The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Charles Town
Saturday - October 08, 2022
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CT-1   10/08/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:213 :451       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PENGUIN POWER 2 5 22     3.2 11¼ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.00 36% 1.80 0.60 W
4  NICO 4 6 44     2nk 21¼ (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 17% 4.70 3.80 P
3  HYPOTHESIS 3 4 33     41¼ 32 (pickett g)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 2.50 25% 2.90 3.30 S
5  DERBY DAY DREAMS 5 1 54½     54¾ 44 (barber c)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 20.00 ★ 33.60  
1  GOLDEN KEY 1 3 12     1nk 55 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00 ★ 8.60  
6  FREEDOM IS RINGING 6 2 65½     66¾ 68 (jackson l)RAMGEET R 123 30.00 42.50  
 
CT-2   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 7:32
:233 :472 1:144     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MARZ EXPRESS 7 6 11 11   11 1½ (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 13.10  
2  JUBA'S PARADE 2 1 32 21   21 2½ (casey a)LARROSA G 120 15.00 ★ 8.70 P
9  LUCKY BLONDE 9 9 95½ 73½   34 31¾ (grams c)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 52.80  
1  SAIL ON BREEZE 1 2 74 63   46 44¼ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.30 1.10  
3  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK 3 4 106 106¾   67 54½ (runco c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 ★ 13.30  
8  BOUNDTOBEGREAT 8 8 21 31   57 69¾ (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00 53.90  
4  BELLA MELA 4 3 42 96½   89 710¼ (contreras javier)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00 9% 9.90 11.70  
5  STRONG WILLED 5 5 84½ 85½   99½ 811¼ (farrior anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 39% 1.60 1.90  
10  MUSIC LASS 10 10 52½ 41½   78 920¾ (tuomisto clifford)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 27.40  
6  CAT WITH A NOTION 6 7 63 52   109¾ 1025 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 60.70  
 
CT-3   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
:233 :472 1:141     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUBA'S NOTION 7 7 31 31½   21½ 1¾ (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00 8% 11.50 11.00 W
2  HONEYQUIST 2 1 1nk 1½   11½ 2¾ (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 0.80 29% 2.40 1.20 P
8  PAYMENGOLD 8 8 51¼ 42   44 31½ (johnson c)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 16% 5.20 3.20 S
6  NEVERPOPTHECORK 6 5 84 85½   66 43¼ (casey a)LARROSA G 120 20.00 80.10  
3  LORD OF CORK 3 3 2nk 2½   33½ 56¾ (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 54.20  
10  AREYOUGONNAKISSME 10 9 62¼ 74½   55 67¾ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00 77.90  
5  STROLLINGINTHEWIND 5 6 94 106½   108 711 (casey w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 30.00 ######  
1  TEACHINTHERELEASE 1 2 41¼ 64   76½ 812 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00 8.80  
9  XCELLENT START 9 10 105½ 95½   97½ 912 (runco c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 6% 16.60 5.40  
4  PINNACLE REEF 4 4 72½ 53   86½ 1023¼ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 16% 5.30 6.00  
SCR  NO LOVE FOR JUBA               (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
SCR  TIME TO CHOOSE               (casey a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
 
CT-4   10/08/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:26 :511 1:164 1:424   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STOWE ANGEL 3 2 11 1½ 11 13 12 (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.40 47% 1.10 0.80 W
5  NAVY SWORD 5 1 31 42 42 23 22 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 4.50 12% 7.10 7.20 P
6  TIZBIT 6 3 41¼ 52 32 36 37¼ (gillespie a)RAMGEET R 123 10.00 20.90  
8  SARAH'S WARRIOR 8 6 62¼ 64 64½ 58½ 48½ (viands r)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 32.10  
1  MADY ROSE 1 4 21 2½ 21 46 511 (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 10% 9.10 3.50  
2  BAYS CASTLE 2 5 83½ 85½ 76 610½ 611¼ (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 ★ 9.00  
7  EX RATED 7 7 72½ 75 87 811¼ 713 (jackson g)BOCACHICA O 123 15.00 27.70  
4  OCEAN LILLY 4 8 52¼ 31 52½ 710¾ 820¼ (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 5.00 10% 9.30 7.50  
 
CT-5   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 9:02
:231 :481 1:141     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENECA ROCKS 1 1 74 72¾   32 1nk (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 9% 10.00 2.90 W
7  CHANGE THE WORLD 7 7 32 21   21 2nk (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 51% 0.90 0.30 P
4  COUSIN WINNIE 4 4 42 41½   42 31½ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 8% 11.60 20.10 S
8  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD 8 9 97¾ 95¾   76¼ 42 (jackson g)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 37.30  
3  WINDSOR'S PLAY 3 2 1½ 11   11 54¾ (rideout m)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 72.80  
2  AIM'S JUBILEE 2 5 63 52   65¼ 67½ (reggetts l)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 ★ 14.60  
5  TIMETOGETUP 5 3 84¼ 31½   55 715¼ (casey a)LARROSA G 122 20.00 49.50  
9  WHALE OF A TIME 9 8 52½ 83¼   89¼ 818 (contreras javier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00 7% 14.20 47.60  
6  CASTLE LIGHTS 6 6 2½ 62¼   915¼ 931 (casey w)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00 76.40  
 
