Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:151     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEIRS MINUTE 6 5 11 1   1 1 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 24% 3.20 4.50 W
CARNIVAL LUCKY 2 3 5 59   39 2 (walters dav)RAMGEET R 120 1.20 30% 2.40 1.60 P
DIVA GAL 5 6 21 2   2 38 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 4.50 8.40  
SOOEY'S PRINCESS 3 2 3 35   49 411 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 4.60  
DIXIE SUNRISE 4 4 68 612   512½ 514¼ (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 14% 6.30 16.30  
MAGNIFICENT ROCKET 1 1 4 48   617 632¾ (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 2.00 2.10  
 
CT-2   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:163     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASE LIL ME 4 5 4 31   1nk 1 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 119 3.50 8.10  
FELICIAS CASTLE 5 4 3 4   4¾ 2 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 47% 1.10 1.20 P
MIO GRACELAND 3 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 20% 4.00 2.10 S
SUGAR LIPS 1 1 5 5   5 4 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 3.50  
LASHER 2 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 58 (scott l)CECIL Y 120 15.00 12.10  
DUKE OF CORK 6 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (shanley mar)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.80  
 
CT-3   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:171     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO FAT TO FISH 5 7 711 7   4 1½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 0.40 31% 2.20 0.80 W
BUFF N 3 2 3 32   2nk 2½ (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 10.00 6% 16.90 8.30 P
FONDA ROMANA 6 5 2½ 2nk   1nk 3 (hummer )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 5.00 23% 3.40 8.90 S
UPSY DAISY DO 1 1 64 5   5 4 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 3.70  
RHYTHM TREE 4 4 1½ 1nk   3.2 5 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 16.30  
TAPETE CLAIRE 2 3 53 43   6 611½ (jones yat)CECIL Y 122 12.00 12% 7.20 18.10  
CATHERINES WARRIOR 7 6 43 6   7 714 (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 6.00  
 
CT-4   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:144     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT BRASS 5 5 49 48   3 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 46% 1.20 0.90 W
BAYS CASTLE 2 4 612¼ 5   4 2 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.00 6.60 P
SAYYESTOTHELADY 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 25% 3.00 3.10 S
TIMETOGETUP 4 3 34 32   2nk 4 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 8.00 11.90  
ELIANAGRACE 6 6 512 6   6 5 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 10.00 25.00  
WINDSOR'S PLAY 3 2 2nk 2nk   5 616¼ (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 4.50 4.10  
 
CT-5   10/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:22 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLOW MOON 3 4 1½     11 11 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 23% 3.30 6.30 W
MY LOVELY GIRL 5 3 3     32 21 (larrosa)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 15% 5.50 6.10 P
COACH RUBE 6 2 42     43 3 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 11.50 3.10 S
SECRET CASTLE 7 1 63     6 4 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 25.40  
FANCY HER UP 2 5 2½     21 53 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 1.20 31% 2.20 0.70  
SWEETONTHEGENTS 1 6 5     53 65 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 34.40  
ASUE 4 7 77     7 7 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 16.40  
 
CT-6   10/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($30.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:142 1:421   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR HOOVER 4 6 55 4 41 2nk 1 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 14% 6.30 1.90 W
AUTS REVOLUTION 6 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 2 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 14% 6.40 3.30 P
RRACE DAY WARRIOR 2 3 79 69 6 45 33 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 8.20  
WALK THE BANK 1 1 4 58 5 5 4 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 118 12.00 21.80  
NIGHT BOSS 7 5 3 3 2½ 3 5 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 5.40  
ELVIRUS 3 2 1nk 2nk 3½ 6 615 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00 8.90  
CAPE LOOKOUT 5 7 67 7 711½ 715¾ 729½ (viands gregory)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.00 46% 1.20 3.30  
 
CT-7   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOSHONI MOON 5 4 42 1nk   17 111½ (lyster ste)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 0.80  
JAMESTOWN ROAD 2 2 64 6   3 211½ (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 10.20 P
FEEL THE LOVE 3 5 810 8   410½ 313 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00 28.50  
BAHAMA PEARL 8 7 2½ 2nk   27 413½ (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 124 4.50 12% 7.60 6.60  
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 4 3 53 31   610¾ 515¼ (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50 53% 0.90 3.00  
HEIDI T 6 6 1½ 4   510½ 615½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00 8.40  
MAE SAI PRINCESS 7 8 74 7   710¾ 720 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 42.50  
LADY KAZA 1 1 3 5   813¼ 822 (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 5% 18.10 34.10  
 
CT-8   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:152     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAX 2 2 42 3½   1½ 12 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 2.50 1.10  
SKYFLY 8 6 1½ 1nk   2½ 22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 55% 0.80 2.10 P
WATERLOO ROSE 3 4 65 6   6 3 (tobin l)CECIL Y 122 30.00 39.10  
DON'T TELL GRANDMA 5 3 3 4   55 4 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 13% 7.00 6.60  
CHRISTINE'S COSMO 7 8 54 5   44 54 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 28.50  
MARKET OF STOCKS 1 1 2½ 2nk   3 65 (d'angelo ricardo)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 5% 17.80 5.70  
RAISON D'ETAT GIRL 4 5 77 8   710 710 (locklea)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00 24.70  
FASHION ICON 6 7 88 77   810 810½ (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 21.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.

 

 
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