nov08 Oct19 Sep23 Sep01 Aug18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
7  GEM JUAN Nov15 Sep22 Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 50.00    
SCR  ONE NINER TANGO Nov09 Oct29 Oct19 Sep17 Aug02 (lake a)WHITNEY G 124 6.00    
9  E T'S CANDY MAN Jul11 May30 May16 Mar30 Mar08 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM Nov18 Oct28 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (smith thomas )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER Nov12 Oct14 Aug30 Aug03 Jun25 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
 
PEN-5   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA ROCKS Jul22 Jun30 May20 Mar22 Mar01 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  NINETYPERCENTBRYNN Oct26 Sep24 Aug22 Jul25 Jun03 (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  SWAN POINT Nov08 Oct18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  ONE MORE KELLY Nov09 Oct17 Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 ★    
5  BIG CHEEKS Jul02 Jun01 May12 Apr06 Mar08 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00    
6  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER Nov01 Oct19 Aug03 Jun17 May26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPMASTER Nov18 Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  MARVALOUS MIKE Nov08 Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 Jul07 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  TRADERS LUCK Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00 ★    
4  LIFE DON'T OWE YOU Nov04 Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug22 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
5  LIVE FIRE Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAMEDI NIGHT Jul07 Jun15       (stites will)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS May19 Apr27 Mar02 Jan19   (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
8  BRILLIANT CHASE Apr21 Apr05 Mar15 Jan26   (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
9  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Oct26 Oct05 Jul27 Jun30 Jun22 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
10  SUNSHINE MAX Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 Aug24 Aug04 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
PEN-7   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE SHORTLIST Nov08         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00    
2  MORGANS COVE Nov08 Oct26       (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  FREYDIS Nov08 Sep24 Aug22 Jul27 Jul13 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00    
SCR  SACRED WISH         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
5  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Jul05         (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN         (ippolito ma)INIRIO J 121 12.00 9% 10.10    
7  FOXY JUNIOR Nov08 Oct14       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.50 ★    
8  BEA BEA KAZ         (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
PEN-8   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEETA Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 Aug24 Jul27 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  SEARCH Oct28 Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 Jun29 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 ★    
3  FUELED UP Nov16 Oct28 Aug31 Jul27 Jul08 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00 18% 4.70    
4  SOULSTONE Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 Aug27 Aug15 (maroun dougla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Nov16 Nov01 Oct25 Oct10 Sep12 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 16% 5.10    
6  RIPPA Oct28 Oct11 Aug26 Jun15 Jun01 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.50    
7  MS KAYS COWGIRL Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 Aug31 Aug12 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.