Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI T Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 Aug19 Jul09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 41% 1.40    
2  FASHION ICON Oct22 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (locklear james)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
3  WATERLOO ROSE Oct22 Oct06 Sep21 Sep10 Aug18 (tobin l)CECIL Y 122 12.00 ★    
4  RAISON D'ETAT GIRL Oct22 Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 Jul19 (locklear ja)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
5  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Oct22 Sep28 Sep15 Aug13 Jul04 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  LOOKIN BACK Oct20 Sep28 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAGIC IN ME Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 Aug26 Aug14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
CT-2   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTEOUS MAN Oct21 Sep21 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
2  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Oct22 Oct06 Sep10 Aug20 Jul14 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 ★    
3  HONOR THE FLEET Oct26 Oct12 Sep30 Aug17 Jul16 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  POSITIVE PHIL Oct29 Oct06 Sep07 Aug18 Jun28 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
5  OTHER THINGS EQUAL Nov07 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 Jul28 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★    
6  AUTS REVOLUTION Oct22 Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
CT-3   11/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNISON Sep30 Sep03 Jul23 Jun30   (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
2  A GREAT AFFAIR         (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
3  BEAR'S ESTATE Oct21 Sep30 Jul09     (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
4  ICING Sep23 Aug25 Jul31 Jul14 Jun04 (cash l)ACOSTA D 118 1.60 ★    
5  IN HIGH GEAR Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 Jun30 (mcdonald timot)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
6  CATS DIAMOND BOY Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 12.00    
7  BERTRAM FLIGHT Oct15 Sep24 Jul23 Jun30 Jun04 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 ★    
8  TALKING TEDDY Oct21 Apr29 Apr16 Mar25 Mar02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
9  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Oct06 Sep16 Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 ★    
 
CT-4   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIT CHAT GIRL Oct15 Oct07 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
2  SEEDS OF TIME Oct29 Oct20 Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 (grullon riqu)MORALES KELVIN 122 1.20 36% 1.80    
3  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Oct05 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 Jul01 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
4  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Oct01 Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 Jun25 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 ★    
5  CATHERINES WARRIOR Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00    
6  BUFF N Oct22 Sep09 Sep01 Aug20 Jul30 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 6.00    
7  UPSY DAISY DO Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug11 Jul30 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVATED FOREVER Oct14 Aug30 Aug03 Jun25 May21 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 Aug06 Jul07 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
3  SAN ANTONE Nov02 Oct08 Oct01 Sep11 Mar11 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  PAINT MUSIC FOR ME Sep30 Aug25 Jul15 Jul09 May21 (dollinger-st)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
5  JAMMIN STILL Oct28 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 (caison l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
6  SUNMAN Oct21 Sep09 Aug19 Jun09 May27 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Oct21 Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 May19 (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 ★    
8  BETTER BOOGIE Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Aug06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
9  BIG HAMBONE Jul30 Jul16 Jun30 Jun16 May20 (lee a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 ★    
 
CT-6   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAT DARES GOLD Oct17 Sep18 Sep09 Aug28 Aug13 (magee kier)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  STAY OUT Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 Aug13 Jul17 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 ★    
3  JAMESTOWN ROAD Oct22 Sep21 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 ★    
4  TEMPORARILY Oct19 Sep14 Aug18 Jul31 Jul14 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 ★    
5  BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL Jul18 Jun28 May31 May16 Apr05 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00    
6  MADY ROSE Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Jul09 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
CT-7   11/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S MANDATE Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jun16 May27 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00    
2  BUBBA GRUMP Oct27 Oct08 Jul27 Jun16 Mar19 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 20.00    
3  CANDY INVASION Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jun25 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 123 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  ALLEN CAN DO IT Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
5  JUNGLE BEAST Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 May12 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 ★    
6  FREE SAILIN Oct08 Aug23 Jul23 Jun11 Apr11 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 5.00 ★    
7  NO CHANGE Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jun16 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 10.00 11% 8.20    
8  MUAD'DIB Oct08 Aug26 Jul15     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60 35% 1.80    
 
CT-8   11/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Oct28 Oct15 Sep09 Aug12 Jul21 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
SCR  DR WILL Oct26 Oct14       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
3  WAYNE'S HOPE Sep24 Jun10 May07 Apr02 Mar26 (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 117 5.00 ★    
4  ARE YOU HAPPY Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Jun23 May04 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
5  ON SPOT Oct26 Oct19 Oct01 Jul29 Jul15 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 3.50 7% 12.50    
6  TURTLENECK TED Sep12 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jul04 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★    
7  BIGAIRTOTHETHROWN Jul09 Jun16 May26 May14   (cramer jeff)LEWIS M 114 6.00 43% 1.30    
8  BOUBOLINO Oct15 Sep24 Sep02 Aug28 Jul29 (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
9  WOOTDAREITIS Aug02 Jul20 Jul02 May06 Mar16 (werneth ro)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
10  CALL JOHN Jun24 May07       (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.