Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - November 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I CAME TO DANCE 7 3 2nk 1½   11 1 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 3.00  
FOXY JUNIOR 5 4 1nk 2½   21 2 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 7.80  
CAIRO SUGAR 2 6 5 5   4 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 6.50 S
QUICK LORI B 4 1 3½ 4   37 410¾ (houghton th)VARGAS L 121 3.00 47% 1.10 6.30  
ON THE SHORTLIST 1 5 6 6   58 512¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 9.70  
IRISH ZAPPER 3 7 7 712   713½ 612¾ (samaniego jos)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 8% 11.50 4.70  
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 6 2 4¾ 3   69 715½ (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 121 2.50 23% 3.40 2.20  
 
PEN-2   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:221 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINISE 2 5 4 42   3½ 1¼ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 26% 2.90 2.20 W
SNACKSTER 4 1 2 2½   1½ 2¼ (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 16% 5.10 3.30 P
CHEROKEE PARTY 3 3 32 3   2½ 31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 28% 2.50 3.20 S
HELLO GRACIE 5 4 56 55   52 41 (albert lin)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 1.80  
ONE TOUGH ROSE 1 2 1 1½   4 5 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 10.10  
SCR  FREEZER BURN               (barboza vic)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00    
 
PEN-3   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOUR GUARD 2 3 3 2   2 1¾ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 73% 0.40 1.00 W
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 1 1 12 1   1 2¾ (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 5% 19.00 11.50 P
CRYPT 6 6 7 7   5 32 (beattie m)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00 41.10 S
SPIN CYCLE 7 5 4 3   34 44 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 7.60  
HESASMOKIN 4 8 68 6   4 5 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 2.70  
MY MAGICAL MAN 3 2 22 4   65 6 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.50  
10  SCREEN STAR 8 4 53 5   7 710¾ (houghton th)VARGAS L 120 10.00 43.30  
NO DRAMA 5 7 8 810¼   811½ 826¾ (rogers michael)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 35.00  
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni wayne )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 15.00    
SCR  TOMASCO               (farley j)LLOYD W 120 20.00    
 
PEN-4   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :471 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'STORM 6 1 11 11   1 1 (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 11.30  
JEKYLL ISLAND 3 4 42 4   3 2 (stowers michel)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 2.40 P
BAILEY COFFEE 2 2 21 21   2 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 38% 1.70 2.70 S
SIR STEELE 8 3 31 31   4 4 (martin j)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.30 3.20  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 5 5 7 7   6 5 (albright ge)VARGAS L 123 5.00 15.70  
FLAT BUSTED 7 8 5 6   5 68 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 9% 10.30 6.80  
SONIC BLOOM 1 7 6 5   7 712½ (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00 20.10  
DEE BUG 4 6 8 810¾   814¾ 822¼ (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 12% 7.60 9.30  
 
PEN-5   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME CAT 5 6 5 5   4 1nk (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 12% 7.50 5.40 W
ZERTZ 7 1 11 1nk   1 2nk (stites flint )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70 P
MARTINKELLY 1 4 31 32   3 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 13% 6.60 3.20 S
ANNAMATED MOON 3 3 4 2nk   2 4 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 24% 3.20 5.10  
CAERUS 4 5 7 8   58 56 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 11.70  
CRITICAL THINKING 8 8 6 6   6 6 (shea lydee)TUNON JORDANO 119 12.00 6.80  
YES IT'S ROO 6 7 8 7   7 7 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 13.80  
HELMS DEEP (GB) 2 2 21 45   8 811 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 58.40  
 
PEN-6   11/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAN POINT 3 6 5 52 32 2nk 1¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 1.60 44% 1.30 1.00 W
GINGERS WISH 1 4 32 21 21 1nk 2¼ (smith donovan)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 10.00 21.30  
FAIRY DREAMS 8 3 65 64 6 55 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 7% 13.10 6.70 S
QUEEN ROSEMARY 7 1 43 4 42 4 4 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 9% 10.80 3.00  
NO EASY ANSWER 5 2 12 11 11 33 5 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 19% 4.30 3.60  
MELODIA 6 8 810½ 811 8 77 68 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 76.80  
HEYBACKATCHA 4 5 22 3 54 6 712¼ (bennett juanita)WHITNEY G 121 15.00 25.90  
LAUGH IT OFF 2 7 7 77 7 89 817 (mcclellan e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 24.70  
 
PEN-7   11/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MARTHA 5 2 2nk 1½   11 1 (mcmahon demelza)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.50 35% 1.80 0.20 W
MORGANS COVE 4 4 41 4   33 2 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 23.50 P
FREYDIS 6 3 3½ 2½   21 3 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00 15.70  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 3 1 1nk 3½   43 4 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 32% 2.10 4.40  
SIDESWIPED 1 5 5 53   57 5 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 11.30  
WON EYE WOMAN 2 6 6 611½   615 613¾ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 12.00 29.20  
SCR  IOANNA               (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
PEN-8   11/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O K GAME ON 3 6 65 65 4 2nk 1¼ (graci kimberl)RAMOS C 115 8.00 35% 1.80 7.50 W
CHARGING LION 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 12% 7.70 6.40 P
BORSA VENTO 7 2 4 32 31 33 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 14% 5.90 4.10 S
CONTRAFLOW 4 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 4 418 (wames john )RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 10% 9.50 1.90  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 1 5 7 79 711 617½ 523½ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00 21.80  
COMPOUND IT 5 7 53 54 54 515½ 630 (ramirez silvino)RIVERA D 124 3.00 1.90  
ROLLING PALISADES 2 4 3 4 66 719 736 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 23.80  
SCR  SO LONG CHUCK               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.