Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNIFICENT ROCKET Oct01 Sep10 Aug25 Aug12 Jul15 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 2.00    
CARNIVAL LUCKY Oct01 Sep08 Aug06 Jun02 Apr22 (walters dav)RAMGEET R 120 1.20 30% 2.40    
SOOEY'S PRINCESS Sep28 Sep15 Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
DIXIE SUNRISE Sep28 Sep08 Aug05 Jul01 Jun24 (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 14% 6.30    
DIVA GAL Oct06 Sep10 Aug06 Jun18 May28 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 4.50    
REVEIRS MINUTE Oct01 Sep08 Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 24% 3.20    
 
CT-2   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LIPS Sep21 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00    
LASHER Aug28 Aug05 Jun30 May07 Mar17 (scott l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
MIO GRACELAND Oct05 Sep21 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
CHASE LIL ME Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 119 3.50    
FELICIAS CASTLE Sep21 Aug27 Aug11 Jun29 Jun11 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 47% 1.10    
DUKE OF CORK Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 (shanley mar)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSY DAISY DO Oct01 Sep10 Aug11 Jul30 Jul09 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
TAPETE CLAIRE Jul30 Jul09       (jones yat)CECIL Y 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
BUFF N Sep09 Sep01 Aug20 Jul30 Feb26 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 10.00 6% 16.90    
RHYTHM TREE Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
TO FAT TO FISH Jul19 Jun28 Mar03 Feb10 Jan02 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 0.40 31% 2.20    
FONDA ROMANA Sep10 Sep01 Jul30 Jun25 Jun03 (hummer )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
CATHERINES WARRIOR Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Apr30 (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYYESTOTHELADY Sep21 Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
BAYS CASTLE Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.00    
WINDSOR'S PLAY Oct08 Sep21 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 4.50    
TIMETOGETUP Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 8.00    
MIDNIGHT BRASS Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Apr29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 46% 1.20    
ELIANAGRACE Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul14   (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 10.00    
 
CT-5   10/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETONTHEGENTS Sep21         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
FANCY HER UP Oct08 Aug25 Jul30 Jun18 May21 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 1.20 31% 2.20    
WILLOW MOON Oct01 Sep09 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
ASUE Oct05 Aug26 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
MY LOVELY GIRL Oct02 Sep23 Aug06 Jul28 Jul07 (larrosa)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 15% 5.50    
COACH RUBE Oct08 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 Apr28 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
SECRET CASTLE Sep28 Sep02 Aug20 Jul15 May28 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 
CT-6   10/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($30.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALK THE BANK Oct06 Sep14 Aug27 Aug11 Jul29 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 118 12.00    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Oct06 Sep10 Aug20 Jul14 May18 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
ELVIRUS Sep29 Sep14 Aug20 Jul20 Jun30 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
MR HOOVER Oct12 Sep10 Aug27 Aug03 Jul16 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
CAPE LOOKOUT Sep27 Aug27 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 (viands gregory)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
AUTS REVOLUTION Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
NIGHT BOSS Sep09 Aug21 Jul31 Jun25 Jun10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50    
 
CT-7   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY KAZA Sep10 Jun30 Jun17 May21 Apr28 (joy j)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 5% 18.10    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Sep21 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 Jun17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
FEEL THE LOVE Oct07 Sep10 Aug25 Aug04 May19 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Oct07 Aug25 Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
SHOSHONI MOON Oct07 Jul23 Jun28 Jun01 Apr29 (lyster ste)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00    
HEIDI T Oct01 Sep15 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
MAE SAI PRINCESS Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
BAHAMA PEARL Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 Aug22 Aug07 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 124 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
CT-8   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET OF STOCKS Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 (d'angelo ricardo)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 5% 17.80    
SAX Sep10 Aug18 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 2.50    
WATERLOO ROSE Oct06 Sep21 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 (tobin l)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
RAISON D'ETAT GIRL Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 Jul19 May06 (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00    
DON'T TELL GRANDMA Sep28 Sep15 Aug13 Jul04 Jun21 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 13% 7.00    
FASHION ICON Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
CHRISTINE'S COSMO Sep28 May25 Apr30 Mar30 Mar05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
SKYFLY Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 Aug27   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.