Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS MO Nov05 Oct05 May31 May18 May07 (chichakly )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 ★    
2  THE ROBERT Oct07 Sep09 Aug11 Jul27 Jun30 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  MINE TO HOLD Nov01 Oct05 Sep09 Aug25 Jul22 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
4  GREY QUEST Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul15 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 ★    
5  MIDNIGHT TRICK Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Aug24 Aug17 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  TACTICAL PLAN Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   11/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNUENDO (IRE) Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 Jun25 May28 (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50    
3  HOFBURG PALACE Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 (johnston rob)CORA D 121 3.50 36% 1.70    
4  ADY'S MUNNY Oct26 Oct04 Sep20 Aug17 Aug05 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 12% 7.10    
5  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jun29 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
6  WHISTLE PLAYER Nov02 Jul13 Jun22     (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 9% 9.90    
7  RUTHENIAN Oct22 Sep29 Sep15 Aug20 Aug06 (iannotti thoma)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
PEN-3   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME TAP Nov01 Jun09 May21 May11 Apr21 (nunley randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 30.00    
2  MO STYLISH Nov04 Oct07 Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 (rodriguez jose)CEDENO CAROL 124 5.00 ★    
3  PURRFECT DANI Nov01         (nunley randy)LLOYD W 123 20.00    
4  ASGATA Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 Jul22 (sinnefia paul)PANAIJO JORGE 123 10.00    
5  WIND TRYST Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 Jul16 (williams abd)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00 7% 12.40    
6  FUELED UP Oct28 Aug31 Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 123 4.50 ★    
7  VAN HAVEN Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 Aug12 (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 70% 0.40    
8  MISCHIEF MELODY Oct18 Oct04 Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 12.00    
9  MARIMBA Nov04 Oct18 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00    
10  CEREAL I D Oct05 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 (boyer j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  SANCTIFIED TIME Oct23 Sep04 Jul23     (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 116 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT ASSUMPTIONS Nov06 Oct21 Sep30 Sep23 Aug29 (neilson w)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 6% 15.10    
2  COMMUNICATION FAIL Oct18 Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Jan07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
3  AMERICAN ROCKY Oct25 Oct14 Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 15.00    
4  SUMMER ASH Oct14 Aug28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul01 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 7% 13.00    
5  SCARY LARRY Oct25 Sep02 Aug24 Jul21 Jun11 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  KNOCKDOWN KID Oct18 Oct04 Aug26 Jul27 Jun30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 ★    
7  LOVED AGAIN Oct13 Aug21 Aug13 Jul22 Jun17 (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Oct25 Oct07 Sep02 Jul22 Jun24 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  TRADERS LUCK Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  HIZAAM Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 Aug26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
4  KHAKI JACK Nov01 Oct07 Sep07 Aug26 Jul29 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 ★    
5  WOLFINBARGER Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  COAST TO COAST Oct26 Oct18 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLO MY BUDGET Nov01 Oct04 Jun10 May13 Apr22 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 Sep17 Aug30 (simone mic)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 6.00    
3  U U STAR Oct14 Apr06 Mar20 Feb11 Jan27 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  THE LITTLE SPROUT Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 Jul08 Jun16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00    
5  ACT OF VALOR Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 (murtough )HERNANDEZ A 117 8.00 ★    
6  CHROME FINISH Nov05 Oct19 Sep22 Sep05 Aug14 (rodriguez jose )CENTENO E 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
7  MAHOMES MONEY Oct19 Sep25       (martinez al)RAMOS C 113 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTERY ITEM Oct19 Sep21 Aug18 Jun15 Jun02 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Jun16 Apr27 Mar25 Feb02   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 8% 12.20    
3  LOOP THE LOOP Oct19 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 (shea lydee)CORA D 118 8.00    
4  JOE MIKE JIM Oct27 Oct06 Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 (gonzale)BRICENO GREGOR 119 4.50 44% 1.30    
5  FOLK HERO Oct26 Sep23 Aug14 Jul23 Jul04 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  CAJUN COUSIN Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 Jul27 Jul12 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN Nov08         (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00    
2  ONE LAST FLING Oct07 Sep16 Aug27 Jul30   (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
3  RACE N RETURN Oct29 Aug04       (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
SCR  NANASQUAN Oct21 Sep11 Jul31     (spina charles)CORA D 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 8.00 ★    
6  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN Oct21         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
7  OUTERWEAR         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
8  LEAPING FOR CANDY Oct12 Sep28 Sep01 Aug04   (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
9  HAZARD Oct24 Oct05       (schoenthal phi)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.