The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Charles Town
Friday - September 30, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CT-1   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:231 :471 1:131     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AARON'S TAP 4 3 3 2   1nk 1(sanderson s)RAMGEET R 124 1.80 30% 2.40 1.60 W
BETTER BOOGIE 1 1 1 1   2nk 2(brown w)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 24% 3.20 1.20 P
BOATSWAIN 6 4 410 55   33(farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 23% 3.30 4.10 S
JAMMIN STILL 5 5 512 45   58 4(caison l)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 19.70  
SOUTHERN SAVIOUR 2 2 2 3   4510¾ (schottroffe t)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 8.00  
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME 3 6 614 6   69 613 (dollinger-sthr linda)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 43.80  
 
CT-2   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:223 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLLY HERETIC 4 5 22     11 1(collyer d)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 2.00 2.10  
TOLLER 3 4 32     32 2(grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 42% 1.40 1.90 P
D TACHYON 2 6 6     54 3(brown a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 23.00  
BELMULLET 1 3 5     645 (runco c)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 6.00 31% 2.30 6.30  
HOT SPICE 5 2 4     44 5(allen ferris)ALVELO C 112 4.50 3.40  
KARATS AND GOLD 6 1 12     21 6(deiter lynn)ACOSTA D 119 5.00 5.40  
 
CT-3   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
:222 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPETUOUS 3 1 11     11¾ (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 39% 1.60 0.70 W
WIDGET FACTORY 2 2 21     22¾ (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 29% 2.50 1.60 P
STRETCH THE TRUTH 1 3 31     33 38 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 112 10.00 2.70 S
SCR  TOP DOG               (eidschun gregory)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
SCR  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD               (brown w)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  U ROCK IT               (hillegass alexandra)NAVARRO J 124 3.00    
SCR  KAMPAI               (hillegass alexandra)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
:243 :49 1:142     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK DID IT 5 5 5 21   2nk 1(mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60 29% 2.40 1.40 W
GOT FLOFFY 2 2 11 11   1nk 2(adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 13% 6.90 3.60 P
PLAYBOY ROY 3 3 31 42   33(reynolds a)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00 20% 3.90 3.60 S
POLITICAL DECISION 4 4 21 3   44(contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 3.70  
DIVINING DANCER 1 1 42 5   56 510½ (covello a)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 8.00 5.30  
SCR  SHANGHAI CANDY               (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50    
 
CT-5   09/30/2022 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
:233 :471 1:13 1:411   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTS REVOLUTION 1 2 4 4 2 1112¾ (sanderson s)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 18% 4.70 3.20 W
THE IRON BANK 4 3 69 614¼ 613 414 212¾ (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 8.00 25.80  
CHARITABLE VISIT 6 5 3 2 3 311½ 313¼ (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 14.40 S
HONOR THE FLEET 2 1 1 1 1 2414½ (magee kieron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.40 32% 2.20 0.30  
SOCIAL EQUALITY 7 8 817½ 824¾ 821 716 515½ (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 22% 3.60 31.90  
DUNLUCE CAISSLE 3 6 715 722¼ 720½ 514½ 615¾ (davis e)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00 55.50  
RISING PERRY 5 4 5 5 412½ 615 716½ (butts e)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 50.10  
BRUTUS 8 7 2 3 513 825 842½ (scott l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
 
CT-6   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
:234 :48 1:141     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACKENZIE'S MUSIC 4 1 12 1   13 1¼ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 34% 1.90 1.90 W
MIDNIGHT BRASS 6 6 5 4   44 2¼ (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 42% 1.40 1.80 P
CEDAR'S WISH 5 3 22 2   23 3(grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 3.90 S
GLOBAL EMPRESS 1 2 33 3   33 4(anderson r)ADAMS L 110 12.00 17.10  
HERETODAYGONMANANA 3 4 46 5   554 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 22.30  
LONG LEGS LOUISE 2 5 612½ 611   66(lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00 3.60  
 
CT-7   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:221 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNISON 2 8 1½     11 1½ (curtis f)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 30% 2.40 2.90 DQ↓3
REMYS GUNSMOKE 5 4 63     42 2½ (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 18.10  
MANHATTAN WEAVE 1 7 3     21 3(farrior anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00 15.60  
ROAD PARTY 7 5 52     542 (grigsby anthony)RIOS-CONDE A 118 4.00 28% 2.60 3.60  
MR CHANCE ROMANCE 3 6 95     65(brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 17% 4.90 2.70  
THUNDERINREADYRICK 4 9 7     76(bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 6.40  
CATS DIAMOND BOY 8 2 2½     31 74 (rangel ricardo)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 8.00 4.70  
BEAR'S ESTATE 9 1 8     98(knoblauch-perez r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00 55.90  
BURR HILL BULLET 6 3 42     8910 (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
 
CT-8   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:223 :474       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESS FOR KICKS 7 1 1½     112 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 9% 9.70 4.90 W
GREAT DEVOTION 5 2 32     322 (viands r)MARRERO CARLOS 124 8.00 3.90  
IVY WAY 4 4 68     43(saleem gordon)MUSARRO JOE 120 15.00 33.30  
FESSIN UP 1 5 5     64(stahlin john)LARROSA G 120 4.50 6.40  
BODIE'S STORM 3 7 79     76 56 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 14.80  
BALLYMENA 6 3 2½     26(hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 2.50 44% 1.30 0.90  
LILIANFELS 2 6 4     54 7(moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.00 9.50  
SCR  HOLY PINK               (jones e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.