Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC IN ME 6 4 21 2nk   1 13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20 2.10 W
DON'T TELL GRANDMA 5 3 11 1nk   2 23 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 6.00 11% 8.00 5.60 P
HEIDI T 1 2 4 4   3 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 41% 1.40 0.50 S
FASHION ICON 2 1 34 32   4 4 (locklear james)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 65.30  
WATERLOO ROSE 3 6 6 5   5 510 (tobin l)CECIL Y 122 12.00 16.00  
RAISON D'ETAT GIRL 4 5 58 610   611 611¾ (locklear ja)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 27.40  
SCR  LOOKIN BACK               (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:41   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR THE FLEET 3 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 1 1 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 23% 3.30 0.70 W
RRACE DAY WARRIOR 2 1 4 45 3 2 2 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 11.90 P
OTHER THINGS EQUAL 5 6 5 57 45 34 3 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 9.00 S
RIGHTEOUS MAN 1 2 6 617 615¼ 5 4 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00 28.10  
POSITIVE PHIL 4 4 1nk 2nk 2nk 44 511¼ (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 29% 2.50 2.90  
AUTS REVOLUTION 6 5 3 3 5 67 611½ (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 20% 4.10 4.70  
 
CT-3   11/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:22 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNISON 1 8 1     1 16 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 67% 0.50 1.30 W
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 9 2 76     6 26 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5.00 P
ICING 4 6 65     5 3 (cash l)ACOSTA D 118 1.60 2.40 S
BERTRAM FLIGHT 7 1 2     2 4 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 26.80  
BEAR'S ESTATE 3 7 4     38 5 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 78.60  
TALKING TEDDY 8 3 33     48 610¼ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00 30.70  
CATS DIAMOND BOY 6 4 54     7 714¼ (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 12.00 10.70  
A GREAT AFFAIR 2 9 8     814¾ 817¾ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 6.00  
IN HIGH GEAR 5 5 9     915¾ 921 (mcdonald timot)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00 61.10  
 
CT-4   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEDS OF TIME 2 2 4 2nk   11 1 (grullo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 36% 1.80 0.50 W
CHIT CHAT GIRL 1 1 5 5¾   21 2 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 13% 6.90 4.50 P
BONNIE BLUETOOTH 3 4 22 1nk   3 3 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 26% 2.90 3.60 S
SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM 4 5 12 4¾   45 411¼ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 29.60  
UPSY DAISY DO 7 6 6 6   6 515¾ (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
BUFF N 6 3 3 3½   5 617 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 6.00 16.00  
CATHERINES WARRIOR 5 7 710 710¾   7 721¾ (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 42.50  
 
CT-5   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN ANTONE 2 1 32 2½   11 17 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 48% 1.10 0.30 W
JAMMIN STILL 4 7 43 4   46 27 (caison l)CECIL Y 120 15.00 13.60  
SUNMAN 5 6 78 69   6 38 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 46.60  
ELEVATED FOREVER 1 2 5 56   5 4 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 5% 19.00 7.30  
BETTER BOOGIE 6 4 11 1½   21 5 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.30  
BIG HAMBONE 7 5 21 32   35 610½ (lee a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 15.90  
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME 3 3 6 710   78 712 (dollinger-st)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00 95.50  
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR               (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE               (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
 
CT-6   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMESTOWN ROAD 3 3 5 3   1½ 1 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 2.90  
DAT DARES GOLD 1 2 22 2   3 2 (magee kier)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 2.50 53% 0.90 3.80 P
MADY ROSE 6 5 6 5   43 3 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 12% 7.60 2.50 S
STAY OUT 2 1 12 1   2½ 4 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 2.30  
TEMPORARILY 4 4 32 4   57 5 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 9.00  
BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL 5 6 4 6   619 625½ (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 11.80  
 
CT-7   11/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:394   1:54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUAD'DIB 8 5 55 32 1nk 2nk 1¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60 35% 1.80 0.40 W
C R'S MANDATE 1 1 44 53 6 64 2¾ (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 34.80  
BUBBA GRUMP 2 2 12 11 2nk 1nk 31 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 20.00 32.50  
FREE SAILIN 6 4 34 42 4¼ 32 4 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 5.00 4.20  
JUNGLE BEAST 5 8 7 6 5 4 5 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 15.50  
CANDY INVASION 3 7 8 8 83 86 6 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 123 4.50 31% 2.20 5.90  
ALLEN CAN DO IT 4 3 22 21 3.2 5 712¾ (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 74.40  
NO CHANGE 7 6 6 7 72 7 814 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 10.00 11% 8.20 13.40  
 
CT-8   11/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:222 :47       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON SPOT 4 4 44     3 1¼ (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 3.50 7% 12.50 1.20 W
WAYNE'S HOPE 2 9 11     1 2¼ (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 117 5.00 8.40 P
WOOTDAREITIS 8 1 21     2 3¾ (werneth ro)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 3.80  
ARE YOU HAPPY 3 5 55     4 43 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 27% 2.80 3.90  
TURTLENECK TED 5 7 76     68 5 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 5.40  
BIGAIRTOTHETHROWN 6 3 34     58 610¼ (cramer jeff)LEWIS M 114 6.00 43% 1.30 24.70  
BOUBOLINO 7 6 915½     914½ 713½ (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00 43.70  
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 1 8 810½     712 813¾ (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 85.50  
10  CALL JOHN 9 2 6     812½ 916¼ (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 33.80  
SCR  DR WILL               (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.