CT-6   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:233 :48 1:124     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  C R'S MANDATE 4 1 51½ 62   53¾ 1hd (schiano-dicola raimo)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 26.50  
3  FANCY CONCHO 3 4 72¾ 52   41¾ 2hd (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 14% 6.20 3.00 P
8  SOCIAL CHIC 8 8 2½ 2½   1nk 3¼ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60 28% 2.60 1.50 S
6  NO CHANGE 6 6 62½ 41½   2nk 4¾ (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 2.50 37% 1.70 3.00  
7  COMMAND THE CAT 7 7 1½ 1½   3.2 52¾ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 15.00 ★ 11.60  
5  BUBBA GRUMP 5 5 41½ 31   63¾ 67¾ (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 ★ 6.00  
1  HUMPTY GRUMPTY 1 2 82¾ 84   77¼ 79 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 12.00 17.90  
2  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE 2 3 31 73   812¼ 820¼ (straughn e)ROCHA WLADIMIR 123 30.00 60.70  
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK               (davis e)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 30.00    
 
CT-7   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
:233 :474 1:131     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HESSICA 4 4 32 31   11 1½ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 ★ 7.50  
7  THE SKY IS FALLING 6 5 42½ 53   41¼ 2½ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 37% 1.70 0.90 P
1  AZZURRA 1 1 53½ 42   31 32¾ (farrior anthony)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50 10% 8.70 7.70 S
2  MOONLIT SHADOW 2 2 2nk 1nk   21 46¼ (grams c)PELTROCHE F 123 3.00 31% 2.20 1.50  
5  GRACE ELIZABETH 5 6 64 64   55¼ 59 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 20.00 32.60  
3  BOUNDTOBEOK 3 3 1nk 2nk   66¼ 614¼ (casey w)LARROSA G 123 12.00 34.20  
SCR  C V'S POWERPAK               (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 ★    
 
CT-8   10/08/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
:25 :491 1:143 1:411   1:54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUAD'DIB 6 4 44 46½ 43½ 1nk 1½ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60 56% 0.80 0.50 W
4  MARTIN MAN 4 7 54½ 56½ 54 2nk 2½ (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 123 20.00 ★ 54.10 P
7  BUFF'S EYE VIEW 7 5 65½ 68½ 65 41½ 38½ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 123 15.00 31.80  
5  CANDY INVASION 5 8 75¾ 79½ 75½ 62¼ 49½ (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 123 2.50 17% 4.90 1.60  
3  ALLEN CAN DO IT 3 1 31½ 33½ 33 51¾ 511¼ (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 20.00 49.30  
1  ISHIHARA 1 3 2nk 2½ 11½ 31 612½ (runco c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 20.00  
8  OUT OF CENTS 8 6 86¾ 810 86 85¾ 721¼ (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 15.00 5% 18.20 52.50  
2  HERO'S MAN 2 2 1nk 1½ 21½ 73¼ 823¼ (casey w)LARROSA G 123 12.00 ★ 20.50  
 
CT-9   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-11:02
:233 :474 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FREE SAILIN 10 9 31 31   12 14¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 6.00 8% 11.90 2.30 W
7  JUNGLE BEAST 7 8 52¼ 42   22 24¾ (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 47% 1.10 1.30 P
8  LATE IN THE GAME 8 10 107¾ 106¼   76 35 (casey w)LARROSA G 122 8.00 20.00  
3  C R'S UNCLE LINO 3 3 75¾ 63½   64 47¾ (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 20.50  
5  WELL EQUIPPED 5 4 65¼ 52½   53½ 58 (pickett g)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 42.30  
6  ONE NIGHT MIKE 6 2 1nk 1nk   33 69 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 ★ 6.70  
9  AMIDSHIPS 9 7 2nk 2nk   43½ 712¼ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00 ★ 8.20  
1  RUN TO DAYLIGHT 1 5 86¾ 84¼   87 813¼ (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 23% 3.40 13.40  
2  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 2 6 97¾ 95¼   1013½ 920¾ (runco c)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 16.70  
4  FEARNOUGHT 4 1 42 74   912 1024½ (johnson r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00 54.10  
SCR  ROAD PARTY               (grigsby anthony)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE               (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
 
CT-10   10/08/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:32
:213 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SILKY SERENA 3 5 51¾     42½ 1¾ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 30% 2.40 3.00 W
2  ALPINE MOON 2 9 84¾     64¼ 2¾ (davis e)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 5.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
7  COLLEGE KID 7 3 1½     1½ 31¾ (scott l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 15.00 34.00  
5  ELLIES LIL CASTLE 5 6 74¾     74¾ 41¾ (casey w)LARROSA G 123 15.00 74.50  
1  FANCY HER UP 1 7 2½     2½ 52 (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 23% 3.40 8.40  
10  FULL MOON LOVER 10 1 41½     32½ 63¼ (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 19% 4.40 2.20  
4  COACH RUBE 4 10 106¾     84¾ 73½ (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 123 10.00 5% 19.00 28.10  
8  MANAROLA 8 8 95¾     106¾ 83¾ (contreras javier)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 23.90  
9  GOOD KARMA 9 2 31½     54 95½ (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 3.80  
6  VACATION SECRET 6 4 63¼     95¾ 107½ (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 123 10.00 8.80  
SCR  GOODNESS GRACIOUS               (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
SCR  LUCYLOU WHO               (geralis j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
SCR  SNOWY JUBA CAT               (bass w)RAMGEET R 123 15.00    
SCR  THELADYISTRUE               (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.