The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Charles Town
Saturday - November 12, 2022
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CT-1   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:241 :49 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAGIC IN ME 6 4 21 2nk   12½ 13 (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20 2.10 W
5  DON'T TELL GRANDMA 5 3 11 1nk   22½ 23 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 6.00 11% 8.00 5.60 P
1  HEIDI T 1 2 46½ 46½   34½ 33½ (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 41% 1.40 0.50 S
2  FASHION ICON 2 1 34 32   46½ 49½ (locklear james)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 65.30  
3  WATERLOO ROSE 3 6 68½ 59½   59½ 510 (tobin l)CECIL Y 122 12.00 ★ 16.00  
4  RAISON D'ETAT GIRL 4 5 58 610   611 611¾ (locklear james)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 27.40  
SCR  LOOKIN BACK               (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:243 :481 1:131 1:41   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HONOR THE FLEET 3 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 13½ 11¼ (magee kieron)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 23% 3.30 0.70 W
2  RRACE DAY WARRIOR 2 1 41¾ 45 34½ 23½ 21¼ (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 ★ 11.90 P
5  OTHER THINGS EQUAL 5 6 53¾ 57 45 34 37½ (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★ 9.00 S
1  RIGHTEOUS MAN 1 2 67¼ 617 615¼ 56½ 49½ (kirlew g)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00 28.10  
4  POSITIVE PHIL 4 4 1nk 2nk 2nk 44 511¼ (farrior anthony)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 29% 2.50 2.90  
6  AUTS REVOLUTION 6 5 31½ 34½ 55¼ 67 611½ (sanderson s)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 20% 4.10 4.70  
 
CT-3   11/12/2022 2970ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
:22 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNISON 1 8 11½     15½ 16 (curtis f)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 67% 0.50 1.30 W
9  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 9 2 76     68¾ 26 (jones e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 ★ 5.00 P
4  ICING 4 6 65     58¼ 36¾ (cash l)ACOSTA D 118 1.60 ★ 2.40 S
7  BERTRAM FLIGHT 7 1 21½     25½ 46¾ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 ★ 26.80  
3  BEAR'S ESTATE 3 7 43½     38 59¼ (knoblauch-perez r)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 78.60  
8  TALKING TEDDY 8 3 33     48 610¼ (obed-letts e)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00 30.70  
6  CATS DIAMOND BOY 6 4 54     78¾ 714¼ (rangel ricardo)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 12.00 10.70  
2  A GREAT AFFAIR 2 9 88½     814¾ 817¾ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★ 6.00  
5  IN HIGH GEAR 5 5 99½     915¾ 921 (mcdonald timothy)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00 61.10  
 
CT-4   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:241 :481 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEEDS OF TIME 2 2 43½ 2nk   11 14¼ (grullon riquelvis)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 36% 1.80 0.50 W
1  CHIT CHAT GIRL 1 1 54½ 5¾   21 24¼ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 13% 6.90 4.50 P
3  BONNIE BLUETOOTH 3 4 22 1nk   32½ 39½ (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 26% 2.90 3.60 S
4  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM 4 5 12 4¾   45 411¼ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 ★ 29.60  
7  UPSY DAISY DO 7 6 68½ 67¼   67½ 515¾ (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
6  BUFF N 6 3 32½ 3½   56½ 617 (pickett g)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 6.00 16.00  
5  CATHERINES WARRIOR 5 7 710 710¾   78½ 721¾ (jones a)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 42.50  
 
CT-5   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
:233 :471 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SAN ANTONE 2 1 32 2½   11 17 (magee kieron)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 48% 1.10 0.30 W
5  JAMMIN STILL 4 7 43 42½   46 27 (caison l)CECIL Y 120 15.00 13.60  
6  SUNMAN 5 6 78 69   67½ 38 (pickett g)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 46.60  
1  ELEVATED FOREVER 1 2 53½ 56   56½ 48½ (garrido raul)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 5% 19.00 7.30  
8  BETTER BOOGIE 6 4 11 1½   21 59¼ (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.30  
9  BIG HAMBONE 7 5 21 32   35 610½ (lee a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 ★ 15.90  
4  PAINT MUSIC FOR ME 3 3 64½ 710   78 712 (dollinger-sthr linda)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00 95.50  
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR               (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE               (scott l)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 ★    
 
CT-6   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
:241 :48 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JAMESTOWN ROAD 3 3 54¾ 32½   1½ 12¾ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 ★ 2.90  
1  DAT DARES GOLD 1 2 22 21½   32½ 22¾ (magee kieron)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 2.50 53% 0.90 3.80 P
6  MADY ROSE 6 5 64¾ 53½   43 34¼ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 12% 7.60 2.50 S
2  STAY OUT 2 1 12 11½   2½ 45¼ (capuano dale)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 ★ 2.30  
4  TEMPORARILY 4 4 32 42½   57 57¾ (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 ★ 9.00  
5  BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL 5 6 44½ 68½   619 625½ (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 11.80  
 
CT-7   11/12/2022 5940ft DIRT GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:234 :481 1:134 1:394   1:54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MUAD'DIB 8 5 55 32 1nk 2nk 1¾ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60 35% 1.80 0.40 W
1  C R'S MANDATE 1 1 44 53 61½ 64 2¾ (schiano-dicola raimo)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 34.80  
2  BUBBA GRUMP 2 2 12 11 2nk 1nk 31 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 20.00 32.50  
6  FREE SAILIN 6 4 34 42 4¼ 32 41½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 5.00 ★ 4.20  
5  JUNGLE BEAST 5 8 75¾ 63¼ 51¼ 42½ 55¾ (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 ★ 15.50  
3  CANDY INVASION 3 7 87¼ 85¾ 83 86 67¾ (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 123 4.50 31% 2.20 5.90  
4  ALLEN CAN DO IT 4 3 22 21 3.2 53½ 712¾ (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 74.40  
7  NO CHANGE 7 6 65¼ 73¼ 72 75½ 814 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 10.00 11% 8.20 13.40  
 
CT-8   11/12/2022 2970ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
:222 :47       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ON SPOT 4 4 44     35½ 1¼ (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 3.50 7% 12.50 1.20 W
3  WAYNE'S HOPE 2 9 11     12½ 2¼ (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 117 5.00 ★ 8.40 P
9  WOOTDAREITIS 8 1 21     22½ 3¾ (werneth a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 3.80  
4  ARE YOU HAPPY 3 5 55     46½ 43 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 27% 2.80 3.90  
6  TURTLENECK TED 5 7 76     68 55¾ (brown kelton)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★ 5.40  
7  BIGAIRTOTHETHROWN 6 3 34     58 610¼ (cramer jeff)LEWIS M 114 6.00 43% 1.30 24.70  
8  BOUBOLINO 7 6 915½     914½ 713½ (o'neill m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00 43.70  
1  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 1 8 810½     712 813¾ (racanelli j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 85.50  
10  CALL JOHN 9 2 65½     812½ 916¼ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 33.80  
SCR  DR WILL               (obed-letts e)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.