Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN KEY Sep14 Jul16 Jun11 May17 Apr01 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
2  PENGUIN POWER Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun11 Apr23 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.00 39% 1.60    
3  HYPOTHESIS Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun11   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  NICO Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun11 Feb26 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  DERBY DAY DREAMS Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 Apr27 Mar26 (barber donal)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 20.00    
6  FREEDOM IS RINGING Sep22 Jul08 Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 (jackson she)RAMGEET R 123 30.00    
 
CT-2   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAIL ON BREEZE Sep17 Aug12       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  JUBA'S PARADE Sep17 Sep02       (casey a)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
3  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Sep23         (runco jef)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 ★    
4  BELLA MELA Sep23         (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRONG WILLED Sep17 Sep02       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  CAT WITH A NOTION Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22   (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
7  MARZ EXPRESS Sep17 Sep05 Jul02     (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOUNDTOBEGREAT Sep17 Sep02       (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
9  LUCKY BLONDE Sep23 Sep02       (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
10  MUSIC LASS Sep23         (tuomis)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEACHINTHERELEASE Sep17 Jul23 Jul02     (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00 6% 15.10    
2  HONEYQUIST Sep24         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 0.80 24% 3.10    
3  LORD OF CORK Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul02   (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
4  PINNACLE REEF Sep14 Sep03 Aug13     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
5  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23   (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 30.00    
6  NEVERPOPTHECORK Sep14 Sep03 Aug13     (casey a)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
7  JUBA'S NOTION Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23   (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00 5% 18.30    
8  PAYMENGOLD Sep17 Aug13 Jul02     (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
9  XCELLENT START Sep17 Aug13       (runco jef)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
10  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Sep17 Sep03 Aug13     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
SCR  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23   (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
SCR  TIME TO CHOOSE Sep14 Sep03 Aug13     (casey joh)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
 
CT-4   10/08/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADY ROSE Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Jul09 Jun23 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 ★    
2  BAYS CASTLE Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun16 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  STOWE ANGEL Aug26 Aug04 Jul02 May06 Mar30 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.40 60% 0.70    
4  OCEAN LILLY Sep07 Aug04 Jul02 May20 Apr27 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 5.00    
5  NAVY SWORD Sep07 Jun10 May20 Jan28   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 4.50 13% 6.60    
6  TIZBIT Sep10 Aug27 Aug04 Jul16 Jun23 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 123 10.00    
7  EX RATED Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 May19 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 123 15.00    
8  SARAH'S WARRIOR Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul21 Jun24 (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENECA ROCKS Sep10 Aug09 Jul23 Jun24 May21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
2  AIM'S JUBILEE Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May28 Apr15 (reggetts steph)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
3  WINDSOR'S PLAY Sep21 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
4  COUSIN WINNIE Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIMETOGETUP Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 (casey a)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
6  CASTLE LIGHTS Sep21 Aug19 Jul28 Jul02 May14 (casey w)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
7  CHANGE THE WORLD Sep10 Aug18 Jul14 Jul02 Jun16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 61% 0.60    
8  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Sep15 Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 Jun30 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
9  WHALE OF A TIME Sep15 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 May21 (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun25 May21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 12.00    
2  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 Aug04 Jun16 (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 123 30.00    
3  FANCY CONCHO Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jun16 May14 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 11% 8.30    
4  C R'S MANDATE Aug26 Aug06 Jun16 May27 May07 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUBBA GRUMP Jul27 Jun16 Mar19 Feb17   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
6  NO CHANGE Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jun16 May13 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  COMMAND THE CAT Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 15.00    
8  SOCIAL CHIC Aug26 Jul16 Jun25 Apr30   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK Aug20 Aug06 May27 Apr30 Mar02 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 30.00    
 
CT-7   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZZURRA Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 Apr23 Mar25 (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50    
2  MOONLIT SHADOW Aug26 Aug04 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  BOUNDTOBEOK Aug25 Aug04 Jul16 Jun10 May06 (casey w)LARROSA G 123 12.00    
4  HESSICA Sep15 Aug18 Jul23 Jun16 May25 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRACE ELIZABETH Aug19 May20 Apr27 Feb17   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 20.00    
SCR  C V'S POWERPAK         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
7  THE SKY IS FALLING Aug26 Jul23 Jun23 May19 Apr22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
CT-8   10/08/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISHIHARA Sep17 Jun16 May18 Apr29 Apr08 (runco jef)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
2  HERO'S MAN Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 (casey w)LARROSA G 123 12.00 ★    
3  ALLEN CAN DO IT Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 20.00    
4  MARTIN MAN Sep17 Aug20 Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 123 20.00    
5  CANDY INVASION Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jun25 Jun02 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 123 2.50 13% 6.60    
6  MUAD'DIB Aug26 Jul15       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60 62% 0.60    
7  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Sep08 Jun04 Apr08 Mar16 Jan27 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 123 15.00    
8  OUT OF CENTS Sep08 Jun16 May06 Mar25 Mar02 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-9   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Aug26 Jul23 Jun16 May21 Apr27 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr20 (runco c)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  C R'S UNCLE LINO Sep08 Aug27 Jul23 May28 May11 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
4  FEARNOUGHT Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 Jun09 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
5  WELL EQUIPPED Sep10 Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 Jun18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
6  ONE NIGHT MIKE Sep23 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 8% 12.10    
7  JUNGLE BEAST Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 May12 Apr16 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 55% 0.80    
8  LATE IN THE GAME Sep16 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (casey w)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
9  AMIDSHIPS Sep10         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00    
10  FREE SAILIN Aug23 Jul23 Jun11 Apr11 Mar21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  ROAD PARTY Sep30 Mar25 Feb25 Feb10   (grigsby anthon)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE Sep21 Aug12       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
 
CT-10   10/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY HER UP Aug25 Jul30 Jun18 May21 May05 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 8% 11.60    
2  ALPINE MOON Sep16 Aug26 Jun18 May28 May18 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  SILKY SERENA Sep16 Aug26 Jun18 May21 Apr23 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  COACH RUBE Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 Apr28 Apr07 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 123 10.00    
5  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Sep22 Sep09 Jul28 Jul01 Apr27 (casey w)LARROSA G 123 15.00    
6  VACATION SECRET Aug30 Aug14 Jul18 Jun29 Jun19 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
7  COLLEGE KID Sep16 Jul08 Jun03 May18 Apr28 (scott lloyd)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 15.00    
8  MANAROLA Sep16 Aug26 Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
9  GOOD KARMA (GB) Sep16 Aug26 Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   5% 19.00    
10  FULL MOON LOVER Sep16 Aug18 Jul30 Jul01 Jun04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 8% 11.10    
SCR  SNOWY JUBA CAT Sep21 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (bass curtis)RAMGEET R 123 15.00    
SCR  THELADYISTRUE Sep22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 123 15.00    
SCR  LUCYLOU WHO May21 Apr27 Apr01 Mar17 Feb11 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
SCR  GOODNESS GRACIOUS Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.