Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER BOOGIE Sep09 Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
2  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 (schottroffe e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 ★    
3  PAINT MUSIC FOR ME Aug25 Jul15 Jul09 May21 May13 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
4  AARON'S TAP Sep09 Apr27 Mar31 Mar02 Feb24 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 124 1.80 30% 2.40    
5  JAMMIN STILL Sep09 Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 Jul03 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 ★    
6  BOATSWAIN Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul08 Jun17 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
CT-2   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELMULLET Sep15 Jul09 May05 Mar04 Feb11 (runco jeff )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 6.00 31% 2.30    
2  D TACHYON Jan04         (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
3  TOLLER Sep07 Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 May20 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  JOLLY HERETIC Jun26 Jun12 May08 Apr14 Feb25 (collyer ja)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 2.00 ★    
5  HOT SPICE Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul08 May29 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 112 4.50 ★    
6  KARATS AND GOLD Jul30 Jul14 Jun29 Jun16   (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 119 5.00 ★    
 
CT-3   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRETCH THE TRUTH Jul21 Jun30 May28 May06 Apr01 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 112 10.00 ★    
SCR  TOP DOG Sep12 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 (eidschun grego)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  U ROCK IT Sep04 Aug04 Jul01     (hillega)NAVARRO J 124 3.00    
4  WIDGET FACTORY Sep08 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  IMPETUOUS Aug12 Jul15 Jun09 May26 May13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 39% 1.60    
SCR  KAMPAI         (hillegass al)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun10 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
CT-4   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINING DANCER Sep09 Aug25 Jul29 Jul16 May27 (covello and)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 8.00 ★    
2  GOT FLOFFY Sep07 Aug25 Aug13 Jul21 Jul12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 13% 6.90    
3  PLAYBOY ROY Sep09 Aug24 Aug06 May26 May05 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  POLITICAL DECISION Sep09 Aug25 Jul29 May05 Apr08 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  SHANGHAI CANDY Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50    
6  MARK DID IT Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul07   (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60 29% 2.40    
 
CT-5   09/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTS REVOLUTION Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 Jun26 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  HONOR THE FLEET Aug17 Jul16 Jul02 Jun05 May21 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.40 32% 2.20    
3  DUNLUCE CAISSLE Sep14 Aug18 Jun03 May11 Apr20 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
4  THE IRON BANK Sep15 Aug18 Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 8.00    
5  RISING PERRY Aug27 Jul16 Jun24 May27 Mar26 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
6  CHARITABLE VISIT Sep24 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 May26 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 ★    
7  SOCIAL EQUALITY Sep23 Sep08 Jul30 Jul13 Jul04 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  BRUTUS Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (scott lloyd)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   09/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL EMPRESS Sep15 Aug19 Jul28 Jul15 Jun02 (anderson patr)ADAMS L 110 12.00 ★    
2  LONG LEGS LOUISE Sep07 Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 May25 (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00    
3  HERETODAYGONMANANA Aug20 Jul21 May28 Apr30 Apr20 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 ★    
4  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Sep15         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 34% 1.90    
5  CEDAR'S WISH Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun24 May28 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT BRASS Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Apr29   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
CT-7   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANHATTAN WEAVE Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
2  UNISON Sep03 Jul23 Jun30     (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Sep16 Aug25 Mar16     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  THUNDERINREADYRICK Aug11 Jul30 Jun18 May21   (bass curti)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
5  REMYS GUNSMOKE Sep21 Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00    
6  BURR HILL BULLET Sep09 Jun18 May21 Apr29 Apr06 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROAD PARTY Mar25 Feb25 Feb10     (grigsby anthon)RIOS-CONDE A 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
8  CATS DIAMOND BOY Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 8.00 ★    
9  BEAR'S ESTATE Jul09         (knoblauch-)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   09/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FESSIN UP Sep14 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jun02 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 120 4.50 ★    
2  LILIANFELS         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.00 ★    
3  BODIE'S STORM Sep14 Mar03 Feb04     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
SCR  HOLY PINK Jul29 Jun17 May06 Apr07 Mar06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
5  IVY WAY Aug27 Jul21 Jun08 Apr23 Apr09 (saleem gordon)MUSARRO JOE 120 15.00    
6  GREAT DEVOTION Sep14 Aug18 Jul16 Jun24   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 8.00    
7  BALLYMENA (GB) Sep14 Jun02 May27 May04 Apr27 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  JESS FOR KICKS Sep14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Apr13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 9% 9.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.