Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL PROVIDER 2 4 4 4   43 1½ (whylie o)CORA D 123 15.00 7.90  
NECCO 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (murtough step)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 6.00 4.80 P
T C GREELEY 1 1 2nk 3.2   2nk 3 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 2.00 21% 3.70 1.40 S
LA PAZ 3 3 3.2 2nk   31 4 (smith r)WHITNEY G 123 5.00 21% 3.90 0.90  
SCR  JUST GOT STARTED               (spina charles)CORA D 123 3.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE JACK               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-2   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY LAD 1 1 3 2   24 11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 28% 2.60 0.70 W
PAID THE PREACHER 2 3 11 1   14 21 (rogers michael)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 3.20  
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 4 2 21 3   39 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00 2.80 S
GOSIGNAL 3 4 4 4   410 414 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 5.80  
SCR  BRODIX               (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
SCR  NORTHERN SPY               (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SEE THE STARS 6 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 12 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 4.20  
HERE WEGO 7 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 22 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 119 4.50 59% 0.70 1.20 P
AGAINST THE ODDS 5 3 42 31   33 3 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 11.20 S
I'M BLAMING YOU 2 6 5 5   5 47 (castillo sanche)OCASIO M 122 12.00 8.80  
DROSSELMOON 4 4 3 4   4 5 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 4.10  
KUDURO 3 5 6 6   6 6 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 122 3.00 4.60  
GEM JUAN 1 7 7 7   7 710 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 73.30  
SCR  WONDER IN               (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
 
PEN-4   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:16 1:433   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERKEO 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 1 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 119 10.00 11% 7.90 1.50 W
MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 4 3 4 42 21 2 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 1.90 P
YOURINDENIAL 5 1 4 31 2½ 33 310 (nicholson junio)PEREZ M 119 2.50 12% 7.40 3.10 S
CREEDIBILITY 3 5 5 53 5 4 410¼ (brown r)OCASIO M 120 5.00 8.30  
ARCTICA 4 3 2½ 2½ 32 56 514 (flores wand)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 6.60  
SCR  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS               (fields kevin)CORA D 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-5   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :451 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAND BY YOU 1 6 67 43   11 1 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 3.50  
TODO SOLA 2 1 1 11   21 2 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 119 6.00 5.30  
MOONSAFE 4 4 33 21   33 310¾ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 1.30 S
R AVERIE LYNN 3 2 2 33   46 413 (gorham mich)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 22% 3.60 4.40  
TIMELY TRADITION 6 5 56 6   511 518¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 8% 11.40 8.60  
PROPOSITION 5 3 4 58   617 636 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 42% 1.40 7.20  
 
PEN-6   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:231 1:022       1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE 2 6 6 6   3.2 1hd (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 114 10.00 19.80  
DESI'S REWARD 6 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 0.70 P
APRILS LUCK 5 4 43 43   1nk 3¼ (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00 17.90  
FAIRVIEW 4 5 58 58   4 4¾ (lawrence james )TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.00 30% 2.30 2.60  
ROSE OF SHANAKILL 1 1 1nk 2nk   5 54 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 7.20  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 3 2 3½ 32   610¼ 629 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 27% 2.70 5.50  
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN               (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 10.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PENNIES PRINCESS               (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00    
 
PEN-7   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RILEYS DUDE 3 4 52 5   31 1 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.80 W
GRAND WISER 4 3 4 32   2½ 2 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 1.80 P
DAKOTA OUTLAW 1 5 3 4   42 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 10.40 S
NAUTICAL NATURE 2 2 1½ 1   1½ 4 (o'hearn heath)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 29.20  
STANHOPE 5 1 2½ 2   55 515 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 34% 2.00 3.90  
SCR  GOLDEN AVIEATOR               (gorham michae)MARIN A 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA               (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00    
 
PEN-8   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 5 3 2½ 1½   12 1 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 7% 12.70 0.90 W
GANDI 1 1 31 31   22 2 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 5.00 6.40 P
SIR REX 2 6 4 43   45 3 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
TURNPIKE BOB 3 2 1½ 2½   35 410½ (simoff andr)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00 22% 3.50 1.90  
SPOOKY ONE 4 4 5 513   517 514 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 28.40  
LONG TOM 6 5 69 614½   622 628½ (salinas jose)CORA D 113 30.00 25.20  
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS               (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
SCR  TANKINATOR               (coletti ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.