Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Tuesday - November 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   11/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE SHORTLIST         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 ★    
2  CAIRO SUGAR Oct14         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 ★    
3  IRISH ZAPPER         (samaniego jos)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 8% 11.50    
4  QUICK LORI B Sep21         (houghton th)VARGAS L 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  FOXY JUNIOR Oct14         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00    
6  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Oct24 Sep24       (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  I CAME TO DANCE Oct14         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
 
PEN-2   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TOUGH ROSE Oct19 Sep08 Jul29 Jul11   (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50    
2  SINISE Oct21 Sep23 Jul06 Jun11 May20 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  FREEZER BURN Oct14 Sep28 Aug18 Feb02 Jan22 (barboza vic)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00 ★    
4  CHEROKEE PARTY Oct07 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 Jul01 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  SNACKSTER Oct07 Sep07 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
6  HELLO GRACIE Oct29 Oct09 Aug16 Jul28 Jun25 (albert lin)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PECOS BILL Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (bartoni wayne )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 15.00    
2  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul08 Jun24 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOMASCO Aug25 Jul20 Jul07 Jun11   (farley j)LLOYD W 120 20.00    
4  COLOUR GUARD Sep23 Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 May21 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 73% 0.40    
5  MY MAGICAL MAN Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
6  HESASMOKIN Oct12 Sep01 Aug18 Jul22 Jul06 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 ★    
7  NO DRAMA Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 (rogers michael)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
8  CRYPT Oct28 Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 (beattie m)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00 ★    
9  SPIN CYCLE Oct19 Sep23 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★    
10  SCREEN STAR Jun29 Jun17 May25 May06 Apr20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONIC BLOOM Oct17 Sep24       (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
2  BAILEY COFFEE Oct14 Oct05 Aug31     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  JEKYLL ISLAND Oct25 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 (stowers michel)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 ★    
4  DEE BUG         (shea lydee)CORA D 124 15.00 12% 7.60    
5  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 (albright ge)VARGAS L 123 5.00    
6  D'STORM Oct14         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
7  FLAT BUSTED Jan25         (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
8  SIR STEELE Sep21 Aug18 Jul27     (martin j)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-5   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Oct25 Sep14 Aug19 Aug04 Jul06 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
2  HELMS DEEP (GB) Oct27 Aug19 Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  ANNAMATED MOON Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 Jul07 Jun11 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  CAERUS Oct06 Aug27 Aug07 Jul07 May06 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
5  HANDSOME CAT Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jul08   (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
6  YES IT'S ROO Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jun09 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
7  ZERTZ Sep28 Sep14 Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 (stites flint )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  CRITICAL THINKING Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 (shea lydee)CORA D 119 12.00    
 
PEN-6   11/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGERS WISH Oct19 Sep21 Sep09 Aug30 Jul20 (smith donovan)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
2  LAUGH IT OFF Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jun23 (mcclellan e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 ★    
3  SWAN POINT Oct18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  HEYBACKATCHA Sep22 Aug26 Jul28     (bennett juanita)WHITNEY G 121 15.00    
5  NO EASY ANSWER Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  MELODIA Oct18 Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
7  QUEEN ROSEMARY Oct18 Sep15 Aug17 Jul14 Jun29 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 9% 10.80    
8  FAIRY DREAMS Oct18 Aug12 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
 
PEN-7   11/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IOANNA Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11   (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  SIDESWIPED Oct14 Sep01       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
3  WON EYE WOMAN         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 12.00    
4  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Oct14 Sep01 Aug11     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  MORGANS COVE Oct26         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50 ★    
6  MO MARTHA Oct06         (mcmahon demelza)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.50 35% 1.80    
7  FREYDIS Sep24 Aug22 Jul27 Jul13   (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00    
 
PEN-8   11/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00    
2  ROLLING PALISADES Oct19 Aug25 Jul13 Jun01 Apr28 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
3  O K GAME ON Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Jul10 Jun03 (graci kimberl)RAMOS C 115 8.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  SO LONG CHUCK Oct15 Sep16 Sep02 Jul22   (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 ★    
5  CONTRAFLOW Oct18 Aug26 Aug05 Feb03   (wames john )RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 10% 9.50    
6  COMPOUND IT Oct28 Oct03 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 (ramirez silvino)RIVERA D 124 3.00    
7  CHARGING LION Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jun25 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 12% 7.70    
8  BORSA VENTO Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Aug03 Jul15 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.