Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - November 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE SHORTLIST         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 ★    
2  CAIRO SUGAR Oct14         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 ★    
3  IRISH ZAPPER         (samaniego j)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 8% 11.50    
4  QUICK LORI B Sep21         (houghton )VARGAS L 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  FOXY JUNIOR Oct14         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00    
6  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Oct24 Sep24       (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  I CAME TO DANCE Oct14         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
 
PEN-2   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TOUGH ROSE Oct19 Sep08 Jul29 Jul11   (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50    
2  SINISE Oct21 Sep23 Jul06 Jun11 May20 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  FREEZER BURN Oct14 Sep28 Aug18 Feb02 Jan22 (barboza v)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00 ★    
4  CHEROKEE PARTY Oct07 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 Jul01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  SNACKSTER Oct07 Sep07 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
6  HELLO GRACIE Oct29 Oct09 Aug16 Jul28 Jun25 (albert l)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PECOS BILL Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 15.00    
2  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul08 Jun24 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOMASCO Aug25 Jul20 Jul07 Jun11   (farley j)LLOYD W 120 20.00    
4  COLOUR GUARD Sep23 Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 May21 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 73% 0.40    
5  MY MAGICAL MAN Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
6  HESASMOKIN Oct12 Sep01 Aug18 Jul22 Jul06 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 ★    
7  NO DRAMA Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 (rogers michael)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
8  CRYPT Oct28 Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 (beattie todd )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00 ★    
9  SPIN CYCLE Oct19 Sep23 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★    
10  SCREEN STAR Jun29 Jun17 May25 May06 Apr20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONIC BLOOM Oct17 Sep24       (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
2  BAILEY COFFEE Oct14 Oct05 Aug31     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  JEKYLL ISLAND Oct25 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 (stowers mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 ★    
4  DEE BUG         (shea lydee)CORA D 124 15.00 12% 7.60    
5  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 (albright )VARGAS L 123 5.00    
6  D'STORM Oct14         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
7  FLAT BUSTED Jan25         (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
8  SIR STEELE Sep21 Aug18 Jul27     (martin charles)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-5   11/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Oct25 Sep14 Aug19 Aug04 Jul06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
2  HELMS DEEP (GB) Oct27 Aug19 Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  ANNAMATED MOON Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 Jul07 Jun11 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  CAERUS Oct06 Aug27 Aug07 Jul07 May06 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
5  HANDSOME CAT Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jul08   (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
6  YES IT'S ROO Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jun09 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
7  ZERTZ Sep28 Sep14 Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  CRITICAL THINKING Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 (shea lydee)CORA D 119 12.00    
 
PEN-6   11/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGERS WISH Oct19 Sep21 Sep09 Aug30 Jul20 (smith donovan)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
2  LAUGH IT OFF Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jun23 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 ★    
3  SWAN POINT Oct18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  HEYBACKATCHA Sep22 Aug26 Jul28     (bennett juanita)WHITNEY G 121 15.00    
5  NO EASY ANSWER Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  MELODIA Oct18 Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
7  QUEEN ROSEMARY Oct18 Sep15 Aug17 Jul14 Jun29 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 9% 10.80    
8  FAIRY DREAMS Oct18 Aug12 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
 
PEN-7   11/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IOANNA Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11   (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  SIDESWIPED Oct14 Sep01       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
3  WON EYE WOMAN         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 12.00    
4  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Oct14 Sep01 Aug11     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  MORGANS COVE Oct26         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50 ★    
6  MO MARTHA Oct06         (mcmahon demel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.50 35% 1.80    
7  FREYDIS Sep24 Aug22 Jul27 Jul13   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00    
 
PEN-8   11/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00    
2  ROLLING PALISADES Oct19 Aug25 Jul13 Jun01 Apr28 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
3  O K GAME ON Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Jul10 Jun03 (graci kimbe)RAMOS C 115 8.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  SO LONG CHUCK Oct15 Sep16 Sep02 Jul22   (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 ★    
5  CONTRAFLOW Oct18 Aug26 Aug05 Feb03   (wames joh)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 10% 9.50    
6  COMPOUND IT Oct28 Oct03 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 124 3.00    
7  CHARGING LION Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jun25 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 12% 7.70    
8  BORSA VENTO Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Aug03 Jul15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.