Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:131 1:40   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE TO HOLD 3 3 32 32 2½ 12 1 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 5.30  
THE ROBERT 2 4 44 44 42 33 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 51% 1.00 0.90 P
MIDNIGHT TRICK 5 5 57 56 54 4 35 (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 15% 5.70 2.00 S
DEVIOUS MO 1 2 21 2nk 1½ 22 4 (chichakly am)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 11.00  
GREY QUEST 4 1 11 1nk 32 512 527¾ (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 6.10  
SCR  TACTICAL PLAN               (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   11/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:124 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNUENDO (IRE) 1 4 32 42 33 12 1 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 3.40  
ADY'S MUNNY 3 1 2½ 2½ 2 22 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 12% 7.10 5.50 P
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 4 2 1½ 1½ 1 33 313½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 7.70  
RUTHENIAN 6 6 65 5 5 411 422¼ (iannotti thomas )CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00 12% 7.70 4.30  
HOFBURG PALACE 2 3 42 3 45 515 532¼ (johnston rob)CORA D 121 3.50 36% 1.70 0.90  
WHISTLE PLAYER 5 5 5 66 613½ 625 643½ (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 9% 9.90 45.10  
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS               (buckley r)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50    
 
PEN-3   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :47 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAN HAVEN 6 3 3½ 1   12 1 (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 70% 0.40 0.30 W
MISCHIEF MELODY 7 4 41 2   22 2 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 12.00 51.30  
WIND TRYST 4 9 9 6   45 3 (williams abdul)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00 7% 12.40 10.80 S
MARIMBA 8 6 65 7   5 4 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 39.30  
FUELED UP 5 7 7 9   910¼ 5 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.50 25.60  
MO STYLISH 1 1 1nk 3   3 610 (rodriguez s)CEDENO CAROL 124 5.00 3.70  
PURRFECT DANI 2 8 8 8   810 710¼ (nunley randy)LLOYD W 123 20.00 36.50  
ASGATA 3 2 2nk 4   67 810½ (sinnefia paulin)PANAIJO JORGE 123 10.00 24.30  
10  CEREAL I D 9 5 5 5   710 914½ (boyer jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 54.90  
SCR  AWESOME TAP               (nunley randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 30.00    
SCR  SANCTIFIED TIME               (gonzalez c)RODRIGUEZ A 116 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARY LARRY 5 3 2 22   21 1½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.80 W
GREAT ASSUMPTIONS 1 7 7 66   3 2½ (neilson wallace )CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50 6% 15.10 5.10 P
SUMMER ASH 4 6 6 7   57 3 (gonzalez c)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 7% 13.00 1.10 S
LOVED AGAIN 7 1 1 12   11 42 (diaz jorge)PANAIJO JORGE 115 3.50 37% 1.70 5.10  
COMMUNICATION FAIL 2 5 5 4   6 5 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 40.70  
KNOCKDOWN KID 6 2 3 3   47 68 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 30.60  
AMERICAN ROCKY 3 4 44 56   7 7 (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 15.00 46.50  
 
PEN-5   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADERS LUCK 2 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 24% 3.10 4.00 W
KHAKI JACK 4 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 2 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 4.70 P
HIZAAM 3 5 5 54   45 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 9.00  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 1 6 65 65   5 4 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.70  
WOLFINBARGER 5 2 31 32   3 5 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 16% 5.30 15.00  
COAST TO COAST 6 1 41 4   6 6 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 10.80  
 
PEN-6   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAHOMES MONEY 6 1 1 11   1 1 (martinez alex)RAMOS C 113 4.50 0.90  
U U STAR 2 4 32 3   34 2 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 2.50 14% 6.20 2.80 P
CHROME FINISH 5 5 2 21   2 3 (rodriguez s)CEDENO CAROL 118 5.00 12% 7.50 6.90 S
THE LITTLE SPROUT 3 6 5 44   4 4 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00 7.80  
BLO MY BUDGET 1 2 64 58   59 514½ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 44% 1.30 6.00  
ACT OF VALOR 4 3 42 610   616 622¼ (murtough st)HERNANDEZ A 117 8.00 19.30  
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING               (simone micha)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 6.00    
 
PEN-7   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO 5 1 11 12   1 1 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 2.40  
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 2 4 5 22   2 2 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 8% 12.20 5.60 P
MYSTERY ITEM 1 3 4 5   4 38 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 18% 4.60 3.20 S
JOE MIKE JIM 4 5 21 32   36 4 (gonzalez cla)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 4.50 44% 1.30 1.30  
LOOP THE LOOP 3 2 3 43   5 510 (shea lydee)CORA D 118 8.00 9.70  
SCR  CAJUN COUSIN               (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 2.50    
 
PEN-8   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LAST FLING 1 1 1 1   16 1 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 4.40  
LEAPING FOR CANDY 5 5 47 3   3 2 (pecoraro anthony)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 48% 1.10 0.30 P
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 3 2 2 2   26 3 (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 18.00  
HAZARD 6 3 3 47   411½ 48 (schoenthal phil)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 11.70  
RACE N RETURN 2 4 5 59   511½ 59 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 8.70  
OUTERWEAR 4 6 612½ 620   633½ 635¼ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 12.00 9% 10.20 22.80  
SCR  KEYSTONE WARRIOR               (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 8.00    
SCR  NANASQUAN               (spina charles)CORA D 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN               (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.